CVLT

Commvault Systems, Inc.

72
Fundamentals70/ 100
Valuation60/ 100
Upside potential69/ 100
Risk potential19/ 100

CVLT's outlook is improving, though it still trails on the overall score.

NVDA

NVIDIA Corporation

92
Fundamentals93/ 100
Valuation94/ 100
Upside potential95/ 100
Risk potential9/ 100

NVDA has the edge over CVLT overall, supported by stronger valuation and stronger modeled upside.

CVLT Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Healthy
Strong
Healthy

CVLT's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.

NVDA Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Strong
Strong
Strong

NVDA's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently strong.

CVLT PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE164x327x491x655x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE164x327x491x655x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward29x$166—
Cheap41x$78.75-53%
Current87x$166—
Fair91x$175+5.5%
Expensive123x$236+42%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

CVLT's PE is in its fair range at 87x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 29x next year's earnings, in its cheap range.

NVDA PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE63x127x190x253x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE63x127x190x253x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward12x$166—
Current21x$166—
Cheap44x$345+108%
Fair65x$511+207%
Expensive93x$734+342%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

NVDA has the edge over CVLT in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

CVLT Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Growth
Strongly improving
Moderate
High

CVLT has the edge over NVDA on the outlook, with more favorable profitability expectations.

NVDA Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Strong growth
Weakening
Broad
Moderate

Analysts expect strong earnings and revenue growth for NVDA, but weaker profitability.

CVLT Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+43%$236.79
Downside-19%$135.00

Calculated from the latest close: $166.16 on Nov 12.

CVLT trails NVDA on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside and more potential downside.

NVDA Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+189%$480.16
Downside-9%$150.78

Calculated from the latest close: $166.19 on Nov 12.

NVDA has a better modeled risk to reward balance than CVLT, with more potential upside and less potential downside.

CVLT Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-0.02Q1 2024: $3.75Q2 2024: $3.88Q3 2024: $3.94Q4 2024: $3.80Q1 2025: $1.68Q2 2025: $1.79Q3 2025: $1.77Q4 2025: $1.93Q1 2026: $1.58Q2 2026: $1.56Q3 2026: $1.92Forward: $5.73
Q4 2023: $-0.02Q1 2024: $3.75Q2 2024: $3.88Q3 2024: $3.94Q4 2024: $3.80Q1 2025: $1.68Q2 2025: $1.79Q3 2025: $1.77Q4 2025: $1.93Q1 2026: $1.58Q2 2026: $1.56Q3 2026: $1.92Forward: $5.73
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$5.73+199%
Q3 2026$1.92+8.5%
Q2 2026$1.56-13%
Q1 2026$1.58-6%
Q4 2025$1.93-49%
Q3 2025$1.77-55%
Q2 2025$1.79-54%
Q1 2025$1.68-55%
Q4 2024$3.80+$3.82

CVLT's earnings per share have fallen from their peak: $1.92 over the past year, against $3.94 in late 2024.

NVDA Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $0.76Q1 2024: $1.19Q2 2024: $1.71Q3 2024: $2.13Q4 2024: $2.54Q1 2025: $2.94Q2 2025: $3.10Q3 2025: $3.51Q4 2025: $4.03Q1 2026: $4.90Q2 2026: $6.53Q3 2026: $7.91Forward: $13.77
Q4 2023: $0.76Q1 2024: $1.19Q2 2024: $1.71Q3 2024: $2.13Q4 2024: $2.54Q1 2025: $2.94Q2 2025: $3.10Q3 2025: $3.51Q4 2025: $4.03Q1 2026: $4.90Q2 2026: $6.53Q3 2026: $7.91Forward: $13.77
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$13.77+74%
Q3 2026$7.91+125%
Q2 2026$6.53+111%
Q1 2026$4.90+67%
Q4 2025$4.03+59%
Q3 2025$3.51+65%
Q2 2025$3.10+81%
Q1 2025$2.94+147%
Q4 2024$2.54+234%

NVDA has the edge over CVLT on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

CVLT Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $217MQ1 2024: $223MQ2 2024: $225MQ3 2024: $233MQ4 2024: $263MQ1 2025: $275MQ2 2025: $282MQ3 2025: $276MQ4 2025: $314MQ1 2026: $312MQ2 2026: $314MQ3 2026: $312M
Q4 2023: $217MQ1 2024: $223MQ2 2024: $225MQ3 2024: $233MQ4 2024: $263MQ1 2025: $275MQ2 2025: $282MQ3 2025: $276MQ4 2025: $314MQ1 2026: $312MQ2 2026: $314MQ3 2026: $312M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$312.4M+13%
Q2 2026$314.1M+11%
Q1 2026$311.7M+13%
Q4 2025$313.8M+19%
Q3 2025$276.2M+18%
Q2 2025$282M+26%
Q1 2025$275M+23%
Q4 2024$262.6M+21%

CVLT's revenue has grown year over year for 14 quarters in a row: $312M last quarter, up 13% from the same quarter a year ago.

NVDA Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $18.1BQ1 2024: $22.1BQ2 2024: $26BQ3 2024: $30BQ4 2024: $35.1BQ1 2025: $39.3BQ2 2025: $44.1BQ3 2025: $46.7BQ4 2025: $57BQ1 2026: $68.1BQ2 2026: $81.6BQ3 2026: $96.2B
Q4 2023: $18.1BQ1 2024: $22.1BQ2 2024: $26BQ3 2024: $30BQ4 2024: $35.1BQ1 2025: $39.3BQ2 2025: $44.1BQ3 2025: $46.7BQ4 2025: $57BQ1 2026: $68.1BQ2 2026: $81.6BQ3 2026: $96.2B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$96.2B+106%
Q2 2026$81.6B+85%
Q1 2026$68.1B+73%
Q4 2025$57B+62%
Q3 2025$46.7B+56%
Q2 2025$44.1B+69%
Q1 2025$39.3B+78%
Q4 2024$35.1B+94%

NVDA has the edge over CVLT on sales, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.

CVLT Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $43MQ1 2024: $79MQ2 2024: $44MQ3 2024: $54MQ4 2024: $30MQ1 2025: $76MQ2 2025: $30MQ3 2025: $74MQ4 2025: $2MQ1 2026: $132MQ2 2026: $51MQ3 2026: $71M
Q4 2023: $43MQ1 2024: $79MQ2 2024: $44MQ3 2024: $54MQ4 2024: $30MQ1 2025: $76MQ2 2025: $30MQ3 2025: $74MQ4 2025: $2MQ1 2026: $132MQ2 2026: $51MQ3 2026: $71M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$70.9M-3.7%
Q2 2026$51.1M+71%
Q1 2026$131.8M+73%
Q4 2025$1.9M-94%
Q3 2025$73.6M+37%
Q2 2025$29.8M-32%
Q1 2025$76.2M-3.7%
Q4 2024$29.9M-30%

CVLT's free cash flow has been positive every quarter for seven years: $256M over the past year, up 22% from the year before.

NVDA Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: --Q1 2024: $11.2BQ2 2024: $15BQ3 2024: $13.5BQ4 2024: $16.8BQ1 2025: $15.6BQ2 2025: $26.2BQ3 2025: $13.5BQ4 2025: $22.1BQ1 2026: $34.9BQ2 2026: $48.6BQ3 2026: $21.4B
Q4 2023: --Q1 2024: $11.2BQ2 2024: $15BQ3 2024: $13.5BQ4 2024: $16.8BQ1 2025: $15.6BQ2 2025: $26.2BQ3 2025: $13.5BQ4 2025: $22.1BQ1 2026: $34.9BQ2 2026: $48.6BQ3 2026: $21.4B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$21.4B+59%
Q2 2026$48.6B+86%
Q1 2026$34.9B+124%
Q4 2025$22.1B+32%
Q3 2025$13.5B-0.3%
Q2 2025$26.2B+75%
Q1 2025$15.6B+38%
Q3 2024$13.5B+113%

NVDA has the edge over CVLT on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

CVLT Total Shares

Q4 2023: 45MQ1 2024: 45MQ2 2024: 45MQ3 2024: 45MQ4 2024: 45MQ1 2025: 45MQ2 2025: 45MQ3 2025: 45MQ4 2025: 45MQ1 2026: 45MQ2 2026: 42MQ3 2026: 42M
Q4 2023: 45MQ1 2024: 45MQ2 2024: 45MQ3 2024: 45MQ4 2024: 45MQ1 2025: 45MQ2 2025: 45MQ3 2025: 45MQ4 2025: 45MQ1 2026: 45MQ2 2026: 42MQ3 2026: 42M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.8%+352K shares
1 year-6.6%-3M shares
3 years-6%-2.7M shares
5 years-11%-5.4M shares
Available history-8.3%-3.8M shares

CVLT has the edge over NVDA on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

NVDA Total Shares

Q4 2023: 24.9BQ1 2024: 24.9BQ2 2024: 24.9BQ3 2024: 24.8BQ4 2024: 24.8BQ1 2025: 24.8BQ2 2025: 24.6BQ3 2025: 24.5BQ4 2025: 24.5BQ1 2026: 24.5BQ2 2026: 24.4BQ3 2026: 24.3B
Q4 2023: 24.9BQ1 2024: 24.9BQ2 2024: 24.9BQ3 2024: 24.8BQ4 2024: 24.8BQ1 2025: 24.8BQ2 2025: 24.6BQ3 2025: 24.5BQ4 2025: 24.5BQ1 2026: 24.5BQ2 2026: 24.4BQ3 2026: 24.3B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.4%-106M shares
1 year-1%-247M shares
3 years-2.8%-705M shares
5 years-4.1%-1B shares
Available history-1.8%-435M shares

NVDA has 24.3B diluted shares, down 1% from a year ago, with $55.3B in buybacks over the past year.

CVLT Net Leverage

Q4 2023: -11.0xQ1 2024: -3.8xQ2 2024: -3.5xQ3 2024: -3.8xQ4 2024: -3.3xQ1 2025: -3.7xQ2 2025: -4.0xQ3 2025: -2.1xQ4 2025: -1.6xQ1 2026: -0.2xQ2 2026: -0.6xQ3 2026: -0.1x
Q4 2023: -11.0xQ1 2024: -3.8xQ2 2024: -3.5xQ3 2024: -3.8xQ4 2024: -3.3xQ1 2025: -3.7xQ2 2025: -4.0xQ3 2025: -2.1xQ4 2025: -1.6xQ1 2026: -0.2xQ2 2026: -0.6xQ3 2026: -0.1x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-0.1xNet Cash
Q2 2026-0.6xNet Cash
Q1 2026-0.2xNet Cash
Q4 2025-1.6xNet Cash
Q3 2025-2.1xNet Cash
Q2 2025-4.0xNet Cash
Q1 2025-3.7xNet Cash
Q4 2024-3.3xNet Cash

CVLT has the edge over NVDA on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

NVDA Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 0.2xQ1 2024: 0.1xQ2 2024: 0.0xQ3 2024: -0.0xQ4 2024: -0.0xQ1 2025: -0.0xQ2 2025: -0.1xQ3 2025: -0.0xQ4 2025: -0.0xQ1 2026: -0.0xQ2 2026: -0.0xQ3 2026: 0.1x
Q4 2023: 0.2xQ1 2024: 0.1xQ2 2024: 0.0xQ3 2024: -0.0xQ4 2024: -0.0xQ1 2025: -0.0xQ2 2025: -0.1xQ3 2025: -0.0xQ4 2025: -0.0xQ1 2026: -0.0xQ2 2026: -0.0xQ3 2026: 0.1x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20260.1xVery low
Q2 2026-0.0xNet Cash
Q1 2026-0.0xNet Cash
Q4 2025-0.0xNet Cash
Q3 2025-0.0xNet Cash
Q2 2025-0.1xNet Cash
Q1 2025-0.0xVery low
Q4 2024-0.0xNet Cash

NVDA's net debt is less than a year of its operating earnings (EBITDA), after holding more cash than debt a year ago.

CVLT Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI62.2Neutral
Stochastic79.8Neutral

CVLT's weekly RSI is 62 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 80 (neutral).

NVDA Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI33.4Neutral
Stochastic18.1Oversold

NVDA's weekly RSI is 33 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 18 (oversold).

CVLT PE vs Technology Sector

MetricCVLTSector medianRelative
PE87x28x211% above
PE %43358 pts above

CVLT is trading at 87x earnings, a 211% premium to the Technology sector's median of 28x.

NVDA PE vs Technology Sector

MetricNVDASector medianRelative
PE21x28x25% below
PE %03535 pts below

NVDA has the edge over CVLT on valuation relative to its sector.

CVLT Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$157.75.4% above
20 week MA$146.713% above
50 week MA$121.836% above
100 week MA$143.915% above
200 week MA$119.839% above

CVLT has the edge over NVDA on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

NVDA Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$208.920% below
20 week MA$212.022% below
50 week MA$199.917% below
100 week MA$175.15.1% below
200 week MA$123.634% above

NVDA has fallen below most of its moving averages, though it's still 34% above its 200-week average.

CVLT Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$44.9$57.2+27%
2021$57.2$68.1+19%
2022$68.1$62.7-8.1%
2023$62.7$79.9+27%
2024$79.9$153.7+93%
2025$153.7$128.4-16%
2026 YTD$128.4$166.2+29%

CVLT has the edge over NVDA on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

NVDA Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$5.92$13.0+119%
2021$13.0$29.6+128%
2022$29.6$15.2-49%
2023$15.2$49.5+226%
2024$49.5$137.0+177%
2025$137.0$190.5+39%
2026 YTD$190.5$166.2-13%

NVDA's yearly returns have swung widely, from +226% in 2023 to −49% in 2022. It's down 13% so far in 2026.

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