CVCO
Cavco Industries, Inc.
CVCO has the edge over NIO overall, supported by lower modeled downside.
NIO
NIO Inc.
NIO offers stronger fundamentals, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.
CVCO Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Healthy | |
| Healthy | |
| Healthy | |
| Strong |
CVCO's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.
NIO Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Strong | |
| Stable | |
| Stable | |
| Unavailable |
NIO's revenue is currently strong, and its profitability and cash flow are stable. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.
CVCO PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cheap | 11x | $256 | -60% |
| Fair | 23x | $541 | -16% |
| Forward | 24x | $642 | — |
| Expensive | 26x | $619 | -3.6% |
| Current | 27x | $642 | — |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
CVCO's PE is in its expensive range at 27x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 24x next year's earnings, in its fair range.
NIO PE Valuation
NIO has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
CVCO Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Improving | |
| Growth | |
| Growth | |
| Improving | |
| Limited | |
| High |
Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for CVCO, with profitability improving.
NIO Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| -- | |
| Losses shrinking | |
| Growth | |
| Strongly improving | |
| Limited | |
| Moderate |
Analysts expect NIO's losses to shrink, with revenue growing.
CVCO Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $26.42 | +12% |
| Q3 2026 | $23.61 | -2.8% |
| Q2 2026 | $22.99 | -0.1% |
| Q1 2026 | $23.98 | +16% |
| Q4 2025 | $22.97 | +13% |
| Q3 2025 | $24.29 | +37% |
| Q2 2025 | $23.02 | +34% |
| Q1 2025 | $20.71 | +13% |
| Q4 2024 | $20.34 | +3.1% |
CVCO has the edge over NIO on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.
NIO Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | -$0.29 | +$1.45 |
| Q1 2026 | -$0.60 | +$1.16 |
| Q4 2025 | -$1.06 | +$0.60 |
| Q3 2025 | -$1.59 | +$0.02 |
| Q2 2025 | -$1.74 | -$0.10 |
| Q1 2025 | -$1.76 | +$0.06 |
| Q4 2024 | -$1.66 | +$0.21 |
| Q3 2024 | -$1.61 | +$0.32 |
NIO is still losing money, but far less than before: $0.29 per share over the past year, against $1.93 at its worst in late 2023.
CVCO Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $656.4M | +18% |
| Q2 2026 | $610M | +9.5% |
| Q1 2026 | $550.1M | +8.2% |
| Q4 2025 | $581M | +11% |
| Q3 2025 | $556.5M | +9.7% |
| Q2 2025 | $556.9M | +17% |
| Q1 2025 | $508.4M | +21% |
| Q4 2024 | $522M | +17% |
CVCO's revenue has grown year over year for 10 quarters in a row: $656M last quarter, up 18% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 11% | -0.5 points |
| Q2 2026 | 8.7% | -2.2 points |
| Q1 2026 | 9.4% | +1.8 points |
| Q4 2025 | 9.4% | -2.9 points |
| Q3 2025 | 11% | +1.5 points |
| Q2 2025 | 11% | +2.8 points |
| Q1 2025 | 7.6% | -1.3 points |
| Q4 2024 | 12% | +3.4 points |
CVCO has the edge over NIO on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
NIO Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | $4.8B | +69% |
| Q1 2026 | $3.8B | +112% |
| Q4 2025 | $5.2B | +76% |
| Q3 2025 | $3.3B | +17% |
| Q2 2025 | $2.9B | +9% |
| Q1 2025 | $1.8B | +21% |
| Q4 2024 | $3B | +15% |
| Q3 2024 | $2.8B | -2.1% |
NIO's revenue has grown year over year for seven quarters in a row: $4.8B last quarter, up 69% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | -2.1% | +24 points |
| Q1 2026 | -1.2% | +52 points |
| Q4 2025 | 2.3% | +33 points |
| Q3 2025 | -16% | +12 points |
| Q2 2025 | -26% | +4 points |
| Q1 2025 | -53% | +1.1 points |
| Q4 2024 | -31% | +8.1 points |
| Q3 2024 | -28% | -2.6 points |
NIO's operating margin was −2.1% last quarter, up 24 points from the same quarter a year ago.
CVCO Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $66.7M | -3% |
| Q2 2026 | $49M | +5.5% |
| Q1 2026 | $59.3M | +83% |
| Q4 2025 | $57.6M | +78% |
| Q3 2025 | $68.7M | +38% |
| Q2 2025 | $46.4M | +9.4% |
| Q1 2025 | $32.5M | +126% |
| Q4 2024 | $32.3M | -21% |
CVCO has the edge over NIO on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
NIO Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | $0 | +$2.1B |
| Q1 2026 | $0 | $0 |
| Q4 2025 | $0 | +$391.3M |
| Q3 2025 | $0 | $0 |
| Q2 2025 | -$2.1B | +$73.9M |
| Q1 2025 | $0 | $0 |
| Q4 2024 | -$391.3M | -386% |
| Q2 2024 | -$2.2B | +$337.9M |
NIO's free cash flow was $0 over the past year, against −$2.5B the year before.
CVCO Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | -0.6% | -49.6K shares |
| 1 year | -3.2% | -258K shares |
| 3 years | -11% | -997K shares |
| 5 years | -17% | -1.5M shares |
| Available history | -17% | -1.6M shares |
CVCO has the edge over NIO on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $30M |
| Q2 2026 | $30M |
| Q1 2026 | $30M |
| Q4 2025 | $43.8M |
| Q3 2025 | $36.1M |
| Q2 2025 | $50M |
| Q1 2025 | $34.2M |
| Q4 2024 | $42.2M |
CVCO spent $134M buying back its own shares over the past year, down 18% from the year before.
NIO Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +0.6% | +15.6M shares |
| 1 year | +12% | +267M shares |
| 3 years | +51% | +844M shares |
| 5 years | +60% | +933M shares |
| Available history | +143% | +1.5B shares |
NIO has 2.5B diluted shares, up 12% from a year ago.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | — |
| Q1 2026 | — |
| Q4 2025 | — |
| Q3 2025 | — |
| Q2 2025 | — |
| Q1 2025 | — |
| Q4 2024 | — |
| Q3 2024 | — |
NIO hasn't bought back shares in the past year.
CVCO Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -1.1x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2026 | -1.0x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2026 | -0.9x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2025 | -1.0x | Net Cash |
| Q3 2025 | -1.5x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2025 | -1.5x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2025 | -1.7x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2024 | -1.7x | Net Cash |
CVCO has more cash than debt.
NIO Net Leverage
NIO's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.
CVCO Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 61.2 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 77.7 | Neutral |
CVCO's weekly RSI is 61 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 78 (neutral).
NIO Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 30.7 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 6.9 | Oversold |
NIO's weekly RSI is 31 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 7 (oversold).
CVCO PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector
| Metric | CVCO | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 27x | 18x | 51% above |
| PE % | 91 | 47 | 44 pts above |
CVCO is trading at 27x earnings, a 51% premium to the Consumer Cyclical sector's median of 18x.
NIO PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector
NIO has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
CVCO Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $578.8 | 11% above |
| 20 week MA | $572.7 | 12% above |
| 50 week MA | $563.0 | 14% above |
| 100 week MA | $530.2 | 21% above |
| 200 week MA | $434.4 | 48% above |
CVCO has the edge over NIO on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.
NIO Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $3.36 | 9.2% below |
| 20 week MA | $4.01 | 24% below |
| 50 week MA | $4.81 | 37% below |
| 100 week MA | $4.85 | 37% below |
| 200 week MA | $6.03 | 49% below |
NIO is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 49% below its 200-week average.
CVCO Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $194.0 | $181.5 | -6.5% |
| 2021 | $181.5 | $302.7 | +67% |
| 2022 | $302.7 | $226.9 | -25% |
| 2023 | $226.9 | $346.6 | +53% |
| 2024 | $346.6 | $443.3 | +28% |
| 2025 | $443.3 | $600.4 | +35% |
| 2026 YTD | $600.4 | $642.0 | +6.9% |
CVCO has the edge over NIO on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.
NIO Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $2.42 | $45.8 | +1791% |
| 2021 | $45.8 | $30.5 | -33% |
| 2022 | $30.5 | $11.0 | -64% |
| 2023 | $11.0 | $9.07 | -17% |
| 2024 | $9.07 | $4.48 | -51% |
| 2025 | $4.48 | $5.10 | +14% |
| 2026 YTD | $5.10 | $3.05 | -40% |
NIO's yearly returns have swung widely, from +1791% in 2020 to −64% in 2022. It's down 40% so far in 2026.