DBI

Designer Brands Inc.

49
Fundamentals59/ 100
Valuation19/ 100
Upside potential65/ 100
Risk potential34/ 100

DBI offers stronger modeled upside, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.

TSLA

Tesla, Inc.

52
Fundamentals48/ 100
Valuation27/ 100
Upside potential47/ 100
Risk potential34/ 100

TSLA has a slight edge over DBI overall, supported by stronger valuation.

DBI Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Healthy
Healthy
Stable

DBI's profitability and cash flow are currently healthy, and its revenue and balance sheet are stable.

TSLA Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Stable
Under pressure
Strong

TSLA's revenue and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its profitability is stable, but its cash flow is under pressure.

DBI PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE31x62x93x124x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE31x62x93x124x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap4.9x$1.47-77%
Fair7x$2.10-67%
Forward12x$6.43—
Current21x$6.43—
Expensive25x$7.44+16%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

DBI has the edge over TSLA in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

TSLA PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE433x867x1300x1733x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE433x867x1300x1733x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap60x$54.70-86%
Fair174x$158-60%
Forward196x$397—
Expensive415x$378-4.9%
Current437x$397—

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

TSLA's PE is in its expensive range at 437x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 196x next year's earnings, in its fair range.

DBI Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Stable
Stable
Limited
High

Analysts expect DBI's earnings to grow, with its revenue and profitability holding steady.

TSLA Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Growth
Growth
Stable
Limited
Low

TSLA has the edge over DBI on the outlook, with more favorable revenue expectations.

DBI Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+63%$10.45
Downside-33%$4.28

Calculated from the latest close: $6.43 on Nov 12.

DBI has a better modeled risk to reward balance than TSLA, with more potential upside and less potential downside.

TSLA Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+30%$515.78
Downside-34%$263.05

Calculated from the latest close: $397.45 on Nov 12.

TSLA trails DBI on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside and more potential downside.

DBI Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $1.55Q1 2024: $0.46Q2 2024: $0.30Q3 2024: $-0.02Q4 2024: $0.05Q1 2026: $-0.17Q2 2026: $0.21Q3 2026: $0.30Forward: $0.55
Q4 2023: $1.55Q1 2024: $0.46Q2 2024: $0.30Q3 2024: $-0.02Q4 2024: $0.05Q1 2026: $-0.17Q2 2026: $0.21Q3 2026: $0.30Forward: $0.55
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$0.55+82%
Q4 2024$0.05-97%
Q3 2024-$0.02-101%
Q2 2024$0.30-86%
Q1 2024$0.46-80%
Q4 2023$1.55-14%
Q3 2023$2.03-7.3%
Q2 2023$2.09-1.4%
Q1 2023$2.26+13%

DBI has the stronger earnings trend. Trailing diluted EPS is up 1,400% for DBI versus TSLA down 39%.

TSLA Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $4.30Q1 2024: $3.91Q2 2024: $3.55Q3 2024: $3.64Q4 2024: $2.04Q1 2025: $1.82Q2 2025: $1.73Q3 2025: $1.50Q4 2025: $1.08Q1 2026: $1.09Q2 2026: $1.08Q3 2026: $0.91Forward: $2.03
Q4 2023: $4.30Q1 2024: $3.91Q2 2024: $3.55Q3 2024: $3.64Q4 2024: $2.04Q1 2025: $1.82Q2 2025: $1.73Q3 2025: $1.50Q4 2025: $1.08Q1 2026: $1.09Q2 2026: $1.08Q3 2026: $0.91Forward: $2.03
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$2.03+123%
Q3 2026$0.91-39%
Q2 2026$1.08-38%
Q1 2026$1.09-40%
Q4 2025$1.08-47%
Q3 2025$1.50-59%
Q2 2025$1.73-51%
Q1 2025$1.82-53%
Q4 2024$2.04-53%

TSLA's earnings per share have fallen from their peak: $0.91 over the past year, against $4.30 in late 2023.

DBI Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $786MQ1 2024: $754MQ2 2024: $747MQ3 2024: $772MQ4 2024: $777MQ1 2025: $714MQ2 2025: $687MQ3 2025: $740MQ4 2025: $752MQ1 2026: $714MQ2 2026: $696MQ3 2026: $731M
Q4 2023: $786MQ1 2024: $754MQ2 2024: $747MQ3 2024: $772MQ4 2024: $777MQ1 2025: $714MQ2 2025: $687MQ3 2025: $740MQ4 2025: $752MQ1 2026: $714MQ2 2026: $696MQ3 2026: $731M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$730.6M-1.2%
Q2 2026$696.4M+1.4%
Q1 2026$713.6M0%
Q4 2025$752.4M-3.2%
Q3 2025$739.8M-4.2%
Q2 2025$686.9M-8%
Q1 2025$713.6M-5.4%
Q4 2024$777.2M-1.2%

DBI's revenue fell from its 2019 peak and has held roughly level since: $731M last quarter, down 1.2% from the same quarter a year ago.

TSLA Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $25.2BQ1 2024: $21.3BQ2 2024: $25.5BQ3 2024: $25.2BQ4 2024: $25.7BQ1 2025: $19.3BQ2 2025: $22.5BQ3 2025: $28.1BQ4 2025: $24.9BQ1 2026: $22.4BQ2 2026: $28.2BQ3 2026: $28B
Q4 2023: $25.2BQ1 2024: $21.3BQ2 2024: $25.5BQ3 2024: $25.2BQ4 2024: $25.7BQ1 2025: $19.3BQ2 2025: $22.5BQ3 2025: $28.1BQ4 2025: $24.9BQ1 2026: $22.4BQ2 2026: $28.2BQ3 2026: $28B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$28B-0.2%
Q2 2026$28.2B+26%
Q1 2026$22.4B+16%
Q4 2025$24.9B-3.1%
Q3 2025$28.1B+12%
Q2 2025$22.5B-12%
Q1 2025$19.3B-9.2%
Q4 2024$25.7B+2.1%

TSLA has the edge over DBI on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

DBI Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $51MQ1 2024: −$53MQ2 2024: −$36MQ3 2024: $28MQ4 2024: −$19MQ1 2025: $58MQ2 2025: −$28MQ3 2025: $12MQ4 2025: $57MQ1 2026: $36MQ2 2026: −$32MQ3 2026: $58M
Q4 2023: $51MQ1 2024: −$53MQ2 2024: −$36MQ3 2024: $28MQ4 2024: −$19MQ1 2025: $58MQ2 2025: −$28MQ3 2025: $12MQ4 2025: $57MQ1 2026: $36MQ2 2026: −$32MQ3 2026: $58M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$57.9M+386%
Q2 2026-$31.9M-$4.3M
Q1 2026$36.4M-37%
Q4 2025$57.5M+$76.7M
Q3 2025$11.9M-57%
Q2 2025-$27.6M+$8M
Q1 2025$58.1M+$110.9M
Q4 2024-$19.2M-138%

DBI has the edge over TSLA on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

TSLA Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $2.1BQ1 2024: −$2.5BQ2 2024: $1.3BQ3 2024: $2.7BQ4 2024: $2BQ1 2025: $664MQ2 2025: $146MQ3 2025: $4BQ4 2025: $1.4BQ1 2026: $1.4BQ2 2026: −$1.1BQ3 2026: $1.5B
Q4 2023: $2.1BQ1 2024: −$2.5BQ2 2024: $1.3BQ3 2024: $2.7BQ4 2024: $2BQ1 2025: $664MQ2 2025: $146MQ3 2025: $4BQ4 2025: $1.4BQ1 2026: $1.4BQ2 2026: −$1.1BQ3 2026: $1.5B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$1.5B-62%
Q2 2026-$1.1B-848%
Q1 2026$1.4B+117%
Q4 2025$1.4B-30%
Q3 2025$4B+46%
Q2 2025$146M-89%
Q1 2025$664M+$3.2B
Q4 2024$2B-1.6%

TSLA still generates free cash flow, though less than at its 2025 peak: $3.3B over the past year.

DBI Total Shares

Q4 2023: 61MQ1 2024: 63MQ2 2024: 59MQ3 2024: 59MQ4 2024: 53MQ2 2025: 48MQ3 2025: 50MQ4 2025: 52MQ1 2026: 49MQ2 2026: 56MQ3 2026: 56M
Q4 2023: 61MQ1 2024: 63MQ2 2024: 59MQ3 2024: 59MQ4 2024: 53MQ2 2025: 48MQ3 2025: 50MQ4 2025: 52MQ1 2026: 49MQ2 2026: 56MQ3 2026: 56M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.1%+54K shares
1 year+13%+6.2M shares
3 years-17%-11.1M shares
5 years-27%-21M shares
Available history-23%-17M shares

DBI has 56M diluted shares, up 13% from a year ago.

TSLA Total Shares

Q4 2023: 3.5BQ1 2024: 3.5BQ2 2024: 3.5BQ3 2024: 3.5BQ4 2024: 3.5BQ1 2025: 3.5BQ2 2025: 3.5BQ3 2025: 3.5BQ4 2025: 3.5BQ1 2026: 3.5BQ2 2026: 3.5BQ3 2026: 3.5B
Q4 2023: 3.5BQ1 2024: 3.5BQ2 2024: 3.5BQ3 2024: 3.5BQ4 2024: 3.5BQ1 2025: 3.5BQ2 2025: 3.5BQ3 2025: 3.5BQ4 2025: 3.5BQ1 2026: 3.5BQ2 2026: 3.5BQ3 2026: 3.5B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly0%+1M shares
1 year+0.4%+15M shares
3 years+1.4%+48M shares
5 years+5.1%+172M shares
Available history+33%+886M shares

TSLA has the edge over DBI on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

DBI Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 1.8xQ1 2024: 2.7xQ2 2024: 3.3xQ3 2024: 4.4xQ4 2024: 5.4xQ1 2025: 4.5xQ2 2025: 5.8xQ3 2025: 6.0xQ4 2025: 4.3xQ1 2026: 3.5xQ2 2026: 3.2xQ3 2026: 2.3x
Q4 2023: 1.8xQ1 2024: 2.7xQ2 2024: 3.3xQ3 2024: 4.4xQ4 2024: 5.4xQ1 2025: 4.5xQ2 2025: 5.8xQ3 2025: 6.0xQ4 2025: 4.3xQ1 2026: 3.5xQ2 2026: 3.2xQ3 2026: 2.3x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20262.3xModerate
Q2 20263.2xElevated
Q1 20263.5xElevated
Q4 20254.3xHigh
Q3 20256.0xHigh
Q2 20255.8xHigh
Q1 20254.5xHigh
Q4 20245.4xHigh

DBI's net debt is about 2.3 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from 6.0 years a year ago.

TSLA Net Leverage

Q4 2023: -1.1xQ1 2024: -0.8xQ2 2024: -0.9xQ3 2024: -1.1xQ4 2024: -1.0xQ1 2025: -1.1xQ2 2025: -1.1xQ3 2025: -1.4xQ4 2025: -1.1xQ1 2026: -0.9xQ2 2026: -0.8xQ3 2026: -1.1x
Q4 2023: -1.1xQ1 2024: -0.8xQ2 2024: -0.9xQ3 2024: -1.1xQ4 2024: -1.0xQ1 2025: -1.1xQ2 2025: -1.1xQ3 2025: -1.4xQ4 2025: -1.1xQ1 2026: -0.9xQ2 2026: -0.8xQ3 2026: -1.1x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-1.1xNet Cash
Q2 2026-0.8xNet Cash
Q1 2026-0.9xNet Cash
Q4 2025-1.1xNet Cash
Q3 2025-1.4xNet Cash
Q2 2025-1.1xNet Cash
Q1 2025-1.1xNet Cash
Q4 2024-1.0xNet Cash

TSLA has the edge over DBI on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

DBI Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI52.6Neutral
Stochastic71.1Neutral

DBI's weekly RSI is 53 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 71 (neutral).

TSLA Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI54.3Neutral
Stochastic72.6Neutral

TSLA's weekly RSI is 54 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 73 (neutral).

DBI PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricDBISector medianRelative
PE21x18x19% above
PE %754728 pts above

DBI has the edge over TSLA on valuation relative to its sector.

TSLA PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricTSLASector medianRelative
PE437x18x2,324% above
PE %844737 pts above

TSLA is trading at 437x earnings, a 2324% premium to the Consumer Cyclical sector's median of 18x.

DBI Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$6.252.9% above
20 week MA$5.967.9% above
50 week MA$6.551.8% below
100 week MA$5.1824% above
200 week MA$7.008.1% below

DBI's trend is mixed: it's above three of its five weekly moving averages, and 8.1% below its 200-week average.

TSLA Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$376.05.7% above
20 week MA$364.09.2% above
50 week MA$393.61% above
100 week MA$372.16.8% above
200 week MA$296.934% above

TSLA has the edge over DBI on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

DBI Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$15.6$7.14-54%
2021$7.14$14.5+103%
2022$14.5$9.82-32%
2023$9.82$8.85-9.9%
2024$8.85$5.40-39%
2025$5.40$7.78+44%
2026 YTD$7.78$6.43-17%

DBI's yearly returns have swung widely, from +103% in 2021 to −54% in 2020. It's down 17% so far in 2026.

TSLA Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$28.7$220.6+669%
2021$220.6$355.7+61%
2022$355.7$123.2-65%
2023$123.2$248.5+102%
2024$248.5$431.7+74%
2025$431.7$475.2+10%
2026 YTD$475.2$397.5-16%

TSLA has the edge over DBI on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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