CVGI
Commercial Vehicle Group, Inc.
CVGI has the edge over TSLA overall, supported by stronger valuation and stronger fundamentals.
TSLA
Tesla, Inc.
TSLA has lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.
CVGI Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Healthy | |
| Stable | |
| Under pressure | |
| Healthy |
CVGI's revenue and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its profitability is stable, but its cash flow is under pressure.
TSLA Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Healthy | |
| Stable | |
| Under pressure | |
| Strong |
TSLA's revenue and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its profitability is stable, but its cash flow is under pressure.
CVGI PE Valuation
CVGI has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year. If it returns to profit as analysts expect, today's price would be 24x next year's earnings.
TSLA PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cheap | 60x | $54.70 | -86% |
| Fair | 174x | $158 | -60% |
| Forward | 196x | $397 | — |
| Expensive | 415x | $378 | -4.9% |
| Current | 437x | $397 | — |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
TSLA's PE is in its expensive range at 437x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 196x next year's earnings, in its fair range.
CVGI Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| -- | |
| Returning to profit | |
| Strong growth | |
| Strongly improving | |
| Limited | |
| Low |
CVGI has the edge over TSLA on the outlook, with more favorable profitability expectations.
TSLA Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Strongly improving | |
| Growth | |
| Growth | |
| Stable | |
| Limited | |
| Low |
Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for TSLA, with profitability holding steady. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.
CVGI Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $0.15 | — |
| Q3 2026 | -$0.32 | +$1.32 |
| Q2 2026 | -$0.67 | +$0.47 |
| Q1 2026 | -$0.52 | +$0.53 |
| Q4 2025 | -$0.67 | +$0.16 |
| Q3 2025 | -$1.64 | -262% |
| Q2 2025 | -$1.14 | -220% |
| Q1 2025 | -$1.05 | -181% |
| Q4 2024 | -$0.83 | -156% |
CVGI is still losing money, but far less than before: $0.32 per share over the past year, against $1.64 at its worst in late 2025.
TSLA Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $2.03 | +123% |
| Q3 2026 | $0.91 | -39% |
| Q2 2026 | $1.08 | -38% |
| Q1 2026 | $1.09 | -40% |
| Q4 2025 | $1.08 | -47% |
| Q3 2025 | $1.50 | -59% |
| Q2 2025 | $1.73 | -51% |
| Q1 2025 | $1.82 | -53% |
| Q4 2024 | $2.04 | -53% |
TSLA has the edge over CVGI on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.
CVGI Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $208.1M | +36% |
| Q2 2026 | $195.2M | +14% |
| Q1 2026 | $171.5M | +1% |
| Q4 2025 | $154.8M | -5.2% |
| Q3 2025 | $152.5M | -11% |
| Q2 2025 | $172M | -25% |
| Q1 2025 | $169.8M | -27% |
| Q4 2024 | $163.3M | -27% |
CVGI's revenue is recovering but still below its 2023 peak: $208M last quarter, up 36% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 3.7% | +4.4 points |
| Q2 2026 | 0.8% | +0.3 points |
| Q1 2026 | 8.6% | +7.8 points |
| Q4 2025 | -1.2% | +2.1 points |
| Q3 2025 | -0.7% | -0.1 points |
| Q2 2025 | 0.5% | +0.1 points |
| Q1 2025 | 0.8% | -2 points |
| Q4 2024 | -3.2% | -5.5 points |
CVGI has the edge over TSLA on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
TSLA Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $28B | -0.2% |
| Q2 2026 | $28.2B | +26% |
| Q1 2026 | $22.4B | +16% |
| Q4 2025 | $24.9B | -3.1% |
| Q3 2025 | $28.1B | +12% |
| Q2 2025 | $22.5B | -12% |
| Q1 2025 | $19.3B | -9.2% |
| Q4 2024 | $25.7B | +2.1% |
TSLA has the edge over CVGI on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 2.6% | -3.2 points |
| Q2 2026 | 1.4% | -2.7 points |
| Q1 2026 | 4.2% | +2.1 points |
| Q4 2025 | 5.7% | -0.5 points |
| Q3 2025 | 5.8% | -5 points |
| Q2 2025 | 4.1% | -2.2 points |
| Q1 2025 | 2.1% | -3.4 points |
| Q4 2024 | 6.2% | -2 points |
TSLA's operating margin was 2.6% last quarter, down 3.2 points from the same quarter a year ago, near the bottom of its range since 2019.
CVGI Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -$3.5M | -$6K |
| Q2 2026 | -$1.4M | -108% |
| Q1 2026 | -$4.2M | -137% |
| Q4 2025 | $8.7M | +$39.3M |
| Q3 2025 | -$3.5M | +$16.8M |
| Q2 2025 | $17.4M | +173% |
| Q1 2025 | $11.4M | +$18.8M |
| Q4 2024 | -$30.6M | -908% |
CVGI's free cash flow was −$396,000 over the past year, against −$5M the year before.
TSLA Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $1.5B | -62% |
| Q2 2026 | -$1.1B | -848% |
| Q1 2026 | $1.4B | +117% |
| Q4 2025 | $1.4B | -30% |
| Q3 2025 | $4B | +46% |
| Q2 2025 | $146M | -89% |
| Q1 2025 | $664M | +$3.2B |
| Q4 2024 | $2B | -1.6% |
TSLA has the edge over CVGI on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.
CVGI Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +13% | +4.4M shares |
| 1 year | +16% | +5.3M shares |
| 3 years | +17% | +5.8M shares |
| 5 years | +20% | +6.5M shares |
| Available history | +27% | +8.4M shares |
CVGI has 39M diluted shares, up 16% from a year ago.
TSLA Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | 0% | +1M shares |
| 1 year | +0.4% | +15M shares |
| 3 years | +1.4% | +48M shares |
| 5 years | +5.1% | +172M shares |
| Available history | +33% | +886M shares |
TSLA has the edge over CVGI on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
CVGI Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 1.5x | Healthy |
| Q2 2026 | 2.0x | Healthy |
| Q1 2026 | 2.4x | Moderate |
| Q4 2025 | 5.2x | High |
| Q3 2025 | 7.7x | High |
| Q2 2025 | 6.7x | High |
| Q1 2025 | 7.9x | High |
| Q4 2024 | 5.9x | High |
CVGI's net debt is about 1.5 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from 7.7 years a year ago.
TSLA Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -1.1x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2026 | -0.8x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2026 | -0.9x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2025 | -1.1x | Net Cash |
| Q3 2025 | -1.4x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2025 | -1.1x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2025 | -1.1x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2024 | -1.0x | Net Cash |
TSLA has the edge over CVGI on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.
CVGI Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 51.3 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 35.2 | Neutral |
CVGI's weekly RSI is 51 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 35 (neutral).
TSLA Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 54.3 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 72.6 | Neutral |
TSLA's weekly RSI is 54 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 73 (neutral).
CVGI PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector
| Metric | CVGI | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | N/A | 18x | — |
CVGI has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
TSLA PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector
| Metric | TSLA | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 437x | 18x | 2,324% above |
| PE % | 84 | 47 | 37 pts above |
TSLA is trading at 437x earnings, a 2324% premium to the Consumer Cyclical sector's median of 18x.
CVGI Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $3.04 | 13% above |
| 20 week MA | $3.49 | 1.1% below |
| 50 week MA | $3.24 | 6.5% above |
| 100 week MA | $2.46 | 40% above |
| 200 week MA | $4.49 | 23% below |
CVGI's trend is mixed: it's above three of its five weekly moving averages, and 23% below its 200-week average.
TSLA Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $376.0 | 5.7% above |
| 20 week MA | $364.0 | 9.2% above |
| 50 week MA | $393.6 | 1% above |
| 100 week MA | $372.1 | 6.8% above |
| 200 week MA | $296.9 | 34% above |
TSLA has the edge over CVGI on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.
CVGI Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $6.29 | $8.52 | +35% |
| 2021 | $8.52 | $7.55 | -11% |
| 2022 | $7.55 | $6.63 | -12% |
| 2023 | $6.63 | $7.01 | +5.7% |
| 2024 | $7.01 | $2.34 | -67% |
| 2025 | $2.34 | $1.50 | -36% |
| 2026 YTD | $1.50 | $3.45 | +130% |
CVGI has the edge over TSLA on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.
TSLA Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $28.7 | $220.6 | +669% |
| 2021 | $220.6 | $355.7 | +61% |
| 2022 | $355.7 | $123.2 | -65% |
| 2023 | $123.2 | $248.5 | +102% |
| 2024 | $248.5 | $431.7 | +74% |
| 2025 | $431.7 | $475.2 | +10% |
| 2026 YTD | $475.2 | $397.5 | -16% |
TSLA's yearly returns have swung widely, from +669% in 2020 to −65% in 2022. It's down 16% so far in 2026.