DDOG
Datadog, Inc.
DDOG has the edge over MSFT overall, supported by stronger fundamentals and stronger modeled upside.
MSFT
Microsoft Corporation
MSFT has lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.
DDOG Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Strong | |
| Healthy | |
| Strong | |
| Strong |
DDOG's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.
MSFT Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Healthy | |
| Strong | |
| Healthy | |
| Strong |
MSFT's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.
DDOG PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Forward | 62x | $184 | — |
| Cheap | 251x | $181 | -2.1% |
| Current | 256x | $184 | — |
| Fair | 379x | $273 | +48% |
| Expensive | 621x | $447 | +142% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
DDOG's PE is in its cheap range at 256x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 62x next year's earnings.
MSFT PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Forward | 25x | $523 | — |
| Cheap | 27x | $525 | +0.4% |
| Current | 27x | $523 | — |
| Fair | 34x | $652 | +25% |
| Expensive | 37x | $711 | +36% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
MSFT has the edge over DDOG in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.
DDOG Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Strongly improving | |
| Strong growth | |
| Strong growth | |
| Stable | |
| Broad | |
| Low |
Analysts expect strong earnings and revenue growth for DDOG, with profitability holding steady. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.
MSFT Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Improving | |
| Strong growth | |
| Strong growth | |
| Stable | |
| Moderate | |
| High |
Analysts expect strong earnings and revenue growth for MSFT, with profitability holding steady.
DDOG Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $2.99 | +315% |
| Q3 2026 | $0.72 | +125% |
| Q2 2026 | $0.50 | +39% |
| Q1 2026 | $0.39 | -17% |
| Q4 2025 | $0.31 | -40% |
| Q3 2025 | $0.32 | -42% |
| Q2 2025 | $0.36 | -23% |
| Q1 2025 | $0.47 | +38% |
| Q4 2024 | $0.52 | +271% |
DDOG earned $0.72 per share over the past year, up 125% from the year before.
MSFT Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $20.79 | +8.6% |
| Q3 2026 | $19.15 | +36% |
| Q2 2026 | $17.95 | +32% |
| Q1 2026 | $16.80 | +30% |
| Q4 2025 | $15.99 | +29% |
| Q3 2025 | $14.06 | +16% |
| Q2 2025 | $13.64 | +16% |
| Q1 2025 | $12.93 | +12% |
| Q4 2024 | $12.41 | +12% |
MSFT has the edge over DDOG on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
DDOG Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $1.2B | +35% |
| Q2 2026 | $1.1B | +36% |
| Q1 2026 | $1B | +32% |
| Q4 2025 | $953.2M | +29% |
| Q3 2025 | $885.7M | +28% |
| Q2 2025 | $826.8M | +28% |
| Q1 2025 | $761.6M | +25% |
| Q4 2024 | $737.7M | +25% |
DDOG has the edge over MSFT on sales, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 6.2% | +6.9 points |
| Q2 2026 | 0.5% | +4.8 points |
| Q1 2026 | 0.7% | +2.4 points |
| Q4 2025 | 1% | -0.3 points |
| Q3 2025 | -0.7% | -3.6 points |
| Q2 2025 | -4.3% | -6.3 points |
| Q1 2025 | -1.6% | -3.6 points |
| Q4 2024 | 1.3% | -3.4 points |
DDOG's operating margin was 6.2% last quarter, up 6.9 points from the same quarter a year ago, near the top of its range since 2019.
MSFT Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $92.3B | +19% |
| Q2 2026 | $90B | +18% |
| Q1 2026 | $82.9B | +18% |
| Q4 2025 | $81.3B | +17% |
| Q3 2025 | $77.7B | +18% |
| Q2 2025 | $76.4B | +18% |
| Q1 2025 | $70.1B | +13% |
| Q4 2024 | $69.6B | +12% |
MSFT's revenue has grown year over year every quarter since late 2020: $92.3B last quarter, up 19% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 50% | +0.9 points |
| Q2 2026 | 45% | +0.2 points |
| Q1 2026 | 46% | +0.7 points |
| Q4 2025 | 47% | +1.6 points |
| Q3 2025 | 49% | +2.3 points |
| Q2 2025 | 45% | +1.8 points |
| Q1 2025 | 46% | +1.1 points |
| Q4 2024 | 45% | +1.9 points |
MSFT has the edge over DDOG on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
DDOG Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $279.1M | +19% |
| Q2 2026 | $306M | +65% |
| Q1 2026 | $323.3M | +23% |
| Q4 2025 | $318.2M | +24% |
| Q3 2025 | $234.7M | +6.5% |
| Q2 2025 | $184.9M | +16% |
| Q1 2025 | $262.8M | +33% |
| Q4 2024 | $257.5M | +23% |
DDOG has the edge over MSFT on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
MSFT Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $18.6B | -27% |
| Q2 2026 | $19.6B | -23% |
| Q1 2026 | $15.8B | -22% |
| Q4 2025 | $5.9B | -9.3% |
| Q3 2025 | $25.7B | +33% |
| Q2 2025 | $25.6B | +9.6% |
| Q1 2025 | $20.3B | -3.2% |
| Q4 2024 | $6.5B | -29% |
MSFT's free cash flow has been positive every quarter for seven years: $60B over the past year, down 23% from the year before.
DDOG Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +1.1% | +4M shares |
| 1 year | +3.6% | +13M shares |
| 3 years | +6.7% | +23.7M shares |
| 5 years | +21% | +64.8M shares |
| Available history | +14% | +47.2M shares |
DDOG has 375M diluted shares, up 3.6% from a year ago.
MSFT Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | -0.1% | -7M shares |
| 1 year | -0.3% | -20M shares |
| 3 years | -0.2% | -16M shares |
| 5 years | -1.6% | -121M shares |
| Available history | -3.2% | -245M shares |
MSFT has the edge over DDOG on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $4.4B |
| Q2 2026 | $4.6B |
| Q1 2026 | $4.6B |
| Q4 2025 | $7.4B |
| Q3 2025 | $5.7B |
| Q2 2025 | $4.5B |
| Q1 2025 | $4.8B |
| Q4 2024 | $5B |
MSFT spent $21B buying back its own shares over the past year, up 5.2% from the year before.
DDOG Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 0.6x | Very low |
| Q2 2026 | 7.0x | High |
| Q1 2026 | 18.2x | High |
| Q4 2025 | 123.2x | High |
| Q3 2025 | 94.8x | High |
| Q2 2025 | 16.5x | High |
| Q1 2025 | 6.9x | High |
| Q4 2024 | 3.6x | Elevated |
DDOG's net debt is less than a year of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from more than 20 years a year ago.
MSFT Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 0.1x | Very low |
| Q2 2026 | 0.1x | Very low |
MSFT has the edge over DDOG on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.
DDOG Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 42.5 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 16.7 | Oversold |
DDOG's weekly RSI is 43 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 17 (oversold).
MSFT Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 62.1 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 68.0 | Neutral |
MSFT's weekly RSI is 62 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 68 (neutral).
DDOG PE vs Technology Sector
| Metric | DDOG | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 256x | 28x | 820% above |
| PE % | 19 | 35 | 16 pts below |
DDOG is trading at 256x earnings, a 820% premium to the Technology sector's median of 28x.
MSFT PE vs Technology Sector
| Metric | MSFT | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 27x | 28x | 2% below |
| PE % | 16 | 35 | 19 pts below |
MSFT has the edge over DDOG on valuation relative to its sector.
DDOG Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $244.3 | 24% below |
| 20 week MA | $243.6 | 24% below |
| 50 week MA | $189.3 | 2.6% below |
| 100 week MA | $161.1 | 14% above |
| 200 week MA | $134.5 | 37% above |
DDOG has pulled back, but its long-term trend is still up: it's below its 8-, 20- and 50-week averages, but 37% above its 200-week average.
MSFT Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $524.7 | 0.3% below |
| 20 week MA | $484.8 | 7.9% above |
| 50 week MA | $446.9 | 17% above |
| 100 week MA | $453.8 | 15% above |
| 200 week MA | $411.5 | 27% above |
MSFT has the edge over DDOG on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.
DDOG Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $36.1 | $106.3 | +194% |
| 2021 | $106.3 | $180.4 | +70% |
| 2022 | $180.4 | $72.4 | -60% |
| 2023 | $72.4 | $121.4 | +68% |
| 2024 | $121.4 | $146.0 | +20% |
| 2025 | $146.0 | $138.3 | -5.3% |
| 2026 YTD | $138.3 | $184.5 | +33% |
DDOG has the edge over MSFT on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.
MSFT Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $159.0 | $222.8 | +40% |
| 2021 | $222.8 | $334.7 | +50% |
| 2022 | $334.7 | $238.7 | -29% |
| 2023 | $238.7 | $376.0 | +58% |
| 2024 | $376.0 | $430.5 | +14% |
| 2025 | $430.5 | $487.7 | +13% |
| 2026 YTD | $487.7 | $523.0 | +7.2% |
MSFT has finished higher in five of the last six years, two of them by more than 50%. It's up 7.2% so far in 2026.