CVCO
Cavco Industries, Inc.
CVCO offers stronger fundamentals, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.
NKE
NIKE, Inc.
NKE has a slight edge over CVCO overall, supported by stronger valuation and stronger modeled upside.
CVCO Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Healthy | |
| Healthy | |
| Healthy | |
| Strong |
CVCO's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.
NKE Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Stable | |
| Healthy | |
| Stable | |
| Strong |
NKE's profitability and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its revenue and cash flow are stable.
CVCO PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cheap | 11x | $256 | -60% |
| Fair | 23x | $541 | -16% |
| Forward | 24x | $642 | — |
| Expensive | 26x | $619 | -3.6% |
| Current | 27x | $642 | — |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
CVCO's PE is in its expensive range at 27x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 24x next year's earnings, in its fair range.
NKE PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Current | 18x | $37.76 | — |
| Cheap | 23x | $47.70 | +26% |
| Forward | 30x | $37.76 | — |
| Fair | 33x | $68.16 | +80% |
| Expensive | 47x | $97.86 | +159% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
NKE has the edge over CVCO in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.
CVCO Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Improving | |
| Growth | |
| Growth | |
| Improving | |
| Limited | |
| High |
CVCO has the edge over NKE on the outlook, with more favorable valuation and earnings expectations.
NKE Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Strongly deteriorating | |
| Stable | |
| Decline | |
| Improving | |
| Moderate | |
| Low |
Analysts expect NKE's profitability to improve, but its revenue to decline. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.
CVCO Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $26.42 | +12% |
| Q3 2026 | $23.61 | -2.8% |
| Q2 2026 | $22.99 | -0.1% |
| Q1 2026 | $23.98 | +16% |
| Q4 2025 | $22.97 | +13% |
| Q3 2025 | $24.29 | +37% |
| Q2 2025 | $23.02 | +34% |
| Q1 2025 | $20.71 | +13% |
| Q4 2024 | $20.34 | +3.1% |
CVCO has the edge over NKE on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
NKE Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $1.27 | -39% |
| Q3 2026 | $2.09 | +7.2% |
| Q2 2026 | $2.10 | -2.8% |
| Q1 2026 | $1.51 | -50% |
| Q4 2025 | $1.70 | -48% |
| Q3 2025 | $1.95 | -44% |
| Q2 2025 | $2.16 | -42% |
| Q1 2025 | $3.01 | -11% |
| Q4 2024 | $3.24 | -5.3% |
NKE's earnings per share have fallen from their peak: $2.09 over the past year, against $3.82 in late 2021.
CVCO Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $656.4M | +18% |
| Q2 2026 | $610M | +9.5% |
| Q1 2026 | $550.1M | +8.2% |
| Q4 2025 | $581M | +11% |
| Q3 2025 | $556.5M | +9.7% |
| Q2 2025 | $556.9M | +17% |
| Q1 2025 | $508.4M | +21% |
| Q4 2024 | $522M | +17% |
CVCO has the edge over NKE on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 11% | -0.5 points |
| Q2 2026 | 8.7% | -2.2 points |
| Q1 2026 | 9.4% | +1.8 points |
| Q4 2025 | 9.4% | -2.9 points |
| Q3 2025 | 11% | +1.5 points |
| Q2 2025 | 11% | +2.8 points |
| Q1 2025 | 7.6% | -1.3 points |
| Q4 2024 | 12% | +3.4 points |
CVCO has the edge over NKE on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
NKE Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $11.2B | -4.3% |
| Q2 2026 | $11B | -1.1% |
| Q1 2026 | $11.3B | +0.1% |
| Q4 2025 | $12.4B | +0.6% |
| Q3 2025 | $11.7B | +1.1% |
| Q2 2025 | $11.1B | -12% |
| Q1 2025 | $11.3B | -9.3% |
| Q4 2024 | $12.4B | -7.7% |
NKE's revenue fell from its 2023 peak and has held roughly level since: $11.2B last quarter, down 4.3% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 8.2% | +0.3 points |
| Q2 2026 | 12% | +9.2 points |
| Q1 2026 | 5.8% | -1.7 points |
| Q4 2025 | 8% | -3.4 points |
| Q3 2025 | 7.9% | -3.4 points |
| Q2 2025 | 2.9% | -11 points |
| Q1 2025 | 7.5% | -3.8 points |
| Q4 2024 | 11% | -2.9 points |
NKE's operating margin was 8.2% last quarter, about level with the same quarter a year ago.
CVCO Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $66.7M | -3% |
| Q2 2026 | $49M | +5.5% |
| Q1 2026 | $59.3M | +83% |
| Q4 2025 | $57.6M | +78% |
| Q3 2025 | $68.7M | +38% |
| Q2 2025 | $46.4M | +9.4% |
| Q1 2025 | $32.5M | +126% |
| Q4 2024 | $32.3M | -21% |
CVCO has the edge over NKE on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
NKE Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -$64M | -527% |
| Q2 2026 | $1.5B | +313% |
| Q1 2026 | $284M | -83% |
| Q4 2025 | $386M | -58% |
| Q3 2025 | $15M | -95% |
| Q2 2025 | $363M | -85% |
| Q1 2025 | $1.7B | -11% |
| Q4 2024 | $920M | -65% |
NKE usually generates cash, though not every quarter: the latest was −$64M, but it generated $2.1B over the past year.
CVCO Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | -0.6% | -49.6K shares |
| 1 year | -3.2% | -258K shares |
| 3 years | -11% | -997K shares |
| 5 years | -17% | -1.5M shares |
| Available history | -17% | -1.6M shares |
CVCO has the edge over NKE on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $30M |
| Q2 2026 | $30M |
| Q1 2026 | $30M |
| Q4 2025 | $43.8M |
| Q3 2025 | $36.1M |
| Q2 2025 | $50M |
| Q1 2025 | $34.2M |
| Q4 2024 | $42.2M |
CVCO spent $134M buying back its own shares over the past year, down 18% from the year before.
NKE Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +0.2% | +3.2M shares |
| 1 year | +0.4% | +5.2M shares |
| 3 years | -3.8% | -59.1M shares |
| 5 years | -8.4% | -135M shares |
| Available history | -6.9% | -110M shares |
NKE has 1.5B diluted shares, about the same as a year ago.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | — |
| Q2 2026 | — |
| Q1 2026 | — |
| Q4 2025 | $20M |
| Q3 2025 | $126M |
| Q2 2025 | $199M |
| Q1 2025 | $506M |
| Q4 2024 | $1.1B |
NKE has spent almost nothing on buybacks in the past year.
CVCO Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -1.1x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2026 | -1.0x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2026 | -0.9x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2025 | -1.0x | Net Cash |
| Q3 2025 | -1.5x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2025 | -1.5x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2025 | -1.7x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2024 | -1.7x | Net Cash |
CVCO has the edge over NKE on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.
NKE Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 0.2x | Very low |
| Q2 2026 | 0.1x | Very low |
| Q1 2025 | 0.1x | Very low |
| Q4 2024 | 0.2x | Very low |
| Q3 2024 | 0.1x | Very low |
| Q2 2024 | -0.1x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2024 | -0.0x | Very low |
| Q4 2023 | 0.1x | Very low |
NKE's net debt is less than a year of its operating earnings (EBITDA).
CVCO Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 61.2 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 77.7 | Neutral |
CVCO's weekly RSI is 61 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 78 (neutral).
NKE Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 40.0 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 57.5 | Neutral |
NKE's weekly RSI is 40 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 58 (neutral).
CVCO PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector
| Metric | CVCO | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 27x | 18x | 51% above |
| PE % | 91 | 47 | 44 pts above |
CVCO is trading at 27x earnings, a 51% premium to the Consumer Cyclical sector's median of 18x.
NKE PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector
| Metric | NKE | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 18x | 18x | 0.3% above |
| PE % | 2 | 47 | 45 pts below |
NKE has the edge over CVCO on valuation relative to its sector.
CVCO Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $578.8 | 11% above |
| 20 week MA | $572.7 | 12% above |
| 50 week MA | $563.0 | 14% above |
| 100 week MA | $530.2 | 21% above |
| 200 week MA | $434.4 | 48% above |
CVCO has the edge over NKE on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.
NKE Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $36.7 | 2.8% above |
| 20 week MA | $39.2 | 3.6% below |
| 50 week MA | $48.0 | 21% below |
| 100 week MA | $58.4 | 35% below |
| 200 week MA | $79.2 | 52% below |
NKE has bounced recently, but its long-term trend is still down: it's above its 8-week average, but 52% below its 200-week average.
CVCO Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $194.0 | $181.5 | -6.5% |
| 2021 | $181.5 | $302.7 | +67% |
| 2022 | $302.7 | $226.9 | -25% |
| 2023 | $226.9 | $346.6 | +53% |
| 2024 | $346.6 | $443.3 | +28% |
| 2025 | $443.3 | $600.4 | +35% |
| 2026 YTD | $600.4 | $642.0 | +6.9% |
CVCO has the edge over NKE on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.
NKE Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $101.6 | $141.6 | +39% |
| 2021 | $141.6 | $165.7 | +17% |
| 2022 | $165.7 | $116.3 | -30% |
| 2023 | $116.3 | $108.6 | -6.6% |
| 2024 | $108.6 | $76.4 | -30% |
| 2025 | $76.4 | $60.9 | -20% |
| 2026 YTD | $60.9 | $37.8 | -38% |
NKE has finished four years in a row lower, and it's down 38% so far in 2026.