DDOG
Datadog, Inc.
DDOG has the edge over STX overall, supported by stronger valuation.
STX
Seagate Technology Holdings plc
STX has slightly lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.
DDOG Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Strong | |
| Healthy | |
| Strong | |
| Strong |
DDOG's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.
STX Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Strong | |
| Strong | |
| Strong | |
| Strong |
STX's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently strong.
DDOG PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Forward | 62x | $184 | — |
| Cheap | 251x | $181 | -2.1% |
| Current | 256x | $184 | — |
| Fair | 379x | $273 | +48% |
| Expensive | 621x | $447 | +142% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
DDOG has the edge over STX in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.
STX PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cheap | 9.9x | $188 | -65% |
| Forward | 12x | $545 | — |
| Fair | 17x | $318 | -42% |
| Current | 29x | $545 | — |
| Expensive | 43x | $823 | +51% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
STX's PE is in its expensive range at 29x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 12x next year's earnings, in its cheap range.
DDOG Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Strongly improving | |
| Strong growth | |
| Strong growth | |
| Stable | |
| Broad | |
| Low |
Analysts expect strong earnings and revenue growth for DDOG, with profitability holding steady. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.
STX Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Strongly improving | |
| Strong growth | |
| Strong growth | |
| Strongly improving | |
| Moderate | |
| Moderate |
STX has the edge over DDOG on the outlook, with more favorable profitability expectations.
DDOG Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $2.99 | +315% |
| Q3 2026 | $0.72 | +125% |
| Q2 2026 | $0.50 | +39% |
| Q1 2026 | $0.39 | -17% |
| Q4 2025 | $0.31 | -40% |
| Q3 2025 | $0.32 | -42% |
| Q2 2025 | $0.36 | -23% |
| Q1 2025 | $0.47 | +38% |
| Q4 2024 | $0.52 | +271% |
DDOG earned $0.72 per share over the past year, up 125% from the year before.
STX Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $46.99 | +147% |
| Q3 2026 | $19.06 | +145% |
| Q2 2026 | $13.90 | +105% |
| Q1 2026 | $10.54 | +51% |
| Q4 2025 | $8.84 | +60% |
| Q3 2025 | $7.79 | +101% |
| Q2 2025 | $6.77 | +328% |
| Q1 2025 | $6.96 | +$8.26 |
| Q4 2024 | $5.51 | +$9.02 |
STX has the edge over DDOG on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
DDOG Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $1.2B | +35% |
| Q2 2026 | $1.1B | +36% |
| Q1 2026 | $1B | +32% |
| Q4 2025 | $953.2M | +29% |
| Q3 2025 | $885.7M | +28% |
| Q2 2025 | $826.8M | +28% |
| Q1 2025 | $761.6M | +25% |
| Q4 2024 | $737.7M | +25% |
DDOG's revenue has grown year over year every quarter since late 2020: $1.2B last quarter, up 35% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 6.2% | +6.9 points |
| Q2 2026 | 0.5% | +4.8 points |
| Q1 2026 | 0.7% | +2.4 points |
| Q4 2025 | 1% | -0.3 points |
| Q3 2025 | -0.7% | -3.6 points |
| Q2 2025 | -4.3% | -6.3 points |
| Q1 2025 | -1.6% | -3.6 points |
| Q4 2024 | 1.3% | -3.4 points |
DDOG's operating margin was 6.2% last quarter, up 6.9 points from the same quarter a year ago, near the top of its range since 2019.
STX Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $4.2B | +61% |
| Q2 2026 | $3.6B | +48% |
| Q1 2026 | $3.1B | +44% |
| Q4 2025 | $2.8B | +22% |
| Q3 2025 | $2.6B | +21% |
| Q2 2025 | $2.4B | +30% |
| Q1 2025 | $2.2B | +31% |
| Q4 2024 | $2.3B | +50% |
STX has the edge over DDOG on sales, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 49% | +22 points |
| Q2 2026 | 43% | +20 points |
| Q1 2026 | 32% | +12 points |
| Q4 2025 | 30% | +8.9 points |
| Q3 2025 | 26% | +7.8 points |
| Q2 2025 | 23% | +6.6 points |
| Q1 2025 | 20% | +11 points |
| Q4 2024 | 21% | +13 points |
STX has the edge over DDOG on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
DDOG Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $279.1M | +19% |
| Q2 2026 | $306M | +65% |
| Q1 2026 | $323.3M | +23% |
| Q4 2025 | $318.2M | +24% |
| Q3 2025 | $234.7M | +6.5% |
| Q2 2025 | $184.9M | +16% |
| Q1 2025 | $262.8M | +33% |
| Q4 2024 | $257.5M | +23% |
DDOG's free cash flow has been positive every quarter for seven years: $1.2B over the past year, up 31% from the year before.
STX Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $1.5B | +246% |
| Q2 2026 | $1.1B | +163% |
| Q1 2026 | $953M | +341% |
| Q4 2025 | $607M | +305% |
| Q3 2025 | $427M | +1481% |
| Q2 2025 | $425M | +12% |
| Q1 2025 | $216M | +69% |
| Q4 2024 | $150M | +52% |
STX has the edge over DDOG on cash flow, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.
DDOG Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +1.1% | +4M shares |
| 1 year | +3.6% | +13M shares |
| 3 years | +6.7% | +23.7M shares |
| 5 years | +21% | +64.8M shares |
| Available history | +14% | +47.2M shares |
DDOG has 375M diluted shares, up 3.6% from a year ago.
STX Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +1.3% | +3M shares |
| 1 year | +2.7% | +6M shares |
| 3 years | +12% | +24M shares |
| 5 years | +0.4% | +1M shares |
| Available history | -12% | -33M shares |
STX has the edge over DDOG on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $400M |
| Q2 2026 | $117M |
| Q1 2026 | $30M |
| Q4 2025 | — |
| Q3 2025 | $29M |
| Q2 2024 | — |
| Q1 2024 | — |
| Q4 2023 | — |
STX spent $547M buying back its own shares over the past year.
DDOG Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 0.6x | Very low |
| Q2 2026 | 7.0x | High |
| Q1 2026 | 18.2x | High |
| Q4 2025 | 123.2x | High |
| Q3 2025 | 94.8x | High |
| Q2 2025 | 16.5x | High |
| Q1 2025 | 6.9x | High |
| Q4 2024 | 3.6x | Elevated |
DDOG's net debt is less than a year of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from more than 20 years a year ago.
STX Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 0.2x | Very low |
| Q2 2026 | 0.4x | Very low |
| Q1 2026 | 0.8x | Very low |
| Q4 2025 | 1.2x | Healthy |
| Q3 2025 | 1.6x | Healthy |
| Q2 2025 | 1.9x | Healthy |
| Q1 2025 | 2.3x | Moderate |
| Q4 2024 | 2.8x | Moderate |
STX has the edge over DDOG on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.
DDOG Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 42.5 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 16.7 | Oversold |
DDOG's weekly RSI is 43 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 17 (oversold).
STX Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 40.5 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 8.3 | Oversold |
STX's weekly RSI is 40 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 8 (oversold).
DDOG PE vs Technology Sector
| Metric | DDOG | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 256x | 28x | 820% above |
| PE % | 19 | 35 | 16 pts below |
DDOG is trading at 256x earnings, a 820% premium to the Technology sector's median of 28x.
STX PE vs Technology Sector
| Metric | STX | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 29x | 28x | 2.7% above |
| PE % | 75 | 35 | 40 pts above |
STX has the edge over DDOG on valuation relative to its sector.
DDOG Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $244.3 | 24% below |
| 20 week MA | $243.6 | 24% below |
| 50 week MA | $189.3 | 2.6% below |
| 100 week MA | $161.1 | 14% above |
| 200 week MA | $134.5 | 37% above |
DDOG has pulled back, but its long-term trend is still up: it's below its 8-, 20- and 50-week averages, but 37% above its 200-week average.
STX Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $683.6 | 20% below |
| 20 week MA | $785.0 | 31% below |
| 50 week MA | $630.7 | 14% below |
| 100 week MA | $387.3 | 41% above |
| 200 week MA | $234.4 | 133% above |
STX has pulled back, but its long-term trend is still up: it's below its 8-, 20- and 50-week averages, but 133% above its 200-week average.
DDOG Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $36.1 | $106.3 | +194% |
| 2021 | $106.3 | $180.4 | +70% |
| 2022 | $180.4 | $72.4 | -60% |
| 2023 | $72.4 | $121.4 | +68% |
| 2024 | $121.4 | $146.0 | +20% |
| 2025 | $146.0 | $138.3 | -5.3% |
| 2026 YTD | $138.3 | $184.5 | +33% |
DDOG's yearly returns have swung widely, from +194% in 2020 to −60% in 2022. It's up 33% so far in 2026.
STX Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $59.6 | $63.0 | +5.7% |
| 2021 | $63.0 | $111.4 | +77% |
| 2022 | $111.4 | $50.5 | -55% |
| 2023 | $50.5 | $85.4 | +69% |
| 2024 | $85.4 | $87.4 | +2.4% |
| 2025 | $87.4 | $286.2 | +228% |
| 2026 YTD | $286.2 | $545.1 | +90% |
STX has the edge over DDOG on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.