CZNC

Citizens & Northern Corporation

58
Fundamentals64/ 100
Valuation45/ 100
Upside potential64/ 100
Risk potential13/ 100

CZNC's outlook is improving, though it still trails on the overall score.

MS

Morgan Stanley

62
Fundamentals71/ 100
Valuation48/ 100
Upside potential73/ 100
Risk potential11/ 100

MS has the edge over CZNC overall, supported by stronger modeled upside and stronger fundamentals.

CZNC Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
N/A
N/A

CZNC's revenue and profitability are currently healthy. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like CZNC.

MS Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
N/A
N/A

MS's revenue and profitability are currently healthy. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like MS.

CZNC PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE5.4x11x16x22x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE5.4x11x16x22x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward10x$28.02—
Cheap11x$23.17-17%
Fair13x$26.50-5.4%
Current14x$28.02—
Expensive16x$32.44+16%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

CZNC has the edge over MS in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

MS PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE5.5x11x17x22x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE5.5x11x17x22x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap11x$134-29%
Fair14x$178-5.7%
Forward14x$189—
Current15x$189—
Expensive18x$223+18%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

MS's PE is in its fair range at 15x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 14x next year's earnings.

CZNC Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Growth
Stable
Strongly improving
Limited
High

Analysts expect CZNC's earnings to grow and its profitability to improve, with its revenue holding steady.

MS Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Improving
Growth
Growth
Improving
Limited
Moderate

MS has the edge over CZNC on the outlook, with more favorable revenue expectations.

CZNC Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+23%$34.39
Downside-13%$24.41

Calculated from the latest close: $28.02 on Nov 12.

CZNC trails MS on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside and more potential downside.

MS Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+29%$243.85
Downside-11%$168.44

Calculated from the latest close: $189.17 on Nov 12.

MS has a better modeled risk to reward balance than CZNC, with more potential upside and less potential downside.

CZNC Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $1.57Q1 2024: $1.52Q2 2024: $1.53Q3 2024: $1.44Q4 2024: $1.69Q1 2025: $1.75Q2 2025: $1.75Q3 2025: $1.76Q4 2025: $1.52Q1 2026: $1.13Q2 2026: $1.52Q3 2026: $2.02Forward: $2.76
Q4 2023: $1.57Q1 2024: $1.52Q2 2024: $1.53Q3 2024: $1.44Q4 2024: $1.69Q1 2025: $1.75Q2 2025: $1.75Q3 2025: $1.76Q4 2025: $1.52Q1 2026: $1.13Q2 2026: $1.52Q3 2026: $2.02Forward: $2.76
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$2.76+37%
Q3 2026$2.02+15%
Q2 2026$1.52-13%
Q1 2026$1.13-35%
Q4 2025$1.52-10%
Q3 2025$1.76+22%
Q2 2025$1.75+14%
Q1 2025$1.75+15%
Q4 2024$1.69+7.6%

CZNC earned $2.02 per share over the past year, up 15% from the year before.

MS Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $5.18Q1 2024: $5.50Q2 2024: $6.08Q3 2024: $6.58Q4 2024: $7.95Q1 2025: $8.53Q2 2025: $8.84Q3 2025: $9.76Q4 2025: $10.21Q1 2026: $11.04Q2 2026: $12.37Q3 2026: $12.60Forward: $13.39
Q4 2023: $5.18Q1 2024: $5.50Q2 2024: $6.08Q3 2024: $6.58Q4 2024: $7.95Q1 2025: $8.53Q2 2025: $8.84Q3 2025: $9.76Q4 2025: $10.21Q1 2026: $11.04Q2 2026: $12.37Q3 2026: $12.60Forward: $13.39
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$13.39+6.3%
Q3 2026$12.60+29%
Q2 2026$12.37+40%
Q1 2026$11.04+29%
Q4 2025$10.21+28%
Q3 2025$9.76+48%
Q2 2025$8.84+45%
Q1 2025$8.53+55%
Q4 2024$7.95+53%

MS has the edge over CZNC on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

CZNC Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $25MQ1 2024: $26MQ2 2024: $27MQ3 2024: $27MQ4 2024: $28MQ1 2025: $27MQ2 2025: $29MQ3 2025: $30MQ4 2025: $37MQ1 2026: $37MQ2 2026: $39MQ3 2026: $40M
Q4 2023: $25MQ1 2024: $26MQ2 2024: $27MQ3 2024: $27MQ4 2024: $28MQ1 2025: $27MQ2 2025: $29MQ3 2025: $30MQ4 2025: $37MQ1 2026: $37MQ2 2026: $39MQ3 2026: $40M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$39.6M+34%
Q2 2026$39.4M+35%
Q1 2026$36.6M+36%
Q4 2025$36.9M+32%
Q3 2025$29.6M+8.3%
Q2 2025$29.3M+7.3%
Q1 2025$27M+4.9%
Q4 2024$28M+11%

CZNC has the edge over MS on sales, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.

MS Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $12.9BQ1 2024: $15.1BQ2 2024: $15BQ3 2024: $15.4BQ4 2024: $16.2BQ1 2025: $17.7BQ2 2025: $16.8BQ3 2025: $18.2BQ4 2025: $17.9BQ1 2026: $20.6BQ2 2026: $21.3BQ3 2026: $20.3B
Q4 2023: $12.9BQ1 2024: $15.1BQ2 2024: $15BQ3 2024: $15.4BQ4 2024: $16.2BQ1 2025: $17.7BQ2 2025: $16.8BQ3 2025: $18.2BQ4 2025: $17.9BQ1 2026: $20.6BQ2 2026: $21.3BQ3 2026: $20.3B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$20.3B+12%
Q2 2026$21.3B+27%
Q1 2026$20.6B+16%
Q4 2025$17.9B+10%
Q3 2025$18.2B+18%
Q2 2025$16.8B+12%
Q1 2025$17.7B+17%
Q4 2024$16.2B+26%

MS's revenue has grown year over year for 14 quarters in a row: $20.3B last quarter, up 12% from the same quarter a year ago.

CZNC Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $7MQ1 2024: $5MQ2 2024: $8MQ3 2024: $6MQ4 2024: $12MQ1 2025: $1MQ2 2025: $8MQ3 2025: $11MQ4 2025: $10MQ1 2026: $8MQ2 2026: $15MQ3 2026: $18M
Q4 2023: $7MQ1 2024: $5MQ2 2024: $8MQ3 2024: $6MQ4 2024: $12MQ1 2025: $1MQ2 2025: $8MQ3 2025: $11MQ4 2025: $10MQ1 2026: $8MQ2 2026: $15MQ3 2026: $18M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$18M+65%
Q2 2026$15.3M+90%
Q1 2026$8.5M+713%
Q4 2025$10.1M-14%
Q3 2025$10.9M+69%
Q2 2025$8M+0.7%
Q1 2025$1M-79%
Q4 2024$11.7M+71%

CZNC has the edge over MS on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

MS Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$17.8BQ1 2024: $4.4BQ2 2024: $2.5BQ3 2024: −$17.3BQ4 2024: $11.8BQ1 2025: −$24BQ2 2025: $11.8BQ3 2025: −$3.3BQ4 2025: −$2.4BQ1 2026: −$7.1BQ2 2026: −$2.7BQ3 2026: −$46B
Q4 2023: −$17.8BQ1 2024: $4.4BQ2 2024: $2.5BQ3 2024: −$17.3BQ4 2024: $11.8BQ1 2025: −$24BQ2 2025: $11.8BQ3 2025: −$3.3BQ4 2025: −$2.4BQ1 2026: −$7.1BQ2 2026: −$2.7BQ3 2026: −$46B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$46B-$42.7B
Q2 2026-$2.7B-123%
Q1 2026-$7.1B+$16.9B
Q4 2025-$2.4B-120%
Q3 2025-$3.3B+$14B
Q2 2025$11.8B+368%
Q1 2025-$24B-650%
Q4 2024$11.8B+$29.6B

MS's free cash flow was −$58.3B over the past year, against −$3.7B the year before. Free cash flow isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like MS.

CZNC Total Shares

Q4 2023: 15MQ1 2024: 15MQ2 2024: 15MQ3 2024: 15MQ4 2024: 15MQ1 2025: 15MQ2 2025: 15MQ3 2025: 15MQ4 2025: 16MQ1 2026: 18MQ2 2026: 18MQ3 2026: 18M
Q4 2023: 15MQ1 2024: 15MQ2 2024: 15MQ3 2024: 15MQ4 2024: 15MQ1 2025: 15MQ2 2025: 15MQ3 2025: 15MQ4 2025: 16MQ1 2026: 18MQ2 2026: 18MQ3 2026: 18M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.1%+21.5K shares
1 year+16%+2.4M shares
3 years+17%+2.6M shares
5 years+13%+2.1M shares
Available history+34%+4.5M shares

CZNC has 18M diluted shares, up 16% from a year ago.

MS Total Shares

Q4 2023: 1.6BQ1 2024: 1.6BQ2 2024: 1.6BQ3 2024: 1.6BQ4 2024: 1.6BQ1 2025: 1.6BQ2 2025: 1.6BQ3 2025: 1.6BQ4 2025: 1.6BQ1 2026: 1.6BQ2 2026: 1.6BQ3 2026: 1.6B
Q4 2023: 1.6BQ1 2024: 1.6BQ2 2024: 1.6BQ3 2024: 1.6BQ4 2024: 1.6BQ1 2025: 1.6BQ2 2025: 1.6BQ3 2025: 1.6BQ4 2025: 1.6BQ1 2026: 1.6BQ2 2026: 1.6BQ3 2026: 1.6B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.2%-3M shares
1 year-1.5%-24M shares
3 years-4.7%-77M shares
5 years-14%-246M shares
Available history-4.5%-74M shares

MS has the edge over CZNC on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

CZNC Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 0.5xQ1 2024: 1.3xQ2 2024: -1.4xQ3 2024: -4.5xQ4 2024: -2.5xQ1 2025: -2.1xQ2 2025: -1.7xQ3 2025: -2.3xQ4 2025: 0.7xQ1 2026: -0.1xQ2 2026: -1.3xQ3 2026: -1.5x
Q4 2023: 0.5xQ1 2024: 1.3xQ2 2024: -1.4xQ3 2024: -4.5xQ4 2024: -2.5xQ1 2025: -2.1xQ2 2025: -1.7xQ3 2025: -2.3xQ4 2025: 0.7xQ1 2026: -0.1xQ2 2026: -1.3xQ3 2026: -1.5x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-1.5xNet Cash
Q2 2026-1.3xNet Cash
Q1 2026-0.1xNet Cash
Q4 20250.7xVery low
Q3 2025-2.3xNet Cash
Q2 2025-1.7xNet Cash
Q1 2025-2.1xNet Cash
Q4 2024-2.5xNet Cash

CZNC has the edge over MS on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

MS Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 10.7xQ1 2024: 9.8xQ2 2024: 9.8xQ3 2024: 10.2xQ4 2024: 7.9xQ1 2025: 8.7xQ2 2025: 8.7xQ3 2025: 8.4xQ4 2025: 8.6xQ1 2026: 8.2xQ2 2026: 7.3xQ3 2026: 7.8x
Q4 2023: 10.7xQ1 2024: 9.8xQ2 2024: 9.8xQ3 2024: 10.2xQ4 2024: 7.9xQ1 2025: 8.7xQ2 2025: 8.7xQ3 2025: 8.4xQ4 2025: 8.6xQ1 2026: 8.2xQ2 2026: 7.3xQ3 2026: 7.8x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20267.8xHigh
Q2 20267.3xHigh
Q1 20268.2xHigh
Q4 20258.6xHigh
Q3 20258.4xHigh
Q2 20258.7xHigh
Q1 20258.7xHigh
Q4 20247.9xHigh

MS's net debt is about 7.8 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from 8.4 years a year ago. Net leverage isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like MS.

CZNC Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI71.4Overbought
Stochastic80.4Overbought

CZNC's weekly RSI is 71 (overbought) and its Stochastic is 80 (overbought).

MS Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI45.0Neutral
Stochastic18.7Oversold

MS's weekly RSI is 45 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 19 (oversold).

CZNC PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricCZNCSector medianRelative
PE14x13x6.6% above
PE %64631 pt above

CZNC has the edge over MS on valuation relative to its sector.

MS PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricMSSector medianRelative
PE15x13x15% above
PE %59634 pts below

MS is trading at 15x earnings, a 15% premium to the Financial Services sector's median of 13x.

CZNC Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$26.75% above
20 week MA$25.79.1% above
50 week MA$23.519% above
100 week MA$21.530% above
200 week MA$20.636% above

CZNC has the edge over MS on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

MS Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$186.51.5% above
20 week MA$203.36.9% below
50 week MA$191.91.4% below
100 week MA$164.915% above
200 week MA$129.346% above

MS's trend is mixed: it's above three of its five weekly moving averages, and 46% above its 200-week average.

CZNC Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$27.4$19.2-30%
2021$19.2$26.1+36%
2022$26.1$23.3-11%
2023$23.3$22.4-3.9%
2024$22.4$18.5-17%
2025$18.5$20.6+11%
2026 YTD$20.6$28.0+36%

CZNC has the edge over MS on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

MS Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$51.1$68.1+33%
2021$68.1$99.3+46%
2022$99.3$86.1-13%
2023$86.1$93.3+8.3%
2024$93.3$126.8+36%
2025$126.8$181.9+43%
2026 YTD$181.9$189.2+4%

MS has finished higher in five of the last six years. It's up 4% so far in 2026.

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