CVGI
Commercial Vehicle Group, Inc.
CVGI has the edge over RIVN overall, supported by stronger fundamentals and stronger modeled upside.
RIVN
Rivian Automotive, Inc.
RIVN has lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.
CVGI Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Healthy | |
| Stable | |
| Under pressure | |
| Healthy |
CVGI's revenue and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its profitability is stable, but its cash flow is under pressure.
RIVN Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Healthy | |
| Weak | |
| Weak | |
| Unavailable |
RIVN's revenue is currently healthy, but its profitability and cash flow are weak. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.
CVGI PE Valuation
CVGI has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year. If it returns to profit as analysts expect, today's price would be 24x next year's earnings.
RIVN PE Valuation
RIVN has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
CVGI Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| -- | |
| Returning to profit | |
| Strong growth | |
| Strongly improving | |
| Limited | |
| Low |
Analysts expect CVGI to return to profit, with revenue growing. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.
RIVN Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| -- | |
| Losses shrinking | |
| Strong growth | |
| Strongly improving | |
| Limited | |
| Low |
Analysts expect RIVN's losses to shrink, with revenue growing. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.
CVGI Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $0.15 | — |
| Q3 2026 | -$0.32 | +$1.32 |
| Q2 2026 | -$0.67 | +$0.47 |
| Q1 2026 | -$0.52 | +$0.53 |
| Q4 2025 | -$0.67 | +$0.16 |
| Q3 2025 | -$1.64 | -262% |
| Q2 2025 | -$1.14 | -220% |
| Q1 2025 | -$1.05 | -181% |
| Q4 2024 | -$0.83 | -156% |
CVGI is still losing money, but far less than before: $0.32 per share over the past year, against $1.64 at its worst in late 2025.
RIVN Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -$2.25 | +$0.83 |
| Q2 2026 | -$2.58 | +$0.62 |
| Q1 2026 | -$2.92 | +$0.77 |
| Q4 2025 | -$3.07 | +$1.62 |
| Q3 2025 | -$3.08 | +$2.52 |
| Q2 2025 | -$3.20 | +$2.76 |
| Q1 2025 | -$3.69 | +$2.08 |
| Q4 2024 | -$4.69 | +$1.05 |
RIVN has the edge over CVGI on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
CVGI Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $208.1M | +36% |
| Q2 2026 | $195.2M | +14% |
| Q1 2026 | $171.5M | +1% |
| Q4 2025 | $154.8M | -5.2% |
| Q3 2025 | $152.5M | -11% |
| Q2 2025 | $172M | -25% |
| Q1 2025 | $169.8M | -27% |
| Q4 2024 | $163.3M | -27% |
CVGI's revenue is recovering but still below its 2023 peak: $208M last quarter, up 36% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 3.7% | +4.4 points |
| Q2 2026 | 0.8% | +0.3 points |
| Q1 2026 | 8.6% | +7.8 points |
| Q4 2025 | -1.2% | +2.1 points |
| Q3 2025 | -0.7% | -0.1 points |
| Q2 2025 | 0.5% | +0.1 points |
| Q1 2025 | 0.8% | -2 points |
| Q4 2024 | -3.2% | -5.5 points |
CVGI has the edge over RIVN on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
RIVN Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $2.2B | +38% |
| Q2 2026 | $1.7B | +27% |
| Q1 2026 | $1.4B | +11% |
| Q4 2025 | $1.3B | -26% |
| Q3 2025 | $1.6B | +78% |
| Q2 2025 | $1.3B | +13% |
| Q1 2025 | $1.2B | +3% |
| Q4 2024 | $1.7B | +32% |
RIVN has the edge over CVGI on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -41% | +22 points |
| Q2 2026 | -50% | +35 points |
| Q1 2026 | -64% | -11 points |
| Q4 2025 | -65% | -27 points |
| Q3 2025 | -63% | +71 points |
| Q2 2025 | -86% | +33 points |
| Q1 2025 | -53% | +70 points |
| Q4 2024 | -38% | +82 points |
RIVN's operating margin was −41% last quarter, up 22 points from the same quarter a year ago, near the top of its range since 2021.
CVGI Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -$3.5M | -$6K |
| Q2 2026 | -$1.4M | -108% |
| Q1 2026 | -$4.2M | -137% |
| Q4 2025 | $8.7M | +$39.3M |
| Q3 2025 | -$3.5M | +$16.8M |
| Q2 2025 | $17.4M | +173% |
| Q1 2025 | $11.4M | +$18.8M |
| Q4 2024 | -$30.6M | -908% |
CVGI's free cash flow was −$396,000 over the past year, against −$5M the year before.
RIVN Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -$1.1B | -$703M |
| Q2 2026 | -$849M | -$451M |
| Q1 2026 | -$1.1B | -$549M |
| Q4 2025 | -$1.1B | -234% |
| Q3 2025 | -$421M | +$732M |
| Q2 2025 | -$398M | +$639M |
| Q1 2025 | -$526M | +$997M |
| Q4 2024 | $856M | +$2.3B |
RIVN has burned cash in almost every quarter: −$4.2B over the past year, against −$489M the year before.
CVGI Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +13% | +4.4M shares |
| 1 year | +16% | +5.3M shares |
| 3 years | +17% | +5.8M shares |
| 5 years | +20% | +6.5M shares |
| Available history | +27% | +8.4M shares |
CVGI has the edge over RIVN on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
RIVN Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +9.1% | +121M shares |
| 1 year | +19% | +226M shares |
| 3 years | +52% | +494M shares |
RIVN has 1.4B diluted shares, up 19% from a year ago.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q2 2021 | — |
| Q1 2021 | — |
| Q4 2020 | $6M |
| Q3 2020 | — |
| Q2 2020 | — |
| Q1 2020 | — |
CVGI Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 1.5x | Healthy |
| Q2 2026 | 2.0x | Healthy |
| Q1 2026 | 2.4x | Moderate |
| Q4 2025 | 5.2x | High |
| Q3 2025 | 7.7x | High |
| Q2 2025 | 6.7x | High |
| Q1 2025 | 7.9x | High |
| Q4 2024 | 5.9x | High |
CVGI's net debt is about 1.5 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from 7.7 years a year ago.
RIVN Net Leverage
RIVN's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.
CVGI Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 51.3 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 35.2 | Neutral |
CVGI's weekly RSI is 51 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 35 (neutral).
RIVN Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 41.5 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 25.6 | Neutral |
RIVN's weekly RSI is 41 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 26 (neutral).
CVGI PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector
| Metric | CVGI | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | N/A | 18x | — |
CVGI has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
RIVN PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector
RIVN has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
CVGI Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $3.04 | 13% above |
| 20 week MA | $3.49 | 1.1% below |
| 50 week MA | $3.24 | 6.5% above |
| 100 week MA | $2.46 | 40% above |
| 200 week MA | $4.49 | 23% below |
CVGI has the edge over RIVN on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.
RIVN Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $13.3 | 3.9% below |
| 20 week MA | $15.1 | 15% below |
| 50 week MA | $15.9 | 19% below |
| 100 week MA | $14.7 | 13% below |
| 200 week MA | $15.1 | 15% below |
RIVN is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 15% below its 200-week average.
CVGI Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $6.29 | $8.52 | +35% |
| 2021 | $8.52 | $7.55 | -11% |
| 2022 | $7.55 | $6.63 | -12% |
| 2023 | $6.63 | $7.01 | +5.7% |
| 2024 | $7.01 | $2.34 | -67% |
| 2025 | $2.34 | $1.50 | -36% |
| 2026 YTD | $1.50 | $3.45 | +130% |
CVGI has the edge over RIVN on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.
RIVN Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | $130.0 | $96.8 | -25% |
| 2022 | $96.8 | $19.1 | -80% |
| 2023 | $19.1 | $23.5 | +23% |
| 2024 | $23.5 | $13.7 | -42% |
| 2025 | $13.7 | $20.9 | +53% |
| 2026 YTD | $20.9 | $12.8 | -39% |
RIVN has finished lower in three of the last five years. It's down 39% so far in 2026.