DDOG

Datadog, Inc.

83
Fundamentals88/ 100
Valuation78/ 100
Upside potential85/ 100
Risk potential17/ 100

DDOG has the edge over PYPL overall, supported by stronger fundamentals and stronger modeled upside.

PYPL

PayPal Holdings, Inc.

65
Fundamentals51/ 100
Valuation81/ 100
Upside potential66/ 100
Risk potential16/ 100

PYPL has slightly lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.

DDOG Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Healthy
Strong
Strong

DDOG's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.

PYPL Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Healthy
N/A
N/A

PYPL's profitability is currently healthy, and its revenue is stable. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like PYPL.

DDOG PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE2520x5041x7561x10082x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE2520x5041x7561x10082x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward62x$184—
Cheap251x$181-2.1%
Current256x$184—
Fair379x$273+48%
Expensive621x$447+142%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

DDOG's PE is in its cheap range at 256x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 62x next year's earnings.

PYPL PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE29x59x88x117x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE29x59x88x117x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward9.9x$58.30—
Current11x$58.30—
Cheap15x$76.16+31%
Fair26x$136+133%
Expensive67x$351+503%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

PYPL has the edge over DDOG in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

DDOG Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Strong growth
Stable
Broad
Moderate

Analysts expect strong earnings and revenue growth for DDOG, with profitability holding steady.

PYPL Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Improving
Growth
Stable
Improving
Moderate
High

Analysts expect PYPL's earnings to grow and its profitability to improve, with its revenue holding steady.

DDOG Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+95%$358.84
Downside-17%$153.66

Calculated from the latest close: $184.46 on Nov 12.

DDOG has a better modeled risk to reward balance than PYPL, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

PYPL Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+31%$76.35
Downside-16%$49.18

Calculated from the latest close: $58.30 on Nov 12.

PYPL trails DDOG on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

DDOG Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $0.14Q1 2024: $0.34Q2 2024: $0.47Q3 2024: $0.55Q4 2024: $0.52Q1 2025: $0.47Q2 2025: $0.36Q3 2025: $0.32Q4 2025: $0.31Q1 2026: $0.39Q2 2026: $0.50Q3 2026: $0.72Forward: $2.99
Q4 2023: $0.14Q1 2024: $0.34Q2 2024: $0.47Q3 2024: $0.55Q4 2024: $0.52Q1 2025: $0.47Q2 2025: $0.36Q3 2025: $0.32Q4 2025: $0.31Q1 2026: $0.39Q2 2026: $0.50Q3 2026: $0.72Forward: $2.99
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$2.99+315%
Q3 2026$0.72+125%
Q2 2026$0.50+39%
Q1 2026$0.39-17%
Q4 2025$0.31-40%
Q3 2025$0.32-42%
Q2 2025$0.36-23%
Q1 2025$0.47+38%
Q4 2024$0.52+271%

DDOG earned $0.72 per share over the past year, up 125% from the year before.

PYPL Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $3.84Q1 2024: $3.97Q2 2024: $4.13Q3 2024: $4.19Q4 2024: $3.99Q1 2025: $4.45Q2 2025: $4.66Q3 2025: $4.97Q4 2025: $5.41Q1 2026: $5.33Q2 2026: $5.29Q3 2026: $5.24Forward: $5.87
Q4 2023: $3.84Q1 2024: $3.97Q2 2024: $4.13Q3 2024: $4.19Q4 2024: $3.99Q1 2025: $4.45Q2 2025: $4.66Q3 2025: $4.97Q4 2025: $5.41Q1 2026: $5.33Q2 2026: $5.29Q3 2026: $5.24Forward: $5.87
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$5.87+12%
Q3 2026$5.24+5.4%
Q2 2026$5.29+14%
Q1 2026$5.33+20%
Q4 2025$5.41+36%
Q3 2025$4.97+19%
Q2 2025$4.66+13%
Q1 2025$4.45+12%
Q4 2024$3.99+3.9%

PYPL has the edge over DDOG on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

DDOG Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $590MQ1 2024: $611MQ2 2024: $645MQ3 2024: $690MQ4 2024: $738MQ1 2025: $762MQ2 2025: $827MQ3 2025: $886MQ4 2025: $953MQ1 2026: $1BQ2 2026: $1.1BQ3 2026: $1.2B
Q4 2023: $590MQ1 2024: $611MQ2 2024: $645MQ3 2024: $690MQ4 2024: $738MQ1 2025: $762MQ2 2025: $827MQ3 2025: $886MQ4 2025: $953MQ1 2026: $1BQ2 2026: $1.1BQ3 2026: $1.2B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$1.2B+35%
Q2 2026$1.1B+36%
Q1 2026$1B+32%
Q4 2025$953.2M+29%
Q3 2025$885.7M+28%
Q2 2025$826.8M+28%
Q1 2025$761.6M+25%
Q4 2024$737.7M+25%

DDOG has the edge over PYPL on sales, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.

PYPL Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $8BQ1 2024: $7.7BQ2 2024: $7.9BQ3 2024: $7.8BQ4 2024: $8.4BQ1 2025: $7.8BQ2 2025: $8.3BQ3 2025: $8.4BQ4 2025: $8.7BQ1 2026: $8.4BQ2 2026: $8.7BQ3 2026: $8.6B
Q4 2023: $8BQ1 2024: $7.7BQ2 2024: $7.9BQ3 2024: $7.8BQ4 2024: $8.4BQ1 2025: $7.8BQ2 2025: $8.3BQ3 2025: $8.4BQ4 2025: $8.7BQ1 2026: $8.4BQ2 2026: $8.7BQ3 2026: $8.6B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$8.6B+2%
Q2 2026$8.7B+4.8%
Q1 2026$8.4B+7.2%
Q4 2025$8.7B+3.7%
Q3 2025$8.4B+7.3%
Q2 2025$8.3B+5.1%
Q1 2025$7.8B+1.2%
Q4 2024$8.4B+4.2%

PYPL's revenue has grown year over year every quarter since late 2020: $8.6B last quarter, up 2% from the same quarter a year ago.

DDOG Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $210MQ1 2024: $198MQ2 2024: $160MQ3 2024: $220MQ4 2024: $257MQ1 2025: $263MQ2 2025: $185MQ3 2025: $235MQ4 2025: $318MQ1 2026: $323MQ2 2026: $306MQ3 2026: $279M
Q4 2023: $210MQ1 2024: $198MQ2 2024: $160MQ3 2024: $220MQ4 2024: $257MQ1 2025: $263MQ2 2025: $185MQ3 2025: $235MQ4 2025: $318MQ1 2026: $323MQ2 2026: $306MQ3 2026: $279M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$279.1M+19%
Q2 2026$306M+65%
Q1 2026$323.3M+23%
Q4 2025$318.2M+24%
Q3 2025$234.7M+6.5%
Q2 2025$184.9M+16%
Q1 2025$262.8M+33%
Q4 2024$257.5M+23%

DDOG has the edge over PYPL on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

PYPL Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $2.5BQ1 2024: $1.8BQ2 2024: $1.4BQ3 2024: $1.4BQ4 2024: $2.2BQ1 2025: $964MQ2 2025: $692MQ3 2025: $1.7BQ4 2025: $2.2BQ1 2026: $903MQ2 2026: $1.8BQ3 2026: $1.4B
Q4 2023: $2.5BQ1 2024: $1.8BQ2 2024: $1.4BQ3 2024: $1.4BQ4 2024: $2.2BQ1 2025: $964MQ2 2025: $692MQ3 2025: $1.7BQ4 2025: $2.2BQ1 2026: $903MQ2 2026: $1.8BQ3 2026: $1.4B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$1.4B-17%
Q2 2026$1.8B+157%
Q1 2026$903M-6.3%
Q4 2025$2.2B0%
Q3 2025$1.7B+19%
Q2 2025$692M-49%
Q1 2025$964M-45%
Q4 2024$2.2B-11%

PYPL's free cash flow was $6.3B over the past year, up 13% from the year before. Free cash flow isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like PYPL.

DDOG Total Shares

Q4 2023: 350MQ1 2024: 356MQ2 2024: 357MQ3 2024: 358MQ4 2024: 359MQ1 2025: 363MQ2 2025: 359MQ3 2025: 362MQ4 2025: 363MQ1 2026: 365MQ2 2026: 371MQ3 2026: 375M
Q4 2023: 350MQ1 2024: 356MQ2 2024: 357MQ3 2024: 358MQ4 2024: 359MQ1 2025: 363MQ2 2025: 359MQ3 2025: 362MQ4 2025: 363MQ1 2026: 365MQ2 2026: 371MQ3 2026: 375M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+1.1%+4M shares
1 year+3.6%+13M shares
3 years+6.7%+23.7M shares
5 years+21%+64.8M shares
Available history+14%+47.2M shares

DDOG has 375M diluted shares, up 3.6% from a year ago.

PYPL Total Shares

Q4 2023: 1.1BQ1 2024: 1.1BQ2 2024: 1BQ3 2024: 1BQ4 2024: 1BQ1 2025: 999MQ2 2025: 977MQ3 2025: 960MQ4 2025: 968MQ1 2026: 920MQ2 2026: 882MQ3 2026: 858M
Q4 2023: 1.1BQ1 2024: 1.1BQ2 2024: 1BQ3 2024: 1BQ4 2024: 1BQ1 2025: 999MQ2 2025: 977MQ3 2025: 960MQ4 2025: 968MQ1 2026: 920MQ2 2026: 882MQ3 2026: 858M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-2.7%-24M shares
1 year-11%-102M shares
3 years-22%-240M shares
5 years-28%-329M shares
Available history-28%-329M shares

PYPL has the edge over DDOG on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

DDOG Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 192.8xQ1 2024: 8.9xQ2 2024: 3.7xQ3 2024: 3.5xQ4 2024: 3.6xQ1 2025: 6.9xQ2 2025: 16.5xQ3 2025: 94.8xQ4 2025: 123.2xQ1 2026: 18.2xQ2 2026: 7.0xQ3 2026: 0.6x
Q4 2023: 192.8xQ1 2024: 8.9xQ2 2024: 3.7xQ3 2024: 3.5xQ4 2024: 3.6xQ1 2025: 6.9xQ2 2025: 16.5xQ3 2025: 94.8xQ4 2025: 123.2xQ1 2026: 18.2xQ2 2026: 7.0xQ3 2026: 0.6x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20260.6xVery low
Q2 20267.0xHigh
Q1 202618.2xHigh
Q4 2025123.2xHigh
Q3 202594.8xHigh
Q2 202516.5xHigh
Q1 20256.9xHigh
Q4 20243.6xElevated

DDOG has the edge over PYPL on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

PYPL Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 0.1xQ1 2024: -0.0xQ2 2024: 0.3xQ3 2024: 0.4xQ4 2024: 0.5xQ1 2025: 0.6xQ2 2025: 0.7xQ3 2025: 0.3xQ4 2025: 0.3xQ1 2026: 0.4xQ2 2026: 0.7xQ3 2026: 0.9x
Q4 2023: 0.1xQ1 2024: -0.0xQ2 2024: 0.3xQ3 2024: 0.4xQ4 2024: 0.5xQ1 2025: 0.6xQ2 2025: 0.7xQ3 2025: 0.3xQ4 2025: 0.3xQ1 2026: 0.4xQ2 2026: 0.7xQ3 2026: 0.9x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20260.9xVery low
Q2 20260.7xVery low
Q1 20260.4xVery low
Q4 20250.3xVery low
Q3 20250.3xVery low
Q2 20250.7xVery low
Q1 20250.6xVery low
Q4 20240.5xVery low

PYPL's net debt is less than a year of its operating earnings (EBITDA). Net leverage isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like PYPL.

DDOG Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI42.5Neutral
Stochastic16.7Oversold

DDOG's weekly RSI is 43 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 17 (oversold).

PYPL Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI58.2Neutral
Stochastic61.9Neutral

PYPL's weekly RSI is 58 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 62 (neutral).

DDOG PE vs Technology Sector

MetricDDOGSector medianRelative
PE256x28x820% above
PE %193516 pts below

DDOG is trading at 256x earnings, a 820% premium to the Technology sector's median of 28x.

PYPL PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricPYPLSector medianRelative
PE11x13x15% below
PE %106353 pts below

PYPL has the edge over DDOG on valuation relative to its sector.

DDOG Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$244.324% below
20 week MA$243.624% below
50 week MA$189.32.6% below
100 week MA$161.114% above
200 week MA$134.537% above

DDOG has pulled back, but its long-term trend is still up: it's below its 8-, 20- and 50-week averages, but 37% above its 200-week average.

PYPL Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$56.53.3% above
20 week MA$55.55% above
50 week MA$51.513% above
100 week MA$61.65.4% below
200 week MA$64.59.6% below

PYPL has the edge over DDOG on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

DDOG Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$36.1$106.3+194%
2021$106.3$180.4+70%
2022$180.4$72.4-60%
2023$72.4$121.4+68%
2024$121.4$146.0+20%
2025$146.0$138.3-5.3%
2026 YTD$138.3$184.5+33%

DDOG has the edge over PYPL on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

PYPL Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$109.4$238.6+118%
2021$238.6$192.0-20%
2022$192.0$69.0-64%
2023$69.0$61.4-11%
2024$61.4$86.9+41%
2025$86.9$60.0-31%
2026 YTD$60.0$58.3-2.8%

PYPL's yearly returns have swung widely, from +118% in 2020 to −64% in 2022. It's down 2.8% so far in 2026.

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