CURI

CuriosityStream Inc.

66
Fundamentals77/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential61/ 100
Risk potential34/ 100

CURI's outlook is improving, though it still trails on the overall score.

NFLX

Netflix, Inc.

79
Fundamentals79/ 100
Valuation91/ 100
Upside potential86/ 100
Risk potential9/ 100

NFLX has the edge over CURI overall, supported by stronger valuation and stronger modeled upside.

CURI Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Healthy
Stable
Strong

CURI's revenue, profitability and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its cash flow is stable.

NFLX Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
Strong
Strong

NFLX's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.

CURI PE Valuation

LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward12x$2.86—
Current20x$2.86—
CheapN/AN/AN/A
FairN/AN/AN/A
ExpensiveN/AN/AN/A

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

CURI has the edge over NFLX in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

NFLX PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE29x59x88x117x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE29x59x88x117x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward17x$62.69—
Current18x$62.69—
Cheap27x$94.95+51%
Fair47x$161+157%
Expensive81x$281+348%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

NFLX's PE is in its cheap range at 18x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 17x next year's earnings.

CURI Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Low

CURI has the edge over NFLX on the outlook, with more favorable valuation expectations.

NFLX Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Stable
Strong growth
Growth
Strongly improving
Moderate
Moderate

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for NFLX, with profitability improving.

CURI Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+52%$4.35
Downside-34%$1.89

Calculated from the latest close: $2.86 on Nov 12.

CURI trails NFLX on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside and more potential downside.

NFLX Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+57%$98.20
Downside-9%$56.77

Calculated from the latest close: $62.69 on Nov 12.

NFLX has a better modeled risk to reward balance than CURI, with more potential upside and less potential downside.

CURI Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-0.92Q1 2024: $-0.86Q2 2024: $-0.71Q3 2024: $-0.27Q4 2024: $-0.24Q1 2025: $-0.14Q2 2025: $-0.09Q3 2025: $-0.09Q4 2025: $-0.11Q1 2026: $-0.14Q2 2026: $0.00Q3 2026: $0.14Forward: $0.24
Q4 2023: $-0.92Q1 2024: $-0.86Q2 2024: $-0.71Q3 2024: $-0.27Q4 2024: $-0.24Q1 2025: $-0.14Q2 2025: $-0.09Q3 2025: $-0.09Q4 2025: $-0.11Q1 2026: $-0.14Q2 2026: $0.00Q3 2026: $0.14Forward: $0.24
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$0.24+75%
Q3 2026$0.14+$0.23
Q2 2026$0.00+$0.09
Q1 2026-$0.14$0.00
Q4 2025-$0.11+$0.13
Q3 2025-$0.09+$0.18
Q2 2025-$0.09+$0.62
Q1 2025-$0.14+$0.72
Q4 2024-$0.24+$0.68

CURI has returned to profit: it earned $0.14 per share over the past year, after losing money the year before.

NFLX Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $1.20Q1 2024: $1.44Q2 2024: $1.60Q3 2024: $1.77Q4 2024: $1.98Q1 2025: $2.12Q2 2025: $2.35Q3 2025: $2.39Q4 2025: $2.53Q1 2026: $3.10Q2 2026: $3.18Q3 2026: $3.46Forward: $3.58
Q4 2023: $1.20Q1 2024: $1.44Q2 2024: $1.60Q3 2024: $1.77Q4 2024: $1.98Q1 2025: $2.12Q2 2025: $2.35Q3 2025: $2.39Q4 2025: $2.53Q1 2026: $3.10Q2 2026: $3.18Q3 2026: $3.46Forward: $3.58
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$3.58+3.5%
Q3 2026$3.46+45%
Q2 2026$3.18+35%
Q1 2026$3.10+46%
Q4 2025$2.53+28%
Q3 2025$2.39+35%
Q2 2025$2.35+47%
Q1 2025$2.12+47%
Q4 2024$1.98+65%

NFLX has the edge over CURI on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

CURI Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $15MQ1 2024: $12MQ2 2024: $12MQ3 2024: $13MQ4 2024: $14MQ1 2025: $15MQ2 2025: $19MQ3 2025: $18MQ4 2025: $19MQ1 2026: $15MQ2 2026: $23MQ3 2026: $21M
Q4 2023: $15MQ1 2024: $12MQ2 2024: $12MQ3 2024: $13MQ4 2024: $14MQ1 2025: $15MQ2 2025: $19MQ3 2025: $18MQ4 2025: $19MQ1 2026: $15MQ2 2026: $23MQ3 2026: $21M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$20.7M+13%
Q2 2026$23.2M+22%
Q1 2026$15.2M+0.5%
Q4 2025$19.2M+36%
Q3 2025$18.4M+46%
Q2 2025$19M+53%
Q1 2025$15.1M+26%
Q4 2024$14.1M-4.3%

CURI's revenue is recovering but still below its 2021 peak: $21M last quarter, up 13% from the same quarter a year ago.

NFLX Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $8.8BQ1 2024: $9.4BQ2 2024: $9.6BQ3 2024: $9.8BQ4 2024: $10.2BQ1 2025: $10.5BQ2 2025: $11.1BQ3 2025: $11.5BQ4 2025: $12.1BQ1 2026: $12.2BQ2 2026: $12.6BQ3 2026: $12.9B
Q4 2023: $8.8BQ1 2024: $9.4BQ2 2024: $9.6BQ3 2024: $9.8BQ4 2024: $10.2BQ1 2025: $10.5BQ2 2025: $11.1BQ3 2025: $11.5BQ4 2025: $12.1BQ1 2026: $12.2BQ2 2026: $12.6BQ3 2026: $12.9B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$12.9B+12%
Q2 2026$12.6B+13%
Q1 2026$12.2B+16%
Q4 2025$12.1B+18%
Q3 2025$11.5B+17%
Q2 2025$11.1B+16%
Q1 2025$10.5B+13%
Q4 2024$10.2B+16%

NFLX's revenue has grown year over year every quarter since late 2020: $12.9B last quarter, up 12% from the same quarter a year ago.

CURI Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$3MQ1 2024: $666,000Q2 2024: $2MQ3 2024: $2MQ4 2024: $3MQ1 2025: $2MQ2 2025: $3MQ3 2025: $4MQ4 2025: $4MQ1 2026: $1MQ2 2026: −$4MQ3 2026: $4M
Q4 2023: −$3MQ1 2024: $666,000Q2 2024: $2MQ3 2024: $2MQ4 2024: $3MQ1 2025: $2MQ2 2025: $3MQ3 2025: $4MQ4 2025: $4MQ1 2026: $1MQ2 2026: −$4MQ3 2026: $4M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$4.4M+0.5%
Q2 2026-$4.2M-249%
Q1 2026$1.2M-34%
Q4 2025$3.9M+30%
Q3 2025$4.4M+94%
Q2 2025$2.8M+27%
Q1 2025$1.8M+177%
Q4 2024$3M+$5.6M

CURI has burned cash in most quarters: $5M over the past year, down 55% from the year before.

NFLX Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $1.6BQ1 2024: $2.1BQ2 2024: $1.2BQ3 2024: $2.2BQ4 2024: $1.4BQ1 2025: $2.7BQ2 2025: $2.3BQ3 2025: $2.7BQ4 2025: $1.9BQ1 2026: $5.1BQ2 2026: $1.5BQ3 2026: $2.9B
Q4 2023: $1.6BQ1 2024: $2.1BQ2 2024: $1.2BQ3 2024: $2.2BQ4 2024: $1.4BQ1 2025: $2.7BQ2 2025: $2.3BQ3 2025: $2.7BQ4 2025: $1.9BQ1 2026: $5.1BQ2 2026: $1.5BQ3 2026: $2.9B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$2.9B+8.4%
Q2 2026$1.5B-33%
Q1 2026$5.1B+91%
Q4 2025$1.9B+36%
Q3 2025$2.7B+21%
Q2 2025$2.3B+87%
Q1 2025$2.7B+25%
Q4 2024$1.4B-13%

NFLX generated $11.4B in free cash flow over the past year, up 27% from the year before.

CURI Total Shares

Q4 2023: 53MQ1 2024: 53MQ2 2024: 54MQ3 2024: 55MQ4 2024: 54MQ1 2025: 57MQ2 2025: 58MQ3 2025: 58MQ4 2025: 58MQ1 2026: 59MQ2 2026: 61MQ3 2026: 60M
Q4 2023: 53MQ1 2024: 53MQ2 2024: 54MQ3 2024: 55MQ4 2024: 54MQ1 2025: 57MQ2 2025: 58MQ3 2025: 58MQ4 2025: 58MQ1 2026: 59MQ2 2026: 61MQ3 2026: 60M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.3%-164K shares
1 year+4.3%+2.5M shares
3 years+14%+7.4M shares
5 years+26%+12.4M shares
Available history+264%+43.9M shares

CURI has 60M diluted shares, up 4.3% from a year ago.

NFLX Total Shares

Q4 2023: 4.5BQ1 2024: 4.4BQ2 2024: 4.4BQ3 2024: 4.4BQ4 2024: 4.4BQ1 2025: 4.4BQ2 2025: 4.3BQ3 2025: 4.3BQ4 2025: 4.3BQ1 2026: 4.3BQ2 2026: 4.3BQ3 2026: 4.2B
Q4 2023: 4.5BQ1 2024: 4.4BQ2 2024: 4.4BQ3 2024: 4.4BQ4 2024: 4.4BQ1 2025: 4.4BQ2 2025: 4.3BQ3 2025: 4.3BQ4 2025: 4.3BQ1 2026: 4.3BQ2 2026: 4.3BQ3 2026: 4.2B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-1.6%-66.2M shares
1 year-3.3%-145M shares
3 years-6.8%-305M shares
5 years-7.8%-354M shares
Available history-7.1%-323M shares

NFLX has the edge over CURI on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

CURI Net Leverage

Q3 2026: -0.7x
Q3 2026: -0.7x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-0.7xNet Cash

CURI has the edge over NFLX on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

NFLX Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 1.0xQ1 2024: 0.9xQ2 2024: 0.8xQ3 2024: 0.9xQ4 2024: 0.7xQ1 2025: 0.7xQ2 2025: 0.5xQ3 2025: 0.4xQ4 2025: 0.4xQ1 2026: 0.2xQ2 2026: 0.4xQ3 2026: 0.4x
Q4 2023: 1.0xQ1 2024: 0.9xQ2 2024: 0.8xQ3 2024: 0.9xQ4 2024: 0.7xQ1 2025: 0.7xQ2 2025: 0.5xQ3 2025: 0.4xQ4 2025: 0.4xQ1 2026: 0.2xQ2 2026: 0.4xQ3 2026: 0.4x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20260.4xVery low
Q2 20260.4xVery low
Q1 20260.2xVery low
Q4 20250.4xVery low
Q3 20250.4xVery low
Q2 20250.5xVery low
Q1 20250.7xVery low
Q4 20240.7xVery low

NFLX's net debt is less than a year of its operating earnings (EBITDA).

CURI Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI50.2Neutral
Stochastic14.3Oversold

CURI's weekly RSI is 50 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 14 (oversold).

NFLX Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI33.2Neutral
Stochastic6.0Oversold

NFLX's weekly RSI is 33 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 6 (oversold).

CURI PE vs Communication Services Sector

NFLX PE vs Communication Services Sector

MetricNFLXSector medianRelative
PE18x16x9.8% above
PE %42622 pts below

NFLX is trading at 18x earnings, in line with the Communication Services sector's median of 16x.

CURI Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$2.782.9% above
20 week MA$2.754% above
50 week MA$3.076.8% below
100 week MA$3.4918% below
200 week MA$2.3124% above

CURI has the edge over NFLX on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

NFLX Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$66.65.9% below
20 week MA$71.813% below
50 week MA$82.424% below
100 week MA$96.035% below
200 week MA$74.416% below

NFLX is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 16% below its 200-week average.

CURI Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$9.90$13.8+39%
2021$13.8$6.44-53%
2022$6.44$1.17-82%
2023$1.17$0.54-54%
2024$0.54$1.58+193%
2025$1.58$3.83+142%
2026 YTD$3.83$2.86-25%

CURI has the edge over NFLX on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

NFLX Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$32.9$51.4+56%
2021$51.4$61.4+19%
2022$61.4$29.5-52%
2023$29.5$48.7+65%
2024$48.7$90.8+86%
2025$90.8$94.5+4.1%
2026 YTD$94.5$62.7-34%

NFLX is down 34% so far in 2026, after finishing higher in five of the previous six years.

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