CTRN
Citi Trends, Inc.
CTRN has the edge over F overall, supported by stronger fundamentals and stronger modeled upside.
F
Ford Motor Company
F has slightly lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.
CTRN Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Healthy | |
| Healthy | |
| Stable | |
| Strong |
CTRN's revenue, profitability and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its cash flow is stable.
F Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Stable | |
| Under pressure | |
| Under pressure | |
| Strong |
F's balance sheet is currently strong, and its revenue is stable, but its profitability and cash flow are under pressure.
CTRN PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cheap | 3.8x | $3.31 | -92% |
| Fair | 10x | $8.73 | -80% |
| Forward | 19x | $43.05 | — |
| Expensive | 46x | $39.40 | -8.5% |
| Current | 50x | $43.05 | — |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
CTRN's PE is in its expensive range at 50x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 19x next year's earnings, in its fair range.
F PE Valuation
F has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
CTRN Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Strongly improving | |
| Strong growth | |
| Growth | |
| Improving | |
| Limited | |
| High |
CTRN has the edge over F on the outlook, with more favorable revenue expectations.
F Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| -- | |
| Strong growth | |
| Stable | |
| Improving | |
| Limited | |
| Low |
Analysts expect F's earnings to grow and its profitability to improve, with its revenue holding steady. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.
CTRN Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $2.33 | +170% |
| Q3 2026 | $0.86 | +$2.85 |
| Q2 2026 | $1.43 | +$6.09 |
| Q1 2026 | $0.63 | +$5.82 |
| Q4 2025 | -$1.99 | +$1.07 |
| Q3 2025 | -$1.99 | +$0.68 |
| Q2 2025 | -$4.66 | -$3.59 |
| Q1 2025 | -$5.19 | -$3.73 |
| Q4 2024 | -$3.06 | -$2.04 |
CTRN has the edge over F on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.
F Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $1.78 | — |
| Q3 2026 | -$1.97 | -270% |
| Q2 2026 | -$1.87 | -340% |
| Q1 2026 | -$1.55 | -224% |
| Q4 2025 | -$2.06 | -241% |
| Q3 2025 | $1.16 | +32% |
| Q2 2025 | $0.78 | -19% |
| Q1 2025 | $1.25 | +29% |
| Q4 2024 | $1.46 | +35% |
F has swung to a loss: it lost $1.97 per share over the past year, after a profit the year before.
CTRN Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $211.6M | +11% |
| Q2 2026 | $230.9M | +14% |
| Q1 2026 | $230.4M | +9.1% |
| Q4 2025 | $197.1M | +10% |
| Q3 2025 | $190.8M | +8% |
| Q2 2025 | $201.7M | +8.3% |
| Q1 2025 | $211.2M | -1.9% |
| Q4 2024 | $179.1M | -0.3% |
CTRN has the edge over F on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -0.8% | -2.7 points |
| Q2 2026 | 3.2% | +3 points |
| Q1 2026 | 3.1% | +2.6 points |
| Q4 2025 | -3.7% | +1.2 points |
| Q3 2025 | 1.8% | +16 points |
| Q2 2025 | 0.2% | +4 points |
| Q1 2025 | 0.6% | -1.3 points |
| Q4 2024 | -4.9% | -1.6 points |
CTRN's operating margin was −0.8% last quarter, down 2.7 points from the same quarter a year ago.
F Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $49.5B | -2% |
| Q2 2026 | $48.3B | -3.8% |
| Q1 2026 | $43.3B | +6.4% |
| Q4 2025 | $45.9B | -4.8% |
| Q3 2025 | $50.5B | +9.4% |
| Q2 2025 | $50.2B | +5% |
| Q1 2025 | $40.7B | -5% |
| Q4 2024 | $48.2B | +4.9% |
F's revenue grew through 2023 and has held roughly level since: $49.5B last quarter, down 2% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 2.9% | -0.1 points |
| Q2 2026 | 1.3% | +0.3 points |
| Q1 2026 | 5.4% | +4.6 points |
| Q4 2025 | -25% | -28 points |
| Q3 2025 | 3.1% | +1.2 points |
| Q2 2025 | 1% | -2.9 points |
| Q1 2025 | 0.8% | -2.1 points |
| Q4 2024 | 2.5% | +3.1 points |
F has the edge over CTRN on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
CTRN Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -$24M | -$22.2M |
| Q2 2026 | $15M | +$28.1M |
| Q1 2026 | $14.7M | -44% |
| Q4 2025 | $767K | +$21.2M |
| Q3 2025 | -$1.7M | -205% |
| Q2 2025 | -$13.1M | +$8.1M |
| Q1 2025 | $26M | +30% |
| Q4 2024 | -$20.4M | -$12.8M |
CTRN's free cash flow has turned positive after four years mostly in the red: $6M over the past year.
F Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $3.1B | -40% |
| Q2 2026 | $2B | -54% |
| Q1 2026 | -$1.1B | -157% |
| Q4 2025 | $1.1B | +108% |
| Q3 2025 | $5.3B | +50% |
| Q2 2025 | $4.2B | +24% |
| Q1 2025 | $1.9B | +$2.6B |
| Q4 2024 | $530M | +169% |
F has the edge over CTRN on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
CTRN Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | -3.5% | -301K shares |
| 1 year | -1.6% | -130K shares |
| 3 years | -0.5% | -41.4K shares |
| 5 years | -11% | -995K shares |
| Available history | -30% | -3.5M shares |
CTRN has the edge over F on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q1 2026 | — |
| Q4 2025 | — |
| Q3 2025 | — |
| Q2 2025 | $6.3M |
| Q1 2023 | — |
| Q4 2022 | — |
| Q3 2022 | $4.7M |
| Q2 2022 | $5.3M |
F Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +2.2% | +89M shares |
| 1 year | +0.7% | +28M shares |
| 3 years | +0.6% | +26M shares |
| 5 years | +1% | +40M shares |
| Available history | +1.8% | +72M shares |
F has 4.1B diluted shares, up 0.7% from a year ago.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | — |
| Q2 2026 | — |
| Q1 2026 | $311M |
| Q4 2025 | — |
| Q3 2025 | — |
| Q2 2025 | — |
| Q1 2025 | — |
| Q4 2024 | $150M |
F spent $311M buying back its own shares over the past year, up 107% from the year before.
CTRN Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -2.2x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2026 | -2.7x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2026 | -3.0x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2025 | -3.2x | Net Cash |
| Q3 2025 | -3.5x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2024 | -27.2x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2023 | -20.2x | Net Cash |
| Q3 2023 | -1.6x | Net Cash |
CTRN has more cash than debt.
F Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -2.5x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2026 | -2.1x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2026 | -2.0x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2025 | -3.4x | Net Cash |
| Q3 2025 | -2.4x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2025 | -2.2x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2025 | -1.8x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2024 | -1.8x | Net Cash |
F has the edge over CTRN on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.
CTRN Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 39.5 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 6.0 | Oversold |
CTRN's weekly RSI is 39 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 6 (oversold).
F Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 41.5 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 19.6 | Oversold |
F's weekly RSI is 41 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 20 (oversold).
CTRN PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector
| Metric | CTRN | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 50x | 18x | 178% above |
| PE % | 86 | 47 | 39 pts above |
CTRN is trading at 50x earnings, a 178% premium to the Consumer Cyclical sector's median of 18x.
F PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector
| Metric | F | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | N/A | 18x | — |
F has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
CTRN Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $47.4 | 9.1% below |
| 20 week MA | $57.9 | 26% below |
| 50 week MA | $50.8 | 15% below |
| 100 week MA | $40.1 | 7.4% above |
| 200 week MA | $31.2 | 38% above |
CTRN has the edge over F on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.
F Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $12.2 | 2.5% below |
| 20 week MA | $13.3 | 11% below |
| 50 week MA | $13.4 | 11% below |
| 100 week MA | $12.1 | 2% below |
| 200 week MA | $12.1 | 1.4% below |
F is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 1.4% below its 200-week average.
CTRN Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $22.8 | $47.4 | +108% |
| 2021 | $47.4 | $76.4 | +61% |
| 2022 | $76.4 | $27.6 | -64% |
| 2023 | $27.6 | $28.3 | +2.4% |
| 2024 | $28.3 | $26.9 | -5.1% |
| 2025 | $26.9 | $40.2 | +50% |
| 2026 YTD | $40.2 | $43.1 | +7.2% |
CTRN has the edge over F on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.
F Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $9.36 | $8.86 | -5.3% |
| 2021 | $8.86 | $20.3 | +129% |
| 2022 | $20.3 | $11.4 | -44% |
| 2023 | $11.4 | $12.2 | +7.3% |
| 2024 | $12.2 | $10.0 | -18% |
| 2025 | $10.0 | $13.3 | +33% |
| 2026 YTD | $13.3 | $11.9 | -11% |
F's yearly returns have swung widely, from +129% in 2021 to −44% in 2022. It's down 11% so far in 2026.