DBI

Designer Brands Inc.

49
Fundamentals59/ 100
Valuation19/ 100
Upside potential65/ 100
Risk potential34/ 100

DBI offers stronger modeled upside, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.

NKE

NIKE, Inc.

60
Fundamentals56/ 100
Valuation80/ 100
Upside potential58/ 100
Risk potential18/ 100

NKE has the edge over DBI overall, supported by stronger valuation and lower modeled downside.

DBI Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Healthy
Healthy
Stable

DBI's profitability and cash flow are currently healthy, and its revenue and balance sheet are stable.

NKE Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Healthy
Stable
Strong

NKE's profitability and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its revenue and cash flow are stable.

DBI PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE31x62x93x124x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE31x62x93x124x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap4.9x$1.47-77%
Fair7x$2.10-67%
Forward12x$6.43—
Current21x$6.43—
Expensive25x$7.44+16%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

DBI's PE is in its expensive range at 21x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 12x next year's earnings, in its fair range.

NKE PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE21x43x64x86x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE21x43x64x86x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Current18x$37.76—
Cheap23x$47.70+26%
Forward30x$37.76—
Fair33x$68.16+80%
Expensive47x$97.86+159%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

NKE has the edge over DBI in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

DBI Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Stable
Stable
Limited
High

Analysts expect DBI's earnings to grow, with its revenue and profitability holding steady.

NKE Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly deteriorating
Stable
Decline
Improving
Moderate
Low

Analysts expect NKE's profitability to improve, but its revenue to decline. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

DBI Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+63%$10.45
Downside-33%$4.28

Calculated from the latest close: $6.43 on Nov 12.

DBI has a better modeled risk to reward balance than NKE, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

NKE Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+25%$47.36
Downside-18%$30.83

Calculated from the latest close: $37.76 on Nov 12.

NKE trails DBI on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

DBI Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $1.55Q1 2024: $0.46Q2 2024: $0.30Q3 2024: $-0.02Q4 2024: $0.05Q1 2026: $-0.17Q2 2026: $0.21Q3 2026: $0.30Forward: $0.55
Q4 2023: $1.55Q1 2024: $0.46Q2 2024: $0.30Q3 2024: $-0.02Q4 2024: $0.05Q1 2026: $-0.17Q2 2026: $0.21Q3 2026: $0.30Forward: $0.55
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$0.55+82%
Q4 2024$0.05-97%
Q3 2024-$0.02-101%
Q2 2024$0.30-86%
Q1 2024$0.46-80%
Q4 2023$1.55-14%
Q3 2023$2.03-7.3%
Q2 2023$2.09-1.4%
Q1 2023$2.26+13%

DBI has the stronger earnings trend. Trailing diluted EPS is up 1,400% for DBI versus NKE up 7.2%.

NKE Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $3.42Q1 2024: $3.40Q2 2024: $3.73Q3 2024: $3.49Q4 2024: $3.24Q1 2025: $3.01Q2 2025: $2.16Q3 2025: $1.95Q4 2025: $1.70Q1 2026: $1.51Q2 2026: $2.10Q3 2026: $2.09Forward: $1.27
Q4 2023: $3.42Q1 2024: $3.40Q2 2024: $3.73Q3 2024: $3.49Q4 2024: $3.24Q1 2025: $3.01Q2 2025: $2.16Q3 2025: $1.95Q4 2025: $1.70Q1 2026: $1.51Q2 2026: $2.10Q3 2026: $2.09Forward: $1.27
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$1.27-39%
Q3 2026$2.09+7.2%
Q2 2026$2.10-2.8%
Q1 2026$1.51-50%
Q4 2025$1.70-48%
Q3 2025$1.95-44%
Q2 2025$2.16-42%
Q1 2025$3.01-11%
Q4 2024$3.24-5.3%

NKE's earnings per share have fallen from their peak: $2.09 over the past year, against $3.82 in late 2021.

DBI Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $786MQ1 2024: $754MQ2 2024: $747MQ3 2024: $772MQ4 2024: $777MQ1 2025: $714MQ2 2025: $687MQ3 2025: $740MQ4 2025: $752MQ1 2026: $714MQ2 2026: $696MQ3 2026: $731M
Q4 2023: $786MQ1 2024: $754MQ2 2024: $747MQ3 2024: $772MQ4 2024: $777MQ1 2025: $714MQ2 2025: $687MQ3 2025: $740MQ4 2025: $752MQ1 2026: $714MQ2 2026: $696MQ3 2026: $731M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$730.6M-1.2%
Q2 2026$696.4M+1.4%
Q1 2026$713.6M0%
Q4 2025$752.4M-3.2%
Q3 2025$739.8M-4.2%
Q2 2025$686.9M-8%
Q1 2025$713.6M-5.4%
Q4 2024$777.2M-1.2%

DBI's revenue fell from its 2019 peak and has held roughly level since: $731M last quarter, down 1.2% from the same quarter a year ago.

NKE Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $13.4BQ1 2024: $12.4BQ2 2024: $12.6BQ3 2024: $11.6BQ4 2024: $12.4BQ1 2025: $11.3BQ2 2025: $11.1BQ3 2025: $11.7BQ4 2025: $12.4BQ1 2026: $11.3BQ2 2026: $11BQ3 2026: $11.2B
Q4 2023: $13.4BQ1 2024: $12.4BQ2 2024: $12.6BQ3 2024: $11.6BQ4 2024: $12.4BQ1 2025: $11.3BQ2 2025: $11.1BQ3 2025: $11.7BQ4 2025: $12.4BQ1 2026: $11.3BQ2 2026: $11BQ3 2026: $11.2B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$11.2B-4.3%
Q2 2026$11B-1.1%
Q1 2026$11.3B+0.1%
Q4 2025$12.4B+0.6%
Q3 2025$11.7B+1.1%
Q2 2025$11.1B-12%
Q1 2025$11.3B-9.3%
Q4 2024$12.4B-7.7%

NKE's revenue fell from its 2023 peak and has held roughly level since: $11.2B last quarter, down 4.3% from the same quarter a year ago.

DBI Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $51MQ1 2024: −$53MQ2 2024: −$36MQ3 2024: $28MQ4 2024: −$19MQ1 2025: $58MQ2 2025: −$28MQ3 2025: $12MQ4 2025: $57MQ1 2026: $36MQ2 2026: −$32MQ3 2026: $58M
Q4 2023: $51MQ1 2024: −$53MQ2 2024: −$36MQ3 2024: $28MQ4 2024: −$19MQ1 2025: $58MQ2 2025: −$28MQ3 2025: $12MQ4 2025: $57MQ1 2026: $36MQ2 2026: −$32MQ3 2026: $58M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$57.9M+386%
Q2 2026-$31.9M-$4.3M
Q1 2026$36.4M-37%
Q4 2025$57.5M+$76.7M
Q3 2025$11.9M-57%
Q2 2025-$27.6M+$8M
Q1 2025$58.1M+$110.9M
Q4 2024-$19.2M-138%

DBI has the edge over NKE on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

NKE Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $2.6BQ1 2024: $1.9BQ2 2024: $2.4BQ3 2024: $274MQ4 2024: $920MQ1 2025: $1.7BQ2 2025: $363MQ3 2025: $15MQ4 2025: $386MQ1 2026: $284MQ2 2026: $1.5BQ3 2026: −$64M
Q4 2023: $2.6BQ1 2024: $1.9BQ2 2024: $2.4BQ3 2024: $274MQ4 2024: $920MQ1 2025: $1.7BQ2 2025: $363MQ3 2025: $15MQ4 2025: $386MQ1 2026: $284MQ2 2026: $1.5BQ3 2026: −$64M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$64M-527%
Q2 2026$1.5B+313%
Q1 2026$284M-83%
Q4 2025$386M-58%
Q3 2025$15M-95%
Q2 2025$363M-85%
Q1 2025$1.7B-11%
Q4 2024$920M-65%

NKE usually generates cash, though not every quarter: the latest was −$64M, but it generated $2.1B over the past year.

DBI Total Shares

Q4 2023: 61MQ1 2024: 63MQ2 2024: 59MQ3 2024: 59MQ4 2024: 53MQ2 2025: 48MQ3 2025: 50MQ4 2025: 52MQ1 2026: 49MQ2 2026: 56MQ3 2026: 56M
Q4 2023: 61MQ1 2024: 63MQ2 2024: 59MQ3 2024: 59MQ4 2024: 53MQ2 2025: 48MQ3 2025: 50MQ4 2025: 52MQ1 2026: 49MQ2 2026: 56MQ3 2026: 56M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.1%+54K shares
1 year+13%+6.2M shares
3 years-17%-11.1M shares
5 years-27%-21M shares
Available history-23%-17M shares

DBI has 56M diluted shares, up 13% from a year ago.

NKE Total Shares

Q4 2023: 1.5BQ1 2024: 1.5BQ2 2024: 1.5BQ3 2024: 1.5BQ4 2024: 1.5BQ1 2025: 1.5BQ2 2025: 1.5BQ3 2025: 1.5BQ4 2025: 1.5BQ1 2026: 1.5BQ2 2026: 1.5BQ3 2026: 1.5B
Q4 2023: 1.5BQ1 2024: 1.5BQ2 2024: 1.5BQ3 2024: 1.5BQ4 2024: 1.5BQ1 2025: 1.5BQ2 2025: 1.5BQ3 2025: 1.5BQ4 2025: 1.5BQ1 2026: 1.5BQ2 2026: 1.5BQ3 2026: 1.5B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.2%+3.2M shares
1 year+0.4%+5.2M shares
3 years-3.8%-59.1M shares
5 years-8.4%-135M shares
Available history-6.9%-110M shares

NKE has the edge over DBI on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

DBI Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 1.8xQ1 2024: 2.7xQ2 2024: 3.3xQ3 2024: 4.4xQ4 2024: 5.4xQ1 2025: 4.5xQ2 2025: 5.8xQ3 2025: 6.0xQ4 2025: 4.3xQ1 2026: 3.5xQ2 2026: 3.2xQ3 2026: 2.3x
Q4 2023: 1.8xQ1 2024: 2.7xQ2 2024: 3.3xQ3 2024: 4.4xQ4 2024: 5.4xQ1 2025: 4.5xQ2 2025: 5.8xQ3 2025: 6.0xQ4 2025: 4.3xQ1 2026: 3.5xQ2 2026: 3.2xQ3 2026: 2.3x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20262.3xModerate
Q2 20263.2xElevated
Q1 20263.5xElevated
Q4 20254.3xHigh
Q3 20256.0xHigh
Q2 20255.8xHigh
Q1 20254.5xHigh
Q4 20245.4xHigh

DBI's net debt is about 2.3 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from 6.0 years a year ago.

NKE Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 0.1xQ1 2024: -0.0xQ2 2024: -0.1xQ3 2024: 0.1xQ4 2024: 0.2xQ1 2025: 0.1xQ2 2026: 0.1xQ3 2026: 0.2x
Q4 2023: 0.1xQ1 2024: -0.0xQ2 2024: -0.1xQ3 2024: 0.1xQ4 2024: 0.2xQ1 2025: 0.1xQ2 2026: 0.1xQ3 2026: 0.2x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20260.2xVery low
Q2 20260.1xVery low
Q1 20250.1xVery low
Q4 20240.2xVery low
Q3 20240.1xVery low
Q2 2024-0.1xNet Cash
Q1 2024-0.0xVery low
Q4 20230.1xVery low

NKE has the edge over DBI on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

DBI Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI52.6Neutral
Stochastic71.1Neutral

DBI's weekly RSI is 53 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 71 (neutral).

NKE Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI40.0Neutral
Stochastic57.5Neutral

NKE's weekly RSI is 40 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 58 (neutral).

DBI PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricDBISector medianRelative
PE21x18x19% above
PE %754728 pts above

DBI is trading at 21x earnings, a 19% premium to the Consumer Cyclical sector's median of 18x.

NKE PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricNKESector medianRelative
PE18x18x0.3% above
PE %24745 pts below

NKE has the edge over DBI on valuation relative to its sector.

DBI Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$6.252.9% above
20 week MA$5.967.9% above
50 week MA$6.551.8% below
100 week MA$5.1824% above
200 week MA$7.008.1% below

DBI has the edge over NKE on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

NKE Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$36.72.8% above
20 week MA$39.23.6% below
50 week MA$48.021% below
100 week MA$58.435% below
200 week MA$79.252% below

NKE has bounced recently, but its long-term trend is still down: it's above its 8-week average, but 52% below its 200-week average.

DBI Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$15.6$7.14-54%
2021$7.14$14.5+103%
2022$14.5$9.82-32%
2023$9.82$8.85-9.9%
2024$8.85$5.40-39%
2025$5.40$7.78+44%
2026 YTD$7.78$6.43-17%

DBI has the edge over NKE on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

NKE Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$101.6$141.6+39%
2021$141.6$165.7+17%
2022$165.7$116.3-30%
2023$116.3$108.6-6.6%
2024$108.6$76.4-30%
2025$76.4$60.9-20%
2026 YTD$60.9$37.8-38%

NKE has finished four years in a row lower, and it's down 38% so far in 2026.

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