CVE

Cenovus Energy Inc.

69
Fundamentals74/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential57/ 100
Risk potential24/ 100

CVE's fundamentals are strong: its operating margin rose 13 points to 19% and free cash flow more than doubled, though revenue fell 4.8%. Its PE isn't a useful guide right now because of how its recent earnings were reported.

CVE Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Strong
Strong
Strong

CVE's profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are currently strong, and its revenue is stable.

CVE PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE29x58x87x116x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE29x58x87x116x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap7.4x$18.69-35%
Current11x$28.89—
Fair12x$31.13+7.7%
Expensive23x$58.13+101%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

CVE's PE is 11x, but its earnings don't support one, so it isn't a reliable read right now.

CVE Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Strong growth
Growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Low

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for CVE, with profitability improving. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

CVE Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+32%$38.18
Downside-24%$21.94

Calculated from the latest close: $28.89 on Nov 12.

CVE's one-year upside scenario is somewhat larger than its downside: +32% against −24%.

CVE Earnings Per Share

Q3 2023: $1.48Q4 2023: $1.49Q1 2024: $1.70Q2 2024: $1.76Q3 2024: $1.38Q4 2024: $1.15Q1 2025: $1.05Q2 2025: $1.00Q3 2025: $1.21Q4 2025: $1.50Q1 2026: $1.76Q2 2026: $2.52
Q3 2023: $1.48Q4 2023: $1.49Q1 2024: $1.70Q2 2024: $1.76Q3 2024: $1.38Q4 2024: $1.15Q1 2025: $1.05Q2 2025: $1.00Q3 2025: $1.21Q4 2025: $1.50Q1 2026: $1.76Q2 2026: $2.52
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q2 2026$2.52+152%
Q1 2026$1.76+68%
Q4 2025$1.50+30%
Q3 2025$1.21-12%
Q2 2025$1.00-43%
Q1 2025$1.05-38%
Q4 2024$1.15-23%
Q3 2024$1.38-6.8%

CVE earned $2.52 per share over the past year, up 152% from the year before.

CVE Quarterly Revenue

Q3 2023: $10.2BQ4 2023: $9.9BQ1 2024: $9.7BQ2 2024: $10.9BQ3 2024: $10BQ4 2024: $10.7BQ1 2025: $10BQ2 2025: $9.1BQ3 2025: $9.3BQ4 2025: $7.6BQ1 2026: $8.7BQ2 2026: $12.3B
Q3 2023: $10.2BQ4 2023: $9.9BQ1 2024: $9.7BQ2 2024: $10.9BQ3 2024: $10BQ4 2024: $10.7BQ1 2025: $10BQ2 2025: $9.1BQ3 2025: $9.3BQ4 2025: $7.6BQ1 2026: $8.7BQ2 2026: $12.3B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q2 2026$12.3B+35%
Q1 2026$8.7B-13%
Q4 2025$7.6B-28%
Q3 2025$9.3B-7.4%
Q2 2025$9.1B-16%
Q1 2025$10B+2.9%
Q4 2024$10.7B+8.3%
Q3 2024$10B-2.3%

CVE's revenue is down over the past year, though its latest quarter was up: $12.3B last quarter, up 35% from the same quarter a year ago.

CVE Free Cash Flow

Q3 2023: $1.2BQ4 2023: $1.2BQ1 2024: $625MQ2 2024: $1.2BQ3 2024: $793MQ4 2024: $387MQ1 2025: $60MQ2 2025: $851MQ3 2025: $687MQ4 2025: $797MQ1 2026: $729MQ2 2026: $3.1B
Q3 2023: $1.2BQ4 2023: $1.2BQ1 2024: $625MQ2 2024: $1.2BQ3 2024: $793MQ4 2024: $387MQ1 2025: $60MQ2 2025: $851MQ3 2025: $687MQ4 2025: $797MQ1 2026: $729MQ2 2026: $3.1B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q2 2026$3.1B+265%
Q1 2026$728.8M+1105%
Q4 2025$797.3M+106%
Q3 2025$686.9M-13%
Q2 2025$850.7M-27%
Q1 2025$60.5M-90%
Q4 2024$387.4M-69%
Q3 2024$793M-34%

CVE generated $5.3B in free cash flow over the past year, up 154% from the year before.

CVE Total Shares

Q3 2023: 1.9BQ4 2023: 1.9BQ1 2024: 1.9BQ2 2024: 1.9BQ3 2024: 1.9BQ4 2024: 1.9BQ1 2025: 1.8BQ2 2025: 1.8BQ3 2025: 1.8BQ4 2025: 1.9BQ1 2026: 1.9BQ2 2026: 1.9B
Q3 2023: 1.9BQ4 2023: 1.9BQ1 2024: 1.9BQ2 2024: 1.9BQ3 2024: 1.9BQ4 2024: 1.9BQ1 2025: 1.8BQ2 2025: 1.8BQ3 2025: 1.8BQ4 2025: 1.9BQ1 2026: 1.9BQ2 2026: 1.9B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.4%-7.9M shares
1 year+2.2%+39.9M shares
3 years-4.3%-84.4M shares
5 years+14%+234M shares
Available history+52%+642M shares

CVE has 1.9B diluted shares, up 2.2% from a year ago, despite $2.5B in buybacks over the past year.

CVE Net Leverage

Q3 2023: 1.0xQ4 2023: 0.8xQ1 2024: 0.7xQ2 2024: 0.6xQ3 2024: 0.7xQ4 2024: 0.8xQ1 2025: 0.9xQ2 2025: 0.9xQ3 2025: 0.9xQ4 2025: 1.4xQ1 2026: 1.0xQ2 2026: 0.6x
Q3 2023: 1.0xQ4 2023: 0.8xQ1 2024: 0.7xQ2 2024: 0.6xQ3 2024: 0.7xQ4 2024: 0.8xQ1 2025: 0.9xQ2 2025: 0.9xQ3 2025: 0.9xQ4 2025: 1.4xQ1 2026: 1.0xQ2 2026: 0.6x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q2 20260.6xVery low
Q1 20261.0xVery low
Q4 20251.4xHealthy
Q3 20250.9xVery low
Q2 20250.9xVery low
Q1 20250.9xVery low
Q4 20240.8xVery low
Q3 20240.7xVery low

CVE's net debt is less than a year of its operating earnings (EBITDA).

CVE Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI48.6Neutral
Stochastic36.5Neutral

CVE's weekly RSI is 49 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 36 (neutral).

CVE PE vs Energy Sector

MetricCVESector medianRelative
PE11x13x12% below
PE %416120 pts below

CVE is trading at 11x earnings, a 12% discount to the Energy sector's median of 13x, though its earnings don't support one.

CVE Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$31.27.4% below
20 week MA$30.55.3% below
50 week MA$26.210% above
100 week MA$20.641% above
200 week MA$19.349% above

CVE has pulled back, but its long-term trend is still up: it's below its 8- and 20-week averages, but 49% above its 200-week average.

CVE Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$10.1$5.90-41%
2021$5.90$12.0+104%
2022$12.0$19.3+61%
2023$19.3$16.7-14%
2024$16.7$14.6-12%
2025$14.6$16.7+14%
2026 YTD$16.7$28.9+73%

CVE is up 73% so far in 2026, after finishing lower in three of the previous six years.

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