DBI

Designer Brands Inc.

49
Fundamentals59/ 100
Valuation19/ 100
Upside potential65/ 100
Risk potential34/ 100

DBI has lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.

LCID

Lucid Group, Inc.

52
Fundamentals65/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential62/ 100
Risk potential38/ 100

LCID has a slight edge over DBI overall, supported by stronger valuation and stronger fundamentals.

DBI Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Healthy
Healthy
Stable

DBI's profitability and cash flow are currently healthy, and its revenue and balance sheet are stable.

LCID Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Weak
Weak
Unavailable

LCID's revenue is currently healthy, but its profitability and cash flow are weak. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.

DBI PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE31x62x93x124x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE31x62x93x124x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap4.9x$1.47-77%
Fair7x$2.10-67%
Forward12x$6.43—
Current21x$6.43—
Expensive25x$7.44+16%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

DBI's PE is in its expensive range at 21x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 12x next year's earnings, in its fair range.

LCID PE Valuation

LCID has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

DBI Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Stable
Stable
Limited
High

Analysts expect DBI's earnings to grow, with its revenue and profitability holding steady.

LCID Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Losses shrinking
Strong growth
--
Limited
Low

Analysts expect LCID's losses to shrink, with revenue growing. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

DBI Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+63%$10.45
Downside-33%$4.28

Calculated from the latest close: $6.43 on Nov 12.

DBI has a better modeled risk to reward balance than LCID, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

LCID Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+63%$5.30
Downside-38%$2.02

Calculated from the latest close: $3.25 on Nov 12.

LCID trails DBI on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

DBI Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $1.55Q1 2024: $0.46Q2 2024: $0.30Q3 2024: $-0.02Q4 2024: $0.05Q1 2026: $-0.17Q2 2026: $0.21Q3 2026: $0.30Forward: $0.55
Q4 2023: $1.55Q1 2024: $0.46Q2 2024: $0.30Q3 2024: $-0.02Q4 2024: $0.05Q1 2026: $-0.17Q2 2026: $0.21Q3 2026: $0.30Forward: $0.55
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$0.55+82%
Q4 2024$0.05-97%
Q3 2024-$0.02-101%
Q2 2024$0.30-86%
Q1 2024$0.46-80%
Q4 2023$1.55-14%
Q3 2023$2.03-7.3%
Q2 2023$2.09-1.4%
Q1 2023$2.26+13%

DBI has the stronger earnings trend. Trailing diluted EPS is up 1,400% for DBI versus LCID down 224%.

LCID Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-13.60Q1 2024: $-12.30Q2 2024: $-11.70Q3 2024: $-13.00Q4 2024: $-12.50Q1 2025: $-11.90Q2 2025: $-11.30Q3 2025: $-10.51Q4 2025: $-12.09Q1 2026: $-13.15Q2 2026: $-13.65Q3 2026: $-13.08
Q4 2023: $-13.60Q1 2024: $-12.30Q2 2024: $-11.70Q3 2024: $-13.00Q4 2024: $-12.50Q1 2025: $-11.90Q2 2025: $-11.30Q3 2025: $-10.51Q4 2025: $-12.09Q1 2026: $-13.15Q2 2026: $-13.65Q3 2026: $-13.08
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026-$13.08-$2.57
Q2 2026-$13.65-$2.35
Q1 2026-$13.15-$1.25
Q4 2025-$12.09+$0.41
Q3 2025-$10.51+$2.49
Q2 2025-$11.30+$0.40
Q1 2025-$11.90+$0.40
Q4 2024-$12.50+$1.10

LCID is still losing money, but less than at its worst: $13.08 per share over the past year, against $16.50 at its worst in mid-2023.

DBI Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $786MQ1 2024: $754MQ2 2024: $747MQ3 2024: $772MQ4 2024: $777MQ1 2025: $714MQ2 2025: $687MQ3 2025: $740MQ4 2025: $752MQ1 2026: $714MQ2 2026: $696MQ3 2026: $731M
Q4 2023: $786MQ1 2024: $754MQ2 2024: $747MQ3 2024: $772MQ4 2024: $777MQ1 2025: $714MQ2 2025: $687MQ3 2025: $740MQ4 2025: $752MQ1 2026: $714MQ2 2026: $696MQ3 2026: $731M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$730.6M-1.2%
Q2 2026$696.4M+1.4%
Q1 2026$713.6M0%
Q4 2025$752.4M-3.2%
Q3 2025$739.8M-4.2%
Q2 2025$686.9M-8%
Q1 2025$713.6M-5.4%
Q4 2024$777.2M-1.2%

DBI's revenue fell from its 2019 peak and has held roughly level since: $731M last quarter, down 1.2% from the same quarter a year ago.

LCID Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $157MQ1 2024: $173MQ2 2024: $201MQ3 2024: $200MQ4 2024: $234MQ1 2025: $235MQ2 2025: $259MQ3 2025: $337MQ4 2025: $523MQ1 2026: $282MQ2 2026: $405MQ3 2026: $350M
Q4 2023: $157MQ1 2024: $173MQ2 2024: $201MQ3 2024: $200MQ4 2024: $234MQ1 2025: $235MQ2 2025: $259MQ3 2025: $337MQ4 2025: $523MQ1 2026: $282MQ2 2026: $405MQ3 2026: $350M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$350.3M+4.1%
Q2 2026$405.3M+56%
Q1 2026$282.5M+20%
Q4 2025$522.7M+123%
Q3 2025$336.6M+68%
Q2 2025$259.4M+29%
Q1 2025$235M+36%
Q4 2024$234.5M+49%

LCID has the edge over DBI on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

DBI Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $51MQ1 2024: −$53MQ2 2024: −$36MQ3 2024: $28MQ4 2024: −$19MQ1 2025: $58MQ2 2025: −$28MQ3 2025: $12MQ4 2025: $57MQ1 2026: $36MQ2 2026: −$32MQ3 2026: $58M
Q4 2023: $51MQ1 2024: −$53MQ2 2024: −$36MQ3 2024: $28MQ4 2024: −$19MQ1 2025: $58MQ2 2025: −$28MQ3 2025: $12MQ4 2025: $57MQ1 2026: $36MQ2 2026: −$32MQ3 2026: $58M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$57.9M+386%
Q2 2026-$31.9M-$4.3M
Q1 2026$36.4M-37%
Q4 2025$57.5M+$76.7M
Q3 2025$11.9M-57%
Q2 2025-$27.6M+$8M
Q1 2025$58.1M+$110.9M
Q4 2024-$19.2M-138%

DBI has the edge over LCID on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

LCID Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$747MQ1 2024: −$715MQ2 2024: −$741MQ3 2024: −$622MQ4 2024: −$825MQ1 2025: −$590MQ2 2025: −$1BQ3 2025: −$955MQ4 2025: −$1.2BQ1 2026: −$1.4BQ2 2026: −$1.5BQ3 2026: −$1B
Q4 2023: −$747MQ1 2024: −$715MQ2 2024: −$741MQ3 2024: −$622MQ4 2024: −$825MQ1 2025: −$590MQ2 2025: −$1BQ3 2025: −$955MQ4 2025: −$1.2BQ1 2026: −$1.4BQ2 2026: −$1.5BQ3 2026: −$1B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$1B-$84.2M
Q2 2026-$1.5B-$463.2M
Q1 2026-$1.4B-$849M
Q4 2025-$1.2B-$417.1M
Q3 2025-$955.5M-$333M
Q2 2025-$1B-$271.6M
Q1 2025-$589.9M+$125.1M
Q4 2024-$824.8M-$77.6M

LCID has burned cash in almost every quarter: −$5.2B over the past year, against −$3.4B the year before.

DBI Total Shares

Q4 2023: 61MQ1 2024: 63MQ2 2024: 59MQ3 2024: 59MQ4 2024: 53MQ2 2025: 48MQ3 2025: 50MQ4 2025: 52MQ1 2026: 49MQ2 2026: 56MQ3 2026: 56M
Q4 2023: 61MQ1 2024: 63MQ2 2024: 59MQ3 2024: 59MQ4 2024: 53MQ2 2025: 48MQ3 2025: 50MQ4 2025: 52MQ1 2026: 49MQ2 2026: 56MQ3 2026: 56M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.1%+54K shares
1 year+13%+6.2M shares
3 years-17%-11.1M shares
5 years-27%-21M shares
Available history-23%-17M shares

DBI has the edge over LCID on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

LCID Total Shares

Q4 2023: 208MQ1 2024: 230MQ2 2024: 231MQ3 2024: 232MQ4 2024: 245MQ1 2025: 304MQ2 2025: 306MQ3 2025: 312MQ4 2025: 313MQ1 2026: 328MQ2 2026: 382MQ3 2026: 395M
Q4 2023: 208MQ1 2024: 230MQ2 2024: 231MQ3 2024: 232MQ4 2024: 245MQ1 2025: 304MQ2 2025: 306MQ3 2025: 312MQ4 2025: 313MQ1 2026: 328MQ2 2026: 382MQ3 2026: 395M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+3.3%+12.5M shares
1 year+26%+82.4M shares
3 years+73%+166M shares

LCID has 395M diluted shares, up 26% from a year ago.

DBI Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 1.8xQ1 2024: 2.7xQ2 2024: 3.3xQ3 2024: 4.4xQ4 2024: 5.4xQ1 2025: 4.5xQ2 2025: 5.8xQ3 2025: 6.0xQ4 2025: 4.3xQ1 2026: 3.5xQ2 2026: 3.2xQ3 2026: 2.3x
Q4 2023: 1.8xQ1 2024: 2.7xQ2 2024: 3.3xQ3 2024: 4.4xQ4 2024: 5.4xQ1 2025: 4.5xQ2 2025: 5.8xQ3 2025: 6.0xQ4 2025: 4.3xQ1 2026: 3.5xQ2 2026: 3.2xQ3 2026: 2.3x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20262.3xModerate
Q2 20263.2xElevated
Q1 20263.5xElevated
Q4 20254.3xHigh
Q3 20256.0xHigh
Q2 20255.8xHigh
Q1 20254.5xHigh
Q4 20245.4xHigh

DBI's net debt is about 2.3 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from 6.0 years a year ago.

LCID Net Leverage

LCID's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.

DBI Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI52.6Neutral
Stochastic71.1Neutral

DBI's weekly RSI is 53 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 71 (neutral).

LCID Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI32.9Neutral
Stochastic7.1Oversold

LCID's weekly RSI is 33 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 7 (oversold).

DBI PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricDBISector medianRelative
PE21x18x19% above
PE %754728 pts above

DBI is trading at 21x earnings, a 19% premium to the Consumer Cyclical sector's median of 18x.

LCID PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

LCID has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

DBI Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$6.252.9% above
20 week MA$5.967.9% above
50 week MA$6.551.8% below
100 week MA$5.1824% above
200 week MA$7.008.1% below

DBI has the edge over LCID on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

LCID Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$3.537.9% below
20 week MA$4.8833% below
50 week MA$7.3356% below
100 week MA$15.479% below
200 week MA$31.990% below

LCID is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 90% below its 200-week average.

DBI Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$15.6$7.14-54%
2021$7.14$14.5+103%
2022$14.5$9.82-32%
2023$9.82$8.85-9.9%
2024$8.85$5.40-39%
2025$5.40$7.78+44%
2026 YTD$7.78$6.43-17%

DBI has the edge over LCID on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

LCID Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$98.9$100.4+1.5%
2021$100.4$376.4+275%
2022$376.4$67.0-82%
2023$67.0$42.1-37%
2024$42.1$32.0-24%
2025$32.0$11.4-64%
2026 YTD$11.4$3.25-72%

LCID has finished four years in a row lower, and it's down 72% so far in 2026.

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