DDOG
Datadog, Inc.
DDOG has lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.
SMCI
Super Micro Computer, Inc.
SMCI has a slight edge over DDOG overall, supported by stronger valuation and stronger modeled upside.
DDOG Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Strong | |
| Healthy | |
| Strong | |
| Strong |
DDOG's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.
SMCI Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Strong | |
| Strong | |
| Weak | |
| Strong |
SMCI's revenue, profitability and balance sheet are currently strong, but its cash flow is weak.
DDOG PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Forward | 62x | $184 | — |
| Cheap | 251x | $181 | -2.1% |
| Current | 256x | $184 | — |
| Fair | 379x | $273 | +48% |
| Expensive | 621x | $447 | +142% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
DDOG's PE is in its cheap range at 256x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 62x next year's earnings.
SMCI PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Forward | 4.3x | $26.99 | — |
| Current | 5.7x | $26.99 | — |
| Cheap | 13x | $61.50 | +128% |
| Fair | 19x | $88.86 | +229% |
| Expensive | 26x | $125 | +363% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
SMCI has the edge over DDOG in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.
DDOG Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Strongly improving | |
| Strong growth | |
| Strong growth | |
| Stable | |
| Broad | |
| Low |
Analysts expect strong earnings and revenue growth for DDOG, with profitability holding steady. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.
SMCI Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Strongly improving | |
| Strong growth | |
| Strong growth | |
| Improving | |
| Moderate | |
| Low |
SMCI has the edge over DDOG on the outlook, with more favorable profitability expectations.
DDOG Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $2.99 | +315% |
| Q3 2026 | $0.72 | +125% |
| Q2 2026 | $0.50 | +39% |
| Q1 2026 | $0.39 | -17% |
| Q4 2025 | $0.31 | -40% |
| Q3 2025 | $0.32 | -42% |
| Q2 2025 | $0.36 | -23% |
| Q1 2025 | $0.47 | +38% |
| Q4 2024 | $0.52 | +271% |
DDOG earned $0.72 per share over the past year, up 125% from the year before.
SMCI Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $6.22 | +31% |
| Q3 2026 | $4.75 | +274% |
| Q2 2026 | $3.26 | +94% |
| Q1 2026 | $1.91 | +4.4% |
| Q4 2025 | $1.36 | -41% |
| Q3 2025 | $1.27 | -45% |
| Q2 2025 | $1.68 | -13% |
| Q1 2025 | $1.83 | +2.8% |
| Q4 2024 | $2.32 | +81% |
SMCI's earnings per share have jumped to their highest in seven years: $4.75 over the past year, up from $1.27 the year before.
DDOG Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $1.2B | +35% |
| Q2 2026 | $1.1B | +36% |
| Q1 2026 | $1B | +32% |
| Q4 2025 | $953.2M | +29% |
| Q3 2025 | $885.7M | +28% |
| Q2 2025 | $826.8M | +28% |
| Q1 2025 | $761.6M | +25% |
| Q4 2024 | $737.7M | +25% |
DDOG's revenue has grown year over year every quarter since late 2020: $1.2B last quarter, up 35% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 6.2% | +6.9 points |
| Q2 2026 | 0.5% | +4.8 points |
| Q1 2026 | 0.7% | +2.4 points |
| Q4 2025 | 1% | -0.3 points |
| Q3 2025 | -0.7% | -3.6 points |
| Q2 2025 | -4.3% | -6.3 points |
| Q1 2025 | -1.6% | -3.6 points |
| Q4 2024 | 1.3% | -3.4 points |
DDOG's operating margin was 6.2% last quarter, up 6.9 points from the same quarter a year ago, near the top of its range since 2019.
SMCI Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $19.9B | +298% |
| Q2 2026 | $11.1B | +93% |
| Q1 2026 | $10.2B | +123% |
| Q4 2025 | $12.7B | +123% |
| Q3 2025 | $5B | -15% |
| Q2 2025 | $5.8B | +7.5% |
| Q1 2025 | $4.6B | +19% |
| Q4 2024 | $5.7B | +55% |
SMCI's revenue has grown year over year for four quarters in a row: $19.9B last quarter, up 298% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 10% | +6.7 points |
| Q2 2026 | 13% | +9.4 points |
| Q1 2026 | 6.1% | +2.9 points |
| Q4 2025 | 3.7% | -2.8 points |
| Q3 2025 | 3.6% | -5 points |
| Q2 2025 | 4% | -1.4 points |
| Q1 2025 | 3.2% | -6.6 points |
| Q4 2024 | 6.5% | -3.7 points |
SMCI has the edge over DDOG on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
DDOG Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $279.1M | +19% |
| Q2 2026 | $306M | +65% |
| Q1 2026 | $323.3M | +23% |
| Q4 2025 | $318.2M | +24% |
| Q3 2025 | $234.7M | +6.5% |
| Q2 2025 | $184.9M | +16% |
| Q1 2025 | $262.8M | +33% |
| Q4 2024 | $257.5M | +23% |
DDOG has the edge over SMCI on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.
SMCI Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -$475.6M | +$474.2M |
| Q2 2026 | $718.7M | -15% |
| Q1 2026 | -$6.7B | -1227% |
| Q4 2025 | -$45.1M | +$222.2M |
| Q3 2025 | -$949.8M | -360% |
| Q2 2025 | $840.9M | +$1.5B |
| Q1 2025 | $594.1M | +$2.2B |
| Q4 2024 | -$267.3M | +$342.5M |
SMCI's free cash flow was −$6.5B over the past year, against $218M the year before.
DDOG Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +1.1% | +4M shares |
| 1 year | +3.6% | +13M shares |
| 3 years | +6.7% | +23.7M shares |
| 5 years | +21% | +64.8M shares |
| Available history | +14% | +47.2M shares |
DDOG has the edge over SMCI on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
SMCI Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +7.5% | +52M shares |
| 1 year | +13% | +86.1M shares |
| 3 years | +31% | +178M shares |
| 5 years | +42% | +220M shares |
| Available history | +44% | +229M shares |
SMCI has 749M diluted shares, up 13% from a year ago.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q2 2024 | — |
| Q2 2022 | — |
| Q1 2022 | — |
| Q4 2021 | — |
| Q3 2021 | — |
| Q2 2021 | $12M |
| Q1 2021 | $43.1M |
| Q4 2020 | $46.4M |
DDOG Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 0.6x | Very low |
| Q2 2026 | 7.0x | High |
| Q1 2026 | 18.2x | High |
| Q4 2025 | 123.2x | High |
| Q3 2025 | 94.8x | High |
| Q2 2025 | 16.5x | High |
| Q1 2025 | 6.9x | High |
| Q4 2024 | 3.6x | Elevated |
DDOG's net debt is less than a year of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from more than 20 years a year ago.
SMCI Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -0.5x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2026 | -1.0x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2026 | 2.2x | Moderate |
| Q4 2025 | 0.5x | Very low |
| Q3 2025 | 0.5x | Very low |
| Q2 2025 | -0.4x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2025 | -0.1x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2024 | 0.2x | Very low |
SMCI has the edge over DDOG on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.
DDOG Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 42.5 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 16.7 | Oversold |
DDOG's weekly RSI is 43 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 17 (oversold).
SMCI Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 40.8 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 19.1 | Oversold |
SMCI's weekly RSI is 41 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 19 (oversold).
DDOG PE vs Technology Sector
| Metric | DDOG | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 256x | 28x | 820% above |
| PE % | 19 | 35 | 16 pts below |
DDOG is trading at 256x earnings, a 820% premium to the Technology sector's median of 28x.
SMCI PE vs Technology Sector
| Metric | SMCI | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 5.7x | 28x | 80% below |
| PE % | 0 | 35 | 35 pts below |
SMCI has the edge over DDOG on valuation relative to its sector.
DDOG Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $244.3 | 24% below |
| 20 week MA | $243.6 | 24% below |
| 50 week MA | $189.3 | 2.6% below |
| 100 week MA | $161.1 | 14% above |
| 200 week MA | $134.5 | 37% above |
DDOG has the edge over SMCI on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.
SMCI Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $35.3 | 23% below |
| 20 week MA | $34.2 | 21% below |
| 50 week MA | $32.3 | 17% below |
| 100 week MA | $36.9 | 27% below |
| 200 week MA | $39.8 | 32% below |
SMCI is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 32% below its 200-week average.
DDOG Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $36.1 | $106.3 | +194% |
| 2021 | $106.3 | $180.4 | +70% |
| 2022 | $180.4 | $72.4 | -60% |
| 2023 | $72.4 | $121.4 | +68% |
| 2024 | $121.4 | $146.0 | +20% |
| 2025 | $146.0 | $138.3 | -5.3% |
| 2026 YTD | $138.3 | $184.5 | +33% |
DDOG has the edge over SMCI on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.
SMCI Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $2.41 | $3.05 | +27% |
| 2021 | $3.05 | $4.27 | +40% |
| 2022 | $4.27 | $8.22 | +93% |
| 2023 | $8.22 | $28.4 | +246% |
| 2024 | $28.4 | $32.0 | +12% |
| 2025 | $32.0 | $30.6 | -4.2% |
| 2026 YTD | $30.6 | $27.0 | -12% |
SMCI has finished higher in five of the last six years, two of them by more than 50%. It's down 12% so far in 2026.