CVGI
Commercial Vehicle Group, Inc.
CVGI has the edge over F overall, supported by stronger fundamentals and stronger modeled upside.
F
Ford Motor Company
F has lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.
CVGI Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Healthy | |
| Stable | |
| Under pressure | |
| Healthy |
CVGI's revenue and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its profitability is stable, but its cash flow is under pressure.
F Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Stable | |
| Under pressure | |
| Under pressure | |
| Strong |
F's balance sheet is currently strong, and its revenue is stable, but its profitability and cash flow are under pressure.
CVGI PE Valuation
CVGI has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year. If it returns to profit as analysts expect, today's price would be 24x next year's earnings.
F PE Valuation
F has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
CVGI Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| -- | |
| Returning to profit | |
| Strong growth | |
| Strongly improving | |
| Limited | |
| Low |
CVGI has the edge over F on the outlook, with more favorable revenue expectations.
F Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| -- | |
| Strong growth | |
| Stable | |
| Improving | |
| Limited | |
| Low |
Analysts expect F's earnings to grow and its profitability to improve, with its revenue holding steady. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.
CVGI Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $0.15 | — |
| Q3 2026 | -$0.32 | +$1.32 |
| Q2 2026 | -$0.67 | +$0.47 |
| Q1 2026 | -$0.52 | +$0.53 |
| Q4 2025 | -$0.67 | +$0.16 |
| Q3 2025 | -$1.64 | -262% |
| Q2 2025 | -$1.14 | -220% |
| Q1 2025 | -$1.05 | -181% |
| Q4 2024 | -$0.83 | -156% |
CVGI has the edge over F on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
F Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $1.78 | — |
| Q3 2026 | -$1.97 | -270% |
| Q2 2026 | -$1.87 | -340% |
| Q1 2026 | -$1.55 | -224% |
| Q4 2025 | -$2.06 | -241% |
| Q3 2025 | $1.16 | +32% |
| Q2 2025 | $0.78 | -19% |
| Q1 2025 | $1.25 | +29% |
| Q4 2024 | $1.46 | +35% |
F has swung to a loss: it lost $1.97 per share over the past year, after a profit the year before.
CVGI Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $208.1M | +36% |
| Q2 2026 | $195.2M | +14% |
| Q1 2026 | $171.5M | +1% |
| Q4 2025 | $154.8M | -5.2% |
| Q3 2025 | $152.5M | -11% |
| Q2 2025 | $172M | -25% |
| Q1 2025 | $169.8M | -27% |
| Q4 2024 | $163.3M | -27% |
CVGI's revenue is recovering but still below its 2023 peak: $208M last quarter, up 36% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 3.7% | +4.4 points |
| Q2 2026 | 0.8% | +0.3 points |
| Q1 2026 | 8.6% | +7.8 points |
| Q4 2025 | -1.2% | +2.1 points |
| Q3 2025 | -0.7% | -0.1 points |
| Q2 2025 | 0.5% | +0.1 points |
| Q1 2025 | 0.8% | -2 points |
| Q4 2024 | -3.2% | -5.5 points |
CVGI has the edge over F on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
F Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $49.5B | -2% |
| Q2 2026 | $48.3B | -3.8% |
| Q1 2026 | $43.3B | +6.4% |
| Q4 2025 | $45.9B | -4.8% |
| Q3 2025 | $50.5B | +9.4% |
| Q2 2025 | $50.2B | +5% |
| Q1 2025 | $40.7B | -5% |
| Q4 2024 | $48.2B | +4.9% |
F has the edge over CVGI on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 2.9% | -0.1 points |
| Q2 2026 | 1.3% | +0.3 points |
| Q1 2026 | 5.4% | +4.6 points |
| Q4 2025 | -25% | -28 points |
| Q3 2025 | 3.1% | +1.2 points |
| Q2 2025 | 1% | -2.9 points |
| Q1 2025 | 0.8% | -2.1 points |
| Q4 2024 | 2.5% | +3.1 points |
F's operating margin was 2.9% last quarter, about level with the same quarter a year ago.
CVGI Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -$3.5M | -$6K |
| Q2 2026 | -$1.4M | -108% |
| Q1 2026 | -$4.2M | -137% |
| Q4 2025 | $8.7M | +$39.3M |
| Q3 2025 | -$3.5M | +$16.8M |
| Q2 2025 | $17.4M | +173% |
| Q1 2025 | $11.4M | +$18.8M |
| Q4 2024 | -$30.6M | -908% |
CVGI's free cash flow was −$396,000 over the past year, against −$5M the year before.
F Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $3.1B | -40% |
| Q2 2026 | $2B | -54% |
| Q1 2026 | -$1.1B | -157% |
| Q4 2025 | $1.1B | +108% |
| Q3 2025 | $5.3B | +50% |
| Q2 2025 | $4.2B | +24% |
| Q1 2025 | $1.9B | +$2.6B |
| Q4 2024 | $530M | +169% |
F has the edge over CVGI on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.
CVGI Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +13% | +4.4M shares |
| 1 year | +16% | +5.3M shares |
| 3 years | +17% | +5.8M shares |
| 5 years | +20% | +6.5M shares |
| Available history | +27% | +8.4M shares |
CVGI has 39M diluted shares, up 16% from a year ago.
F Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +2.2% | +89M shares |
| 1 year | +0.7% | +28M shares |
| 3 years | +0.6% | +26M shares |
| 5 years | +1% | +40M shares |
| Available history | +1.8% | +72M shares |
F has the edge over CVGI on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | — |
| Q2 2026 | — |
| Q1 2026 | $311M |
| Q4 2025 | — |
| Q3 2025 | — |
| Q2 2025 | — |
| Q1 2025 | — |
| Q4 2024 | $150M |
F spent $311M buying back its own shares over the past year, up 107% from the year before.
CVGI Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 1.5x | Healthy |
| Q2 2026 | 2.0x | Healthy |
| Q1 2026 | 2.4x | Moderate |
| Q4 2025 | 5.2x | High |
| Q3 2025 | 7.7x | High |
| Q2 2025 | 6.7x | High |
| Q1 2025 | 7.9x | High |
| Q4 2024 | 5.9x | High |
CVGI's net debt is about 1.5 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from 7.7 years a year ago.
F Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -2.5x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2026 | -2.1x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2026 | -2.0x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2025 | -3.4x | Net Cash |
| Q3 2025 | -2.4x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2025 | -2.2x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2025 | -1.8x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2024 | -1.8x | Net Cash |
F has the edge over CVGI on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.
CVGI Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 51.3 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 35.2 | Neutral |
CVGI's weekly RSI is 51 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 35 (neutral).
F Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 41.5 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 19.6 | Oversold |
F's weekly RSI is 41 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 20 (oversold).
CVGI PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector
| Metric | CVGI | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | N/A | 18x | — |
CVGI has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
F PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector
| Metric | F | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | N/A | 18x | — |
F has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
CVGI Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $3.04 | 13% above |
| 20 week MA | $3.49 | 1.1% below |
| 50 week MA | $3.24 | 6.5% above |
| 100 week MA | $2.46 | 40% above |
| 200 week MA | $4.49 | 23% below |
CVGI has the edge over F on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.
F Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $12.2 | 2.5% below |
| 20 week MA | $13.3 | 11% below |
| 50 week MA | $13.4 | 11% below |
| 100 week MA | $12.1 | 2% below |
| 200 week MA | $12.1 | 1.4% below |
F is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 1.4% below its 200-week average.
CVGI Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $6.29 | $8.52 | +35% |
| 2021 | $8.52 | $7.55 | -11% |
| 2022 | $7.55 | $6.63 | -12% |
| 2023 | $6.63 | $7.01 | +5.7% |
| 2024 | $7.01 | $2.34 | -67% |
| 2025 | $2.34 | $1.50 | -36% |
| 2026 YTD | $1.50 | $3.45 | +130% |
CVGI has the edge over F on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.
F Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $9.36 | $8.86 | -5.3% |
| 2021 | $8.86 | $20.3 | +129% |
| 2022 | $20.3 | $11.4 | -44% |
| 2023 | $11.4 | $12.2 | +7.3% |
| 2024 | $12.2 | $10.0 | -18% |
| 2025 | $10.0 | $13.3 | +33% |
| 2026 YTD | $13.3 | $11.9 | -11% |
F's yearly returns have swung widely, from +129% in 2021 to −44% in 2022. It's down 11% so far in 2026.