CTRN

Citi Trends, Inc.

56
Fundamentals60/ 100
Valuation30/ 100
Upside potential65/ 100
Risk potential26/ 100

CTRN has the edge over LCID overall, supported by lower modeled downside and stronger modeled upside.

LCID

Lucid Group, Inc.

52
Fundamentals65/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential62/ 100
Risk potential38/ 100

LCID offers stronger valuation, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.

CTRN Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Healthy
Stable
Strong

CTRN's revenue, profitability and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its cash flow is stable.

LCID Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Weak
Weak
Unavailable

LCID's revenue is currently healthy, but its profitability and cash flow are weak. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.

CTRN PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE22x43x65x86x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE22x43x65x86x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap3.8x$3.31-92%
Fair10x$8.73-80%
Forward19x$43.05—
Expensive46x$39.40-8.5%
Current50x$43.05—

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

CTRN's PE is in its expensive range at 50x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 19x next year's earnings, in its fair range.

LCID PE Valuation

LCID has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

CTRN Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Growth
Improving
Limited
High

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for CTRN, with profitability improving.

LCID Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Losses shrinking
Strong growth
--
Limited
Low

Analysts expect LCID's losses to shrink, with revenue growing. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

CTRN Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+47%$63.44
Downside-26%$31.99

Calculated from the latest close: $43.05 on Nov 12.

CTRN has a better modeled risk to reward balance than LCID, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

LCID Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+63%$5.30
Downside-38%$2.02

Calculated from the latest close: $3.25 on Nov 12.

LCID trails CTRN on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

CTRN Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-1.02Q1 2024: $-1.46Q2 2024: $-1.07Q3 2024: $-2.67Q4 2024: $-3.06Q1 2025: $-5.19Q2 2025: $-4.66Q3 2025: $-1.99Q4 2025: $-1.99Q1 2026: $0.63Q2 2026: $1.43Q3 2026: $0.86Forward: $2.33
Q4 2023: $-1.02Q1 2024: $-1.46Q2 2024: $-1.07Q3 2024: $-2.67Q4 2024: $-3.06Q1 2025: $-5.19Q2 2025: $-4.66Q3 2025: $-1.99Q4 2025: $-1.99Q1 2026: $0.63Q2 2026: $1.43Q3 2026: $0.86Forward: $2.33
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$2.33+170%
Q3 2026$0.86+$2.85
Q2 2026$1.43+$6.09
Q1 2026$0.63+$5.82
Q4 2025-$1.99+$1.07
Q3 2025-$1.99+$0.68
Q2 2025-$4.66-$3.59
Q1 2025-$5.19-$3.73
Q4 2024-$3.06-$2.04

CTRN has the edge over LCID on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

LCID Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-13.60Q1 2024: $-12.30Q2 2024: $-11.70Q3 2024: $-13.00Q4 2024: $-12.50Q1 2025: $-11.90Q2 2025: $-11.30Q3 2025: $-10.51Q4 2025: $-12.09Q1 2026: $-13.15Q2 2026: $-13.65Q3 2026: $-13.08
Q4 2023: $-13.60Q1 2024: $-12.30Q2 2024: $-11.70Q3 2024: $-13.00Q4 2024: $-12.50Q1 2025: $-11.90Q2 2025: $-11.30Q3 2025: $-10.51Q4 2025: $-12.09Q1 2026: $-13.15Q2 2026: $-13.65Q3 2026: $-13.08
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026-$13.08-$2.57
Q2 2026-$13.65-$2.35
Q1 2026-$13.15-$1.25
Q4 2025-$12.09+$0.41
Q3 2025-$10.51+$2.49
Q2 2025-$11.30+$0.40
Q1 2025-$11.90+$0.40
Q4 2024-$12.50+$1.10

LCID is still losing money, but less than at its worst: $13.08 per share over the past year, against $16.50 at its worst in mid-2023.

CTRN Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $180MQ1 2024: $215MQ2 2024: $186MQ3 2024: $177MQ4 2024: $179MQ1 2025: $211MQ2 2025: $202MQ3 2025: $191MQ4 2025: $197MQ1 2026: $230MQ2 2026: $231MQ3 2026: $212M
Q4 2023: $180MQ1 2024: $215MQ2 2024: $186MQ3 2024: $177MQ4 2024: $179MQ1 2025: $211MQ2 2025: $202MQ3 2025: $191MQ4 2025: $197MQ1 2026: $230MQ2 2026: $231MQ3 2026: $212M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$211.6M+11%
Q2 2026$230.9M+14%
Q1 2026$230.4M+9.1%
Q4 2025$197.1M+10%
Q3 2025$190.8M+8%
Q2 2025$201.7M+8.3%
Q1 2025$211.2M-1.9%
Q4 2024$179.1M-0.3%

CTRN's revenue is recovering but still below its 2021 peak: $212M last quarter, up 11% from the same quarter a year ago.

LCID Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $157MQ1 2024: $173MQ2 2024: $201MQ3 2024: $200MQ4 2024: $234MQ1 2025: $235MQ2 2025: $259MQ3 2025: $337MQ4 2025: $523MQ1 2026: $282MQ2 2026: $405MQ3 2026: $350M
Q4 2023: $157MQ1 2024: $173MQ2 2024: $201MQ3 2024: $200MQ4 2024: $234MQ1 2025: $235MQ2 2025: $259MQ3 2025: $337MQ4 2025: $523MQ1 2026: $282MQ2 2026: $405MQ3 2026: $350M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$350.3M+4.1%
Q2 2026$405.3M+56%
Q1 2026$282.5M+20%
Q4 2025$522.7M+123%
Q3 2025$336.6M+68%
Q2 2025$259.4M+29%
Q1 2025$235M+36%
Q4 2024$234.5M+49%

LCID has the edge over CTRN on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

CTRN Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$8MQ1 2024: $20MQ2 2024: −$21MQ3 2024: $2MQ4 2024: −$20MQ1 2025: $26MQ2 2025: −$13MQ3 2025: −$2MQ4 2025: $767,000Q1 2026: $15MQ2 2026: $15MQ3 2026: −$24M
Q4 2023: −$8MQ1 2024: $20MQ2 2024: −$21MQ3 2024: $2MQ4 2024: −$20MQ1 2025: $26MQ2 2025: −$13MQ3 2025: −$2MQ4 2025: $767,000Q1 2026: $15MQ2 2026: $15MQ3 2026: −$24M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$24M-$22.2M
Q2 2026$15M+$28.1M
Q1 2026$14.7M-44%
Q4 2025$767K+$21.2M
Q3 2025-$1.7M-205%
Q2 2025-$13.1M+$8.1M
Q1 2025$26M+30%
Q4 2024-$20.4M-$12.8M

CTRN has the edge over LCID on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

LCID Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$747MQ1 2024: −$715MQ2 2024: −$741MQ3 2024: −$622MQ4 2024: −$825MQ1 2025: −$590MQ2 2025: −$1BQ3 2025: −$955MQ4 2025: −$1.2BQ1 2026: −$1.4BQ2 2026: −$1.5BQ3 2026: −$1B
Q4 2023: −$747MQ1 2024: −$715MQ2 2024: −$741MQ3 2024: −$622MQ4 2024: −$825MQ1 2025: −$590MQ2 2025: −$1BQ3 2025: −$955MQ4 2025: −$1.2BQ1 2026: −$1.4BQ2 2026: −$1.5BQ3 2026: −$1B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$1B-$84.2M
Q2 2026-$1.5B-$463.2M
Q1 2026-$1.4B-$849M
Q4 2025-$1.2B-$417.1M
Q3 2025-$955.5M-$333M
Q2 2025-$1B-$271.6M
Q1 2025-$589.9M+$125.1M
Q4 2024-$824.8M-$77.6M

LCID has burned cash in almost every quarter: −$5.2B over the past year, against −$3.4B the year before.

CTRN Total Shares

Q4 2023: 8MQ1 2024: 8MQ2 2024: 8MQ3 2024: 8MQ4 2024: 8MQ1 2025: 8MQ2 2025: 8MQ3 2025: 8MQ4 2025: 8MQ1 2026: 8MQ2 2026: 8MQ3 2026: 8M
Q4 2023: 8MQ1 2024: 8MQ2 2024: 8MQ3 2024: 8MQ4 2024: 8MQ1 2025: 8MQ2 2025: 8MQ3 2025: 8MQ4 2025: 8MQ1 2026: 8MQ2 2026: 8MQ3 2026: 8M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-3.5%-301K shares
1 year-1.6%-130K shares
3 years-0.5%-41.4K shares
5 years-11%-995K shares
Available history-30%-3.5M shares

CTRN has the edge over LCID on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

LCID Total Shares

Q4 2023: 208MQ1 2024: 230MQ2 2024: 231MQ3 2024: 232MQ4 2024: 245MQ1 2025: 304MQ2 2025: 306MQ3 2025: 312MQ4 2025: 313MQ1 2026: 328MQ2 2026: 382MQ3 2026: 395M
Q4 2023: 208MQ1 2024: 230MQ2 2024: 231MQ3 2024: 232MQ4 2024: 245MQ1 2025: 304MQ2 2025: 306MQ3 2025: 312MQ4 2025: 313MQ1 2026: 328MQ2 2026: 382MQ3 2026: 395M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+3.3%+12.5M shares
1 year+26%+82.4M shares
3 years+73%+166M shares

LCID has 395M diluted shares, up 26% from a year ago.

CTRN Net Leverage

Q4 2023: -20.2xQ2 2024: -27.2xQ3 2025: -3.5xQ4 2025: -3.2xQ1 2026: -3.0xQ2 2026: -2.7xQ3 2026: -2.2x
Q4 2023: -20.2xQ2 2024: -27.2xQ3 2025: -3.5xQ4 2025: -3.2xQ1 2026: -3.0xQ2 2026: -2.7xQ3 2026: -2.2x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-2.2xNet Cash
Q2 2026-2.7xNet Cash
Q1 2026-3.0xNet Cash
Q4 2025-3.2xNet Cash
Q3 2025-3.5xNet Cash
Q2 2024-27.2xNet Cash
Q4 2023-20.2xNet Cash
Q3 2023-1.6xNet Cash

CTRN has more cash than debt.

LCID Net Leverage

LCID's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.

CTRN Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI39.5Neutral
Stochastic6.0Oversold

CTRN's weekly RSI is 39 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 6 (oversold).

LCID Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI32.9Neutral
Stochastic7.1Oversold

LCID's weekly RSI is 33 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 7 (oversold).

CTRN PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricCTRNSector medianRelative
PE50x18x178% above
PE %864739 pts above

CTRN is trading at 50x earnings, a 178% premium to the Consumer Cyclical sector's median of 18x.

LCID PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

LCID has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

CTRN Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$47.49.1% below
20 week MA$57.926% below
50 week MA$50.815% below
100 week MA$40.17.4% above
200 week MA$31.238% above

CTRN has the edge over LCID on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

LCID Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$3.537.9% below
20 week MA$4.8833% below
50 week MA$7.3356% below
100 week MA$15.479% below
200 week MA$31.990% below

LCID is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 90% below its 200-week average.

CTRN Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$22.8$47.4+108%
2021$47.4$76.4+61%
2022$76.4$27.6-64%
2023$27.6$28.3+2.4%
2024$28.3$26.9-5.1%
2025$26.9$40.2+50%
2026 YTD$40.2$43.1+7.2%

CTRN has the edge over LCID on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

LCID Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$98.9$100.4+1.5%
2021$100.4$376.4+275%
2022$376.4$67.0-82%
2023$67.0$42.1-37%
2024$42.1$32.0-24%
2025$32.0$11.4-64%
2026 YTD$11.4$3.25-72%

LCID has finished four years in a row lower, and it's down 72% so far in 2026.

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