DELL

Dell Technologies Inc.

73
Fundamentals80/ 100
Valuation48/ 100
Upside potential82/ 100
Risk potential20/ 100

DELL has the edge over ORCL overall, supported by stronger fundamentals and stronger modeled upside.

ORCL

Oracle Corporation

65
Fundamentals60/ 100
Valuation78/ 100
Upside potential73/ 100
Risk potential19/ 100

ORCL has slightly lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.

DELL Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Healthy
Healthy
Healthy

DELL's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.

ORCL Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
Weak
Strong

ORCL's revenue, profitability and balance sheet are currently healthy, but its cash flow is weak.

DELL PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE10x20x31x41x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE10x20x31x41x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap11x$187-50%
Forward12x$371—
Fair18x$313-16%
Current22x$371—
Expensive26x$444+20%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

DELL's PE is in its expensive range at 22x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 12x next year's earnings, in its cheap range.

ORCL PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE19x37x56x74x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE19x37x56x74x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward15x$127—
Cheap19x$119-6.8%
Current20x$127—
Fair30x$189+49%
Expensive39x$247+94%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

ORCL has the edge over DELL in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

DELL Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Strong growth
Improving
Limited
Low

DELL has the edge over ORCL on the outlook, with more favorable profitability expectations.

ORCL Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Strong growth
Strongly weakening
Moderate
High

Analysts expect strong earnings and revenue growth for ORCL, but weaker profitability.

DELL Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+92%$712.12
Downside-20%$297.69

Calculated from the latest close: $371.17 on Nov 12.

DELL has a better modeled risk to reward balance than ORCL, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

ORCL Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+52%$192.98
Downside-19%$102.46

Calculated from the latest close: $127.11 on Nov 12.

ORCL trails DELL on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

DELL Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $3.64Q1 2024: $4.36Q2 2024: $4.89Q3 2024: $5.43Q4 2024: $5.65Q1 2025: $6.22Q2 2025: $6.27Q3 2025: $6.80Q4 2025: $7.50Q1 2026: $8.68Q2 2026: $12.55Q3 2026: $17.19Forward: $29.83
Q4 2023: $3.64Q1 2024: $4.36Q2 2024: $4.89Q3 2024: $5.43Q4 2024: $5.65Q1 2025: $6.22Q2 2025: $6.27Q3 2025: $6.80Q4 2025: $7.50Q1 2026: $8.68Q2 2026: $12.55Q3 2026: $17.19Forward: $29.83
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$29.83+74%
Q3 2026$17.19+153%
Q2 2026$12.55+100%
Q1 2026$8.68+40%
Q4 2025$7.50+33%
Q3 2025$6.80+25%
Q2 2025$6.27+28%
Q1 2025$6.22+43%
Q4 2024$5.65+55%

DELL has the edge over ORCL on earnings, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.

ORCL Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $3.63Q1 2024: $3.80Q2 2024: $3.71Q3 2024: $3.88Q4 2024: $4.09Q1 2025: $4.26Q2 2025: $4.34Q3 2025: $4.32Q4 2025: $5.32Q1 2026: $5.57Q2 2026: $5.83Q3 2026: $6.38Forward: $8.53
Q4 2023: $3.63Q1 2024: $3.80Q2 2024: $3.71Q3 2024: $3.88Q4 2024: $4.09Q1 2025: $4.26Q2 2025: $4.34Q3 2025: $4.32Q4 2025: $5.32Q1 2026: $5.57Q2 2026: $5.83Q3 2026: $6.38Forward: $8.53
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$8.53+34%
Q3 2026$6.38+48%
Q2 2026$5.83+34%
Q1 2026$5.57+31%
Q4 2025$5.32+30%
Q3 2025$4.32+11%
Q2 2025$4.34+17%
Q1 2025$4.26+12%
Q4 2024$4.09+13%

ORCL's earnings per share have climbed steadily: $6.38 over the past year, up 48% from the year before, and higher year over year for 15 quarters in a row.

DELL Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $22.3BQ1 2024: $22.3BQ2 2024: $22.2BQ3 2024: $25BQ4 2024: $24.4BQ1 2025: $23.9BQ2 2025: $23.4BQ3 2025: $29.8BQ4 2025: $27BQ1 2026: $33.4BQ2 2026: $43.8BQ3 2026: $47B
Q4 2023: $22.3BQ1 2024: $22.3BQ2 2024: $22.2BQ3 2024: $25BQ4 2024: $24.4BQ1 2025: $23.9BQ2 2025: $23.4BQ3 2025: $29.8BQ4 2025: $27BQ1 2026: $33.4BQ2 2026: $43.8BQ3 2026: $47B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$47B+58%
Q2 2026$43.8B+88%
Q1 2026$33.4B+39%
Q4 2025$27B+11%
Q3 2025$29.8B+19%
Q2 2025$23.4B+5.1%
Q1 2025$23.9B+7.2%
Q4 2024$24.4B+9.5%

DELL has the edge over ORCL on sales, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.

ORCL Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $12.9BQ1 2024: $13.3BQ2 2024: $14.3BQ3 2024: $13.3BQ4 2024: $14.1BQ1 2025: $14.1BQ2 2025: $15.9BQ3 2025: $14.9BQ4 2025: $16.1BQ1 2026: $17.2BQ2 2026: $19.2BQ3 2026: $19.3B
Q4 2023: $12.9BQ1 2024: $13.3BQ2 2024: $14.3BQ3 2024: $13.3BQ4 2024: $14.1BQ1 2025: $14.1BQ2 2025: $15.9BQ3 2025: $14.9BQ4 2025: $16.1BQ1 2026: $17.2BQ2 2026: $19.2BQ3 2026: $19.3B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$19.3B+30%
Q2 2026$19.2B+21%
Q1 2026$17.2B+22%
Q4 2025$16.1B+14%
Q3 2025$14.9B+12%
Q2 2025$15.9B+11%
Q1 2025$14.1B+6.4%
Q4 2024$14.1B+8.6%

ORCL's revenue has grown year over year for 13 quarters in a row: $19.3B last quarter, up 30% from the same quarter a year ago.

DELL Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $1.4BQ1 2024: $806MQ2 2024: $447MQ3 2024: $658MQ4 2024: $914MQ1 2025: −$150MQ2 2025: $2.2BQ3 2025: $1.9BQ4 2025: $503MQ1 2026: $4BQ2 2026: $3.1BQ3 2026: $986M
Q4 2023: $1.4BQ1 2024: $806MQ2 2024: $447MQ3 2024: $658MQ4 2024: $914MQ1 2025: −$150MQ2 2025: $2.2BQ3 2025: $1.9BQ4 2025: $503MQ1 2026: $4BQ2 2026: $3.1BQ3 2026: $986M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$986M-47%
Q2 2026$3.1B+40%
Q1 2026$4B+$4.1B
Q4 2025$503M-45%
Q3 2025$1.9B+184%
Q2 2025$2.2B+398%
Q1 2025-$150M-119%
Q4 2024$914M-37%

DELL has the edge over ORCL on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

ORCL Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$937MQ1 2024: $3.8BQ2 2024: $3.3BQ3 2024: $5.1BQ4 2024: −$2.7BQ1 2025: $71MQ2 2025: −$2.9BQ3 2025: −$362MQ4 2025: −$10BQ1 2026: −$11.5BQ2 2026: −$1.9BQ3 2026: −$5.4B
Q4 2023: −$937MQ1 2024: $3.8BQ2 2024: $3.3BQ3 2024: $5.1BQ4 2024: −$2.7BQ1 2025: $71MQ2 2025: −$2.9BQ3 2025: −$362MQ4 2025: −$10BQ1 2026: −$11.5BQ2 2026: −$1.9BQ3 2026: −$5.4B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$5.4B-$5B
Q2 2026-$1.9B+$1.1B
Q1 2026-$11.5B-16275%
Q4 2025-$10B-$7.3B
Q3 2025-$362M-107%
Q2 2025-$2.9B-189%
Q1 2025$71M-98%
Q4 2024-$2.7B-$1.7B

ORCL has burned cash in seven of the last eight quarters: −$28.7B over the past year, against −$5.9B the year before.

DELL Total Shares

Q4 2023: 740MQ1 2024: 736MQ2 2024: 727MQ3 2024: 724MQ4 2024: 717MQ1 2025: 720MQ2 2025: 702MQ3 2025: 686MQ4 2025: 680MQ1 2026: 684MQ2 2026: 656MQ3 2026: 652M
Q4 2023: 740MQ1 2024: 736MQ2 2024: 727MQ3 2024: 724MQ4 2024: 717MQ1 2025: 720MQ2 2025: 702MQ3 2025: 686MQ4 2025: 680MQ1 2026: 684MQ2 2026: 656MQ3 2026: 652M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.6%-4M shares
1 year-5%-34M shares
3 years-12%-86M shares
5 years-58%-899M shares
Available history-56%-828M shares

DELL has the edge over ORCL on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

ORCL Total Shares

Q4 2023: 2.8BQ1 2024: 2.8BQ2 2024: 2.8BQ3 2024: 2.9BQ4 2024: 2.9BQ1 2025: 2.9BQ2 2025: 2.9BQ3 2025: 2.9BQ4 2025: 2.9BQ1 2026: 2.9BQ2 2026: 2.9BQ3 2026: 3B
Q4 2023: 2.8BQ1 2024: 2.8BQ2 2024: 2.8BQ3 2024: 2.9BQ4 2024: 2.9BQ1 2025: 2.9BQ2 2025: 2.9BQ3 2025: 2.9BQ4 2025: 2.9BQ1 2026: 2.9BQ2 2026: 2.9BQ3 2026: 3B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+3%+86M shares
1 year+3.1%+91M shares
3 years+6.3%+177M shares
5 years+4.9%+139M shares
Available history-9.9%-331M shares

ORCL has 3B diluted shares, up 3.1% from a year ago.

DELL Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 2.2xQ1 2024: 2.2xQ2 2024: 2.4xQ3 2024: 2.4xQ4 2024: 2.3xQ1 2025: 2.3xQ2 2025: 2.2xQ3 2025: 2.1xQ4 2025: 2.1xQ1 2026: 1.8xQ2 2026: 1.4xQ3 2026: 1.3x
Q4 2023: 2.2xQ1 2024: 2.2xQ2 2024: 2.4xQ3 2024: 2.4xQ4 2024: 2.3xQ1 2025: 2.3xQ2 2025: 2.2xQ3 2025: 2.1xQ4 2025: 2.1xQ1 2026: 1.8xQ2 2026: 1.4xQ3 2026: 1.3x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20261.3xHealthy
Q2 20261.4xHealthy
Q1 20261.8xHealthy
Q4 20252.1xModerate
Q3 20252.1xModerate
Q2 20252.2xModerate
Q1 20252.3xModerate
Q4 20242.3xModerate

DELL's net debt is about 1.3 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from 2.1 years a year ago.

ORCL Net Leverage

Q4 2023: -0.1xQ1 2024: -0.2xQ2 2024: 4.1xQ3 2024: -0.1xQ4 2024: 0.2xQ1 2025: 0.2xQ2 2025: 3.7xQ3 2025: -0.1xQ4 2025: 0.3xQ1 2026: 0.5xQ2 2026: 3.5xQ3 2026: -0.9x
Q4 2023: -0.1xQ1 2024: -0.2xQ2 2024: 4.1xQ3 2024: -0.1xQ4 2024: 0.2xQ1 2025: 0.2xQ2 2025: 3.7xQ3 2025: -0.1xQ4 2025: 0.3xQ1 2026: 0.5xQ2 2026: 3.5xQ3 2026: -0.9x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-0.9xNet Cash
Q2 20263.5xElevated
Q1 20260.5xVery low
Q4 20250.3xVery low
Q3 2025-0.1xNet Cash
Q2 20253.7xElevated
Q1 20250.2xVery low
Q4 20240.2xVery low

ORCL has the edge over DELL on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

DELL Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI45.4Neutral
Stochastic17.5Oversold

DELL's weekly RSI is 45 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 18 (oversold).

ORCL Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI41.9Neutral
Stochastic23.0Neutral

ORCL's weekly RSI is 42 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 23 (neutral).

DELL PE vs Technology Sector

MetricDELLSector medianRelative
PE22x28x23% below
PE %663531 pts above

DELL is trading at 22x earnings, a 23% discount to the Technology sector's median of 28x.

ORCL PE vs Technology Sector

MetricORCLSector medianRelative
PE20x28x28% below
PE %28357 pts below

ORCL has the edge over DELL on valuation relative to its sector.

DELL Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$468.021% below
20 week MA$465.720% below
50 week MA$307.321% above
100 week MA$212.974% above
200 week MA$149.7148% above

DELL has the edge over ORCL on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

ORCL Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$131.13.1% below
20 week MA$137.67.7% below
50 week MA$160.321% below
100 week MA$181.430% below
200 week MA$151.916% below

ORCL is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 16% below its 200-week average.

DELL Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$25.8$37.0+43%
2021$37.0$55.9+51%
2022$55.9$39.1-30%
2023$39.1$76.5+96%
2024$76.5$117.3+53%
2025$117.3$129.2+10%
2026 YTD$129.2$371.2+187%

DELL has the edge over ORCL on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

ORCL Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$53.5$65.0+22%
2021$65.0$89.7+38%
2022$89.7$80.9-9.9%
2023$80.9$105.4+30%
2024$105.4$169.0+60%
2025$169.0$198.0+17%
2026 YTD$198.0$127.1-36%

ORCL is down 36% so far in 2026, after finishing higher in five of the previous six years.

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