CVCO

Cavco Industries, Inc.

59
Fundamentals59/ 100
Valuation39/ 100
Upside potential54/ 100
Risk potential22/ 100

CVCO has the edge over LCID overall, supported by lower modeled downside.

LCID

Lucid Group, Inc.

52
Fundamentals65/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential62/ 100
Risk potential38/ 100

LCID offers stronger valuation, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.

CVCO Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Healthy
Healthy
Strong

CVCO's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.

LCID Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Weak
Weak
Unavailable

LCID's revenue is currently healthy, but its profitability and cash flow are weak. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.

CVCO PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE8.8x18x27x35x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE8.8x18x27x35x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap11x$256-60%
Fair23x$541-16%
Forward24x$642—
Expensive26x$619-3.6%
Current27x$642—

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

CVCO's PE is in its expensive range at 27x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 24x next year's earnings, in its fair range.

LCID PE Valuation

LCID has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

CVCO Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Improving
Growth
Growth
Improving
Limited
High

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for CVCO, with profitability improving.

LCID Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Losses shrinking
Strong growth
--
Limited
Low

Analysts expect LCID's losses to shrink, with revenue growing. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

CVCO Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+27%$813.17
Downside-22%$498.12

Calculated from the latest close: $642.01 on Nov 12.

CVCO trails LCID on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

LCID Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+63%$5.30
Downside-38%$2.02

Calculated from the latest close: $3.25 on Nov 12.

LCID has a better modeled risk to reward balance than CVCO, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

CVCO Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $19.73Q1 2024: $18.37Q2 2024: $17.19Q3 2024: $17.71Q4 2024: $20.34Q1 2025: $20.71Q2 2025: $23.02Q3 2025: $24.29Q4 2025: $22.97Q1 2026: $23.98Q2 2026: $22.99Q3 2026: $23.61Forward: $26.42
Q4 2023: $19.73Q1 2024: $18.37Q2 2024: $17.19Q3 2024: $17.71Q4 2024: $20.34Q1 2025: $20.71Q2 2025: $23.02Q3 2025: $24.29Q4 2025: $22.97Q1 2026: $23.98Q2 2026: $22.99Q3 2026: $23.61Forward: $26.42
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$26.42+12%
Q3 2026$23.61-2.8%
Q2 2026$22.99-0.1%
Q1 2026$23.98+16%
Q4 2025$22.97+13%
Q3 2025$24.29+37%
Q2 2025$23.02+34%
Q1 2025$20.71+13%
Q4 2024$20.34+3.1%

CVCO has the edge over LCID on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

LCID Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-13.60Q1 2024: $-12.30Q2 2024: $-11.70Q3 2024: $-13.00Q4 2024: $-12.50Q1 2025: $-11.90Q2 2025: $-11.30Q3 2025: $-10.51Q4 2025: $-12.09Q1 2026: $-13.15Q2 2026: $-13.65Q3 2026: $-13.08
Q4 2023: $-13.60Q1 2024: $-12.30Q2 2024: $-11.70Q3 2024: $-13.00Q4 2024: $-12.50Q1 2025: $-11.90Q2 2025: $-11.30Q3 2025: $-10.51Q4 2025: $-12.09Q1 2026: $-13.15Q2 2026: $-13.65Q3 2026: $-13.08
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026-$13.08-$2.57
Q2 2026-$13.65-$2.35
Q1 2026-$13.15-$1.25
Q4 2025-$12.09+$0.41
Q3 2025-$10.51+$2.49
Q2 2025-$11.30+$0.40
Q1 2025-$11.90+$0.40
Q4 2024-$12.50+$1.10

LCID is still losing money, but less than at its worst: $13.08 per share over the past year, against $16.50 at its worst in mid-2023.

CVCO Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $447MQ1 2024: $420MQ2 2024: $478MQ3 2024: $507MQ4 2024: $522MQ1 2025: $508MQ2 2025: $557MQ3 2025: $557MQ4 2025: $581MQ1 2026: $550MQ2 2026: $610MQ3 2026: $656M
Q4 2023: $447MQ1 2024: $420MQ2 2024: $478MQ3 2024: $507MQ4 2024: $522MQ1 2025: $508MQ2 2025: $557MQ3 2025: $557MQ4 2025: $581MQ1 2026: $550MQ2 2026: $610MQ3 2026: $656M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$656.4M+18%
Q2 2026$610M+9.5%
Q1 2026$550.1M+8.2%
Q4 2025$581M+11%
Q3 2025$556.5M+9.7%
Q2 2025$556.9M+17%
Q1 2025$508.4M+21%
Q4 2024$522M+17%

CVCO's revenue has grown year over year for 10 quarters in a row: $656M last quarter, up 18% from the same quarter a year ago.

LCID Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $157MQ1 2024: $173MQ2 2024: $201MQ3 2024: $200MQ4 2024: $234MQ1 2025: $235MQ2 2025: $259MQ3 2025: $337MQ4 2025: $523MQ1 2026: $282MQ2 2026: $405MQ3 2026: $350M
Q4 2023: $157MQ1 2024: $173MQ2 2024: $201MQ3 2024: $200MQ4 2024: $234MQ1 2025: $235MQ2 2025: $259MQ3 2025: $337MQ4 2025: $523MQ1 2026: $282MQ2 2026: $405MQ3 2026: $350M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$350.3M+4.1%
Q2 2026$405.3M+56%
Q1 2026$282.5M+20%
Q4 2025$522.7M+123%
Q3 2025$336.6M+68%
Q2 2025$259.4M+29%
Q1 2025$235M+36%
Q4 2024$234.5M+49%

LCID has the edge over CVCO on sales, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.

CVCO Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $41MQ1 2024: $14MQ2 2024: $42MQ3 2024: $50MQ4 2024: $32MQ1 2025: $33MQ2 2025: $46MQ3 2025: $69MQ4 2025: $58MQ1 2026: $59MQ2 2026: $49MQ3 2026: $67M
Q4 2023: $41MQ1 2024: $14MQ2 2024: $42MQ3 2024: $50MQ4 2024: $32MQ1 2025: $33MQ2 2025: $46MQ3 2025: $69MQ4 2025: $58MQ1 2026: $59MQ2 2026: $49MQ3 2026: $67M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$66.7M-3%
Q2 2026$49M+5.5%
Q1 2026$59.3M+83%
Q4 2025$57.6M+78%
Q3 2025$68.7M+38%
Q2 2025$46.4M+9.4%
Q1 2025$32.5M+126%
Q4 2024$32.3M-21%

CVCO has the edge over LCID on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

LCID Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$747MQ1 2024: −$715MQ2 2024: −$741MQ3 2024: −$622MQ4 2024: −$825MQ1 2025: −$590MQ2 2025: −$1BQ3 2025: −$955MQ4 2025: −$1.2BQ1 2026: −$1.4BQ2 2026: −$1.5BQ3 2026: −$1B
Q4 2023: −$747MQ1 2024: −$715MQ2 2024: −$741MQ3 2024: −$622MQ4 2024: −$825MQ1 2025: −$590MQ2 2025: −$1BQ3 2025: −$955MQ4 2025: −$1.2BQ1 2026: −$1.4BQ2 2026: −$1.5BQ3 2026: −$1B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$1B-$84.2M
Q2 2026-$1.5B-$463.2M
Q1 2026-$1.4B-$849M
Q4 2025-$1.2B-$417.1M
Q3 2025-$955.5M-$333M
Q2 2025-$1B-$271.6M
Q1 2025-$589.9M+$125.1M
Q4 2024-$824.8M-$77.6M

LCID has burned cash in almost every quarter: −$5.2B over the past year, against −$3.4B the year before.

CVCO Total Shares

Q4 2023: 8MQ1 2024: 9MQ2 2024: 8MQ3 2024: 8MQ4 2024: 8MQ1 2025: 8MQ2 2025: 8MQ3 2025: 8MQ4 2025: 8MQ1 2026: 8MQ2 2026: 8MQ3 2026: 8M
Q4 2023: 8MQ1 2024: 9MQ2 2024: 8MQ3 2024: 8MQ4 2024: 8MQ1 2025: 8MQ2 2025: 8MQ3 2025: 8MQ4 2025: 8MQ1 2026: 8MQ2 2026: 8MQ3 2026: 8M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.6%-49.6K shares
1 year-3.2%-258K shares
3 years-11%-997K shares
5 years-17%-1.5M shares
Available history-17%-1.6M shares

CVCO has the edge over LCID on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

LCID Total Shares

Q4 2023: 208MQ1 2024: 230MQ2 2024: 231MQ3 2024: 232MQ4 2024: 245MQ1 2025: 304MQ2 2025: 306MQ3 2025: 312MQ4 2025: 313MQ1 2026: 328MQ2 2026: 382MQ3 2026: 395M
Q4 2023: 208MQ1 2024: 230MQ2 2024: 231MQ3 2024: 232MQ4 2024: 245MQ1 2025: 304MQ2 2025: 306MQ3 2025: 312MQ4 2025: 313MQ1 2026: 328MQ2 2026: 382MQ3 2026: 395M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+3.3%+12.5M shares
1 year+26%+82.4M shares
3 years+73%+166M shares

LCID has 395M diluted shares, up 26% from a year ago.

CVCO Net Leverage

Q4 2023: -1.7xQ1 2024: -1.8xQ2 2024: -2.0xQ3 2024: -2.0xQ4 2024: -1.7xQ1 2025: -1.7xQ2 2025: -1.5xQ3 2025: -1.5xQ4 2025: -1.0xQ1 2026: -0.9xQ2 2026: -1.0xQ3 2026: -1.1x
Q4 2023: -1.7xQ1 2024: -1.8xQ2 2024: -2.0xQ3 2024: -2.0xQ4 2024: -1.7xQ1 2025: -1.7xQ2 2025: -1.5xQ3 2025: -1.5xQ4 2025: -1.0xQ1 2026: -0.9xQ2 2026: -1.0xQ3 2026: -1.1x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-1.1xNet Cash
Q2 2026-1.0xNet Cash
Q1 2026-0.9xNet Cash
Q4 2025-1.0xNet Cash
Q3 2025-1.5xNet Cash
Q2 2025-1.5xNet Cash
Q1 2025-1.7xNet Cash
Q4 2024-1.7xNet Cash

CVCO has more cash than debt.

LCID Net Leverage

LCID's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.

CVCO Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI61.2Neutral
Stochastic77.7Neutral

CVCO's weekly RSI is 61 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 78 (neutral).

LCID Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI32.9Neutral
Stochastic7.1Oversold

LCID's weekly RSI is 33 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 7 (oversold).

CVCO PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricCVCOSector medianRelative
PE27x18x51% above
PE %914744 pts above

CVCO is trading at 27x earnings, a 51% premium to the Consumer Cyclical sector's median of 18x.

LCID PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

LCID has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

CVCO Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$578.811% above
20 week MA$572.712% above
50 week MA$563.014% above
100 week MA$530.221% above
200 week MA$434.448% above

CVCO has the edge over LCID on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

LCID Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$3.537.9% below
20 week MA$4.8833% below
50 week MA$7.3356% below
100 week MA$15.479% below
200 week MA$31.990% below

LCID is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 90% below its 200-week average.

CVCO Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$194.0$181.5-6.5%
2021$181.5$302.7+67%
2022$302.7$226.9-25%
2023$226.9$346.6+53%
2024$346.6$443.3+28%
2025$443.3$600.4+35%
2026 YTD$600.4$642.0+6.9%

CVCO has the edge over LCID on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

LCID Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$98.9$100.4+1.5%
2021$100.4$376.4+275%
2022$376.4$67.0-82%
2023$67.0$42.1-37%
2024$42.1$32.0-24%
2025$32.0$11.4-64%
2026 YTD$11.4$3.25-72%

LCID has finished four years in a row lower, and it's down 72% so far in 2026.

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