DELL
Dell Technologies Inc.
DELL has lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.
SMCI
Super Micro Computer, Inc.
SMCI has the edge over DELL overall, supported by stronger valuation and stronger modeled upside.
DELL Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Strong | |
| Healthy | |
| Healthy | |
| Healthy |
DELL's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.
SMCI Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Strong | |
| Strong | |
| Weak | |
| Strong |
SMCI's revenue, profitability and balance sheet are currently strong, but its cash flow is weak.
DELL PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cheap | 11x | $187 | -50% |
| Forward | 12x | $371 | — |
| Fair | 18x | $313 | -16% |
| Current | 22x | $371 | — |
| Expensive | 26x | $444 | +20% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
DELL's PE is in its expensive range at 22x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 12x next year's earnings, in its cheap range.
SMCI PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Forward | 4.3x | $26.99 | — |
| Current | 5.7x | $26.99 | — |
| Cheap | 13x | $61.50 | +128% |
| Fair | 19x | $88.86 | +229% |
| Expensive | 26x | $125 | +363% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
SMCI has the edge over DELL in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.
DELL Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Strongly improving | |
| Strong growth | |
| Strong growth | |
| Improving | |
| Limited | |
| Low |
Analysts expect strong earnings and revenue growth for DELL, with profitability improving. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.
SMCI Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Strongly improving | |
| Strong growth | |
| Strong growth | |
| Improving | |
| Moderate | |
| Low |
Analysts expect strong earnings and revenue growth for SMCI, with profitability improving. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.
DELL Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $29.83 | +74% |
| Q3 2026 | $17.19 | +153% |
| Q2 2026 | $12.55 | +100% |
| Q1 2026 | $8.68 | +40% |
| Q4 2025 | $7.50 | +33% |
| Q3 2025 | $6.80 | +25% |
| Q2 2025 | $6.27 | +28% |
| Q1 2025 | $6.22 | +43% |
| Q4 2024 | $5.65 | +55% |
DELL has the edge over SMCI on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
SMCI Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $6.22 | +31% |
| Q3 2026 | $4.75 | +274% |
| Q2 2026 | $3.26 | +94% |
| Q1 2026 | $1.91 | +4.4% |
| Q4 2025 | $1.36 | -41% |
| Q3 2025 | $1.27 | -45% |
| Q2 2025 | $1.68 | -13% |
| Q1 2025 | $1.83 | +2.8% |
| Q4 2024 | $2.32 | +81% |
SMCI's earnings per share have jumped to their highest in seven years: $4.75 over the past year, up from $1.27 the year before.
DELL Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $47B | +58% |
| Q2 2026 | $43.8B | +88% |
| Q1 2026 | $33.4B | +39% |
| Q4 2025 | $27B | +11% |
| Q3 2025 | $29.8B | +19% |
| Q2 2025 | $23.4B | +5.1% |
| Q1 2025 | $23.9B | +7.2% |
| Q4 2024 | $24.4B | +9.5% |
DELL's revenue has grown year over year for 10 quarters in a row: $47B last quarter, up 58% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 11% | +5.5 points |
| Q2 2026 | 8.3% | +3.4 points |
| Q1 2026 | 9.3% | +0.2 points |
| Q4 2025 | 7.8% | +1 points |
| Q3 2025 | 6% | +0.6 points |
| Q2 2025 | 5% | +0.8 points |
| Q1 2025 | 9% | +2.3 points |
| Q4 2024 | 6.8% | +0.2 points |
DELL has the edge over SMCI on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
SMCI Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $19.9B | +298% |
| Q2 2026 | $11.1B | +93% |
| Q1 2026 | $10.2B | +123% |
| Q4 2025 | $12.7B | +123% |
| Q3 2025 | $5B | -15% |
| Q2 2025 | $5.8B | +7.5% |
| Q1 2025 | $4.6B | +19% |
| Q4 2024 | $5.7B | +55% |
SMCI's revenue has grown year over year for four quarters in a row: $19.9B last quarter, up 298% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 10% | +6.7 points |
| Q2 2026 | 13% | +9.4 points |
| Q1 2026 | 6.1% | +2.9 points |
| Q4 2025 | 3.7% | -2.8 points |
| Q3 2025 | 3.6% | -5 points |
| Q2 2025 | 4% | -1.4 points |
| Q1 2025 | 3.2% | -6.6 points |
| Q4 2024 | 6.5% | -3.7 points |
SMCI's operating margin was 10% last quarter, up 6.7 points from the same quarter a year ago.
DELL Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $986M | -47% |
| Q2 2026 | $3.1B | +40% |
| Q1 2026 | $4B | +$4.1B |
| Q4 2025 | $503M | -45% |
| Q3 2025 | $1.9B | +184% |
| Q2 2025 | $2.2B | +398% |
| Q1 2025 | -$150M | -119% |
| Q4 2024 | $914M | -37% |
DELL has the edge over SMCI on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.
SMCI Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -$475.6M | +$474.2M |
| Q2 2026 | $718.7M | -15% |
| Q1 2026 | -$6.7B | -1227% |
| Q4 2025 | -$45.1M | +$222.2M |
| Q3 2025 | -$949.8M | -360% |
| Q2 2025 | $840.9M | +$1.5B |
| Q1 2025 | $594.1M | +$2.2B |
| Q4 2024 | -$267.3M | +$342.5M |
SMCI's free cash flow was −$6.5B over the past year, against $218M the year before.
DELL Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | -0.6% | -4M shares |
| 1 year | -5% | -34M shares |
| 3 years | -12% | -86M shares |
| 5 years | -58% | -899M shares |
| Available history | -56% | -828M shares |
DELL has the edge over SMCI on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $3.8B |
| Q2 2026 | $1.6B |
| Q1 2026 | $1.8B |
| Q4 2025 | $1.2B |
| Q3 2025 | $940M |
| Q2 2025 | $2B |
| Q1 2025 | $734M |
| Q4 2024 | $429M |
DELL spent $8.5B buying back its own shares over the past year, up 109% from the year before.
SMCI Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +7.5% | +52M shares |
| 1 year | +13% | +86.1M shares |
| 3 years | +31% | +178M shares |
| 5 years | +42% | +220M shares |
| Available history | +44% | +229M shares |
SMCI has 749M diluted shares, up 13% from a year ago.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q2 2024 | — |
| Q2 2022 | — |
| Q1 2022 | — |
| Q4 2021 | — |
| Q3 2021 | — |
| Q2 2021 | $12M |
| Q1 2021 | $43.1M |
| Q4 2020 | $46.4M |
DELL Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 1.3x | Healthy |
| Q2 2026 | 1.4x | Healthy |
| Q1 2026 | 1.8x | Healthy |
| Q4 2025 | 2.1x | Moderate |
| Q3 2025 | 2.1x | Moderate |
| Q2 2025 | 2.2x | Moderate |
| Q1 2025 | 2.3x | Moderate |
| Q4 2024 | 2.3x | Moderate |
DELL's net debt is about 1.3 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from 2.1 years a year ago.
SMCI Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -0.5x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2026 | -1.0x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2026 | 2.2x | Moderate |
| Q4 2025 | 0.5x | Very low |
| Q3 2025 | 0.5x | Very low |
| Q2 2025 | -0.4x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2025 | -0.1x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2024 | 0.2x | Very low |
SMCI has the edge over DELL on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.
DELL Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 45.4 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 17.5 | Oversold |
DELL's weekly RSI is 45 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 18 (oversold).
SMCI Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 40.8 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 19.1 | Oversold |
SMCI's weekly RSI is 41 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 19 (oversold).
DELL PE vs Technology Sector
| Metric | DELL | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 22x | 28x | 23% below |
| PE % | 66 | 35 | 31 pts above |
DELL is trading at 22x earnings, a 23% discount to the Technology sector's median of 28x.
SMCI PE vs Technology Sector
| Metric | SMCI | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 5.7x | 28x | 80% below |
| PE % | 0 | 35 | 35 pts below |
SMCI has the edge over DELL on valuation relative to its sector.
DELL Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $468.0 | 21% below |
| 20 week MA | $465.7 | 20% below |
| 50 week MA | $307.3 | 21% above |
| 100 week MA | $212.9 | 74% above |
| 200 week MA | $149.7 | 148% above |
DELL has the edge over SMCI on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.
SMCI Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $35.3 | 23% below |
| 20 week MA | $34.2 | 21% below |
| 50 week MA | $32.3 | 17% below |
| 100 week MA | $36.9 | 27% below |
| 200 week MA | $39.8 | 32% below |
SMCI is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 32% below its 200-week average.
DELL Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $25.8 | $37.0 | +43% |
| 2021 | $37.0 | $55.9 | +51% |
| 2022 | $55.9 | $39.1 | -30% |
| 2023 | $39.1 | $76.5 | +96% |
| 2024 | $76.5 | $117.3 | +53% |
| 2025 | $117.3 | $129.2 | +10% |
| 2026 YTD | $129.2 | $371.2 | +187% |
DELL has the edge over SMCI on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.
SMCI Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $2.41 | $3.05 | +27% |
| 2021 | $3.05 | $4.27 | +40% |
| 2022 | $4.27 | $8.22 | +93% |
| 2023 | $8.22 | $28.4 | +246% |
| 2024 | $28.4 | $32.0 | +12% |
| 2025 | $32.0 | $30.6 | -4.2% |
| 2026 YTD | $30.6 | $27.0 | -12% |
SMCI has finished higher in five of the last six years, two of them by more than 50%. It's down 12% so far in 2026.