CTRN

Citi Trends, Inc.

56
Fundamentals60/ 100
Valuation30/ 100
Upside potential65/ 100
Risk potential26/ 100

CTRN has the edge over TSLA overall, supported by stronger modeled upside and stronger fundamentals.

TSLA

Tesla, Inc.

52
Fundamentals48/ 100
Valuation27/ 100
Upside potential47/ 100
Risk potential34/ 100

TSLA's outlook is improving, though it still trails on the overall score.

CTRN Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Healthy
Stable
Strong

CTRN's revenue, profitability and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its cash flow is stable.

TSLA Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Stable
Under pressure
Strong

TSLA's revenue and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its profitability is stable, but its cash flow is under pressure.

CTRN PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE22x43x65x86x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE22x43x65x86x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap3.8x$3.31-92%
Fair10x$8.73-80%
Forward19x$43.05—
Expensive46x$39.40-8.5%
Current50x$43.05—

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

CTRN's PE is in its expensive range at 50x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 19x next year's earnings, in its fair range.

TSLA PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE433x867x1300x1733x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE433x867x1300x1733x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap60x$54.70-86%
Fair174x$158-60%
Forward196x$397—
Expensive415x$378-4.9%
Current437x$397—

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

TSLA has the edge over CTRN in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

CTRN Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Growth
Improving
Limited
High

CTRN has the edge over TSLA on the outlook, with more favorable profitability expectations.

TSLA Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Growth
Growth
Stable
Limited
Low

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for TSLA, with profitability holding steady. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

CTRN Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+47%$63.44
Downside-26%$31.99

Calculated from the latest close: $43.05 on Nov 12.

CTRN has a better modeled risk to reward balance than TSLA, with more potential upside and less potential downside.

TSLA Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+30%$515.78
Downside-34%$263.05

Calculated from the latest close: $397.45 on Nov 12.

TSLA trails CTRN on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside and more potential downside.

CTRN Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-1.02Q1 2024: $-1.46Q2 2024: $-1.07Q3 2024: $-2.67Q4 2024: $-3.06Q1 2025: $-5.19Q2 2025: $-4.66Q3 2025: $-1.99Q4 2025: $-1.99Q1 2026: $0.63Q2 2026: $1.43Q3 2026: $0.86Forward: $2.33
Q4 2023: $-1.02Q1 2024: $-1.46Q2 2024: $-1.07Q3 2024: $-2.67Q4 2024: $-3.06Q1 2025: $-5.19Q2 2025: $-4.66Q3 2025: $-1.99Q4 2025: $-1.99Q1 2026: $0.63Q2 2026: $1.43Q3 2026: $0.86Forward: $2.33
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$2.33+170%
Q3 2026$0.86+$2.85
Q2 2026$1.43+$6.09
Q1 2026$0.63+$5.82
Q4 2025-$1.99+$1.07
Q3 2025-$1.99+$0.68
Q2 2025-$4.66-$3.59
Q1 2025-$5.19-$3.73
Q4 2024-$3.06-$2.04

CTRN has the edge over TSLA on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

TSLA Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $4.30Q1 2024: $3.91Q2 2024: $3.55Q3 2024: $3.64Q4 2024: $2.04Q1 2025: $1.82Q2 2025: $1.73Q3 2025: $1.50Q4 2025: $1.08Q1 2026: $1.09Q2 2026: $1.08Q3 2026: $0.91Forward: $2.03
Q4 2023: $4.30Q1 2024: $3.91Q2 2024: $3.55Q3 2024: $3.64Q4 2024: $2.04Q1 2025: $1.82Q2 2025: $1.73Q3 2025: $1.50Q4 2025: $1.08Q1 2026: $1.09Q2 2026: $1.08Q3 2026: $0.91Forward: $2.03
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$2.03+123%
Q3 2026$0.91-39%
Q2 2026$1.08-38%
Q1 2026$1.09-40%
Q4 2025$1.08-47%
Q3 2025$1.50-59%
Q2 2025$1.73-51%
Q1 2025$1.82-53%
Q4 2024$2.04-53%

TSLA's earnings per share have fallen from their peak: $0.91 over the past year, against $4.30 in late 2023.

CTRN Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $180MQ1 2024: $215MQ2 2024: $186MQ3 2024: $177MQ4 2024: $179MQ1 2025: $211MQ2 2025: $202MQ3 2025: $191MQ4 2025: $197MQ1 2026: $230MQ2 2026: $231MQ3 2026: $212M
Q4 2023: $180MQ1 2024: $215MQ2 2024: $186MQ3 2024: $177MQ4 2024: $179MQ1 2025: $211MQ2 2025: $202MQ3 2025: $191MQ4 2025: $197MQ1 2026: $230MQ2 2026: $231MQ3 2026: $212M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$211.6M+11%
Q2 2026$230.9M+14%
Q1 2026$230.4M+9.1%
Q4 2025$197.1M+10%
Q3 2025$190.8M+8%
Q2 2025$201.7M+8.3%
Q1 2025$211.2M-1.9%
Q4 2024$179.1M-0.3%

CTRN has the edge over TSLA on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

TSLA Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $25.2BQ1 2024: $21.3BQ2 2024: $25.5BQ3 2024: $25.2BQ4 2024: $25.7BQ1 2025: $19.3BQ2 2025: $22.5BQ3 2025: $28.1BQ4 2025: $24.9BQ1 2026: $22.4BQ2 2026: $28.2BQ3 2026: $28B
Q4 2023: $25.2BQ1 2024: $21.3BQ2 2024: $25.5BQ3 2024: $25.2BQ4 2024: $25.7BQ1 2025: $19.3BQ2 2025: $22.5BQ3 2025: $28.1BQ4 2025: $24.9BQ1 2026: $22.4BQ2 2026: $28.2BQ3 2026: $28B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$28B-0.2%
Q2 2026$28.2B+26%
Q1 2026$22.4B+16%
Q4 2025$24.9B-3.1%
Q3 2025$28.1B+12%
Q2 2025$22.5B-12%
Q1 2025$19.3B-9.2%
Q4 2024$25.7B+2.1%

TSLA's revenue has picked up after two years of holding roughly level: $28B last quarter, about level with the same quarter a year ago.

CTRN Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$8MQ1 2024: $20MQ2 2024: −$21MQ3 2024: $2MQ4 2024: −$20MQ1 2025: $26MQ2 2025: −$13MQ3 2025: −$2MQ4 2025: $767,000Q1 2026: $15MQ2 2026: $15MQ3 2026: −$24M
Q4 2023: −$8MQ1 2024: $20MQ2 2024: −$21MQ3 2024: $2MQ4 2024: −$20MQ1 2025: $26MQ2 2025: −$13MQ3 2025: −$2MQ4 2025: $767,000Q1 2026: $15MQ2 2026: $15MQ3 2026: −$24M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$24M-$22.2M
Q2 2026$15M+$28.1M
Q1 2026$14.7M-44%
Q4 2025$767K+$21.2M
Q3 2025-$1.7M-205%
Q2 2025-$13.1M+$8.1M
Q1 2025$26M+30%
Q4 2024-$20.4M-$12.8M

CTRN has the edge over TSLA on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

TSLA Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $2.1BQ1 2024: −$2.5BQ2 2024: $1.3BQ3 2024: $2.7BQ4 2024: $2BQ1 2025: $664MQ2 2025: $146MQ3 2025: $4BQ4 2025: $1.4BQ1 2026: $1.4BQ2 2026: −$1.1BQ3 2026: $1.5B
Q4 2023: $2.1BQ1 2024: −$2.5BQ2 2024: $1.3BQ3 2024: $2.7BQ4 2024: $2BQ1 2025: $664MQ2 2025: $146MQ3 2025: $4BQ4 2025: $1.4BQ1 2026: $1.4BQ2 2026: −$1.1BQ3 2026: $1.5B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$1.5B-62%
Q2 2026-$1.1B-848%
Q1 2026$1.4B+117%
Q4 2025$1.4B-30%
Q3 2025$4B+46%
Q2 2025$146M-89%
Q1 2025$664M+$3.2B
Q4 2024$2B-1.6%

TSLA still generates free cash flow, though less than at its 2025 peak: $3.3B over the past year.

CTRN Total Shares

Q4 2023: 8MQ1 2024: 8MQ2 2024: 8MQ3 2024: 8MQ4 2024: 8MQ1 2025: 8MQ2 2025: 8MQ3 2025: 8MQ4 2025: 8MQ1 2026: 8MQ2 2026: 8MQ3 2026: 8M
Q4 2023: 8MQ1 2024: 8MQ2 2024: 8MQ3 2024: 8MQ4 2024: 8MQ1 2025: 8MQ2 2025: 8MQ3 2025: 8MQ4 2025: 8MQ1 2026: 8MQ2 2026: 8MQ3 2026: 8M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-3.5%-301K shares
1 year-1.6%-130K shares
3 years-0.5%-41.4K shares
5 years-11%-995K shares
Available history-30%-3.5M shares

CTRN has the edge over TSLA on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

TSLA Total Shares

Q4 2023: 3.5BQ1 2024: 3.5BQ2 2024: 3.5BQ3 2024: 3.5BQ4 2024: 3.5BQ1 2025: 3.5BQ2 2025: 3.5BQ3 2025: 3.5BQ4 2025: 3.5BQ1 2026: 3.5BQ2 2026: 3.5BQ3 2026: 3.5B
Q4 2023: 3.5BQ1 2024: 3.5BQ2 2024: 3.5BQ3 2024: 3.5BQ4 2024: 3.5BQ1 2025: 3.5BQ2 2025: 3.5BQ3 2025: 3.5BQ4 2025: 3.5BQ1 2026: 3.5BQ2 2026: 3.5BQ3 2026: 3.5B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly0%+1M shares
1 year+0.4%+15M shares
3 years+1.4%+48M shares
5 years+5.1%+172M shares
Available history+33%+886M shares

TSLA has 3.5B diluted shares, about the same as a year ago.

CTRN Net Leverage

Q4 2023: -20.2xQ2 2024: -27.2xQ3 2025: -3.5xQ4 2025: -3.2xQ1 2026: -3.0xQ2 2026: -2.7xQ3 2026: -2.2x
Q4 2023: -20.2xQ2 2024: -27.2xQ3 2025: -3.5xQ4 2025: -3.2xQ1 2026: -3.0xQ2 2026: -2.7xQ3 2026: -2.2x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-2.2xNet Cash
Q2 2026-2.7xNet Cash
Q1 2026-3.0xNet Cash
Q4 2025-3.2xNet Cash
Q3 2025-3.5xNet Cash
Q2 2024-27.2xNet Cash
Q4 2023-20.2xNet Cash
Q3 2023-1.6xNet Cash

CTRN has the edge over TSLA on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

TSLA Net Leverage

Q4 2023: -1.1xQ1 2024: -0.8xQ2 2024: -0.9xQ3 2024: -1.1xQ4 2024: -1.0xQ1 2025: -1.1xQ2 2025: -1.1xQ3 2025: -1.4xQ4 2025: -1.1xQ1 2026: -0.9xQ2 2026: -0.8xQ3 2026: -1.1x
Q4 2023: -1.1xQ1 2024: -0.8xQ2 2024: -0.9xQ3 2024: -1.1xQ4 2024: -1.0xQ1 2025: -1.1xQ2 2025: -1.1xQ3 2025: -1.4xQ4 2025: -1.1xQ1 2026: -0.9xQ2 2026: -0.8xQ3 2026: -1.1x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-1.1xNet Cash
Q2 2026-0.8xNet Cash
Q1 2026-0.9xNet Cash
Q4 2025-1.1xNet Cash
Q3 2025-1.4xNet Cash
Q2 2025-1.1xNet Cash
Q1 2025-1.1xNet Cash
Q4 2024-1.0xNet Cash

TSLA has more cash than debt.

CTRN Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI39.5Neutral
Stochastic6.0Oversold

CTRN's weekly RSI is 39 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 6 (oversold).

TSLA Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI54.3Neutral
Stochastic72.6Neutral

TSLA's weekly RSI is 54 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 73 (neutral).

CTRN PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricCTRNSector medianRelative
PE50x18x178% above
PE %864739 pts above

CTRN has the edge over TSLA on valuation relative to its sector.

TSLA PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricTSLASector medianRelative
PE437x18x2,324% above
PE %844737 pts above

TSLA is trading at 437x earnings, a 2324% premium to the Consumer Cyclical sector's median of 18x.

CTRN Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$47.49.1% below
20 week MA$57.926% below
50 week MA$50.815% below
100 week MA$40.17.4% above
200 week MA$31.238% above

CTRN has pulled back, but its long-term trend is still up: it's below its 8-, 20- and 50-week averages, but 38% above its 200-week average.

TSLA Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$376.05.7% above
20 week MA$364.09.2% above
50 week MA$393.61% above
100 week MA$372.16.8% above
200 week MA$296.934% above

TSLA has the edge over CTRN on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

CTRN Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$22.8$47.4+108%
2021$47.4$76.4+61%
2022$76.4$27.6-64%
2023$27.6$28.3+2.4%
2024$28.3$26.9-5.1%
2025$26.9$40.2+50%
2026 YTD$40.2$43.1+7.2%

CTRN has the edge over TSLA on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

TSLA Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$28.7$220.6+669%
2021$220.6$355.7+61%
2022$355.7$123.2-65%
2023$123.2$248.5+102%
2024$248.5$431.7+74%
2025$431.7$475.2+10%
2026 YTD$475.2$397.5-16%

TSLA's yearly returns have swung widely, from +669% in 2020 to −65% in 2022. It's down 16% so far in 2026.

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