CWT

California Water Service Group

61
Fundamentals66/ 100
Valuation61/ 100
Upside potential59/ 100
Risk potential11/ 100

CWT has the edge over SMR overall, supported by stronger fundamentals and lower modeled downside.

SMR

NuScale Power Corporation

39
Fundamentals12/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential64/ 100
Risk potential40/ 100

SMR offers stronger modeled upside, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.

CWT Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Healthy
Strong
Weak

CWT's profitability and cash flow are currently healthy, and its revenue is stable, but its balance sheet is weak.

SMR Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Weak
Weak
Weak
Unavailable

SMR's revenue, profitability and cash flow are currently weak. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.

CWT PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE19x37x56x75x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE19x37x56x75x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward18x$49.39โ€”
Cheap20x$44.62-9.7%
Current22x$49.39โ€”
Fair27x$61.16+24%
Expensive43x$95.83+94%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

CWT's PE is in its fair range at 22x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 18x next year's earnings, in its cheap range.

SMR PE Valuation

SMR has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

CWT Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Improving
Growth
Growth
Weakening
Limited
Low

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for CWT, but weaker profitability. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

SMR Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Losses shrinking
Strong growth
--
Limited
High

Analysts expect SMR's losses to shrink, with revenue growing.

CWT Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+16%$57.17
Downside-11%$43.89

Calculated from the latest close: $49.39 on Nov 12.

CWT trails SMR on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

SMR Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+70%$8.20
Downside-40%$2.88

Calculated from the latest close: $4.82 on Nov 12.

SMR has a better modeled risk to reward balance than CWT, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

CWT Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $0.91Q1 2024: $2.52Q2 2024: $3.05Q3 2024: $3.48Q4 2024: $3.25Q1 2025: $2.26Q2 2025: $2.27Q3 2025: $2.27Q4 2025: $2.15Q1 2026: $2.00Q2 2026: $2.22Q3 2026: $2.24Forward: $2.68
Q4 2023: $0.91Q1 2024: $2.52Q2 2024: $3.05Q3 2024: $3.48Q4 2024: $3.25Q1 2025: $2.26Q2 2025: $2.27Q3 2025: $2.27Q4 2025: $2.15Q1 2026: $2.00Q2 2026: $2.22Q3 2026: $2.24Forward: $2.68
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$2.68+20%
Q3 2026$2.24-1.3%
Q2 2026$2.22-2.2%
Q1 2026$2.00-12%
Q4 2025$2.15-34%
Q3 2025$2.27-35%
Q2 2025$2.27-26%
Q1 2025$2.26-10%
Q4 2024$3.25+257%

CWT has the edge over SMR on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

SMR Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-0.80Q1 2024: $-0.85Q2 2024: $-1.03Q3 2024: $-0.95Q4 2024: $-1.47Q1 2025: $-1.37Q2 2025: $-1.19Q3 2025: $-2.86Q4 2025: $-2.43Q1 2026: $-2.46Q2 2026: $-2.46Q3 2026: $-0.72
Q4 2023: $-0.80Q1 2024: $-0.85Q2 2024: $-1.03Q3 2024: $-0.95Q4 2024: $-1.47Q1 2025: $-1.37Q2 2025: $-1.19Q3 2025: $-2.86Q4 2025: $-2.43Q1 2026: $-2.46Q2 2026: $-2.46Q3 2026: $-0.72
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026-$0.72+$2.14
Q2 2026-$2.46-$1.27
Q1 2026-$2.46-$1.09
Q4 2025-$2.43-$0.96
Q3 2025-$2.86-$1.91
Q2 2025-$1.19-$0.16
Q1 2025-$1.37-$0.52
Q4 2024-$1.47-$0.67

SMR is still losing money, but far less than before: $0.72 per share over the past year, against $2.86 at its worst in late 2025.

CWT Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $198MQ1 2024: $155MQ2 2024: $227MQ3 2024: $306MQ4 2024: $218MQ1 2025: $183MQ2 2025: $256MQ3 2025: $314MQ4 2025: $211MQ1 2026: $197MQ2 2026: $278MQ3 2026: $331M
Q4 2023: $198MQ1 2024: $155MQ2 2024: $227MQ3 2024: $306MQ4 2024: $218MQ1 2025: $183MQ2 2025: $256MQ3 2025: $314MQ4 2025: $211MQ1 2026: $197MQ2 2026: $278MQ3 2026: $331M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$331.2M+5.4%
Q2 2026$278M+8.5%
Q1 2026$197.3M+8%
Q4 2025$210.7M-3.3%
Q3 2025$314.1M+2.6%
Q2 2025$256.2M+13%
Q1 2025$182.7M+18%
Q4 2024$217.8M+10%

CWT's revenue is growing: $331M last quarter, up 5.4% from the same quarter a year ago.

SMR Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $5MQ1 2024: $1MQ2 2024: $967,000Q3 2024: $475,000Q4 2024: $34MQ1 2025: $13MQ2 2025: $8MQ3 2025: $8MQ4 2025: $2MQ1 2026: $565,000Q2 2026: $75,000Q3 2026: $281,000
Q4 2023: $5MQ1 2024: $1MQ2 2024: $967,000Q3 2024: $475,000Q4 2024: $34MQ1 2025: $13MQ2 2025: $8MQ3 2025: $8MQ4 2025: $2MQ1 2026: $565,000Q2 2026: $75,000Q3 2026: $281,000
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$281K-97%
Q2 2026$75K-99%
Q1 2026$565K-96%
Q4 2025$1.8M-95%
Q3 2025$8.2M+1635%
Q2 2025$8.1M+733%
Q1 2025$13.4M+870%
Q4 2024$34.2M+651%

SMR's revenue has slid since its 2024 peak: $281,000 last quarter, down 97% from the same quarter a year ago.

CWT Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $74MQ1 2024: $27MQ2 2024: $94MQ3 2024: $102MQ4 2024: $68MQ1 2025: $38MQ2 2025: $49MQ3 2025: $167MQ4 2025: $48MQ1 2026: $49MQ2 2026: $64MQ3 2026: $149M
Q4 2023: $74MQ1 2024: $27MQ2 2024: $94MQ3 2024: $102MQ4 2024: $68MQ1 2025: $38MQ2 2025: $49MQ3 2025: $167MQ4 2025: $48MQ1 2026: $49MQ2 2026: $64MQ3 2026: $149M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$149.3M-11%
Q2 2026$63.6M+30%
Q1 2026$49.4M+29%
Q4 2025$47.9M-30%
Q3 2025$167.3M+64%
Q2 2025$48.9M-48%
Q1 2025$38.4M+45%
Q4 2024$68.1M-8.4%

CWT has the stronger cash trend. Its trailing FCF is up 29% versus its history, compared with SMR at down 161%.

SMR Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: โˆ’$73MQ1 2024: โˆ’$33MQ2 2024: โˆ’$36MQ3 2024: โˆ’$13MQ4 2024: โˆ’$26MQ1 2025: โˆ’$23MQ2 2025: โˆ’$33MQ3 2025: --Q4 2025: โˆ’$204MQ1 2026: โˆ’$316MQ2 2026: โˆ’$59MQ3 2026: โˆ’$29M
Q4 2023: โˆ’$73MQ1 2024: โˆ’$33MQ2 2024: โˆ’$36MQ3 2024: โˆ’$13MQ4 2024: โˆ’$26MQ1 2025: โˆ’$23MQ2 2025: โˆ’$33MQ3 2025: --Q4 2025: โˆ’$204MQ1 2026: โˆ’$316MQ2 2026: โˆ’$59MQ3 2026: โˆ’$29M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q2 2026-$58.6M-$25.3M
Q1 2026-$316.2M-$293.3M
Q4 2025-$204.1M-$177.6M
Q2 2025-$33.3M+$2.7M
Q1 2025-$22.9M+$10.6M
Q4 2024-$26.5M+$46.8M
Q3 2024-$12.7M+$15M
Q2 2024-$36M+$4.5M

SMR has burned cash in almost every quarter: โˆ’$608M over the past year, against โˆ’$95M the year before.

CWT Total Shares

Q4 2023: 57MQ1 2024: 58MQ2 2024: 58MQ3 2024: 59MQ4 2024: 59MQ1 2025: 60MQ2 2025: 60MQ3 2025: 60MQ4 2025: 60MQ1 2026: 60MQ2 2026: 60MQ3 2026: 63M
Q4 2023: 57MQ1 2024: 58MQ2 2024: 58MQ3 2024: 59MQ4 2024: 59MQ1 2025: 60MQ2 2025: 60MQ3 2025: 60MQ4 2025: 60MQ1 2026: 60MQ2 2026: 60MQ3 2026: 63M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+3.4%+2.1M shares
1 year+4.8%+2.8M shares
3 years+8.2%+4.8M shares
5 years+21%+10.7M shares
Available history+30%+14.3M shares

CWT has the edge over SMR on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

SMR Total Shares

Q4 2023: 73MQ1 2024: 80MQ2 2024: 90MQ3 2024: 95MQ4 2024: 93MQ1 2025: 128MQ2 2025: 133MQ3 2025: 148MQ4 2025: 164MQ1 2026: 320MQ2 2026: 365MQ3 2026: 410M
Q4 2023: 73MQ1 2024: 80MQ2 2024: 90MQ3 2024: 95MQ4 2024: 93MQ1 2025: 128MQ2 2025: 133MQ3 2025: 148MQ4 2025: 164MQ1 2026: 320MQ2 2026: 365MQ3 2026: 410M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+13%+45.9M shares
1 year+178%+263M shares
3 years+448%+336M shares

SMR has 410M diluted shares, up 178% from a year ago.

CWT Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 6.0xQ1 2024: 4.3xQ2 2024: 3.8xQ3 2024: 3.5xQ4 2024: 3.7xQ1 2025: 4.6xQ2 2025: 4.7xQ3 2025: 4.5xQ4 2025: 4.9xQ1 2026: 5.2xQ2 2026: 5.0xQ3 2026: 4.7x
Q4 2023: 6.0xQ1 2024: 4.3xQ2 2024: 3.8xQ3 2024: 3.5xQ4 2024: 3.7xQ1 2025: 4.6xQ2 2025: 4.7xQ3 2025: 4.5xQ4 2025: 4.9xQ1 2026: 5.2xQ2 2026: 5.0xQ3 2026: 4.7x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20264.7xHigh
Q2 20265.0xHigh
Q1 20265.2xHigh
Q4 20254.9xHigh
Q3 20254.5xHigh
Q2 20254.7xHigh
Q1 20254.6xHigh
Q4 20243.7xElevated

CWT's net debt is about 4.7 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), up from 4.5 years a year ago.

SMR Net Leverage

SMR's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.

CWT Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI55.2Neutral
Stochastic65.7Neutral

CWT's weekly RSI is 55 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 66 (neutral).

SMR Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI29.5Oversold
Stochastic8.6Oversold

SMR's weekly RSI is 30 (oversold) and its Stochastic is 9 (oversold).

CWT PE vs Utilities Sector

MetricCWTSector medianRelative
PE22x20x8% above
PE %36448 pts below

CWT is trading at 22x earnings, in line with the Utilities sector's median of 20x.

SMR PE vs Utilities Sector

SMR has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

CWT Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$47.73.6% above
20 week MA$49.00.7% above
50 week MA$46.56.2% above
100 week MA$46.56.2% above
200 week MA$49.20.4% above

CWT has the edge over SMR on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

SMR Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$6.2623% below
20 week MA$7.8839% below
50 week MA$11.458% below
100 week MA$20.276% below
200 week MA$14.467% below

SMR is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 67% below its 200-week average.

CWT Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$51.5$53.0+2.9%
2021$53.0$69.4+31%
2022$69.4$61.8-11%
2023$61.8$51.9-16%
2024$51.9$45.6-12%
2025$45.6$43.4-4.9%
2026 YTD$43.4$49.4+14%

CWT has the edge over SMR on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

SMR Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$10.1$10.3+1.2%
2021$10.3$10.1-1.9%
2022$10.1$10.1+0.5%
2023$10.1$3.29-67%
2024$3.29$19.5+493%
2025$19.5$14.9-24%
2026 YTD$14.9$4.82-68%

SMR's yearly returns have swung widely, from +493% in 2024 to โˆ’67% in 2023. It's down 68% so far in 2026.

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