DCO

Ducommun Incorporated

57
Fundamentals68/ 100
Valuation21/ 100
Upside potential66/ 100
Risk potential15/ 100

DCO has lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.

RDW

Redwire Corporation

61
Fundamentals66/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential68/ 100
Risk potential52/ 100

RDW has the edge over DCO overall, supported by stronger valuation and stronger modeled upside.

DCO Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Healthy
Under pressure
Healthy

DCO's profitability and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its revenue is stable, but its cash flow is under pressure.

RDW Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Under pressure
Under pressure
Unavailable

RDW's revenue is currently healthy, but its profitability and cash flow are under pressure. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.

DCO PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE14x28x42x57x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE14x28x42x57x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap6.9x$23.90-83%
Fair23x$77.86-45%
Expensive36x$122-14%
Current41x$142—

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

DCO's PE is in its expensive range at 41x.

RDW PE Valuation

RDW has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

DCO Forward outlook

There aren't enough analyst estimates for DCO to show an outlook.

RDW Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Losses shrinking
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Moderate

Analysts expect RDW's losses to shrink, with revenue growing.

DCO Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+28%$182.59
Downside-15%$121.55

Calculated from the latest close: $142.43 on Nov 12.

DCO trails RDW on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

RDW Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+109%$16.79
Downside-52%$3.87

Calculated from the latest close: $8.03 on Nov 12.

RDW has a better modeled risk to reward balance than DCO, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

DCO Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $1.14Q1 2024: $1.18Q2 2024: $1.53Q3 2024: $1.98Q4 2024: $2.10Q1 2025: $2.33Q2 2025: $2.63Q3 2025: $-2.34Q4 2025: $-2.19Q2 2026: $-2.24Q3 2026: $-1.75Q4 2026: $3.44
Q4 2023: $1.14Q1 2024: $1.18Q2 2024: $1.53Q3 2024: $1.98Q4 2024: $2.10Q1 2025: $2.33Q2 2025: $2.63Q3 2025: $-2.34Q4 2025: $-2.19Q2 2026: $-2.24Q3 2026: $-1.75Q4 2026: $3.44
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026$3.44+$5.78
Q2 2026-$1.75-167%
Q1 2026-$2.24-196%
Q4 2025-$2.19-204%
Q3 2025-$2.34-218%
Q2 2025$2.63+72%
Q1 2025$2.33+97%
Q4 2024$2.10+84%

DCO has the edge over RDW on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

RDW Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-0.73Q1 2024: $-0.72Q2 2024: $-0.98Q3 2024: $-1.21Q4 2024: $-2.35Q1 2025: $-2.27Q2 2025: $-3.26Q3 2025: $-3.18Q4 2025: $-2.28Q1 2026: $-2.59Q2 2026: $-1.37Q3 2026: $-1.17
Q4 2023: $-0.73Q1 2024: $-0.72Q2 2024: $-0.98Q3 2024: $-1.21Q4 2024: $-2.35Q1 2025: $-2.27Q2 2025: $-3.26Q3 2025: $-3.18Q4 2025: $-2.28Q1 2026: $-2.59Q2 2026: $-1.37Q3 2026: $-1.17
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026-$1.17+$2.01
Q2 2026-$1.37+$1.89
Q1 2026-$2.59-$0.32
Q4 2025-$2.28+$0.07
Q3 2025-$3.18-$1.97
Q2 2025-$3.26-$2.28
Q1 2025-$2.27-$1.55
Q4 2024-$2.35-$1.62

RDW is still losing money, but far less than before: $1.17 per share over the past year, against $3.26 at its worst in mid-2025.

DCO Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $192MQ1 2024: $191MQ2 2024: $197MQ3 2024: $201MQ4 2024: $197MQ1 2025: $194MQ2 2025: $202MQ3 2025: $213MQ4 2025: $217MQ2 2026: $209MQ3 2026: $224MQ4 2026: $227M
Q4 2023: $192MQ1 2024: $191MQ2 2024: $197MQ3 2024: $201MQ4 2024: $197MQ1 2025: $194MQ2 2025: $202MQ3 2025: $213MQ4 2025: $217MQ2 2026: $209MQ3 2026: $224MQ4 2026: $227M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$227M+6.8%
Q2 2026$224.5M+11%
Q1 2026$209M+7.7%
Q4 2025$217.1M+10%
Q3 2025$212.6M+5.5%
Q2 2025$202.3M+2.7%
Q1 2025$194.1M+1.7%
Q4 2024$197.3M+2.6%

DCO's revenue has grown year over year for 22 quarters in a row: $227M last quarter, up 6.8% from the same quarter a year ago.

RDW Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $63MQ1 2024: $88MQ2 2024: $78MQ3 2024: $69MQ4 2024: $70MQ1 2025: $61MQ2 2025: $62MQ3 2025: $103MQ4 2025: $109MQ1 2026: $97MQ2 2026: $117MQ3 2026: $109M
Q4 2023: $63MQ1 2024: $88MQ2 2024: $78MQ3 2024: $69MQ4 2024: $70MQ1 2025: $61MQ2 2025: $62MQ3 2025: $103MQ4 2025: $109MQ1 2026: $97MQ2 2026: $117MQ3 2026: $109M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$109M+5.4%
Q2 2026$117.1M+90%
Q1 2026$97M+58%
Q4 2025$108.8M+56%
Q3 2025$103.4M+51%
Q2 2025$61.8M-21%
Q1 2025$61.4M-30%
Q4 2024$69.6M+9.6%

RDW's revenue has grown year over year for five quarters in a row: $109M last quarter, up 5.4% from the same quarter a year ago.

DCO Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $23MQ1 2024: −$7MQ2 2024: $144,000Q3 2024: $12MQ4 2024: $15MQ1 2025: −$4MQ2 2025: $18MQ3 2025: $16MQ4 2025: −$79MQ2 2026: $8MQ3 2026: $30MQ4 2026: $27M
Q4 2023: $23MQ1 2024: −$7MQ2 2024: $144,000Q3 2024: $12MQ4 2024: $15MQ1 2025: −$4MQ2 2025: $18MQ3 2025: $16MQ4 2025: −$79MQ2 2026: $8MQ3 2026: $30MQ4 2026: $27M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$26.9M+68%
Q2 2026$30M+65%
Q1 2026$8.3M+$12.3M
Q4 2025-$78.8M-640%
Q3 2025$16M+34%
Q2 2025$18.1M+12499%
Q1 2025-$4M+$2.6M
Q4 2024$14.6M-37%

DCO has the edge over RDW on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

RDW Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $14MQ1 2024: $1MQ2 2024: −$10MQ3 2024: −$19MQ4 2024: $5MQ1 2025: −$47MQ2 2025: −$91MQ3 2025: −$27MQ4 2025: −$26MQ1 2026: −$11MQ2 2026: −$33MQ3 2026: −$65M
Q4 2023: $14MQ1 2024: $1MQ2 2024: −$10MQ3 2024: −$19MQ4 2024: $5MQ1 2025: −$47MQ2 2025: −$91MQ3 2025: −$27MQ4 2025: −$26MQ1 2026: −$11MQ2 2026: −$33MQ3 2026: −$65M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$65.3M-$38.5M
Q2 2026-$33.5M+$57.2M
Q1 2026-$11.4M+$35.5M
Q4 2025-$26.5M-659%
Q3 2025-$26.9M-$7.6M
Q2 2025-$90.6M-$80.2M
Q1 2025-$46.9M-3996%
Q4 2024$4.7M-65%

RDW has burned cash in most quarters: −$137M over the past year, against −$160M the year before.

DCO Total Shares

Q4 2023: 14MQ1 2024: 15MQ2 2024: 15MQ3 2024: 15MQ4 2024: 15MQ1 2025: 15MQ2 2025: 15MQ3 2025: 15MQ4 2025: 15MQ2 2026: 16MQ3 2026: 16MQ4 2026: 16M
Q4 2023: 14MQ1 2024: 15MQ2 2024: 15MQ3 2024: 15MQ4 2024: 15MQ1 2025: 15MQ2 2025: 15MQ3 2025: 15MQ4 2025: 15MQ2 2026: 16MQ3 2026: 16MQ4 2026: 16M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly0%+4K shares
1 year+3.9%+581K shares
3 years+5%+745K shares
5 years+27%+3.3M shares
Available history+32%+3.8M shares

DCO has the edge over RDW on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

RDW Total Shares

Q4 2023: 65MQ1 2024: 66MQ2 2024: 66MQ3 2024: 67MQ4 2024: 66MQ1 2025: 71MQ2 2025: 90MQ3 2025: 146MQ1 2026: 194MQ2 2026: 220MQ3 2026: 250M
Q4 2023: 65MQ1 2024: 66MQ2 2024: 66MQ3 2024: 67MQ4 2024: 66MQ1 2025: 71MQ2 2025: 90MQ3 2025: 146MQ1 2026: 194MQ2 2026: 220MQ3 2026: 250M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+13%+29.6M shares
1 year+179%+160M shares
3 years+289%+186M shares
5 years+319%+190M shares

RDW has 250M diluted shares, up 179% from a year ago.

DCO Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 3.6xQ1 2024: 3.4xQ2 2024: 3.0xQ3 2024: 2.6xQ4 2024: 2.4xQ1 2025: 2.4xQ2 2025: 2.1xQ4 2025: 61.3xQ2 2026: 87.2xQ3 2026: 16.4xQ4 2026: 1.8x
Q4 2023: 3.6xQ1 2024: 3.4xQ2 2024: 3.0xQ3 2024: 2.6xQ4 2024: 2.4xQ1 2025: 2.4xQ2 2025: 2.1xQ4 2025: 61.3xQ2 2026: 87.2xQ3 2026: 16.4xQ4 2026: 1.8x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20261.8xHealthy
Q2 202616.4xHigh
Q1 202687.2xHigh
Q4 202561.3xHigh
Q2 20252.1xModerate
Q1 20252.4xModerate
Q4 20242.4xModerate
Q3 20242.6xModerate

DCO's net debt is about 1.8 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from 2.1 years a year ago.

RDW Net Leverage

RDW's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.

DCO Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI41.8Neutral
Stochastic13.6Oversold

DCO's weekly RSI is 42 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 14 (oversold).

RDW Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI42.3Neutral
Stochastic16.1Oversold

RDW's weekly RSI is 42 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 16 (oversold).

DCO PE vs Industrials Sector

MetricDCOSector medianRelative
PE41x24x72% above
PE %895831 pts above

DCO is trading at 41x earnings, a 72% premium to the Industrials sector's median of 24x.

RDW PE vs Industrials Sector

RDW has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

DCO Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$160.511% below
20 week MA$172.017% below
50 week MA$145.42% below
100 week MA$110.928% above
200 week MA$82.173% above

DCO has the edge over RDW on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

RDW Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$9.0611% below
20 week MA$10.120% below
50 week MA$10.624% below
100 week MA$11.631% below
200 week MA$8.070.5% below

RDW is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 0.5% below its 200-week average.

DCO Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$50.4$53.4+6%
2021$53.4$45.8-14%
2022$45.8$48.6+6.2%
2023$48.6$52.1+7.1%
2024$52.1$60.9+17%
2025$60.9$96.5+59%
2026 YTD$96.5$142.4+48%

DCO has the edge over RDW on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

RDW Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2021$10.2$7.34-28%
2022$7.34$1.92-74%
2023$1.92$2.85+48%
2024$2.85$17.1+501%
2025$17.1$7.15-58%
2026 YTD$7.15$8.03+12%

RDW's yearly returns have swung widely, from +501% in 2024 to −74% in 2022. It's up 12% so far in 2026.

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