CTRN

Citi Trends, Inc.

56
Fundamentals60/ 100
Valuation30/ 100
Upside potential65/ 100
Risk potential26/ 100

CTRN has a slight edge over RIVN overall, supported by lower modeled downside and stronger fundamentals.

RIVN

Rivian Automotive, Inc.

53
Fundamentals56/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential61/ 100
Risk potential31/ 100

RIVN offers stronger valuation, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.

CTRN Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Healthy
Stable
Strong

CTRN's revenue, profitability and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its cash flow is stable.

RIVN Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Weak
Weak
Unavailable

RIVN's revenue is currently healthy, but its profitability and cash flow are weak. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.

CTRN PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE22x43x65x86x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE22x43x65x86x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap3.8x$3.31-92%
Fair10x$8.73-80%
Forward19x$43.05—
Expensive46x$39.40-8.5%
Current50x$43.05—

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

CTRN's PE is in its expensive range at 50x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 19x next year's earnings, in its fair range.

RIVN PE Valuation

RIVN has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

CTRN Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Growth
Improving
Limited
High

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for CTRN, with profitability improving.

RIVN Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Losses shrinking
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Low

Analysts expect RIVN's losses to shrink, with revenue growing. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

CTRN Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+47%$63.44
Downside-26%$31.99

Calculated from the latest close: $43.05 on Nov 12.

CTRN has a better modeled risk to reward balance than RIVN, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

RIVN Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+49%$19.04
Downside-31%$8.82

Calculated from the latest close: $12.80 on Nov 12.

RIVN trails CTRN on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

CTRN Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-1.02Q1 2024: $-1.46Q2 2024: $-1.07Q3 2024: $-2.67Q4 2024: $-3.06Q1 2025: $-5.19Q2 2025: $-4.66Q3 2025: $-1.99Q4 2025: $-1.99Q1 2026: $0.63Q2 2026: $1.43Q3 2026: $0.86Forward: $2.33
Q4 2023: $-1.02Q1 2024: $-1.46Q2 2024: $-1.07Q3 2024: $-2.67Q4 2024: $-3.06Q1 2025: $-5.19Q2 2025: $-4.66Q3 2025: $-1.99Q4 2025: $-1.99Q1 2026: $0.63Q2 2026: $1.43Q3 2026: $0.86Forward: $2.33
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$2.33+170%
Q3 2026$0.86+$2.85
Q2 2026$1.43+$6.09
Q1 2026$0.63+$5.82
Q4 2025-$1.99+$1.07
Q3 2025-$1.99+$0.68
Q2 2025-$4.66-$3.59
Q1 2025-$5.19-$3.73
Q4 2024-$3.06-$2.04

CTRN has the edge over RIVN on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

RIVN Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-5.74Q1 2024: $-5.77Q2 2024: $-5.96Q3 2024: $-5.60Q4 2024: $-4.69Q1 2025: $-3.69Q2 2025: $-3.20Q3 2025: $-3.08Q4 2025: $-3.07Q1 2026: $-2.92Q2 2026: $-2.58Q3 2026: $-2.25
Q4 2023: $-5.74Q1 2024: $-5.77Q2 2024: $-5.96Q3 2024: $-5.60Q4 2024: $-4.69Q1 2025: $-3.69Q2 2025: $-3.20Q3 2025: $-3.08Q4 2025: $-3.07Q1 2026: $-2.92Q2 2026: $-2.58Q3 2026: $-2.25
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026-$2.25+$0.83
Q2 2026-$2.58+$0.62
Q1 2026-$2.92+$0.77
Q4 2025-$3.07+$1.62
Q3 2025-$3.08+$2.52
Q2 2025-$3.20+$2.76
Q1 2025-$3.69+$2.08
Q4 2024-$4.69+$1.05

RIVN is still losing money, but far less than before: $2.25 per share over the past year, against $7.40 at its worst in late 2022.

CTRN Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $180MQ1 2024: $215MQ2 2024: $186MQ3 2024: $177MQ4 2024: $179MQ1 2025: $211MQ2 2025: $202MQ3 2025: $191MQ4 2025: $197MQ1 2026: $230MQ2 2026: $231MQ3 2026: $212M
Q4 2023: $180MQ1 2024: $215MQ2 2024: $186MQ3 2024: $177MQ4 2024: $179MQ1 2025: $211MQ2 2025: $202MQ3 2025: $191MQ4 2025: $197MQ1 2026: $230MQ2 2026: $231MQ3 2026: $212M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$211.6M+11%
Q2 2026$230.9M+14%
Q1 2026$230.4M+9.1%
Q4 2025$197.1M+10%
Q3 2025$190.8M+8%
Q2 2025$201.7M+8.3%
Q1 2025$211.2M-1.9%
Q4 2024$179.1M-0.3%

CTRN's revenue is recovering but still below its 2021 peak: $212M last quarter, up 11% from the same quarter a year ago.

RIVN Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $1.3BQ1 2024: $1.2BQ2 2024: $1.2BQ3 2024: $874MQ4 2024: $1.7BQ1 2025: $1.2BQ2 2025: $1.3BQ3 2025: $1.6BQ4 2025: $1.3BQ1 2026: $1.4BQ2 2026: $1.7BQ3 2026: $2.2B
Q4 2023: $1.3BQ1 2024: $1.2BQ2 2024: $1.2BQ3 2024: $874MQ4 2024: $1.7BQ1 2025: $1.2BQ2 2025: $1.3BQ3 2025: $1.6BQ4 2025: $1.3BQ1 2026: $1.4BQ2 2026: $1.7BQ3 2026: $2.2B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$2.2B+38%
Q2 2026$1.7B+27%
Q1 2026$1.4B+11%
Q4 2025$1.3B-26%
Q3 2025$1.6B+78%
Q2 2025$1.3B+13%
Q1 2025$1.2B+3%
Q4 2024$1.7B+32%

RIVN has the edge over CTRN on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

CTRN Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$8MQ1 2024: $20MQ2 2024: −$21MQ3 2024: $2MQ4 2024: −$20MQ1 2025: $26MQ2 2025: −$13MQ3 2025: −$2MQ4 2025: $767,000Q1 2026: $15MQ2 2026: $15MQ3 2026: −$24M
Q4 2023: −$8MQ1 2024: $20MQ2 2024: −$21MQ3 2024: $2MQ4 2024: −$20MQ1 2025: $26MQ2 2025: −$13MQ3 2025: −$2MQ4 2025: $767,000Q1 2026: $15MQ2 2026: $15MQ3 2026: −$24M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$24M-$22.2M
Q2 2026$15M+$28.1M
Q1 2026$14.7M-44%
Q4 2025$767K+$21.2M
Q3 2025-$1.7M-205%
Q2 2025-$13.1M+$8.1M
Q1 2025$26M+30%
Q4 2024-$20.4M-$12.8M

CTRN has the edge over RIVN on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

RIVN Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$1.4BQ1 2024: −$1.5BQ2 2024: −$1BQ3 2024: −$1.2BQ4 2024: $856MQ1 2025: −$526MQ2 2025: −$398MQ3 2025: −$421MQ4 2025: −$1.1BQ1 2026: −$1.1BQ2 2026: −$849MQ3 2026: −$1.1B
Q4 2023: −$1.4BQ1 2024: −$1.5BQ2 2024: −$1BQ3 2024: −$1.2BQ4 2024: $856MQ1 2025: −$526MQ2 2025: −$398MQ3 2025: −$421MQ4 2025: −$1.1BQ1 2026: −$1.1BQ2 2026: −$849MQ3 2026: −$1.1B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$1.1B-$703M
Q2 2026-$849M-$451M
Q1 2026-$1.1B-$549M
Q4 2025-$1.1B-234%
Q3 2025-$421M+$732M
Q2 2025-$398M+$639M
Q1 2025-$526M+$997M
Q4 2024$856M+$2.3B

RIVN has burned cash in almost every quarter: −$4.2B over the past year, against −$489M the year before.

CTRN Total Shares

Q4 2023: 8MQ1 2024: 8MQ2 2024: 8MQ3 2024: 8MQ4 2024: 8MQ1 2025: 8MQ2 2025: 8MQ3 2025: 8MQ4 2025: 8MQ1 2026: 8MQ2 2026: 8MQ3 2026: 8M
Q4 2023: 8MQ1 2024: 8MQ2 2024: 8MQ3 2024: 8MQ4 2024: 8MQ1 2025: 8MQ2 2025: 8MQ3 2025: 8MQ4 2025: 8MQ1 2026: 8MQ2 2026: 8MQ3 2026: 8M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-3.5%-301K shares
1 year-1.6%-130K shares
3 years-0.5%-41.4K shares
5 years-11%-995K shares
Available history-30%-3.5M shares

CTRN has the edge over RIVN on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

RIVN Total Shares

Q4 2023: 947MQ1 2024: 978MQ2 2024: 1BQ3 2024: 1BQ4 2024: 1BQ1 2025: 1.1BQ2 2025: 1.2BQ3 2025: 1.2BQ4 2025: 1.2BQ1 2026: 1.2BQ2 2026: 1.3BQ3 2026: 1.4B
Q4 2023: 947MQ1 2024: 978MQ2 2024: 1BQ3 2024: 1BQ4 2024: 1BQ1 2025: 1.1BQ2 2025: 1.2BQ3 2025: 1.2BQ4 2025: 1.2BQ1 2026: 1.2BQ2 2026: 1.3BQ3 2026: 1.4B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+9.1%+121M shares
1 year+19%+226M shares
3 years+52%+494M shares

RIVN has 1.4B diluted shares, up 19% from a year ago.

CTRN Net Leverage

Q4 2023: -20.2xQ2 2024: -27.2xQ3 2025: -3.5xQ4 2025: -3.2xQ1 2026: -3.0xQ2 2026: -2.7xQ3 2026: -2.2x
Q4 2023: -20.2xQ2 2024: -27.2xQ3 2025: -3.5xQ4 2025: -3.2xQ1 2026: -3.0xQ2 2026: -2.7xQ3 2026: -2.2x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-2.2xNet Cash
Q2 2026-2.7xNet Cash
Q1 2026-3.0xNet Cash
Q4 2025-3.2xNet Cash
Q3 2025-3.5xNet Cash
Q2 2024-27.2xNet Cash
Q4 2023-20.2xNet Cash
Q3 2023-1.6xNet Cash

CTRN has more cash than debt.

RIVN Net Leverage

RIVN's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.

CTRN Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI39.5Neutral
Stochastic6.0Oversold

CTRN's weekly RSI is 39 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 6 (oversold).

RIVN Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI41.5Neutral
Stochastic25.6Neutral

RIVN's weekly RSI is 41 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 26 (neutral).

CTRN PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricCTRNSector medianRelative
PE50x18x178% above
PE %864739 pts above

CTRN is trading at 50x earnings, a 178% premium to the Consumer Cyclical sector's median of 18x.

RIVN PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

RIVN has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

CTRN Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$47.49.1% below
20 week MA$57.926% below
50 week MA$50.815% below
100 week MA$40.17.4% above
200 week MA$31.238% above

CTRN has the edge over RIVN on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

RIVN Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$13.33.9% below
20 week MA$15.115% below
50 week MA$15.919% below
100 week MA$14.713% below
200 week MA$15.115% below

RIVN is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 15% below its 200-week average.

CTRN Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$22.8$47.4+108%
2021$47.4$76.4+61%
2022$76.4$27.6-64%
2023$27.6$28.3+2.4%
2024$28.3$26.9-5.1%
2025$26.9$40.2+50%
2026 YTD$40.2$43.1+7.2%

CTRN has the edge over RIVN on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

RIVN Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2021$130.0$96.8-25%
2022$96.8$19.1-80%
2023$19.1$23.5+23%
2024$23.5$13.7-42%
2025$13.7$20.9+53%
2026 YTD$20.9$12.8-39%

RIVN has finished lower in three of the last five years. It's down 39% so far in 2026.

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