DBI

Designer Brands Inc.

49
Fundamentals59/ 100
Valuation19/ 100
Upside potential65/ 100
Risk potential34/ 100

DBI offers stronger modeled upside, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.

NIO

NIO Inc.

56
Fundamentals77/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential58/ 100
Risk potential27/ 100

NIO has the edge over DBI overall, supported by stronger valuation and stronger fundamentals.

DBI Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Healthy
Healthy
Stable

DBI's profitability and cash flow are currently healthy, and its revenue and balance sheet are stable.

NIO Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Stable
Stable
Unavailable

NIO's revenue is currently strong, and its profitability and cash flow are stable. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.

DBI PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE31x62x93x124x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE31x62x93x124x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap4.9x$1.47-77%
Fair7x$2.10-67%
Forward12x$6.43—
Current21x$6.43—
Expensive25x$7.44+16%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

DBI's PE is in its expensive range at 21x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 12x next year's earnings, in its fair range.

NIO PE Valuation

NIO has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

DBI Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Stable
Stable
Limited
High

Analysts expect DBI's earnings to grow, with its revenue and profitability holding steady.

NIO Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Losses shrinking
Growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Moderate

NIO has the edge over DBI on the outlook, with more favorable revenue and profitability expectations.

DBI Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+63%$10.45
Downside-33%$4.28

Calculated from the latest close: $6.43 on Nov 12.

DBI has a better modeled risk to reward balance than NIO, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

NIO Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+38%$4.21
Downside-27%$2.22

Calculated from the latest close: $3.05 on Nov 12.

NIO trails DBI on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

DBI Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $1.55Q1 2024: $0.46Q2 2024: $0.30Q3 2024: $-0.02Q4 2024: $0.05Q1 2026: $-0.17Q2 2026: $0.21Q3 2026: $0.30Forward: $0.55
Q4 2023: $1.55Q1 2024: $0.46Q2 2024: $0.30Q3 2024: $-0.02Q4 2024: $0.05Q1 2026: $-0.17Q2 2026: $0.21Q3 2026: $0.30Forward: $0.55
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$0.55+82%
Q4 2024$0.05-97%
Q3 2024-$0.02-101%
Q2 2024$0.30-86%
Q1 2024$0.46-80%
Q4 2023$1.55-14%
Q3 2023$2.03-7.3%
Q2 2023$2.09-1.4%
Q1 2023$2.26+13%

DBI has the stronger earnings trend. Trailing diluted EPS is up 1,400% for DBI versus NIO down 117%.

NIO Earnings Per Share

Q3 2023: $-1.93Q4 2023: $-1.87Q1 2024: $-1.82Q2 2024: $-1.64Q3 2024: $-1.61Q4 2024: $-1.66Q1 2025: $-1.76Q2 2025: $-1.74Q3 2025: $-1.59Q4 2025: $-1.06Q1 2026: $-0.60Q2 2026: $-0.29
Q3 2023: $-1.93Q4 2023: $-1.87Q1 2024: $-1.82Q2 2024: $-1.64Q3 2024: $-1.61Q4 2024: $-1.66Q1 2025: $-1.76Q2 2025: $-1.74Q3 2025: $-1.59Q4 2025: $-1.06Q1 2026: $-0.60Q2 2026: $-0.29
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q2 2026-$0.29+$1.45
Q1 2026-$0.60+$1.16
Q4 2025-$1.06+$0.60
Q3 2025-$1.59+$0.02
Q2 2025-$1.74-$0.10
Q1 2025-$1.76+$0.06
Q4 2024-$1.66+$0.21
Q3 2024-$1.61+$0.32

NIO is still losing money, but far less than before: $0.29 per share over the past year, against $1.93 at its worst in late 2023.

DBI Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $786MQ1 2024: $754MQ2 2024: $747MQ3 2024: $772MQ4 2024: $777MQ1 2025: $714MQ2 2025: $687MQ3 2025: $740MQ4 2025: $752MQ1 2026: $714MQ2 2026: $696MQ3 2026: $731M
Q4 2023: $786MQ1 2024: $754MQ2 2024: $747MQ3 2024: $772MQ4 2024: $777MQ1 2025: $714MQ2 2025: $687MQ3 2025: $740MQ4 2025: $752MQ1 2026: $714MQ2 2026: $696MQ3 2026: $731M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$730.6M-1.2%
Q2 2026$696.4M+1.4%
Q1 2026$713.6M0%
Q4 2025$752.4M-3.2%
Q3 2025$739.8M-4.2%
Q2 2025$686.9M-8%
Q1 2025$713.6M-5.4%
Q4 2024$777.2M-1.2%

DBI's revenue fell from its 2019 peak and has held roughly level since: $731M last quarter, down 1.2% from the same quarter a year ago.

NIO Quarterly Revenue

Q3 2023: $2.9BQ4 2023: $2.6BQ1 2024: $1.5BQ2 2024: $2.6BQ3 2024: $2.8BQ4 2024: $3BQ1 2025: $1.8BQ2 2025: $2.9BQ3 2025: $3.3BQ4 2025: $5.2BQ1 2026: $3.8BQ2 2026: $4.8B
Q3 2023: $2.9BQ4 2023: $2.6BQ1 2024: $1.5BQ2 2024: $2.6BQ3 2024: $2.8BQ4 2024: $3BQ1 2025: $1.8BQ2 2025: $2.9BQ3 2025: $3.3BQ4 2025: $5.2BQ1 2026: $3.8BQ2 2026: $4.8B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q2 2026$4.8B+69%
Q1 2026$3.8B+112%
Q4 2025$5.2B+76%
Q3 2025$3.3B+17%
Q2 2025$2.9B+9%
Q1 2025$1.8B+21%
Q4 2024$3B+15%
Q3 2024$2.8B-2.1%

NIO has the edge over DBI on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

DBI Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $51MQ1 2024: −$53MQ2 2024: −$36MQ3 2024: $28MQ4 2024: −$19MQ1 2025: $58MQ2 2025: −$28MQ3 2025: $12MQ4 2025: $57MQ1 2026: $36MQ2 2026: −$32MQ3 2026: $58M
Q4 2023: $51MQ1 2024: −$53MQ2 2024: −$36MQ3 2024: $28MQ4 2024: −$19MQ1 2025: $58MQ2 2025: −$28MQ3 2025: $12MQ4 2025: $57MQ1 2026: $36MQ2 2026: −$32MQ3 2026: $58M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$57.9M+386%
Q2 2026-$31.9M-$4.3M
Q1 2026$36.4M-37%
Q4 2025$57.5M+$76.7M
Q3 2025$11.9M-57%
Q2 2025-$27.6M+$8M
Q1 2025$58.1M+$110.9M
Q4 2024-$19.2M-138%

DBI still generates free cash flow, though less than at its 2023 peak: $120M over the past year.

NIO Free Cash Flow

Q3 2023: --Q4 2023: $137MQ1 2024: $0Q2 2024: −$2.2BQ3 2024: $0Q4 2024: −$391MQ1 2025: $0Q2 2025: −$2.1BQ3 2025: $0Q4 2025: $0Q1 2026: $0Q2 2026: $0
Q3 2023: --Q4 2023: $137MQ1 2024: $0Q2 2024: −$2.2BQ3 2024: $0Q4 2024: −$391MQ1 2025: $0Q2 2025: −$2.1BQ3 2025: $0Q4 2025: $0Q1 2026: $0Q2 2026: $0
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q2 2026$0+$2.1B
Q1 2026$0$0
Q4 2025$0+$391.3M
Q3 2025$0$0
Q2 2025-$2.1B+$73.9M
Q1 2025$0$0
Q4 2024-$391.3M-386%
Q2 2024-$2.2B+$337.9M

NIO's free cash flow was $0 over the past year, against −$2.5B the year before.

DBI Total Shares

Q4 2023: 61MQ1 2024: 63MQ2 2024: 59MQ3 2024: 59MQ4 2024: 53MQ2 2025: 48MQ3 2025: 50MQ4 2025: 52MQ1 2026: 49MQ2 2026: 56MQ3 2026: 56M
Q4 2023: 61MQ1 2024: 63MQ2 2024: 59MQ3 2024: 59MQ4 2024: 53MQ2 2025: 48MQ3 2025: 50MQ4 2025: 52MQ1 2026: 49MQ2 2026: 56MQ3 2026: 56M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.1%+54K shares
1 year+13%+6.2M shares
3 years-17%-11.1M shares
5 years-27%-21M shares
Available history-23%-17M shares

DBI has 56M diluted shares, up 13% from a year ago.

NIO Total Shares

Q3 2023: 1.7BQ4 2023: 1.8BQ1 2024: 2BQ2 2024: 2BQ3 2024: 2.1BQ4 2024: 2.1BQ1 2025: 2.1BQ2 2025: 2.2BQ3 2025: 2.4BQ4 2025: 2.5BQ1 2026: 2.5BQ2 2026: 2.5B
Q3 2023: 1.7BQ4 2023: 1.8BQ1 2024: 2BQ2 2024: 2BQ3 2024: 2.1BQ4 2024: 2.1BQ1 2025: 2.1BQ2 2025: 2.2BQ3 2025: 2.4BQ4 2025: 2.5BQ1 2026: 2.5BQ2 2026: 2.5B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.6%+15.6M shares
1 year+12%+267M shares
3 years+51%+844M shares
5 years+60%+933M shares
Available history+143%+1.5B shares

NIO has the edge over DBI on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

DBI Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 1.8xQ1 2024: 2.7xQ2 2024: 3.3xQ3 2024: 4.4xQ4 2024: 5.4xQ1 2025: 4.5xQ2 2025: 5.8xQ3 2025: 6.0xQ4 2025: 4.3xQ1 2026: 3.5xQ2 2026: 3.2xQ3 2026: 2.3x
Q4 2023: 1.8xQ1 2024: 2.7xQ2 2024: 3.3xQ3 2024: 4.4xQ4 2024: 5.4xQ1 2025: 4.5xQ2 2025: 5.8xQ3 2025: 6.0xQ4 2025: 4.3xQ1 2026: 3.5xQ2 2026: 3.2xQ3 2026: 2.3x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20262.3xModerate
Q2 20263.2xElevated
Q1 20263.5xElevated
Q4 20254.3xHigh
Q3 20256.0xHigh
Q2 20255.8xHigh
Q1 20254.5xHigh
Q4 20245.4xHigh

DBI's net debt is about 2.3 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from 6.0 years a year ago.

NIO Net Leverage

NIO's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.

DBI Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI52.6Neutral
Stochastic71.1Neutral

DBI's weekly RSI is 53 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 71 (neutral).

NIO Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI30.7Neutral
Stochastic6.9Oversold

NIO's weekly RSI is 31 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 7 (oversold).

DBI PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricDBISector medianRelative
PE21x18x19% above
PE %754728 pts above

DBI is trading at 21x earnings, a 19% premium to the Consumer Cyclical sector's median of 18x.

NIO PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

NIO has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

DBI Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$6.252.9% above
20 week MA$5.967.9% above
50 week MA$6.551.8% below
100 week MA$5.1824% above
200 week MA$7.008.1% below

DBI has the edge over NIO on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

NIO Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$3.369.2% below
20 week MA$4.0124% below
50 week MA$4.8137% below
100 week MA$4.8537% below
200 week MA$6.0349% below

NIO is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 49% below its 200-week average.

DBI Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$15.6$7.14-54%
2021$7.14$14.5+103%
2022$14.5$9.82-32%
2023$9.82$8.85-9.9%
2024$8.85$5.40-39%
2025$5.40$7.78+44%
2026 YTD$7.78$6.43-17%

DBI has the edge over NIO on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

NIO Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$2.42$45.8+1791%
2021$45.8$30.5-33%
2022$30.5$11.0-64%
2023$11.0$9.07-17%
2024$9.07$4.48-51%
2025$4.48$5.10+14%
2026 YTD$5.10$3.05-40%

NIO's yearly returns have swung widely, from +1791% in 2020 to −64% in 2022. It's down 40% so far in 2026.

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