DDOG
Datadog, Inc.
DDOG has the edge over LLY overall, supported by stronger valuation and stronger modeled upside.
LLY
Eli Lilly and Company
LLY has slightly lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.
DDOG Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Strong | |
| Healthy | |
| Strong | |
| Strong |
DDOG's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.
LLY Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Healthy | |
| Strong | |
| Strong | |
| Healthy |
LLY's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.
DDOG PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Forward | 62x | $184 | — |
| Cheap | 251x | $181 | -2.1% |
| Current | 256x | $184 | — |
| Fair | 379x | $273 | +48% |
| Expensive | 621x | $447 | +142% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
DDOG has the edge over LLY in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.
LLY PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cheap | 27x | $845 | -41% |
| Forward | 30x | $1,427 | — |
| Current | 46x | $1,427 | — |
| Fair | 48x | $1,466 | +2.7% |
| Expensive | 85x | $2,612 | +83% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
LLY's PE is in its fair range at 46x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 30x next year's earnings, in its cheap range.
DDOG Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Strongly improving | |
| Strong growth | |
| Strong growth | |
| Stable | |
| Broad | |
| Low |
Analysts expect strong earnings and revenue growth for DDOG, with profitability holding steady. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.
LLY Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Strongly improving | |
| Strong growth | |
| Strong growth | |
| Strongly improving | |
| Limited | |
| Moderate |
LLY has the edge over DDOG on the outlook, with more favorable profitability expectations.
DDOG Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $2.99 | +315% |
| Q3 2026 | $0.72 | +125% |
| Q2 2026 | $0.50 | +39% |
| Q1 2026 | $0.39 | -17% |
| Q4 2025 | $0.31 | -40% |
| Q3 2025 | $0.32 | -42% |
| Q2 2025 | $0.36 | -23% |
| Q1 2025 | $0.47 | +38% |
| Q4 2024 | $0.52 | +271% |
DDOG earned $0.72 per share over the past year, up 125% from the year before.
LLY Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $46.82 | +52% |
| Q3 2026 | $30.81 | +51% |
| Q2 2026 | $29.80 | +95% |
| Q1 2026 | $28.15 | +129% |
| Q4 2025 | $22.95 | +96% |
| Q3 2025 | $20.44 | +121% |
| Q2 2025 | $15.30 | +88% |
| Q1 2025 | $12.29 | +81% |
| Q4 2024 | $11.71 | +102% |
LLY has the edge over DDOG on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
DDOG Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $1.2B | +35% |
| Q2 2026 | $1.1B | +36% |
| Q1 2026 | $1B | +32% |
| Q4 2025 | $953.2M | +29% |
| Q3 2025 | $885.7M | +28% |
| Q2 2025 | $826.8M | +28% |
| Q1 2025 | $761.6M | +25% |
| Q4 2024 | $737.7M | +25% |
DDOG's revenue has grown year over year every quarter since late 2020: $1.2B last quarter, up 35% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 6.2% | +6.9 points |
| Q2 2026 | 0.5% | +4.8 points |
| Q1 2026 | 0.7% | +2.4 points |
| Q4 2025 | 1% | -0.3 points |
| Q3 2025 | -0.7% | -3.6 points |
| Q2 2025 | -4.3% | -6.3 points |
| Q1 2025 | -1.6% | -3.6 points |
| Q4 2024 | 1.3% | -3.4 points |
DDOG's operating margin was 6.2% last quarter, up 6.9 points from the same quarter a year ago, near the top of its range since 2019.
LLY Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $24.4B | +39% |
| Q2 2026 | $23B | +48% |
| Q1 2026 | $19.8B | +56% |
| Q4 2025 | $19.3B | +43% |
| Q3 2025 | $17.6B | +54% |
| Q2 2025 | $15.6B | +38% |
| Q1 2025 | $12.7B | +45% |
| Q4 2024 | $13.5B | +45% |
LLY has the edge over DDOG on sales, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 34% | -6.6 points |
| Q2 2026 | 40% | -3.3 points |
| Q1 2026 | 45% | +18 points |
| Q4 2025 | 43% | +5.6 points |
| Q3 2025 | 41% | +27 points |
| Q2 2025 | 44% | +12 points |
| Q1 2025 | 27% | -1.8 points |
| Q4 2024 | 37% | +10 points |
LLY has the edge over DDOG on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
DDOG Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $279.1M | +19% |
| Q2 2026 | $306M | +65% |
| Q1 2026 | $323.3M | +23% |
| Q4 2025 | $318.2M | +24% |
| Q3 2025 | $234.7M | +6.5% |
| Q2 2025 | $184.9M | +16% |
| Q1 2025 | $262.8M | +33% |
| Q4 2024 | $257.5M | +23% |
DDOG has the edge over LLY on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
LLY Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $8.2B | +22% |
| Q2 2026 | $7.8B | +458% |
| Q1 2026 | $3B | +1826% |
| Q4 2025 | $677.9M | -31% |
| Q3 2025 | $6.7B | +186% |
| Q2 2025 | $1.4B | +476% |
| Q1 2025 | $156.1M | -13% |
| Q4 2024 | $977.8M | +$2.4B |
LLY generated $19.7B in free cash flow over the past year, up 112% from the year before.
DDOG Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +1.1% | +4M shares |
| 1 year | +3.6% | +13M shares |
| 3 years | +6.7% | +23.7M shares |
| 5 years | +21% | +64.8M shares |
| Available history | +14% | +47.2M shares |
DDOG has 375M diluted shares, up 3.6% from a year ago.
LLY Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | 0% | -300K shares |
| 1 year | -0.6% | -5.4M shares |
| 3 years | -0.7% | -6.4M shares |
| 5 years | -1.9% | -17.4M shares |
| Available history | -4.5% | -42.3M shares |
LLY has the edge over DDOG on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $377M |
| Q2 2026 | $1.6B |
| Q1 2026 | $2.4B |
| Q4 2025 | $1.5B |
| Q3 2025 | $708.1M |
| Q2 2025 | $692.2M |
| Q1 2025 | $1.2B |
| Q4 2024 | $2.1B |
LLY spent $5.8B buying back its own shares over the past year, up 26% from the year before.
DDOG Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 0.6x | Very low |
| Q2 2026 | 7.0x | High |
| Q1 2026 | 18.2x | High |
| Q4 2025 | 123.2x | High |
| Q3 2025 | 94.8x | High |
| Q2 2025 | 16.5x | High |
| Q1 2025 | 6.9x | High |
| Q4 2024 | 3.6x | Elevated |
DDOG has the edge over LLY on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.
LLY Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 1.2x | Healthy |
| Q2 2026 | 1.3x | Healthy |
| Q1 2026 | 1.2x | Healthy |
| Q4 2025 | 1.3x | Healthy |
| Q3 2025 | 1.3x | Healthy |
| Q2 2025 | 2.0x | Healthy |
| Q1 2025 | 2.3x | Moderate |
| Q4 2024 | 2.1x | Moderate |
LLY's net debt is about 1.2 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), about the same as a year ago.
DDOG Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 42.5 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 16.7 | Oversold |
DDOG's weekly RSI is 43 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 17 (oversold).
LLY Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 68.3 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 84.1 | Overbought |
LLY's weekly RSI is 68 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 84 (overbought).
DDOG PE vs Technology Sector
| Metric | DDOG | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 256x | 28x | 820% above |
| PE % | 19 | 35 | 16 pts below |
DDOG is trading at 256x earnings, a 820% premium to the Technology sector's median of 28x.
LLY PE vs Healthcare Sector
| Metric | LLY | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 46x | 26x | 79% above |
| PE % | 48 | 29 | 19 pts above |
LLY has the edge over DDOG on valuation relative to its sector.
DDOG Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $244.3 | 24% below |
| 20 week MA | $243.6 | 24% below |
| 50 week MA | $189.3 | 2.6% below |
| 100 week MA | $161.1 | 14% above |
| 200 week MA | $134.5 | 37% above |
DDOG has pulled back, but its long-term trend is still up: it's below its 8-, 20- and 50-week averages, but 37% above its 200-week average.
LLY Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $1,279.4 | 12% above |
| 20 week MA | $1,218.8 | 17% above |
| 50 week MA | $1,102.2 | 29% above |
| 100 week MA | $954.1 | 50% above |
| 200 week MA | $797.5 | 79% above |
LLY has the edge over DDOG on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.
DDOG Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $36.1 | $106.3 | +194% |
| 2021 | $106.3 | $180.4 | +70% |
| 2022 | $180.4 | $72.4 | -60% |
| 2023 | $72.4 | $121.4 | +68% |
| 2024 | $121.4 | $146.0 | +20% |
| 2025 | $146.0 | $138.3 | -5.3% |
| 2026 YTD | $138.3 | $184.5 | +33% |
DDOG has the edge over LLY on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.
LLY Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $131.5 | $166.7 | +27% |
| 2021 | $166.7 | $273.1 | +64% |
| 2022 | $273.1 | $367.9 | +35% |
| 2023 | $367.9 | $582.9 | +58% |
| 2024 | $582.9 | $783.2 | +34% |
| 2025 | $783.2 | $1,077.8 | +38% |
| 2026 YTD | $1,077.8 | $1,427.3 | +32% |
LLY has finished every year since 2020 higher, and it's up 32% so far in 2026.