DE

Deere & Company

57
Fundamentals59/ 100
Valuation27/ 100
Upside potential67/ 100
Risk potential12/ 100

DE's fundamentals are mixed: it turned 13% of its revenue into free cash flow, while its operating margin held steady at 13%. Its PE of 38x looks cheaper than it really is, because one-off gains boosted its recent earnings. Analysts expect strong earnings growth, though they disagree widely on how much.

DE Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Healthy
Stable
Healthy

DE's profitability and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its revenue and cash flow are stable.

DE PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE10x20x30x40x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE10x20x30x40x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap13x$235-65%
Fair20x$352-48%
Expensive31x$554-18%
Forward31x$679—
Current38x$679—

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

DE's PE is in its expensive range at 38x, but its recent earnings include one-off gains. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 31x next year's earnings.

DE Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Improving
Strong growth
Growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Low

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for DE, with profitability improving. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

DE Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+25%$850.45
Downside-12%$594.11

Calculated from the latest close: $678.79 on Nov 12.

DE's one-year upside scenario is about twice its downside: +25% against −12%.

DE Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $34.63Q1 2024: $34.31Q2 2024: $33.19Q3 2024: $29.28Q4 2024: $25.62Q1 2025: $22.58Q2 2025: $20.69Q3 2025: $19.15Q4 2025: $18.50Q1 2026: $17.73Q2 2026: $17.64Q3 2026: $17.99Forward: $22.21
Q4 2023: $34.63Q1 2024: $34.31Q2 2024: $33.19Q3 2024: $29.28Q4 2024: $25.62Q1 2025: $22.58Q2 2025: $20.69Q3 2025: $19.15Q4 2025: $18.50Q1 2026: $17.73Q2 2026: $17.64Q3 2026: $17.99Forward: $22.21
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$22.21+23%
Q3 2026$17.99-6.1%
Q2 2026$17.64-15%
Q1 2026$17.73-21%
Q4 2025$18.50-28%
Q3 2025$19.15-35%
Q2 2025$20.69-38%
Q1 2025$22.58-34%
Q4 2024$25.62-26%

DE's earnings per share have fallen from their peak: $17.99 over the past year, against $34.63 in late 2023. Its recent earnings include one-off gains.

DE Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $15.4BQ1 2024: $12.2BQ2 2024: $15.2BQ3 2024: $13.2BQ4 2024: $11.1BQ1 2025: $8.5BQ2 2025: $12.8BQ3 2025: $12BQ4 2025: $12.4BQ1 2026: $9.6BQ2 2026: $13.4BQ3 2026: $12.6B
Q4 2023: $15.4BQ1 2024: $12.2BQ2 2024: $15.2BQ3 2024: $13.2BQ4 2024: $11.1BQ1 2025: $8.5BQ2 2025: $12.8BQ3 2025: $12BQ4 2025: $12.4BQ1 2026: $9.6BQ2 2026: $13.4BQ3 2026: $12.6B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$12.6B+4.9%
Q2 2026$13.4B+4.7%
Q1 2026$9.6B+13%
Q4 2025$12.4B+11%
Q3 2025$12B-8.6%
Q2 2025$12.8B-16%
Q1 2025$8.5B-30%
Q4 2024$11.1B-28%

DE's revenue has grown year over year for four quarters in a row: $12.6B last quarter, up 4.9% from the same quarter a year ago.

DE Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $5.1BQ1 2024: −$1.3BQ2 2024: $1.5BQ3 2024: $2.9BQ4 2024: $4.5BQ1 2025: −$1.5BQ2 2025: $1.5BQ3 2025: $2.6BQ4 2025: $3.5BQ1 2026: −$1.1BQ2 2026: $1.7BQ3 2026: $1.9B
Q4 2023: $5.1BQ1 2024: −$1.3BQ2 2024: $1.5BQ3 2024: $2.9BQ4 2024: $4.5BQ1 2025: −$1.5BQ2 2025: $1.5BQ3 2025: $2.6BQ4 2025: $3.5BQ1 2026: −$1.1BQ2 2026: $1.7BQ3 2026: $1.9B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$1.9B-25%
Q2 2026$1.7B+16%
Q1 2026-$1.1B+$338M
Q4 2025$3.5B-22%
Q3 2025$2.6B-9.5%
Q2 2025$1.5B+0.1%
Q1 2025-$1.5B-$214M
Q4 2024$4.5B-12%

DE generated $6B in free cash flow over the past year, down 15% from the year before.

DE Total Shares

Q4 2023: 294MQ1 2024: 281MQ2 2024: 278MQ3 2024: 276MQ4 2024: 277MQ1 2025: 272MQ2 2025: 272MQ3 2025: 271MQ4 2025: 272MQ1 2026: 271MQ2 2026: 271MQ3 2026: 271M
Q4 2023: 294MQ1 2024: 281MQ2 2024: 278MQ3 2024: 276MQ4 2024: 277MQ1 2025: 272MQ2 2025: 272MQ3 2025: 271MQ4 2025: 272MQ1 2026: 271MQ2 2026: 271MQ3 2026: 271M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly0%-100K shares
1 year-0.3%-700K shares
3 years-7.3%-21.4M shares
5 years-14%-42.7M shares
Available history-16%-49.9M shares

DE has 271M diluted shares, about the same as a year ago.

DE Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 1.2xQ1 2024: 1.2xQ2 2024: 1.4xQ3 2024: 1.3xQ4 2024: 1.3xQ1 2025: 1.4xQ2 2025: 1.7xQ3 2025: 1.6xQ4 2025: 1.4xQ1 2026: 1.6xQ2 2026: 1.6xQ3 2026: 1.6x
Q4 2023: 1.2xQ1 2024: 1.2xQ2 2024: 1.4xQ3 2024: 1.3xQ4 2024: 1.3xQ1 2025: 1.4xQ2 2025: 1.7xQ3 2025: 1.6xQ4 2025: 1.4xQ1 2026: 1.6xQ2 2026: 1.6xQ3 2026: 1.6x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20261.6xHealthy
Q2 20261.6xHealthy
Q1 20261.6xHealthy
Q4 20251.4xHealthy
Q3 20251.6xHealthy
Q2 20251.7xHealthy
Q1 20251.4xHealthy
Q4 20241.3xHealthy

DE's net debt is about 1.6 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), about the same as a year ago.

DE Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI58.8Neutral
Stochastic67.7Neutral

DE's weekly RSI is 59 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 68 (neutral).

DE PE vs Industrials Sector

MetricDESector medianRelative
PE38x24x57% above
PE %995841 pts above

DE is trading at 38x earnings, a 57% premium to the Industrials sector's median of 24x, though its recent earnings include one-off gains.

DE Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$664.02.2% above
20 week MA$645.05.2% above
50 week MA$591.315% above
100 week MA$534.927% above
200 week MA$464.146% above

DE is in an uptrend: it's above all five of its weekly moving averages, and 46% above its 200-week average.

DE Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$175.8$269.2+53%
2021$269.2$349.2+30%
2022$349.2$436.9+25%
2023$436.9$399.9-8.5%
2024$399.9$430.1+7.5%
2025$430.1$468.9+9%
2026 YTD$468.9$678.8+45%

DE has finished higher in five of the last six years. It's up 45% so far in 2026.

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