DDOG

Datadog, Inc.

83
Fundamentals88/ 100
Valuation78/ 100
Upside potential85/ 100
Risk potential17/ 100

DDOG has the edge over SHOP overall, supported by stronger valuation and stronger modeled upside.

SHOP

Shopify Inc.

75
Fundamentals81/ 100
Valuation66/ 100
Upside potential73/ 100
Risk potential23/ 100

SHOP's outlook is improving, though it still trails on the overall score.

DDOG Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Healthy
Strong
Strong

DDOG's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.

SHOP Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Healthy
Strong
Strong

SHOP's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.

DDOG PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE2520x5041x7561x10082x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE2520x5041x7561x10082x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward62x$184—
Cheap251x$181-2.1%
Current256x$184—
Fair379x$273+48%
Expensive621x$447+142%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

DDOG has the edge over SHOP in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

SHOP PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE247x494x742x989x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE247x494x742x989x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward67x$147—
Cheap78x$129-12%
Current89x$147—
Fair107x$177+21%
Expensive338x$557+280%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

SHOP's PE is in its cheap range at 89x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 67x next year's earnings.

DDOG Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Strong growth
Stable
Broad
Low

Analysts expect strong earnings and revenue growth for DDOG, with profitability holding steady. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

SHOP Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Strong growth
Stable
Moderate
Low

Analysts expect strong earnings and revenue growth for SHOP, with profitability holding steady. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

DDOG Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+95%$358.84
Downside-17%$153.66

Calculated from the latest close: $184.46 on Nov 12.

DDOG has a better modeled risk to reward balance than SHOP, with more potential upside and less potential downside.

SHOP Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+62%$237.14
Downside-23%$113.00

Calculated from the latest close: $146.78 on Nov 12.

SHOP trails DDOG on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside and more potential downside.

DDOG Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $0.14Q1 2024: $0.34Q2 2024: $0.47Q3 2024: $0.55Q4 2024: $0.52Q1 2025: $0.47Q2 2025: $0.36Q3 2025: $0.32Q4 2025: $0.31Q1 2026: $0.39Q2 2026: $0.50Q3 2026: $0.72Forward: $2.99
Q4 2023: $0.14Q1 2024: $0.34Q2 2024: $0.47Q3 2024: $0.55Q4 2024: $0.52Q1 2025: $0.47Q2 2025: $0.36Q3 2025: $0.32Q4 2025: $0.31Q1 2026: $0.39Q2 2026: $0.50Q3 2026: $0.72Forward: $2.99
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$2.99+315%
Q3 2026$0.72+125%
Q2 2026$0.50+39%
Q1 2026$0.39-17%
Q4 2025$0.31-40%
Q3 2025$0.32-42%
Q2 2025$0.36-23%
Q1 2025$0.47+38%
Q4 2024$0.52+271%

DDOG earned $0.72 per share over the past year, up 125% from the year before.

SHOP Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $0.09Q1 2024: $-0.17Q2 2024: $0.98Q3 2024: $1.07Q4 2024: $1.56Q1 2025: $1.24Q2 2025: $1.80Q3 2025: $1.36Q4 2025: $0.94Q1 2026: $1.02Q2 2026: $1.49Q3 2026: $1.65Forward: $2.20
Q4 2023: $0.09Q1 2024: $-0.17Q2 2024: $0.98Q3 2024: $1.07Q4 2024: $1.56Q1 2025: $1.24Q2 2025: $1.80Q3 2025: $1.36Q4 2025: $0.94Q1 2026: $1.02Q2 2026: $1.49Q3 2026: $1.65Forward: $2.20
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$2.20+33%
Q3 2026$1.65+21%
Q2 2026$1.49-17%
Q1 2026$1.02-18%
Q4 2025$0.94-40%
Q3 2025$1.36+27%
Q2 2025$1.80+84%
Q1 2025$1.24+$1.41
Q4 2024$1.56+1633%

SHOP has the edge over DDOG on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

DDOG Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $590MQ1 2024: $611MQ2 2024: $645MQ3 2024: $690MQ4 2024: $738MQ1 2025: $762MQ2 2025: $827MQ3 2025: $886MQ4 2025: $953MQ1 2026: $1BQ2 2026: $1.1BQ3 2026: $1.2B
Q4 2023: $590MQ1 2024: $611MQ2 2024: $645MQ3 2024: $690MQ4 2024: $738MQ1 2025: $762MQ2 2025: $827MQ3 2025: $886MQ4 2025: $953MQ1 2026: $1BQ2 2026: $1.1BQ3 2026: $1.2B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$1.2B+35%
Q2 2026$1.1B+36%
Q1 2026$1B+32%
Q4 2025$953.2M+29%
Q3 2025$885.7M+28%
Q2 2025$826.8M+28%
Q1 2025$761.6M+25%
Q4 2024$737.7M+25%

DDOG's revenue has grown year over year every quarter since late 2020: $1.2B last quarter, up 35% from the same quarter a year ago.

SHOP Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $2.1BQ1 2024: $1.9BQ2 2024: $2BQ3 2024: $2.2BQ4 2024: $2.8BQ1 2025: $2.4BQ2 2025: $2.7BQ3 2025: $2.8BQ4 2025: $3.7BQ1 2026: $3.2BQ2 2026: $3.6BQ3 2026: $3.7B
Q4 2023: $2.1BQ1 2024: $1.9BQ2 2024: $2BQ3 2024: $2.2BQ4 2024: $2.8BQ1 2025: $2.4BQ2 2025: $2.7BQ3 2025: $2.8BQ4 2025: $3.7BQ1 2026: $3.2BQ2 2026: $3.6BQ3 2026: $3.7B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$3.7B+32%
Q2 2026$3.6B+34%
Q1 2026$3.2B+34%
Q4 2025$3.7B+31%
Q3 2025$2.8B+32%
Q2 2025$2.7B+31%
Q1 2025$2.4B+27%
Q4 2024$2.8B+31%

SHOP has the edge over DDOG on sales, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.

DDOG Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $210MQ1 2024: $198MQ2 2024: $160MQ3 2024: $220MQ4 2024: $257MQ1 2025: $263MQ2 2025: $185MQ3 2025: $235MQ4 2025: $318MQ1 2026: $323MQ2 2026: $306MQ3 2026: $279M
Q4 2023: $210MQ1 2024: $198MQ2 2024: $160MQ3 2024: $220MQ4 2024: $257MQ1 2025: $263MQ2 2025: $185MQ3 2025: $235MQ4 2025: $318MQ1 2026: $323MQ2 2026: $306MQ3 2026: $279M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$279.1M+19%
Q2 2026$306M+65%
Q1 2026$323.3M+23%
Q4 2025$318.2M+24%
Q3 2025$234.7M+6.5%
Q2 2025$184.9M+16%
Q1 2025$262.8M+33%
Q4 2024$257.5M+23%

DDOG's free cash flow has been positive every quarter for seven years: $1.2B over the past year, up 31% from the year before.

SHOP Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $446MQ1 2024: $232MQ2 2024: $333MQ3 2024: $421MQ4 2024: $611MQ1 2025: $363MQ2 2025: $422MQ3 2025: $507MQ4 2025: $715MQ1 2026: $476MQ2 2026: $654MQ3 2026: $816M
Q4 2023: $446MQ1 2024: $232MQ2 2024: $333MQ3 2024: $421MQ4 2024: $611MQ1 2025: $363MQ2 2025: $422MQ3 2025: $507MQ4 2025: $715MQ1 2026: $476MQ2 2026: $654MQ3 2026: $816M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$816M+61%
Q2 2026$654M+55%
Q1 2026$476M+31%
Q4 2025$715M+17%
Q3 2025$507M+20%
Q2 2025$422M+27%
Q1 2025$363M+56%
Q4 2024$611M+37%

SHOP has the edge over DDOG on cash flow, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.

DDOG Total Shares

Q4 2023: 350MQ1 2024: 356MQ2 2024: 357MQ3 2024: 358MQ4 2024: 359MQ1 2025: 363MQ2 2025: 359MQ3 2025: 362MQ4 2025: 363MQ1 2026: 365MQ2 2026: 371MQ3 2026: 375M
Q4 2023: 350MQ1 2024: 356MQ2 2024: 357MQ3 2024: 358MQ4 2024: 359MQ1 2025: 363MQ2 2025: 359MQ3 2025: 362MQ4 2025: 363MQ1 2026: 365MQ2 2026: 371MQ3 2026: 375M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+1.1%+4M shares
1 year+3.6%+13M shares
3 years+6.7%+23.7M shares
5 years+21%+64.8M shares
Available history+14%+47.2M shares

DDOG has 375M diluted shares, up 3.6% from a year ago.

SHOP Total Shares

Q4 2023: 1.3BQ1 2024: 1.3BQ2 2024: 1.3BQ3 2024: 1.3BQ4 2024: 1.3BQ1 2025: 1.3BQ2 2025: 1.3BQ3 2025: 1.3BQ4 2025: 1.3BQ1 2026: 1.3BQ2 2026: 1.3BQ3 2026: 1.3B
Q4 2023: 1.3BQ1 2024: 1.3BQ2 2024: 1.3BQ3 2024: 1.3BQ4 2024: 1.3BQ1 2025: 1.3BQ2 2025: 1.3BQ3 2025: 1.3BQ4 2025: 1.3BQ1 2026: 1.3BQ2 2026: 1.3BQ3 2026: 1.3B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.6%-7.2M shares
1 year-1.7%-22.1M shares
3 years-0.4%-5.1M shares
5 years+1.1%+14.5M shares
Available history+11%+130M shares

SHOP has the edge over DDOG on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

DDOG Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 192.8xQ1 2024: 8.9xQ2 2024: 3.7xQ3 2024: 3.5xQ4 2024: 3.6xQ1 2025: 6.9xQ2 2025: 16.5xQ3 2025: 94.8xQ4 2025: 123.2xQ1 2026: 18.2xQ2 2026: 7.0xQ3 2026: 0.6x
Q4 2023: 192.8xQ1 2024: 8.9xQ2 2024: 3.7xQ3 2024: 3.5xQ4 2024: 3.6xQ1 2025: 6.9xQ2 2025: 16.5xQ3 2025: 94.8xQ4 2025: 123.2xQ1 2026: 18.2xQ2 2026: 7.0xQ3 2026: 0.6x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20260.6xVery low
Q2 20267.0xHigh
Q1 202618.2xHigh
Q4 2025123.2xHigh
Q3 202594.8xHigh
Q2 202516.5xHigh
Q1 20256.9xHigh
Q4 20243.6xElevated

DDOG's net debt is less than a year of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from more than 20 years a year ago.

SHOP Net Leverage

Q4 2023: -0.2xQ1 2024: -0.5xQ2 2024: -0.3xQ3 2024: -0.3xQ4 2024: -0.4xQ1 2025: -0.9xQ2 2025: -1.1xQ3 2025: -1.7xQ4 2025: -1.0xQ1 2026: -1.1xQ2 2026: -0.9xQ3 2026: -0.9x
Q4 2023: -0.2xQ1 2024: -0.5xQ2 2024: -0.3xQ3 2024: -0.3xQ4 2024: -0.4xQ1 2025: -0.9xQ2 2025: -1.1xQ3 2025: -1.7xQ4 2025: -1.0xQ1 2026: -1.1xQ2 2026: -0.9xQ3 2026: -0.9x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-0.9xNet Cash
Q2 2026-0.9xNet Cash
Q1 2026-1.1xNet Cash
Q4 2025-1.0xNet Cash
Q3 2025-1.7xNet Cash
Q2 2025-1.1xNet Cash
Q1 2025-0.9xNet Cash
Q4 2024-0.4xNet Cash

SHOP has the edge over DDOG on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

DDOG Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI42.5Neutral
Stochastic16.7Oversold

DDOG's weekly RSI is 43 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 17 (oversold).

SHOP Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI52.4Neutral
Stochastic51.5Neutral

SHOP's weekly RSI is 52 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 52 (neutral).

DDOG PE vs Technology Sector

MetricDDOGSector medianRelative
PE256x28x820% above
PE %193516 pts below

DDOG is trading at 256x earnings, a 820% premium to the Technology sector's median of 28x.

SHOP PE vs Technology Sector

MetricSHOPSector medianRelative
PE89x28x219% above
PE %29356 pts below

SHOP has the edge over DDOG on valuation relative to its sector.

DDOG Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$244.324% below
20 week MA$243.624% below
50 week MA$189.32.6% below
100 week MA$161.114% above
200 week MA$134.537% above

DDOG has pulled back, but its long-term trend is still up: it's below its 8-, 20- and 50-week averages, but 37% above its 200-week average.

SHOP Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$157.06.5% below
20 week MA$143.12.5% above
50 week MA$134.49.2% above
100 week MA$128.115% above
200 week MA$97.750% above

SHOP has the edge over DDOG on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

DDOG Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$36.1$106.3+194%
2021$106.3$180.4+70%
2022$180.4$72.4-60%
2023$72.4$121.4+68%
2024$121.4$146.0+20%
2025$146.0$138.3-5.3%
2026 YTD$138.3$184.5+33%

DDOG has the edge over SHOP on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

SHOP Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$40.8$122.6+200%
2021$122.6$143.9+17%
2022$143.9$33.7-77%
2023$33.7$77.9+131%
2024$77.9$108.2+39%
2025$108.2$170.8+58%
2026 YTD$170.8$146.8-14%

SHOP's yearly returns have swung widely, from +200% in 2020 to −77% in 2022. It's down 14% so far in 2026.

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