CVS

CVS Health Corporation

73
Fundamentals69/ 100
Valuation78/ 100
Upside potential81/ 100
Risk potential12/ 100

CVS has the edge over OSCR overall, supported by stronger valuation and lower modeled downside.

OSCR

Oscar Health, Inc.

69
Fundamentals85/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential61/ 100
Risk potential35/ 100

OSCR offers stronger fundamentals, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.

CVS Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Healthy
Healthy
Stable

CVS's profitability and cash flow are currently healthy, and its revenue and balance sheet are stable.

OSCR Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Healthy
Strong
Strong

OSCR's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.

CVS PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE57x114x170x227x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE57x114x170x227x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Current10x$89.79—
Cheap11x$97.03+8.1%
Forward11x$89.79—
Fair16x$137+53%
Expensive29x$254+182%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

CVS's PE is in its cheap range at 10x. On analysts' estimates for next year's earnings, today's price would be 11x.

OSCR PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE41x83x124x166x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE41x83x124x166x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward12x$31.94—
Current13x$31.94—
Cheap21x$52.73+65%
Fair35x$87.23+173%
Expensive130x$322+907%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

OSCR has the edge over CVS in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

CVS Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Stable
Strong growth
Growth
Stable
Limited
Low

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for CVS, with profitability holding steady. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

OSCR Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Improving
Strong growth
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Moderate

OSCR has the edge over CVS on the outlook, with more favorable valuation and profitability expectations.

CVS Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+50%$134.45
Downside-12%$79.37

Calculated from the latest close: $89.79 on Nov 12.

CVS has a better modeled risk to reward balance than OSCR, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

OSCR Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+55%$49.45
Downside-35%$20.78

Calculated from the latest close: $31.94 on Nov 12.

OSCR trails CVS on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

CVS Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $6.47Q1 2024: $5.70Q2 2024: $5.63Q3 2024: $3.95Q4 2024: $3.66Q1 2025: $4.19Q2 2025: $3.58Q3 2025: $0.38Q4 2025: $1.39Q1 2026: $2.28Q2 2026: $3.79Q3 2026: $8.60Forward: $8.46
Q4 2023: $6.47Q1 2024: $5.70Q2 2024: $5.63Q3 2024: $3.95Q4 2024: $3.66Q1 2025: $4.19Q2 2025: $3.58Q3 2025: $0.38Q4 2025: $1.39Q1 2026: $2.28Q2 2026: $3.79Q3 2026: $8.60Forward: $8.46
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$8.46-1.6%
Q3 2026$8.60+2163%
Q2 2026$3.79+5.9%
Q1 2026$2.28-46%
Q4 2025$1.39-62%
Q3 2025$0.38-90%
Q2 2025$3.58-36%
Q1 2025$4.19-26%
Q4 2024$3.66-43%

CVS's earnings per share have jumped to their highest in seven years: $8.60 over the past year, up from $0.38 the year before.

OSCR Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-1.22Q1 2024: $-0.42Q2 2024: $-0.15Q3 2024: $-0.08Q4 2024: $0.10Q1 2025: $0.40Q2 2025: $-0.69Q3 2025: $-1.00Q4 2025: $-1.69Q1 2026: $-0.54Q2 2026: $1.45Q3 2026: $2.47Forward: $2.61
Q4 2023: $-1.22Q1 2024: $-0.42Q2 2024: $-0.15Q3 2024: $-0.08Q4 2024: $0.10Q1 2025: $0.40Q2 2025: $-0.69Q3 2025: $-1.00Q4 2025: $-1.69Q1 2026: $-0.54Q2 2026: $1.45Q3 2026: $2.47Forward: $2.61
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$2.61+5.6%
Q3 2026$2.47+$3.47
Q2 2026$1.45+$2.14
Q1 2026-$0.54-235%
Q4 2025-$1.69-1790%
Q3 2025-$1.00-$0.92
Q2 2025-$0.69-$0.54
Q1 2025$0.40+$0.82
Q4 2024$0.10+$1.32

OSCR has the edge over CVS on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

CVS Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $93.8BQ1 2024: $88.4BQ2 2024: $91.2BQ3 2024: $95.4BQ4 2024: $97.7BQ1 2025: $94.6BQ2 2025: $98.9BQ3 2025: $103BQ4 2025: $106BQ1 2026: $100BQ2 2026: $106BQ3 2026: $108B
Q4 2023: $93.8BQ1 2024: $88.4BQ2 2024: $91.2BQ3 2024: $95.4BQ4 2024: $97.7BQ1 2025: $94.6BQ2 2025: $98.9BQ3 2025: $103BQ4 2025: $106BQ1 2026: $100BQ2 2026: $106BQ3 2026: $108B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$108.4B+5.4%
Q2 2026$106.1B+7.3%
Q1 2026$100.4B+6.2%
Q4 2025$105.7B+8.2%
Q3 2025$102.9B+7.8%
Q2 2025$98.9B+8.4%
Q1 2025$94.6B+7%
Q4 2024$97.7B+4.2%

CVS's revenue has grown year over year every quarter since late 2020: $108B last quarter, up 5.4% from the same quarter a year ago.

OSCR Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $1.4BQ1 2024: $2.1BQ2 2024: $2.2BQ3 2024: $2.4BQ4 2024: $2.4BQ1 2025: $3BQ2 2025: $2.9BQ3 2025: $3BQ4 2025: $2.8BQ1 2026: $4.6BQ2 2026: $4.9BQ3 2026: $5.1B
Q4 2023: $1.4BQ1 2024: $2.1BQ2 2024: $2.2BQ3 2024: $2.4BQ4 2024: $2.4BQ1 2025: $3BQ2 2025: $2.9BQ3 2025: $3BQ4 2025: $2.8BQ1 2026: $4.6BQ2 2026: $4.9BQ3 2026: $5.1B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$5.1B+72%
Q2 2026$4.9B+70%
Q1 2026$4.6B+53%
Q4 2025$2.8B+17%
Q3 2025$3B+23%
Q2 2025$2.9B+29%
Q1 2025$3B+42%
Q4 2024$2.4B+67%

OSCR has the edge over CVS on sales, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.

CVS Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$3.5BQ1 2024: $4.2BQ2 2024: $2.5BQ3 2024: −$1.4BQ4 2024: $1.1BQ1 2025: $3.8BQ2 2025: $1.3BQ3 2025: $98MQ4 2025: $2.6BQ1 2026: $3.4BQ2 2026: $5.7BQ3 2026: $3.9B
Q4 2023: −$3.5BQ1 2024: $4.2BQ2 2024: $2.5BQ3 2024: −$1.4BQ4 2024: $1.1BQ1 2025: $3.8BQ2 2025: $1.3BQ3 2025: $98MQ4 2025: $2.6BQ1 2026: $3.4BQ2 2026: $5.7BQ3 2026: $3.9B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$3.9B+3887%
Q2 2026$5.7B+338%
Q1 2026$3.4B-11%
Q4 2025$2.6B+139%
Q3 2025$98M+$1.5B
Q2 2025$1.3B-47%
Q1 2025$3.8B-9.2%
Q4 2024$1.1B+$4.6B

CVS generated $15.6B in free cash flow over the past year, up 147% from the year before.

OSCR Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $291MQ1 2024: $628MQ2 2024: $490MQ3 2024: −$508MQ4 2024: $340MQ1 2025: $870MQ2 2025: $500MQ3 2025: −$974MQ4 2025: $663MQ1 2026: $2.6BQ2 2026: $2.1BQ3 2026: −$1.2B
Q4 2023: $291MQ1 2024: $628MQ2 2024: $490MQ3 2024: −$508MQ4 2024: $340MQ1 2025: $870MQ2 2025: $500MQ3 2025: −$974MQ4 2025: $663MQ1 2026: $2.6BQ2 2026: $2.1BQ3 2026: −$1.2B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$1.2B-$238.2M
Q2 2026$2.1B+316%
Q1 2026$2.6B+200%
Q4 2025$662.8M+95%
Q3 2025-$973.7M-$466M
Q2 2025$499.8M+2.1%
Q1 2025$869.5M+38%
Q4 2024$340M+17%

OSCR has the edge over CVS on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

CVS Total Shares

Q4 2023: 1.3BQ1 2024: 1.3BQ2 2024: 1.3BQ3 2024: 1.3BQ4 2024: 1.3BQ1 2025: 1.3BQ2 2025: 1.3BQ3 2025: 1.3BQ4 2025: 1.3BQ1 2026: 1.3BQ2 2026: 1.3BQ3 2026: 1.3B
Q4 2023: 1.3BQ1 2024: 1.3BQ2 2024: 1.3BQ3 2024: 1.3BQ4 2024: 1.3BQ1 2025: 1.3BQ2 2025: 1.3BQ3 2025: 1.3BQ4 2025: 1.3BQ1 2026: 1.3BQ2 2026: 1.3BQ3 2026: 1.3B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.3%+4M shares
1 year+1.7%+22M shares
3 years+0.1%+1M shares
5 years-2.9%-38M shares
Available history-1.1%-14M shares

CVS has the edge over OSCR on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

OSCR Total Shares

Q4 2023: 222MQ1 2024: 294MQ2 2024: 304MQ3 2024: 243MQ4 2024: 266MQ1 2025: 306MQ2 2025: 256MQ3 2025: 259MQ4 2025: 262MQ1 2026: 330MQ2 2026: 333MQ3 2026: 346M
Q4 2023: 222MQ1 2024: 294MQ2 2024: 304MQ3 2024: 243MQ4 2024: 266MQ1 2025: 306MQ2 2025: 256MQ3 2025: 259MQ4 2025: 262MQ1 2026: 330MQ2 2026: 333MQ3 2026: 346M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+3.9%+13M shares
1 year+34%+87.2M shares
3 years+55%+123M shares
5 years+66%+138M shares
Available history+71%+143M shares

OSCR has 346M diluted shares, up 34% from a year ago.

CVS Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 3.0xQ1 2024: 3.2xQ2 2024: 3.2xQ3 2024: 4.2xQ4 2024: 4.6xQ1 2025: 3.8xQ2 2025: 4.0xQ3 2025: 6.1xQ4 2025: 6.1xQ1 2026: 5.1xQ2 2026: 3.9xQ3 2026: 2.5x
Q4 2023: 3.0xQ1 2024: 3.2xQ2 2024: 3.2xQ3 2024: 4.2xQ4 2024: 4.6xQ1 2025: 3.8xQ2 2025: 4.0xQ3 2025: 6.1xQ4 2025: 6.1xQ1 2026: 5.1xQ2 2026: 3.9xQ3 2026: 2.5x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20262.5xModerate
Q2 20263.9xElevated
Q1 20265.1xHigh
Q4 20256.1xHigh
Q3 20256.1xHigh
Q2 20254.0xHigh
Q1 20253.8xElevated
Q4 20244.6xHigh

CVS's net debt is about 2.5 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from 6.1 years a year ago.

OSCR Net Leverage

Q1 2024: -217.7xQ2 2024: -24.0xQ3 2024: -10.1xQ4 2024: -13.7xQ1 2025: -9.7xQ1 2026: -110.0xQ2 2026: -5.5xQ3 2026: -4.2x
Q1 2024: -217.7xQ2 2024: -24.0xQ3 2024: -10.1xQ4 2024: -13.7xQ1 2025: -9.7xQ1 2026: -110.0xQ2 2026: -5.5xQ3 2026: -4.2x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-4.2xNet Cash
Q2 2026-5.5xNet Cash
Q1 2026-110.0xNet Cash
Q1 2025-9.7xNet Cash
Q4 2024-13.7xNet Cash
Q3 2024-10.1xNet Cash
Q2 2024-24.0xNet Cash
Q1 2024-217.7xNet Cash

OSCR has the edge over CVS on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

CVS Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI48.6Neutral
Stochastic35.1Neutral

CVS's weekly RSI is 49 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 35 (neutral).

OSCR Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI58.7Neutral
Stochastic44.9Neutral

OSCR's weekly RSI is 59 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 45 (neutral).

CVS PE vs Healthcare Sector

MetricCVSSector medianRelative
PE10x26x60% below
PE %92920 pts below

CVS has the edge over OSCR on valuation relative to its sector.

OSCR PE vs Healthcare Sector

MetricOSCRSector medianRelative
PE13x26x50% below
PE %33532 pts below

OSCR is trading at 13x earnings, a 50% discount to the Healthcare sector's median of 26x, though its earnings don't support one.

CVS Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$88.91% above
20 week MA$95.05.4% below
50 week MA$87.62.5% above
100 week MA$77.017% above
200 week MA$72.923% above

CVS's trend is mixed: it's above four of its five weekly moving averages, and 23% above its 200-week average.

OSCR Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$31.22.3% above
20 week MA$31.12.8% above
50 week MA$22.939% above
100 week MA$19.365% above
200 week MA$15.5106% above

OSCR has the edge over CVS on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

CVS Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$74.4$68.0-8.6%
2021$68.0$101.3+49%
2022$101.3$93.6-7.6%
2023$93.6$79.0-16%
2024$79.0$44.5-44%
2025$44.5$79.6+79%
2026 YTD$79.6$89.8+13%

CVS has finished lower in four of the last six years. It's up 13% so far in 2026.

OSCR Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2021$31.0$8.02-74%
2022$8.02$2.21-72%
2023$2.21$9.15+314%
2024$9.15$13.8+51%
2025$13.8$14.9+8%
2026 YTD$14.9$31.9+114%

OSCR has the edge over CVS on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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