CVGI

Commercial Vehicle Group, Inc.

61
Fundamentals65/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential64/ 100
Risk potential44/ 100

CVGI has the edge over LCID overall, supported by stronger modeled upside.

LCID

Lucid Group, Inc.

52
Fundamentals65/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential62/ 100
Risk potential38/ 100

LCID has lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.

CVGI Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Stable
Under pressure
Healthy

CVGI's revenue and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its profitability is stable, but its cash flow is under pressure.

LCID Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Weak
Weak
Unavailable

LCID's revenue is currently healthy, but its profitability and cash flow are weak. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.

CVGI PE Valuation

CVGI has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year. If it returns to profit as analysts expect, today's price would be 24x next year's earnings.

LCID PE Valuation

LCID has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

CVGI Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Returning to profit
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Low

Analysts expect CVGI to return to profit, with revenue growing. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

LCID Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Losses shrinking
Strong growth
--
Limited
Low

Analysts expect LCID's losses to shrink, with revenue growing. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

CVGI Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+78%$6.15
Downside-44%$1.94

Calculated from the latest close: $3.45 on Nov 12.

CVGI has a better modeled risk to reward balance than LCID, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

LCID Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+63%$5.30
Downside-38%$2.02

Calculated from the latest close: $3.25 on Nov 12.

LCID trails CVGI on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

CVGI Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $1.47Q1 2024: $1.30Q2 2024: $0.95Q3 2024: $1.01Q4 2024: $-0.83Q1 2025: $-1.05Q2 2025: $-1.14Q3 2025: $-1.64Q4 2025: $-0.67Q1 2026: $-0.52Q2 2026: $-0.67Q3 2026: $-0.32Forward: $0.15
Q4 2023: $1.47Q1 2024: $1.30Q2 2024: $0.95Q3 2024: $1.01Q4 2024: $-0.83Q1 2025: $-1.05Q2 2025: $-1.14Q3 2025: $-1.64Q4 2025: $-0.67Q1 2026: $-0.52Q2 2026: $-0.67Q3 2026: $-0.32Forward: $0.15
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$0.15—
Q3 2026-$0.32+$1.32
Q2 2026-$0.67+$0.47
Q1 2026-$0.52+$0.53
Q4 2025-$0.67+$0.16
Q3 2025-$1.64-262%
Q2 2025-$1.14-220%
Q1 2025-$1.05-181%
Q4 2024-$0.83-156%

CVGI is still losing money, but far less than before: $0.32 per share over the past year, against $1.64 at its worst in late 2025.

LCID Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-13.60Q1 2024: $-12.30Q2 2024: $-11.70Q3 2024: $-13.00Q4 2024: $-12.50Q1 2025: $-11.90Q2 2025: $-11.30Q3 2025: $-10.51Q4 2025: $-12.09Q1 2026: $-13.15Q2 2026: $-13.65Q3 2026: $-13.08
Q4 2023: $-13.60Q1 2024: $-12.30Q2 2024: $-11.70Q3 2024: $-13.00Q4 2024: $-12.50Q1 2025: $-11.90Q2 2025: $-11.30Q3 2025: $-10.51Q4 2025: $-12.09Q1 2026: $-13.15Q2 2026: $-13.65Q3 2026: $-13.08
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026-$13.08-$2.57
Q2 2026-$13.65-$2.35
Q1 2026-$13.15-$1.25
Q4 2025-$12.09+$0.41
Q3 2025-$10.51+$2.49
Q2 2025-$11.30+$0.40
Q1 2025-$11.90+$0.40
Q4 2024-$12.50+$1.10

LCID has the edge over CVGI on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

CVGI Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $223MQ1 2024: $232MQ2 2024: $230MQ3 2024: $172MQ4 2024: $163MQ1 2025: $170MQ2 2025: $172MQ3 2025: $152MQ4 2025: $155MQ1 2026: $171MQ2 2026: $195MQ3 2026: $208M
Q4 2023: $223MQ1 2024: $232MQ2 2024: $230MQ3 2024: $172MQ4 2024: $163MQ1 2025: $170MQ2 2025: $172MQ3 2025: $152MQ4 2025: $155MQ1 2026: $171MQ2 2026: $195MQ3 2026: $208M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$208.1M+36%
Q2 2026$195.2M+14%
Q1 2026$171.5M+1%
Q4 2025$154.8M-5.2%
Q3 2025$152.5M-11%
Q2 2025$172M-25%
Q1 2025$169.8M-27%
Q4 2024$163.3M-27%

CVGI's revenue is recovering but still below its 2023 peak: $208M last quarter, up 36% from the same quarter a year ago.

LCID Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $157MQ1 2024: $173MQ2 2024: $201MQ3 2024: $200MQ4 2024: $234MQ1 2025: $235MQ2 2025: $259MQ3 2025: $337MQ4 2025: $523MQ1 2026: $282MQ2 2026: $405MQ3 2026: $350M
Q4 2023: $157MQ1 2024: $173MQ2 2024: $201MQ3 2024: $200MQ4 2024: $234MQ1 2025: $235MQ2 2025: $259MQ3 2025: $337MQ4 2025: $523MQ1 2026: $282MQ2 2026: $405MQ3 2026: $350M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$350.3M+4.1%
Q2 2026$405.3M+56%
Q1 2026$282.5M+20%
Q4 2025$522.7M+123%
Q3 2025$336.6M+68%
Q2 2025$259.4M+29%
Q1 2025$235M+36%
Q4 2024$234.5M+49%

LCID has the edge over CVGI on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

CVGI Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $4MQ1 2024: −$7MQ2 2024: $6MQ3 2024: −$20MQ4 2024: −$31MQ1 2025: $11MQ2 2025: $17MQ3 2025: −$4MQ4 2025: $9MQ1 2026: −$4MQ2 2026: −$1MQ3 2026: −$4M
Q4 2023: $4MQ1 2024: −$7MQ2 2024: $6MQ3 2024: −$20MQ4 2024: −$31MQ1 2025: $11MQ2 2025: $17MQ3 2025: −$4MQ4 2025: $9MQ1 2026: −$4MQ2 2026: −$1MQ3 2026: −$4M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$3.5M-$6K
Q2 2026-$1.4M-108%
Q1 2026-$4.2M-137%
Q4 2025$8.7M+$39.3M
Q3 2025-$3.5M+$16.8M
Q2 2025$17.4M+173%
Q1 2025$11.4M+$18.8M
Q4 2024-$30.6M-908%

CVGI has the edge over LCID on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

LCID Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$747MQ1 2024: −$715MQ2 2024: −$741MQ3 2024: −$622MQ4 2024: −$825MQ1 2025: −$590MQ2 2025: −$1BQ3 2025: −$955MQ4 2025: −$1.2BQ1 2026: −$1.4BQ2 2026: −$1.5BQ3 2026: −$1B
Q4 2023: −$747MQ1 2024: −$715MQ2 2024: −$741MQ3 2024: −$622MQ4 2024: −$825MQ1 2025: −$590MQ2 2025: −$1BQ3 2025: −$955MQ4 2025: −$1.2BQ1 2026: −$1.4BQ2 2026: −$1.5BQ3 2026: −$1B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$1B-$84.2M
Q2 2026-$1.5B-$463.2M
Q1 2026-$1.4B-$849M
Q4 2025-$1.2B-$417.1M
Q3 2025-$955.5M-$333M
Q2 2025-$1B-$271.6M
Q1 2025-$589.9M+$125.1M
Q4 2024-$824.8M-$77.6M

LCID has burned cash in almost every quarter: −$5.2B over the past year, against −$3.4B the year before.

CVGI Total Shares

Q4 2023: 34MQ1 2024: 33MQ2 2024: 33MQ3 2024: 33MQ4 2024: 33MQ1 2025: 34MQ2 2025: 34MQ3 2025: 34MQ4 2025: 34MQ1 2026: 36MQ2 2026: 35MQ3 2026: 39M
Q4 2023: 34MQ1 2024: 33MQ2 2024: 33MQ3 2024: 33MQ4 2024: 33MQ1 2025: 34MQ2 2025: 34MQ3 2025: 34MQ4 2025: 34MQ1 2026: 36MQ2 2026: 35MQ3 2026: 39M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+13%+4.4M shares
1 year+16%+5.3M shares
3 years+17%+5.8M shares
5 years+20%+6.5M shares
Available history+27%+8.4M shares

CVGI has the edge over LCID on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

LCID Total Shares

Q4 2023: 208MQ1 2024: 230MQ2 2024: 231MQ3 2024: 232MQ4 2024: 245MQ1 2025: 304MQ2 2025: 306MQ3 2025: 312MQ4 2025: 313MQ1 2026: 328MQ2 2026: 382MQ3 2026: 395M
Q4 2023: 208MQ1 2024: 230MQ2 2024: 231MQ3 2024: 232MQ4 2024: 245MQ1 2025: 304MQ2 2025: 306MQ3 2025: 312MQ4 2025: 313MQ1 2026: 328MQ2 2026: 382MQ3 2026: 395M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+3.3%+12.5M shares
1 year+26%+82.4M shares
3 years+73%+166M shares

LCID has 395M diluted shares, up 26% from a year ago.

CVGI Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 1.6xQ1 2024: 1.9xQ2 2024: 2.4xQ3 2024: 3.3xQ4 2024: 5.9xQ1 2025: 7.9xQ2 2025: 6.7xQ3 2025: 7.7xQ4 2025: 5.2xQ1 2026: 2.4xQ2 2026: 2.0xQ3 2026: 1.5x
Q4 2023: 1.6xQ1 2024: 1.9xQ2 2024: 2.4xQ3 2024: 3.3xQ4 2024: 5.9xQ1 2025: 7.9xQ2 2025: 6.7xQ3 2025: 7.7xQ4 2025: 5.2xQ1 2026: 2.4xQ2 2026: 2.0xQ3 2026: 1.5x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20261.5xHealthy
Q2 20262.0xHealthy
Q1 20262.4xModerate
Q4 20255.2xHigh
Q3 20257.7xHigh
Q2 20256.7xHigh
Q1 20257.9xHigh
Q4 20245.9xHigh

CVGI's net debt is about 1.5 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from 7.7 years a year ago.

LCID Net Leverage

LCID's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.

CVGI Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI51.3Neutral
Stochastic35.2Neutral

CVGI's weekly RSI is 51 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 35 (neutral).

LCID Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI32.9Neutral
Stochastic7.1Oversold

LCID's weekly RSI is 33 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 7 (oversold).

CVGI PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricCVGISector medianRelative
PEN/A18x—

CVGI has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

LCID PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

LCID has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

CVGI Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$3.0413% above
20 week MA$3.491.1% below
50 week MA$3.246.5% above
100 week MA$2.4640% above
200 week MA$4.4923% below

CVGI has the edge over LCID on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

LCID Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$3.537.9% below
20 week MA$4.8833% below
50 week MA$7.3356% below
100 week MA$15.479% below
200 week MA$31.990% below

LCID is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 90% below its 200-week average.

CVGI Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$6.29$8.52+35%
2021$8.52$7.55-11%
2022$7.55$6.63-12%
2023$6.63$7.01+5.7%
2024$7.01$2.34-67%
2025$2.34$1.50-36%
2026 YTD$1.50$3.45+130%

CVGI has the edge over LCID on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

LCID Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$98.9$100.4+1.5%
2021$100.4$376.4+275%
2022$376.4$67.0-82%
2023$67.0$42.1-37%
2024$42.1$32.0-24%
2025$32.0$11.4-64%
2026 YTD$11.4$3.25-72%

LCID has finished four years in a row lower, and it's down 72% so far in 2026.

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