CVI

CVR Energy, Inc.

63
Fundamentals78/ 100
Valuation34/ 100
Upside potential69/ 100
Risk potential23/ 100

CVI's fundamentals are strong, but it looks expensive: trading at 16x earnings, above its usual 9.3x. Analysts expect strong earnings growth.

CVI Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Healthy
Healthy
Strong

CVI's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.

CVI PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE92x184x276x367x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE92x184x276x367x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap4.4x$11.54-72%
Forward4.9x$41.06—
Fair9.1x$24.14-41%
Current16x$41.06—
Expensive38x$99.14+141%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

CVI's PE is in its expensive range at 16x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 4.9x next year's earnings, in its cheap range.

CVI Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Moderate

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for CVI, with profitability improving.

CVI Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+50%$61.60
Downside-23%$31.66

Calculated from the latest close: $41.06 on Nov 12.

CVI's one-year upside scenario is about twice its downside: +50% against −23%.

CVI Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $7.65Q1 2024: $6.52Q2 2024: $5.44Q3 2024: $0.69Q4 2024: $0.06Q1 2025: $-1.97Q2 2025: $-3.32Q3 2025: $1.64Q4 2025: $0.27Q1 2026: $-0.42Q2 2026: $0.69Q3 2026: $2.64Forward: $8.38
Q4 2023: $7.65Q1 2024: $6.52Q2 2024: $5.44Q3 2024: $0.69Q4 2024: $0.06Q1 2025: $-1.97Q2 2025: $-3.32Q3 2025: $1.64Q4 2025: $0.27Q1 2026: $-0.42Q2 2026: $0.69Q3 2026: $2.64Forward: $8.38
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$8.38+217%
Q3 2026$2.64+61%
Q2 2026$0.69+$4.01
Q1 2026-$0.42+$1.55
Q4 2025$0.27+350%
Q3 2025$1.64+138%
Q2 2025-$3.32-161%
Q1 2025-$1.97-130%
Q4 2024$0.06-99%

CVI's earnings per share have fallen from their peak: $2.64 over the past year, against $7.85 in late 2023.

CVI Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $2.2BQ1 2024: $1.9BQ2 2024: $2BQ3 2024: $1.8BQ4 2024: $1.9BQ1 2025: $1.6BQ2 2025: $1.8BQ3 2025: $1.9BQ4 2025: $1.8BQ1 2026: $2BQ2 2026: $2.7BQ3 2026: $3.3B
Q4 2023: $2.2BQ1 2024: $1.9BQ2 2024: $2BQ3 2024: $1.8BQ4 2024: $1.9BQ1 2025: $1.6BQ2 2025: $1.8BQ3 2025: $1.9BQ4 2025: $1.8BQ1 2026: $2BQ2 2026: $2.7BQ3 2026: $3.3B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$3.3B+69%
Q2 2026$2.7B+55%
Q1 2026$2B+20%
Q4 2025$1.8B-7%
Q3 2025$1.9B+6.1%
Q2 2025$1.8B-10%
Q1 2025$1.6B-12%
Q4 2024$1.9B-12%

CVI's revenue is growing: $3.3B last quarter, up 69% from the same quarter a year ago.

CVI Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$91MQ1 2024: $130MQ2 2024: $38MQ3 2024: $14MQ4 2024: $43MQ1 2025: −$246MQ2 2025: $135MQ3 2025: $125MQ4 2025: −$55MQ1 2026: $17MQ2 2026: $264MQ3 2026: $593M
Q4 2023: −$91MQ1 2024: $130MQ2 2024: $38MQ3 2024: $14MQ4 2024: $43MQ1 2025: −$246MQ2 2025: $135MQ3 2025: $125MQ4 2025: −$55MQ1 2026: $17MQ2 2026: $264MQ3 2026: $593M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$593M+374%
Q2 2026$264M+96%
Q1 2026$17M+$263M
Q4 2025-$55M-228%
Q3 2025$125M+793%
Q2 2025$135M+255%
Q1 2025-$246M-289%
Q4 2024$43M+$134M

CVI generated $819M in free cash flow over the past year, more than ten times what it generated the year before.

CVI Total Shares

Q4 2023: 101MQ1 2024: 101MQ2 2024: 101MQ3 2024: 101MQ4 2024: 101MQ1 2025: 101MQ2 2025: 101MQ3 2025: 101MQ4 2025: 101MQ1 2026: 101MQ2 2026: 101MQ3 2026: 101M
Q4 2023: 101MQ1 2024: 101MQ2 2024: 101MQ3 2024: 101MQ4 2024: 101MQ1 2025: 101MQ2 2025: 101MQ3 2025: 101MQ4 2025: 101MQ1 2026: 101MQ2 2026: 101MQ3 2026: 101M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly0%--
1 year0%--
3 years0%--
5 years0%--
Available history0%--

CVI has 101M diluted shares, about the same as a year ago.

CVI Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 1.1xQ1 2024: 0.8xQ2 2024: 1.0xQ3 2024: 2.3xQ4 2024: 2.6xQ1 2025: 13.2xQ3 2025: 1.9xQ4 2025: 2.1xQ1 2026: 2.2xQ2 2026: 1.5xQ3 2026: 0.6x
Q4 2023: 1.1xQ1 2024: 0.8xQ2 2024: 1.0xQ3 2024: 2.3xQ4 2024: 2.6xQ1 2025: 13.2xQ3 2025: 1.9xQ4 2025: 2.1xQ1 2026: 2.2xQ2 2026: 1.5xQ3 2026: 0.6x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20260.6xVery low
Q2 20261.5xHealthy
Q1 20262.2xModerate
Q4 20252.1xModerate
Q3 20251.9xHealthy
Q1 202513.2xHigh
Q4 20242.6xModerate
Q3 20242.3xModerate

CVI's net debt is less than a year of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from 1.9 years a year ago.

CVI Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI48.0Neutral
Stochastic46.2Neutral

CVI's weekly RSI is 48 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 46 (neutral).

CVI PE vs Energy Sector

MetricCVISector medianRelative
PE16x13x19% above
PE %66615 pts above

CVI is trading at 16x earnings, a 19% premium to the Energy sector's median of 13x.

CVI Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$52.722% below
20 week MA$44.06.7% below
50 week MA$34.918% above
100 week MA$30.336% above
200 week MA$29.838% above

CVI has pulled back, but its long-term trend is still up: it's below its 8- and 20-week averages, but 38% above its 200-week average.

CVI Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$32.0$11.6-64%
2021$11.6$16.2+40%
2022$16.2$31.7+95%
2023$31.7$30.3-4.4%
2024$30.3$18.5-39%
2025$18.5$26.0+41%
2026 YTD$26.0$41.1+58%

CVI is up 58% so far in 2026, after finishing lower in three of the previous six years.

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