DELL
Dell Technologies Inc.
DELL has slightly lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.
SHOP
Shopify Inc.
SHOP has a slight edge over DELL overall, supported by stronger valuation and stronger fundamentals.
DELL Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Strong | |
| Healthy | |
| Healthy | |
| Healthy |
DELL's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.
SHOP Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Healthy | |
| Healthy | |
| Strong | |
| Strong |
SHOP's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.
DELL PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cheap | 11x | $187 | -50% |
| Forward | 12x | $371 | — |
| Fair | 18x | $313 | -16% |
| Current | 22x | $371 | — |
| Expensive | 26x | $444 | +20% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
DELL has the edge over SHOP in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.
SHOP PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Forward | 67x | $147 | — |
| Cheap | 78x | $129 | -12% |
| Current | 89x | $147 | — |
| Fair | 107x | $177 | +21% |
| Expensive | 338x | $557 | +280% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
SHOP's PE is in its cheap range at 89x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 67x next year's earnings.
DELL Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Strongly improving | |
| Strong growth | |
| Strong growth | |
| Improving | |
| Limited | |
| Low |
DELL has the edge over SHOP on the outlook, with more favorable profitability expectations.
SHOP Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Strongly improving | |
| Strong growth | |
| Strong growth | |
| Stable | |
| Moderate | |
| Low |
Analysts expect strong earnings and revenue growth for SHOP, with profitability holding steady. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.
DELL Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $29.83 | +74% |
| Q3 2026 | $17.19 | +153% |
| Q2 2026 | $12.55 | +100% |
| Q1 2026 | $8.68 | +40% |
| Q4 2025 | $7.50 | +33% |
| Q3 2025 | $6.80 | +25% |
| Q2 2025 | $6.27 | +28% |
| Q1 2025 | $6.22 | +43% |
| Q4 2024 | $5.65 | +55% |
DELL has the edge over SHOP on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
SHOP Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $2.20 | +33% |
| Q3 2026 | $1.65 | +21% |
| Q2 2026 | $1.49 | -17% |
| Q1 2026 | $1.02 | -18% |
| Q4 2025 | $0.94 | -40% |
| Q3 2025 | $1.36 | +27% |
| Q2 2025 | $1.80 | +84% |
| Q1 2025 | $1.24 | +$1.41 |
| Q4 2024 | $1.56 | +1633% |
SHOP's earnings per share have fallen from their peak: $1.65 over the past year, against $2.68 in late 2021.
DELL Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $47B | +58% |
| Q2 2026 | $43.8B | +88% |
| Q1 2026 | $33.4B | +39% |
| Q4 2025 | $27B | +11% |
| Q3 2025 | $29.8B | +19% |
| Q2 2025 | $23.4B | +5.1% |
| Q1 2025 | $23.9B | +7.2% |
| Q4 2024 | $24.4B | +9.5% |
DELL's revenue has grown year over year for 10 quarters in a row: $47B last quarter, up 58% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 11% | +5.5 points |
| Q2 2026 | 8.3% | +3.4 points |
| Q1 2026 | 9.3% | +0.2 points |
| Q4 2025 | 7.8% | +1 points |
| Q3 2025 | 6% | +0.6 points |
| Q2 2025 | 5% | +0.8 points |
| Q1 2025 | 9% | +2.3 points |
| Q4 2024 | 6.8% | +0.2 points |
DELL's operating margin was 11% last quarter, up 5.5 points from the same quarter a year ago, near the top of its range since 2019.
SHOP Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $3.7B | +32% |
| Q2 2026 | $3.6B | +34% |
| Q1 2026 | $3.2B | +34% |
| Q4 2025 | $3.7B | +31% |
| Q3 2025 | $2.8B | +32% |
| Q2 2025 | $2.7B | +31% |
| Q1 2025 | $2.4B | +27% |
| Q4 2024 | $2.8B | +31% |
SHOP has the edge over DELL on sales, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 15% | +3.1 points |
| Q2 2026 | 14% | +2.8 points |
| Q1 2026 | 12% | +3.5 points |
| Q4 2025 | 17% | +0.6 points |
| Q3 2025 | 12% | -1 points |
| Q2 2025 | 11% | -0.9 points |
| Q1 2025 | 8.6% | +4 points |
| Q4 2024 | 17% | +3.1 points |
SHOP has the edge over DELL on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
DELL Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $986M | -47% |
| Q2 2026 | $3.1B | +40% |
| Q1 2026 | $4B | +$4.1B |
| Q4 2025 | $503M | -45% |
| Q3 2025 | $1.9B | +184% |
| Q2 2025 | $2.2B | +398% |
| Q1 2025 | -$150M | -119% |
| Q4 2024 | $914M | -37% |
DELL still generates free cash flow, though less than at its 2021 peak: $8.6B over the past year.
SHOP Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $816M | +61% |
| Q2 2026 | $654M | +55% |
| Q1 2026 | $476M | +31% |
| Q4 2025 | $715M | +17% |
| Q3 2025 | $507M | +20% |
| Q2 2025 | $422M | +27% |
| Q1 2025 | $363M | +56% |
| Q4 2024 | $611M | +37% |
SHOP has the edge over DELL on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
DELL Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | -0.6% | -4M shares |
| 1 year | -5% | -34M shares |
| 3 years | -12% | -86M shares |
| 5 years | -58% | -899M shares |
| Available history | -56% | -828M shares |
DELL has the edge over SHOP on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $3.8B |
| Q2 2026 | $1.6B |
| Q1 2026 | $1.8B |
| Q4 2025 | $1.2B |
| Q3 2025 | $940M |
| Q2 2025 | $2B |
| Q1 2025 | $734M |
| Q4 2024 | $429M |
DELL spent $8.5B buying back its own shares over the past year, up 109% from the year before.
SHOP Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | -0.6% | -7.2M shares |
| 1 year | -1.7% | -22.1M shares |
| 3 years | -0.4% | -5.1M shares |
| 5 years | +1.1% | +14.5M shares |
| Available history | +11% | +130M shares |
SHOP has 1.3B diluted shares, down 1.7% from a year ago.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $562M |
| Q2 2026 | $1.4B |
| Q1 2026 | $491M |
| Q4 2024 | — |
| Q3 2024 | — |
| Q2 2024 | — |
| Q1 2024 | — |
| Q4 2023 | — |
DELL Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 1.3x | Healthy |
| Q2 2026 | 1.4x | Healthy |
| Q1 2026 | 1.8x | Healthy |
| Q4 2025 | 2.1x | Moderate |
| Q3 2025 | 2.1x | Moderate |
| Q2 2025 | 2.2x | Moderate |
| Q1 2025 | 2.3x | Moderate |
| Q4 2024 | 2.3x | Moderate |
DELL's net debt is about 1.3 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from 2.1 years a year ago.
SHOP Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -0.9x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2026 | -0.9x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2026 | -1.1x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2025 | -1.0x | Net Cash |
| Q3 2025 | -1.7x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2025 | -1.1x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2025 | -0.9x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2024 | -0.4x | Net Cash |
SHOP has the edge over DELL on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.
DELL Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 45.4 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 17.5 | Oversold |
DELL's weekly RSI is 45 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 18 (oversold).
SHOP Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 52.4 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 51.5 | Neutral |
SHOP's weekly RSI is 52 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 52 (neutral).
DELL PE vs Technology Sector
| Metric | DELL | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 22x | 28x | 23% below |
| PE % | 66 | 35 | 31 pts above |
DELL has the edge over SHOP on valuation relative to its sector.
SHOP PE vs Technology Sector
| Metric | SHOP | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 89x | 28x | 219% above |
| PE % | 29 | 35 | 6 pts below |
SHOP is trading at 89x earnings, a 219% premium to the Technology sector's median of 28x.
DELL Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $468.0 | 21% below |
| 20 week MA | $465.7 | 20% below |
| 50 week MA | $307.3 | 21% above |
| 100 week MA | $212.9 | 74% above |
| 200 week MA | $149.7 | 148% above |
DELL has pulled back, but its long-term trend is still up: it's below its 8- and 20-week averages, but 148% above its 200-week average.
SHOP Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $157.0 | 6.5% below |
| 20 week MA | $143.1 | 2.5% above |
| 50 week MA | $134.4 | 9.2% above |
| 100 week MA | $128.1 | 15% above |
| 200 week MA | $97.7 | 50% above |
SHOP has the edge over DELL on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.
DELL Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $25.8 | $37.0 | +43% |
| 2021 | $37.0 | $55.9 | +51% |
| 2022 | $55.9 | $39.1 | -30% |
| 2023 | $39.1 | $76.5 | +96% |
| 2024 | $76.5 | $117.3 | +53% |
| 2025 | $117.3 | $129.2 | +10% |
| 2026 YTD | $129.2 | $371.2 | +187% |
DELL has the edge over SHOP on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.
SHOP Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $40.8 | $122.6 | +200% |
| 2021 | $122.6 | $143.9 | +17% |
| 2022 | $143.9 | $33.7 | -77% |
| 2023 | $33.7 | $77.9 | +131% |
| 2024 | $77.9 | $108.2 | +39% |
| 2025 | $108.2 | $170.8 | +58% |
| 2026 YTD | $170.8 | $146.8 | -14% |
SHOP's yearly returns have swung widely, from +200% in 2020 to −77% in 2022. It's down 14% so far in 2026.