CVGI
Commercial Vehicle Group, Inc.
CVGI has the edge over EBAY overall, supported by stronger valuation and stronger modeled upside.
EBAY
eBay Inc.
EBAY has lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.
CVGI Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Healthy | |
| Stable | |
| Under pressure | |
| Healthy |
CVGI's revenue and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its profitability is stable, but its cash flow is under pressure.
EBAY Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Healthy | |
| Healthy | |
| Strong | |
| Stable |
EBAY's revenue, profitability and cash flow are currently healthy, and its balance sheet is stable.
CVGI PE Valuation
CVGI has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year. If it returns to profit as analysts expect, today's price would be 24x next year's earnings.
EBAY PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cheap | 6.9x | $31.50 | -74% |
| Fair | 16x | $71.96 | -40% |
| Forward | 18x | $120 | — |
| Expensive | 22x | $99.04 | -18% |
| Current | 26x | $120 | — |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
EBAY's PE is in its expensive range at 26x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 18x next year's earnings.
CVGI Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| -- | |
| Returning to profit | |
| Strong growth | |
| Strongly improving | |
| Limited | |
| Low |
CVGI has the edge over EBAY on the outlook, with more favorable profitability expectations.
EBAY Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Strongly improving | |
| Growth | |
| Growth | |
| Stable | |
| Moderate | |
| Moderate |
Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for EBAY, with profitability holding steady.
CVGI Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $0.15 | — |
| Q3 2026 | -$0.32 | +$1.32 |
| Q2 2026 | -$0.67 | +$0.47 |
| Q1 2026 | -$0.52 | +$0.53 |
| Q4 2025 | -$0.67 | +$0.16 |
| Q3 2025 | -$1.64 | -262% |
| Q2 2025 | -$1.14 | -220% |
| Q1 2025 | -$1.05 | -181% |
| Q4 2024 | -$0.83 | -156% |
CVGI is still losing money, but far less than before: $0.32 per share over the past year, against $1.64 at its worst in late 2025.
EBAY Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $6.63 | +45% |
| Q3 2026 | $4.57 | +0.4% |
| Q2 2026 | $4.82 | +7.3% |
| Q1 2026 | $4.40 | +6% |
| Q4 2025 | $4.34 | +10% |
| Q3 2025 | $4.55 | +15% |
| Q2 2025 | $4.49 | -12% |
| Q1 2025 | $4.15 | -17% |
| Q4 2024 | $3.94 | -24% |
EBAY has the edge over CVGI on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.
CVGI Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $208.1M | +36% |
| Q2 2026 | $195.2M | +14% |
| Q1 2026 | $171.5M | +1% |
| Q4 2025 | $154.8M | -5.2% |
| Q3 2025 | $152.5M | -11% |
| Q2 2025 | $172M | -25% |
| Q1 2025 | $169.8M | -27% |
| Q4 2024 | $163.3M | -27% |
CVGI's revenue is recovering but still below its 2023 peak: $208M last quarter, up 36% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 3.7% | +4.4 points |
| Q2 2026 | 0.8% | +0.3 points |
| Q1 2026 | 8.6% | +7.8 points |
| Q4 2025 | -1.2% | +2.1 points |
| Q3 2025 | -0.7% | -0.1 points |
| Q2 2025 | 0.5% | +0.1 points |
| Q1 2025 | 0.8% | -2 points |
| Q4 2024 | -3.2% | -5.5 points |
CVGI's operating margin was 3.7% last quarter, up 4.4 points from the same quarter a year ago.
EBAY Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $3.2B | +14% |
| Q2 2026 | $3.1B | +15% |
| Q1 2026 | $3.1B | +19% |
| Q4 2025 | $3B | +15% |
| Q3 2025 | $2.8B | +9.5% |
| Q2 2025 | $2.7B | +6.1% |
| Q1 2025 | $2.6B | +1.1% |
| Q4 2024 | $2.6B | +0.7% |
EBAY has the edge over CVGI on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 19% | -1.2 points |
| Q2 2026 | 22% | +3.8 points |
| Q1 2026 | 20% | -4 points |
| Q4 2025 | 20% | -0.8 points |
| Q3 2025 | 20% | -2.7 points |
| Q2 2025 | 18% | -3.6 points |
| Q1 2025 | 24% | -0.9 points |
| Q4 2024 | 21% | +5.1 points |
EBAY has the edge over CVGI on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
CVGI Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -$3.5M | -$6K |
| Q2 2026 | -$1.4M | -108% |
| Q1 2026 | -$4.2M | -137% |
| Q4 2025 | $8.7M | +$39.3M |
| Q3 2025 | -$3.5M | +$16.8M |
| Q2 2025 | $17.4M | +173% |
| Q1 2025 | $11.4M | +$18.8M |
| Q4 2024 | -$30.6M | -908% |
CVGI's free cash flow was −$396,000 over the past year, against −$5M the year before.
EBAY Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $749M | -6.7% |
| Q2 2026 | $300M | +$741M |
| Q1 2026 | $897M | +39% |
| Q4 2025 | $466M | -17% |
| Q3 2025 | $803M | +24% |
| Q2 2025 | -$441M | -259% |
| Q1 2025 | $644M | +36% |
| Q4 2024 | $560M | +$564M |
EBAY has the edge over CVGI on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.
CVGI Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +13% | +4.4M shares |
| 1 year | +16% | +5.3M shares |
| 3 years | +17% | +5.8M shares |
| 5 years | +20% | +6.5M shares |
| Available history | +27% | +8.4M shares |
CVGI has 39M diluted shares, up 16% from a year ago.
EBAY Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | -0.4% | -2M shares |
| 1 year | -3% | -14M shares |
| 3 years | -15% | -79M shares |
| 5 years | -31% | -205M shares |
| Available history | -44% | -359M shares |
EBAY has the edge over CVGI on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $664M |
| Q2 2026 | $323M |
| Q1 2026 | $486M |
| Q4 2025 | $635M |
| Q3 2025 | $626M |
| Q2 2025 | $624M |
| Q1 2025 | $615M |
| Q4 2024 | $911M |
EBAY spent $2.1B buying back its own shares over the past year, down 24% from the year before.
CVGI Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 1.5x | Healthy |
| Q2 2026 | 2.0x | Healthy |
| Q1 2026 | 2.4x | Moderate |
| Q4 2025 | 5.2x | High |
| Q3 2025 | 7.7x | High |
| Q2 2025 | 6.7x | High |
| Q1 2025 | 7.9x | High |
| Q4 2024 | 5.9x | High |
CVGI has the edge over EBAY on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.
EBAY Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 1.9x | Healthy |
| Q2 2026 | 1.5x | Healthy |
| Q1 2026 | 1.4x | Healthy |
| Q4 2025 | 1.8x | Healthy |
| Q3 2025 | 1.7x | Healthy |
| Q2 2025 | 1.8x | Healthy |
| Q1 2025 | 1.4x | Healthy |
| Q4 2024 | 1.9x | Healthy |
EBAY's net debt is about 1.9 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), up from 1.7 years a year ago.
CVGI Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 51.3 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 35.2 | Neutral |
CVGI's weekly RSI is 51 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 35 (neutral).
EBAY Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 61.9 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 80.0 | Overbought |
EBAY's weekly RSI is 62 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 80 (overbought).
CVGI PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector
| Metric | CVGI | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | N/A | 18x | — |
CVGI has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
EBAY PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector
| Metric | EBAY | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 26x | 18x | 46% above |
| PE % | 91 | 47 | 44 pts above |
EBAY is trading at 26x earnings, a 46% premium to the Consumer Cyclical sector's median of 18x.
CVGI Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $3.04 | 13% above |
| 20 week MA | $3.49 | 1.1% below |
| 50 week MA | $3.24 | 6.5% above |
| 100 week MA | $2.46 | 40% above |
| 200 week MA | $4.49 | 23% below |
CVGI's trend is mixed: it's above three of its five weekly moving averages, and 23% below its 200-week average.
EBAY Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $116.5 | 3.1% above |
| 20 week MA | $112.4 | 6.9% above |
| 50 week MA | $102.6 | 17% above |
| 100 week MA | $89.8 | 34% above |
| 200 week MA | $69.5 | 73% above |
EBAY has the edge over CVGI on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.
CVGI Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $6.29 | $8.52 | +35% |
| 2021 | $8.52 | $7.55 | -11% |
| 2022 | $7.55 | $6.63 | -12% |
| 2023 | $6.63 | $7.01 | +5.7% |
| 2024 | $7.01 | $2.34 | -67% |
| 2025 | $2.34 | $1.50 | -36% |
| 2026 YTD | $1.50 | $3.45 | +130% |
CVGI has the edge over EBAY on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.
EBAY Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $36.1 | $50.1 | +39% |
| 2021 | $50.1 | $64.9 | +29% |
| 2022 | $64.9 | $40.2 | -38% |
| 2023 | $40.2 | $43.6 | +8.6% |
| 2024 | $43.6 | $62.8 | +44% |
| 2025 | $62.8 | $85.2 | +36% |
| 2026 YTD | $85.2 | $120.1 | +41% |
EBAY has finished higher in five of the last six years. It's up 41% so far in 2026.