DDOG

Datadog, Inc.

83
Fundamentals88/ 100
Valuation78/ 100
Upside potential85/ 100
Risk potential17/ 100

DDOG has the edge over LITE overall, supported by stronger valuation and lower modeled downside.

LITE

Lumentum Holdings Inc.

77
Fundamentals82/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential67/ 100
Risk potential45/ 100

LITE's outlook is improving, though it still trails on the overall score.

DDOG Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Healthy
Strong
Strong

DDOG's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.

LITE Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Stable
Healthy
Healthy

LITE's revenue, cash flow and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its profitability is stable.

DDOG PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE2520x5041x7561x10082x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE2520x5041x7561x10082x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward62x$184—
Cheap251x$181-2.1%
Current256x$184—
Fair379x$273+48%
Expensive621x$447+142%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

DDOG's PE is in its cheap range at 256x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 62x next year's earnings.

LITE PE Valuation

LITE has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

DDOG Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Strong growth
Stable
Broad
Moderate

Analysts expect strong earnings and revenue growth for DDOG, with profitability holding steady.

LITE Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Strong growth
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Moderate

LITE has the edge over DDOG on the outlook, with more favorable profitability expectations.

DDOG Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+95%$358.84
Downside-17%$153.66

Calculated from the latest close: $184.46 on Nov 12.

DDOG has a better modeled risk to reward balance than LITE, with more potential upside and less potential downside.

LITE Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+92%$1,197.24
Downside-45%$341.49

Calculated from the latest close: $624.65 on Nov 12.

LITE trails DDOG on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside and more potential downside.

DDOG Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $0.14Q1 2024: $0.34Q2 2024: $0.47Q3 2024: $0.55Q4 2024: $0.52Q1 2025: $0.47Q2 2025: $0.36Q3 2025: $0.32Q4 2025: $0.31Q1 2026: $0.39Q2 2026: $0.50Q3 2026: $0.72Forward: $2.99
Q4 2023: $0.14Q1 2024: $0.34Q2 2024: $0.47Q3 2024: $0.55Q4 2024: $0.52Q1 2025: $0.47Q2 2025: $0.36Q3 2025: $0.32Q4 2025: $0.31Q1 2026: $0.39Q2 2026: $0.50Q3 2026: $0.72Forward: $2.99
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$2.99+315%
Q3 2026$0.72+125%
Q2 2026$0.50+39%
Q1 2026$0.39-17%
Q4 2025$0.31-40%
Q3 2025$0.32-42%
Q2 2025$0.36-23%
Q1 2025$0.47+38%
Q4 2024$0.52+271%

DDOG has the edge over LITE on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

LITE Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-3.95Q1 2024: $-5.26Q2 2024: $-8.12Q3 2024: $-8.31Q4 2024: $-7.72Q1 2025: $-6.48Q2 2025: $0.37Q3 2025: $1.63Q4 2025: $3.40Q1 2026: $5.54Q2 2026: $-92.96Q3 2026: $-89.47Forward: $29.10
Q4 2023: $-3.95Q1 2024: $-5.26Q2 2024: $-8.12Q3 2024: $-8.31Q4 2024: $-7.72Q1 2025: $-6.48Q2 2025: $0.37Q3 2025: $1.63Q4 2025: $3.40Q1 2026: $5.54Q2 2026: $-92.96Q3 2026: $-89.47Forward: $29.10
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$29.10—
Q3 2026-$89.47-5589%
Q2 2026-$92.96-25224%
Q1 2026$5.54+$12.02
Q4 2025$3.40+$11.12
Q3 2025$1.63+$9.94
Q2 2025$0.37+$8.49
Q1 2025-$6.48-$1.22
Q4 2024-$7.72-$3.77

LITE has swung to a loss: it lost $89.47 per share over the past year, after a profit the year before.

DDOG Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $590MQ1 2024: $611MQ2 2024: $645MQ3 2024: $690MQ4 2024: $738MQ1 2025: $762MQ2 2025: $827MQ3 2025: $886MQ4 2025: $953MQ1 2026: $1BQ2 2026: $1.1BQ3 2026: $1.2B
Q4 2023: $590MQ1 2024: $611MQ2 2024: $645MQ3 2024: $690MQ4 2024: $738MQ1 2025: $762MQ2 2025: $827MQ3 2025: $886MQ4 2025: $953MQ1 2026: $1BQ2 2026: $1.1BQ3 2026: $1.2B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$1.2B+35%
Q2 2026$1.1B+36%
Q1 2026$1B+32%
Q4 2025$953.2M+29%
Q3 2025$885.7M+28%
Q2 2025$826.8M+28%
Q1 2025$761.6M+25%
Q4 2024$737.7M+25%

DDOG's revenue has grown year over year every quarter since late 2020: $1.2B last quarter, up 35% from the same quarter a year ago.

LITE Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $367MQ1 2024: $367MQ2 2024: $308MQ3 2024: $337MQ4 2024: $402MQ1 2025: $425MQ2 2025: $481MQ3 2025: $534MQ4 2025: $666MQ1 2026: $808MQ2 2026: $1BQ3 2026: $1.3B
Q4 2023: $367MQ1 2024: $367MQ2 2024: $308MQ3 2024: $337MQ4 2024: $402MQ1 2025: $425MQ2 2025: $481MQ3 2025: $534MQ4 2025: $666MQ1 2026: $808MQ2 2026: $1BQ3 2026: $1.3B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$1.3B+137%
Q2 2026$1B+109%
Q1 2026$808.4M+90%
Q4 2025$665.5M+65%
Q3 2025$533.8M+58%
Q2 2025$480.7M+56%
Q1 2025$425.2M+16%
Q4 2024$402.2M+9.7%

LITE has the edge over DDOG on sales, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.

DDOG Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $210MQ1 2024: $198MQ2 2024: $160MQ3 2024: $220MQ4 2024: $257MQ1 2025: $263MQ2 2025: $185MQ3 2025: $235MQ4 2025: $318MQ1 2026: $323MQ2 2026: $306MQ3 2026: $279M
Q4 2023: $210MQ1 2024: $198MQ2 2024: $160MQ3 2024: $220MQ4 2024: $257MQ1 2025: $263MQ2 2025: $185MQ3 2025: $235MQ4 2025: $318MQ1 2026: $323MQ2 2026: $306MQ3 2026: $279M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$279.1M+19%
Q2 2026$306M+65%
Q1 2026$323.3M+23%
Q4 2025$318.2M+24%
Q3 2025$234.7M+6.5%
Q2 2025$184.9M+16%
Q1 2025$262.8M+33%
Q4 2024$257.5M+23%

DDOG has the edge over LITE on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

LITE Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$33MQ1 2024: −$27MQ2 2024: $11MQ3 2024: −$35MQ4 2024: −$16MQ1 2025: −$64MQ2 2025: $10MQ3 2025: −$18MQ4 2025: $43MQ1 2026: $79MQ2 2026: $196MQ3 2026: $38M
Q4 2023: −$33MQ1 2024: −$27MQ2 2024: $11MQ3 2024: −$35MQ4 2024: −$16MQ1 2025: −$64MQ2 2025: $10MQ3 2025: −$18MQ4 2025: $43MQ1 2026: $79MQ2 2026: $196MQ3 2026: $38M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$37.9M+$56.2M
Q2 2026$196.2M+1843%
Q1 2026$79.1M+$143.5M
Q4 2025$43.1M+$59M
Q3 2025-$18.3M+$16.2M
Q2 2025$10.1M-7.3%
Q1 2025-$64.4M-$37.8M
Q4 2024-$15.9M+$16.6M

LITE's free cash flow has turned positive after three years mostly in the red: $356M over the past year.

DDOG Total Shares

Q4 2023: 350MQ1 2024: 356MQ2 2024: 357MQ3 2024: 358MQ4 2024: 359MQ1 2025: 363MQ2 2025: 359MQ3 2025: 362MQ4 2025: 363MQ1 2026: 365MQ2 2026: 371MQ3 2026: 375M
Q4 2023: 350MQ1 2024: 356MQ2 2024: 357MQ3 2024: 358MQ4 2024: 359MQ1 2025: 363MQ2 2025: 359MQ3 2025: 362MQ4 2025: 363MQ1 2026: 365MQ2 2026: 371MQ3 2026: 375M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+1.1%+4M shares
1 year+3.6%+13M shares
3 years+6.7%+23.7M shares
5 years+21%+64.8M shares
Available history+14%+47.2M shares

DDOG has the edge over LITE on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

LITE Total Shares

Q4 2023: 67MQ1 2024: 68MQ2 2024: 67MQ3 2024: 68MQ4 2024: 69MQ1 2025: 69MQ2 2025: 70MQ3 2025: 78MQ4 2025: 88MQ1 2026: 96MQ3 2026: 102M
Q4 2023: 67MQ1 2024: 68MQ2 2024: 67MQ3 2024: 68MQ4 2024: 69MQ1 2025: 69MQ2 2025: 70MQ3 2025: 78MQ4 2025: 88MQ1 2026: 96MQ3 2026: 102M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+5.7%+5.5M shares
1 year+46%+32.1M shares
3 years+49%+33.4M shares
5 years+31%+24.2M shares
Available history+30%+23.7M shares

LITE has 102M diluted shares, up 46% from a year ago.

DDOG Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 192.8xQ1 2024: 8.9xQ2 2024: 3.7xQ3 2024: 3.5xQ4 2024: 3.6xQ1 2025: 6.9xQ2 2025: 16.5xQ3 2025: 94.8xQ4 2025: 123.2xQ1 2026: 18.2xQ2 2026: 7.0xQ3 2026: 0.6x
Q4 2023: 192.8xQ1 2024: 8.9xQ2 2024: 3.7xQ3 2024: 3.5xQ4 2024: 3.6xQ1 2025: 6.9xQ2 2025: 16.5xQ3 2025: 94.8xQ4 2025: 123.2xQ1 2026: 18.2xQ2 2026: 7.0xQ3 2026: 0.6x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20260.6xVery low
Q2 20267.0xHigh
Q1 202618.2xHigh
Q4 2025123.2xHigh
Q3 202594.8xHigh
Q2 202516.5xHigh
Q1 20256.9xHigh
Q4 20243.6xElevated

DDOG has the edge over LITE on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

LITE Net Leverage

Q2 2025: 27.9xQ3 2025: 22.7xQ4 2025: 21.6xQ1 2026: 7.9xQ2 2026: 1.5xQ3 2026: 1.3x
Q2 2025: 27.9xQ3 2025: 22.7xQ4 2025: 21.6xQ1 2026: 7.9xQ2 2026: 1.5xQ3 2026: 1.3x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20261.3xHealthy
Q2 20261.5xHealthy
Q1 20267.9xHigh
Q4 202521.6xHigh
Q3 202522.7xHigh
Q2 202527.9xHigh
Q3 2023-34.7xNet Cash
Q2 2023-7.2xNet Cash

LITE's net debt is about 1.3 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from more than 20 years a year ago.

DDOG Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI42.5Neutral
Stochastic16.7Oversold

DDOG's weekly RSI is 43 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 17 (oversold).

LITE Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI42.0Neutral
Stochastic22.8Neutral

LITE's weekly RSI is 42 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 23 (neutral).

DDOG PE vs Technology Sector

MetricDDOGSector medianRelative
PE256x28x820% above
PE %193516 pts below

DDOG is trading at 256x earnings, a 820% premium to the Technology sector's median of 28x.

LITE PE vs Technology Sector

MetricLITESector medianRelative
PEN/A28x—

LITE has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

DDOG Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$244.324% below
20 week MA$243.624% below
50 week MA$189.32.6% below
100 week MA$161.114% above
200 week MA$134.537% above

DDOG has pulled back, but its long-term trend is still up: it's below its 8-, 20- and 50-week averages, but 37% above its 200-week average.

LITE Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$839.326% below
20 week MA$838.626% below
50 week MA$732.715% below
100 week MA$422.748% above
200 week MA$237.9163% above

LITE has pulled back, but its long-term trend is still up: it's below its 8-, 20- and 50-week averages, but 163% above its 200-week average.

DDOG Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$36.1$106.3+194%
2021$106.3$180.4+70%
2022$180.4$72.4-60%
2023$72.4$121.4+68%
2024$121.4$146.0+20%
2025$146.0$138.3-5.3%
2026 YTD$138.3$184.5+33%

DDOG's yearly returns have swung widely, from +194% in 2020 to −60% in 2022. It's up 33% so far in 2026.

LITE Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$79.0$98.3+24%
2021$98.3$104.5+6.3%
2022$104.5$50.6-52%
2023$50.6$52.4+3.7%
2024$52.4$84.4+61%
2025$84.4$390.8+363%
2026 YTD$390.8$624.7+60%

LITE has the edge over DDOG on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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