CVSA

Covista Inc.

68
Fundamentals67/ 100
Valuation61/ 100
Upside potential69/ 100
Risk potential18/ 100

CVSA has the edge over NKE overall, supported by stronger fundamentals and stronger modeled upside.

NKE

NIKE, Inc.

60
Fundamentals56/ 100
Valuation80/ 100
Upside potential58/ 100
Risk potential18/ 100

NKE offers stronger valuation, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.

CVSA Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Healthy
Healthy
Healthy

CVSA's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.

NKE Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Healthy
Stable
Strong

NKE's profitability and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its revenue and cash flow are stable.

CVSA PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE7.8x16x23x31x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE7.8x16x23x31x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap6x$44.17-63%
Forward13x$119—
Current16x$119—
Fair18x$135+14%
Expensive24x$173+46%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

CVSA's PE is in its fair range at 16x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 13x next year's earnings, in its cheap range.

NKE PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE21x43x64x86x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE21x43x64x86x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Current18x$37.76—
Cheap23x$47.70+26%
Forward30x$37.76—
Fair33x$68.16+80%
Expensive47x$97.86+159%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

NKE has the edge over CVSA in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

CVSA Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Growth
Improving
Limited
Moderate

CVSA has the edge over NKE on the outlook, with more favorable valuation and earnings expectations.

NKE Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly deteriorating
Stable
Decline
Improving
Moderate
Low

Analysts expect NKE's profitability to improve, but its revenue to decline. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

CVSA Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+39%$165.51
Downside-18%$97.67

Calculated from the latest close: $119.00 on Nov 12.

CVSA has a better modeled risk to reward balance than NKE, with more potential upside and less potential downside.

NKE Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+25%$47.36
Downside-18%$30.83

Calculated from the latest close: $37.76 on Nov 12.

NKE trails CVSA on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside and more potential downside.

CVSA Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $2.71Q1 2024: $2.64Q2 2024: $3.39Q3 2024: $4.32Q4 2024: $5.32Q1 2025: $5.98Q2 2025: $6.18Q3 2025: $6.67Q4 2025: $6.80Q1 2026: $6.41Q2 2026: $7.04Q3 2026: $7.32Forward: $9.18
Q4 2023: $2.71Q1 2024: $2.64Q2 2024: $3.39Q3 2024: $4.32Q4 2024: $5.32Q1 2025: $5.98Q2 2025: $6.18Q3 2025: $6.67Q4 2025: $6.80Q1 2026: $6.41Q2 2026: $7.04Q3 2026: $7.32Forward: $9.18
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$9.18+25%
Q3 2026$7.32+9.7%
Q2 2026$7.04+14%
Q1 2026$6.41+7.2%
Q4 2025$6.80+28%
Q3 2025$6.67+54%
Q2 2025$6.18+82%
Q1 2025$5.98+127%
Q4 2024$5.32+96%

CVSA has the edge over NKE on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

NKE Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $3.42Q1 2024: $3.40Q2 2024: $3.73Q3 2024: $3.49Q4 2024: $3.24Q1 2025: $3.01Q2 2025: $2.16Q3 2025: $1.95Q4 2025: $1.70Q1 2026: $1.51Q2 2026: $2.10Q3 2026: $2.09Forward: $1.27
Q4 2023: $3.42Q1 2024: $3.40Q2 2024: $3.73Q3 2024: $3.49Q4 2024: $3.24Q1 2025: $3.01Q2 2025: $2.16Q3 2025: $1.95Q4 2025: $1.70Q1 2026: $1.51Q2 2026: $2.10Q3 2026: $2.09Forward: $1.27
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$1.27-39%
Q3 2026$2.09+7.2%
Q2 2026$2.10-2.8%
Q1 2026$1.51-50%
Q4 2025$1.70-48%
Q3 2025$1.95-44%
Q2 2025$2.16-42%
Q1 2025$3.01-11%
Q4 2024$3.24-5.3%

NKE's earnings per share have fallen from their peak: $2.09 over the past year, against $3.82 in late 2021.

CVSA Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $393MQ1 2024: $413MQ2 2024: $410MQ3 2024: $417MQ4 2024: $448MQ1 2025: $466MQ2 2025: $457MQ3 2025: $462MQ4 2025: $503MQ1 2026: $487MQ2 2026: $501MQ3 2026: $512M
Q4 2023: $393MQ1 2024: $413MQ2 2024: $410MQ3 2024: $417MQ4 2024: $448MQ1 2025: $466MQ2 2025: $457MQ3 2025: $462MQ4 2025: $503MQ1 2026: $487MQ2 2026: $501MQ3 2026: $512M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$511.5M+11%
Q2 2026$501.4M+9.7%
Q1 2026$487M+4.5%
Q4 2025$503.4M+12%
Q3 2025$462.3M+11%
Q2 2025$457.1M+12%
Q1 2025$466.1M+13%
Q4 2024$447.7M+14%

CVSA has the edge over NKE on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

NKE Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $13.4BQ1 2024: $12.4BQ2 2024: $12.6BQ3 2024: $11.6BQ4 2024: $12.4BQ1 2025: $11.3BQ2 2025: $11.1BQ3 2025: $11.7BQ4 2025: $12.4BQ1 2026: $11.3BQ2 2026: $11BQ3 2026: $11.2B
Q4 2023: $13.4BQ1 2024: $12.4BQ2 2024: $12.6BQ3 2024: $11.6BQ4 2024: $12.4BQ1 2025: $11.3BQ2 2025: $11.1BQ3 2025: $11.7BQ4 2025: $12.4BQ1 2026: $11.3BQ2 2026: $11BQ3 2026: $11.2B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$11.2B-4.3%
Q2 2026$11B-1.1%
Q1 2026$11.3B+0.1%
Q4 2025$12.4B+0.6%
Q3 2025$11.7B+1.1%
Q2 2025$11.1B-12%
Q1 2025$11.3B-9.3%
Q4 2024$12.4B-7.7%

NKE's revenue fell from its 2023 peak and has held roughly level since: $11.2B last quarter, down 4.3% from the same quarter a year ago.

CVSA Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$22MQ1 2024: $141MQ2 2024: $44MQ3 2024: $79MQ4 2024: −$30MQ1 2025: $198MQ2 2025: $41MQ3 2025: $115MQ4 2025: $15MQ1 2026: $166MQ2 2026: $97MQ3 2026: $76M
Q4 2023: −$22MQ1 2024: $141MQ2 2024: $44MQ3 2024: $79MQ4 2024: −$30MQ1 2025: $198MQ2 2025: $41MQ3 2025: $115MQ4 2025: $15MQ1 2026: $166MQ2 2026: $97MQ3 2026: $76M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$76.4M-33%
Q2 2026$97.1M+139%
Q1 2026$165.9M-16%
Q4 2025$15.1M+$44.8M
Q3 2025$114.5M+45%
Q2 2025$40.7M-6.8%
Q1 2025$197.7M+40%
Q4 2024-$29.7M-$7.3M

CVSA has the edge over NKE on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

NKE Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $2.6BQ1 2024: $1.9BQ2 2024: $2.4BQ3 2024: $274MQ4 2024: $920MQ1 2025: $1.7BQ2 2025: $363MQ3 2025: $15MQ4 2025: $386MQ1 2026: $284MQ2 2026: $1.5BQ3 2026: −$64M
Q4 2023: $2.6BQ1 2024: $1.9BQ2 2024: $2.4BQ3 2024: $274MQ4 2024: $920MQ1 2025: $1.7BQ2 2025: $363MQ3 2025: $15MQ4 2025: $386MQ1 2026: $284MQ2 2026: $1.5BQ3 2026: −$64M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$64M-527%
Q2 2026$1.5B+313%
Q1 2026$284M-83%
Q4 2025$386M-58%
Q3 2025$15M-95%
Q2 2025$363M-85%
Q1 2025$1.7B-11%
Q4 2024$920M-65%

NKE usually generates cash, though not every quarter: the latest was −$64M, but it generated $2.1B over the past year.

CVSA Total Shares

Q4 2023: 41MQ1 2024: 40MQ2 2024: 40MQ3 2024: 39MQ4 2024: 38MQ1 2025: 38MQ2 2025: 38MQ3 2025: 37MQ4 2025: 36MQ1 2026: 35MQ2 2026: 36MQ3 2026: 35M
Q4 2023: 41MQ1 2024: 40MQ2 2024: 40MQ3 2024: 39MQ4 2024: 38MQ1 2025: 38MQ2 2025: 38MQ3 2025: 37MQ4 2025: 36MQ1 2026: 35MQ2 2026: 36MQ3 2026: 35M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-3.2%-1.1M shares
1 year-6.7%-2.5M shares
3 years-18%-7.6M shares
5 years-30%-15.1M shares
Available history-36%-19.5M shares

CVSA has the edge over NKE on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

NKE Total Shares

Q4 2023: 1.5BQ1 2024: 1.5BQ2 2024: 1.5BQ3 2024: 1.5BQ4 2024: 1.5BQ1 2025: 1.5BQ2 2025: 1.5BQ3 2025: 1.5BQ4 2025: 1.5BQ1 2026: 1.5BQ2 2026: 1.5BQ3 2026: 1.5B
Q4 2023: 1.5BQ1 2024: 1.5BQ2 2024: 1.5BQ3 2024: 1.5BQ4 2024: 1.5BQ1 2025: 1.5BQ2 2025: 1.5BQ3 2025: 1.5BQ4 2025: 1.5BQ1 2026: 1.5BQ2 2026: 1.5BQ3 2026: 1.5B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.2%+3.2M shares
1 year+0.4%+5.2M shares
3 years-3.8%-59.1M shares
5 years-8.4%-135M shares
Available history-6.9%-110M shares

NKE has 1.5B diluted shares, about the same as a year ago.

CVSA Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 1.9xQ1 2024: 1.7xQ2 2024: 1.5xQ3 2024: 1.2xQ4 2024: 1.2xQ1 2025: 0.9xQ2 2025: 0.9xQ3 2025: 0.7xQ4 2025: 1.1xQ1 2026: 0.8xQ2 2026: 0.6xQ3 2026: 0.6x
Q4 2023: 1.9xQ1 2024: 1.7xQ2 2024: 1.5xQ3 2024: 1.2xQ4 2024: 1.2xQ1 2025: 0.9xQ2 2025: 0.9xQ3 2025: 0.7xQ4 2025: 1.1xQ1 2026: 0.8xQ2 2026: 0.6xQ3 2026: 0.6x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20260.6xVery low
Q2 20260.6xVery low
Q1 20260.8xVery low
Q4 20251.1xHealthy
Q3 20250.7xVery low
Q2 20250.9xVery low
Q1 20250.9xVery low
Q4 20241.2xHealthy

CVSA's net debt is less than a year of its operating earnings (EBITDA).

NKE Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 0.1xQ1 2024: -0.0xQ2 2024: -0.1xQ3 2024: 0.1xQ4 2024: 0.2xQ1 2025: 0.1xQ2 2026: 0.1xQ3 2026: 0.2x
Q4 2023: 0.1xQ1 2024: -0.0xQ2 2024: -0.1xQ3 2024: 0.1xQ4 2024: 0.2xQ1 2025: 0.1xQ2 2026: 0.1xQ3 2026: 0.2x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20260.2xVery low
Q2 20260.1xVery low
Q1 20250.1xVery low
Q4 20240.2xVery low
Q3 20240.1xVery low
Q2 2024-0.1xNet Cash
Q1 2024-0.0xVery low
Q4 20230.1xVery low

NKE has the edge over CVSA on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

CVSA Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI47.3Neutral
Stochastic24.4Neutral

CVSA's weekly RSI is 47 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 24 (neutral).

NKE Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI40.0Neutral
Stochastic57.5Neutral

NKE's weekly RSI is 40 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 58 (neutral).

CVSA PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricCVSASector medianRelative
PE16x18x9.8% below
PE %334714 pts below

CVSA has the edge over NKE on valuation relative to its sector.

NKE PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricNKESector medianRelative
PE18x18x0.3% above
PE %24745 pts below

NKE is trading at 18x earnings, in line with the Consumer Cyclical sector's median of 18x.

CVSA Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$123.53.6% below
20 week MA$126.45.8% below
50 week MA$117.51.3% above
100 week MA$116.52.2% above
200 week MA$85.939% above

CVSA has the edge over NKE on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

NKE Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$36.72.8% above
20 week MA$39.23.6% below
50 week MA$48.021% below
100 week MA$58.435% below
200 week MA$79.252% below

NKE has bounced recently, but its long-term trend is still down: it's above its 8-week average, but 52% below its 200-week average.

CVSA Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$35.0$34.4-1.8%
2021$34.4$30.0-13%
2022$30.0$36.2+20%
2023$36.2$59.0+63%
2024$59.0$90.9+54%
2025$90.9$104.7+15%
2026 YTD$104.7$119.0+14%

CVSA has the edge over NKE on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

NKE Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$101.6$141.6+39%
2021$141.6$165.7+17%
2022$165.7$116.3-30%
2023$116.3$108.6-6.6%
2024$108.6$76.4-30%
2025$76.4$60.9-20%
2026 YTD$60.9$37.8-38%

NKE has finished four years in a row lower, and it's down 38% so far in 2026.

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