DCTH

Delcath Systems, Inc.

68
Fundamentals72/ 100
Valuation54/ 100
Upside potential71/ 100
Risk potential27/ 100

DCTH's outlook is improving, though it still trails on the overall score.

LLY

Eli Lilly and Company

78
Fundamentals85/ 100
Valuation62/ 100
Upside potential72/ 100
Risk potential15/ 100

LLY has the edge over DCTH overall, supported by stronger fundamentals and lower modeled downside.

DCTH Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Healthy
Strong
Strong

DCTH's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.

LLY Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
Strong
Healthy

LLY's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.

DCTH PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE446x891x1337x1783x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE446x891x1337x1783x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap117x$18.66-13%
Current134x$21.38—
Fair166x$26.50+24%
Forward1,071x$21.38—
Expensive1,435x$230+974%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

DCTH has the edge over LLY in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

LLY PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE37x74x111x147x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE37x74x111x147x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap27x$845-41%
Forward30x$1,427—
Current46x$1,427—
Fair48x$1,466+2.7%
Expensive85x$2,612+83%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

LLY's PE is in its fair range at 46x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 30x next year's earnings, in its cheap range.

DCTH Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly deteriorating
Returning to profit
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Limited
High

Analysts expect DCTH to return to profit, with revenue growing.

LLY Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Moderate

LLY has the edge over DCTH on the outlook, with more favorable valuation expectations.

DCTH Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+65%$35.18
Downside-27%$15.69

Calculated from the latest close: $21.38 on Nov 12.

DCTH trails LLY on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

LLY Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+39%$1,988.49
Downside-15%$1,209.08

Calculated from the latest close: $1,427.28 on Nov 12.

LLY has a better modeled risk to reward balance than DCTH, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

DCTH Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-2.94Q1 2024: $-2.62Q2 2024: $-2.52Q3 2024: $-1.32Q4 2024: $-0.93Q1 2025: $-0.45Q2 2025: $0.10Q3 2025: $0.06Q4 2025: $0.07Q1 2026: $0.01Q2 2026: $0.01Q3 2026: $0.16Forward: $0.02
Q4 2023: $-2.94Q1 2024: $-2.62Q2 2024: $-2.52Q3 2024: $-1.32Q4 2024: $-0.93Q1 2025: $-0.45Q2 2025: $0.10Q3 2025: $0.06Q4 2025: $0.07Q1 2026: $0.01Q2 2026: $0.01Q3 2026: $0.16Forward: $0.02
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$0.02-88%
Q3 2026$0.16+167%
Q2 2026$0.01-90%
Q1 2026$0.01+$0.46
Q4 2025$0.07+$1.00
Q3 2025$0.06+$1.38
Q2 2025$0.10+$2.62
Q1 2025-$0.45+$2.17
Q4 2024-$0.93+$2.01

DCTH earned $0.16 per share over the past year, up 167% from the year before.

LLY Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $5.80Q1 2024: $6.79Q2 2024: $8.12Q3 2024: $9.25Q4 2024: $11.71Q1 2025: $12.29Q2 2025: $15.30Q3 2025: $20.44Q4 2025: $22.95Q1 2026: $28.15Q2 2026: $29.80Q3 2026: $30.81Forward: $46.82
Q4 2023: $5.80Q1 2024: $6.79Q2 2024: $8.12Q3 2024: $9.25Q4 2024: $11.71Q1 2025: $12.29Q2 2025: $15.30Q3 2025: $20.44Q4 2025: $22.95Q1 2026: $28.15Q2 2026: $29.80Q3 2026: $30.81Forward: $46.82
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$46.82+52%
Q3 2026$30.81+51%
Q2 2026$29.80+95%
Q1 2026$28.15+129%
Q4 2025$22.95+96%
Q3 2025$20.44+121%
Q2 2025$15.30+88%
Q1 2025$12.29+81%
Q4 2024$11.71+102%

LLY has the edge over DCTH on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

DCTH Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $539,000Q1 2024: $3MQ2 2024: $8MQ3 2024: $11MQ4 2024: $15MQ1 2025: $20MQ2 2025: $24MQ3 2025: $21MQ4 2025: $21MQ1 2026: $25MQ2 2026: $29MQ3 2026: $35M
Q4 2023: $539,000Q1 2024: $3MQ2 2024: $8MQ3 2024: $11MQ4 2024: $15MQ1 2025: $20MQ2 2025: $24MQ3 2025: $21MQ4 2025: $21MQ1 2026: $25MQ2 2026: $29MQ3 2026: $35M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$35.1M+71%
Q2 2026$29.1M+21%
Q1 2026$25M+26%
Q4 2025$20.7M+37%
Q3 2025$20.6M+84%
Q2 2025$24.2M+211%
Q1 2025$19.8M+530%
Q4 2024$15.1M+2701%

DCTH has the edge over LLY on sales, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.

LLY Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $9.4BQ1 2024: $8.8BQ2 2024: $11.3BQ3 2024: $11.4BQ4 2024: $13.5BQ1 2025: $12.7BQ2 2025: $15.6BQ3 2025: $17.6BQ4 2025: $19.3BQ1 2026: $19.8BQ2 2026: $23BQ3 2026: $24.4B
Q4 2023: $9.4BQ1 2024: $8.8BQ2 2024: $11.3BQ3 2024: $11.4BQ4 2024: $13.5BQ1 2025: $12.7BQ2 2025: $15.6BQ3 2025: $17.6BQ4 2025: $19.3BQ1 2026: $19.8BQ2 2026: $23BQ3 2026: $24.4B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$24.4B+39%
Q2 2026$23B+48%
Q1 2026$19.8B+56%
Q4 2025$19.3B+43%
Q3 2025$17.6B+54%
Q2 2025$15.6B+38%
Q1 2025$12.7B+45%
Q4 2024$13.5B+45%

LLY's revenue has grown year over year for 14 quarters in a row: $24.4B last quarter, up 39% from the same quarter a year ago.

DCTH Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$8MQ1 2024: −$10MQ2 2024: −$5MQ3 2024: −$4MQ4 2024: −$1MQ1 2025: $2MQ2 2025: $7MQ3 2025: $4MQ4 2025: $8MQ1 2026: $287,000Q2 2026: $5MQ3 2026: $7M
Q4 2023: −$8MQ1 2024: −$10MQ2 2024: −$5MQ3 2024: −$4MQ4 2024: −$1MQ1 2025: $2MQ2 2025: $7MQ3 2025: $4MQ4 2025: $8MQ1 2026: $287,000Q2 2026: $5MQ3 2026: $7M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$6.9M+60%
Q2 2026$5.2M-24%
Q1 2026$287K-86%
Q4 2025$7.7M+$8.9M
Q3 2025$4.3M+$8.2M
Q2 2025$6.9M+$11.4M
Q1 2025$2.1M+$11.7M
Q4 2024-$1.2M+$7M

DCTH has burned cash in most quarters: $20M over the past year, up 67% from the year before.

LLY Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$1.4BQ1 2024: $180MQ2 2024: $241MQ3 2024: $2.4BQ4 2024: $978MQ1 2025: $156MQ2 2025: $1.4BQ3 2025: $6.7BQ4 2025: $678MQ1 2026: $3BQ2 2026: $7.8BQ3 2026: $8.2B
Q4 2023: −$1.4BQ1 2024: $180MQ2 2024: $241MQ3 2024: $2.4BQ4 2024: $978MQ1 2025: $156MQ2 2025: $1.4BQ3 2025: $6.7BQ4 2025: $678MQ1 2026: $3BQ2 2026: $7.8BQ3 2026: $8.2B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$8.2B+22%
Q2 2026$7.8B+458%
Q1 2026$3B+1826%
Q4 2025$677.9M-31%
Q3 2025$6.7B+186%
Q2 2025$1.4B+476%
Q1 2025$156.1M-13%
Q4 2024$977.8M+$2.4B

LLY generated $19.7B in free cash flow over the past year, up 112% from the year before.

DCTH Total Shares

Q1 2024: 25MQ2 2024: 28MQ3 2024: 32MQ4 2024: 29MQ1 2025: 40MQ2 2025: 40MQ3 2025: 40MQ4 2025: 40MQ1 2026: 36MQ2 2026: 40MQ3 2026: 41M
Q1 2024: 25MQ2 2024: 28MQ3 2024: 32MQ4 2024: 29MQ1 2025: 40MQ2 2025: 40MQ3 2025: 40MQ4 2025: 40MQ1 2026: 36MQ2 2026: 40MQ3 2026: 41M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+3.2%+1.3M shares
1 year+2.4%+963K shares
3 years+229%+28.6M shares
5 years+514%+34.3M shares

DCTH has 41M diluted shares, up 2.4% from a year ago.

LLY Total Shares

Q4 2023: 903MQ1 2024: 904MQ2 2024: 904MQ3 2024: 905MQ4 2024: 904MQ1 2025: 901MQ2 2025: 900MQ3 2025: 899MQ4 2025: 899MQ1 2026: 896MQ2 2026: 894MQ3 2026: 893M
Q4 2023: 903MQ1 2024: 904MQ2 2024: 904MQ3 2024: 905MQ4 2024: 904MQ1 2025: 901MQ2 2025: 900MQ3 2025: 899MQ4 2025: 899MQ1 2026: 896MQ2 2026: 894MQ3 2026: 893M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly0%-300K shares
1 year-0.6%-5.4M shares
3 years-0.7%-6.4M shares
5 years-1.9%-17.4M shares
Available history-4.5%-42.3M shares

LLY has the edge over DCTH on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

DCTH Net Leverage

Q2 2025: -6.5xQ3 2025: -6.8xQ4 2025: -44.2xQ3 2026: -9.0x
Q2 2025: -6.5xQ3 2025: -6.8xQ4 2025: -44.2xQ3 2026: -9.0x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-9.0xNet Cash
Q4 2025-44.2xNet Cash
Q3 2025-6.8xNet Cash
Q2 2025-6.5xNet Cash

DCTH has the edge over LLY on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

LLY Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 2.8xQ1 2024: 2.6xQ2 2024: 2.4xQ3 2024: 2.4xQ4 2024: 2.1xQ1 2025: 2.3xQ2 2025: 2.0xQ3 2025: 1.3xQ4 2025: 1.3xQ1 2026: 1.2xQ2 2026: 1.3xQ3 2026: 1.2x
Q4 2023: 2.8xQ1 2024: 2.6xQ2 2024: 2.4xQ3 2024: 2.4xQ4 2024: 2.1xQ1 2025: 2.3xQ2 2025: 2.0xQ3 2025: 1.3xQ4 2025: 1.3xQ1 2026: 1.2xQ2 2026: 1.3xQ3 2026: 1.2x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20261.2xHealthy
Q2 20261.3xHealthy
Q1 20261.2xHealthy
Q4 20251.3xHealthy
Q3 20251.3xHealthy
Q2 20252.0xHealthy
Q1 20252.3xModerate
Q4 20242.1xModerate

LLY's net debt is about 1.2 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), about the same as a year ago.

DCTH Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI76.6Overbought
Stochastic60.2Neutral

DCTH's weekly RSI is 77 (overbought) and its Stochastic is 60 (neutral).

LLY Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI68.3Neutral
Stochastic84.1Overbought

LLY's weekly RSI is 68 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 84 (overbought).

DCTH PE vs Healthcare Sector

MetricDCTHSector medianRelative
PE134x26x417% above
PE %26293 pts below

DCTH is trading at 134x earnings, a 417% premium to the Healthcare sector's median of 26x.

LLY PE vs Healthcare Sector

MetricLLYSector medianRelative
PE46x26x79% above
PE %482919 pts above

LLY has the edge over DCTH on valuation relative to its sector.

DCTH Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$15.637% above
20 week MA$15.141% above
50 week MA$12.275% above
100 week MA$12.373% above
200 week MA$9.19133% above

DCTH is in an uptrend: it's above all five of its weekly moving averages, and 133% above its 200-week average.

LLY Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$1,279.412% above
20 week MA$1,218.817% above
50 week MA$1,102.229% above
100 week MA$954.150% above
200 week MA$797.579% above

LLY is in an uptrend: it's above all five of its weekly moving averages, and 79% above its 200-week average.

DCTH Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$24.0$17.1-29%
2021$17.1$8.45-51%
2022$8.45$3.59-58%
2023$3.59$4.16+16%
2024$4.16$12.0+188%
2025$12.0$10.3-14%
2026 YTD$10.3$21.4+108%

DCTH has the edge over LLY on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

LLY Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$131.5$166.7+27%
2021$166.7$273.1+64%
2022$273.1$367.9+35%
2023$367.9$582.9+58%
2024$582.9$783.2+34%
2025$783.2$1,077.8+38%
2026 YTD$1,077.8$1,427.3+32%

LLY has finished every year since 2020 higher, and it's up 32% so far in 2026.

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