CTRN
Citi Trends, Inc.
CTRN offers stronger modeled upside, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.
EBAY
eBay Inc.
EBAY has a slight edge over CTRN overall, supported by lower modeled downside and stronger fundamentals.
CTRN Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Healthy | |
| Healthy | |
| Stable | |
| Strong |
CTRN's revenue, profitability and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its cash flow is stable.
EBAY Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Healthy | |
| Healthy | |
| Strong | |
| Stable |
EBAY's revenue, profitability and cash flow are currently healthy, and its balance sheet is stable.
CTRN PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cheap | 3.8x | $3.31 | -92% |
| Fair | 10x | $8.73 | -80% |
| Forward | 19x | $43.05 | — |
| Expensive | 46x | $39.40 | -8.5% |
| Current | 50x | $43.05 | — |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
CTRN's PE is in its expensive range at 50x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 19x next year's earnings, in its fair range.
EBAY PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cheap | 6.9x | $31.50 | -74% |
| Fair | 16x | $71.96 | -40% |
| Forward | 18x | $120 | — |
| Expensive | 22x | $99.04 | -18% |
| Current | 26x | $120 | — |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
EBAY has the edge over CTRN in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.
CTRN Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Strongly improving | |
| Strong growth | |
| Growth | |
| Improving | |
| Limited | |
| High |
CTRN has the edge over EBAY on the outlook, with more favorable profitability expectations.
EBAY Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Strongly improving | |
| Growth | |
| Growth | |
| Stable | |
| Moderate | |
| Moderate |
Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for EBAY, with profitability holding steady.
CTRN Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $2.33 | +170% |
| Q3 2026 | $0.86 | +$2.85 |
| Q2 2026 | $1.43 | +$6.09 |
| Q1 2026 | $0.63 | +$5.82 |
| Q4 2025 | -$1.99 | +$1.07 |
| Q3 2025 | -$1.99 | +$0.68 |
| Q2 2025 | -$4.66 | -$3.59 |
| Q1 2025 | -$5.19 | -$3.73 |
| Q4 2024 | -$3.06 | -$2.04 |
CTRN has returned to profit: it earned $0.86 per share over the past year, after losing money the year before.
EBAY Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $6.63 | +45% |
| Q3 2026 | $4.57 | +0.4% |
| Q2 2026 | $4.82 | +7.3% |
| Q1 2026 | $4.40 | +6% |
| Q4 2025 | $4.34 | +10% |
| Q3 2025 | $4.55 | +15% |
| Q2 2025 | $4.49 | -12% |
| Q1 2025 | $4.15 | -17% |
| Q4 2024 | $3.94 | -24% |
EBAY's earnings per share have fallen from their peak: $4.57 over the past year, against $20.25 in late 2021.
CTRN Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $211.6M | +11% |
| Q2 2026 | $230.9M | +14% |
| Q1 2026 | $230.4M | +9.1% |
| Q4 2025 | $197.1M | +10% |
| Q3 2025 | $190.8M | +8% |
| Q2 2025 | $201.7M | +8.3% |
| Q1 2025 | $211.2M | -1.9% |
| Q4 2024 | $179.1M | -0.3% |
CTRN's revenue is recovering but still below its 2021 peak: $212M last quarter, up 11% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -0.8% | -2.7 points |
| Q2 2026 | 3.2% | +3 points |
| Q1 2026 | 3.1% | +2.6 points |
| Q4 2025 | -3.7% | +1.2 points |
| Q3 2025 | 1.8% | +16 points |
| Q2 2025 | 0.2% | +4 points |
| Q1 2025 | 0.6% | -1.3 points |
| Q4 2024 | -4.9% | -1.6 points |
CTRN's operating margin was −0.8% last quarter, down 2.7 points from the same quarter a year ago.
EBAY Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $3.2B | +14% |
| Q2 2026 | $3.1B | +15% |
| Q1 2026 | $3.1B | +19% |
| Q4 2025 | $3B | +15% |
| Q3 2025 | $2.8B | +9.5% |
| Q2 2025 | $2.7B | +6.1% |
| Q1 2025 | $2.6B | +1.1% |
| Q4 2024 | $2.6B | +0.7% |
EBAY has the edge over CTRN on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 19% | -1.2 points |
| Q2 2026 | 22% | +3.8 points |
| Q1 2026 | 20% | -4 points |
| Q4 2025 | 20% | -0.8 points |
| Q3 2025 | 20% | -2.7 points |
| Q2 2025 | 18% | -3.6 points |
| Q1 2025 | 24% | -0.9 points |
| Q4 2024 | 21% | +5.1 points |
EBAY has the edge over CTRN on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
CTRN Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -$24M | -$22.2M |
| Q2 2026 | $15M | +$28.1M |
| Q1 2026 | $14.7M | -44% |
| Q4 2025 | $767K | +$21.2M |
| Q3 2025 | -$1.7M | -205% |
| Q2 2025 | -$13.1M | +$8.1M |
| Q1 2025 | $26M | +30% |
| Q4 2024 | -$20.4M | -$12.8M |
CTRN's free cash flow has turned positive after four years mostly in the red: $6M over the past year.
EBAY Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $749M | -6.7% |
| Q2 2026 | $300M | +$741M |
| Q1 2026 | $897M | +39% |
| Q4 2025 | $466M | -17% |
| Q3 2025 | $803M | +24% |
| Q2 2025 | -$441M | -259% |
| Q1 2025 | $644M | +36% |
| Q4 2024 | $560M | +$564M |
EBAY has the edge over CTRN on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
CTRN Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | -3.5% | -301K shares |
| 1 year | -1.6% | -130K shares |
| 3 years | -0.5% | -41.4K shares |
| 5 years | -11% | -995K shares |
| Available history | -30% | -3.5M shares |
CTRN has 8M diluted shares, down 1.6% from a year ago.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q1 2026 | — |
| Q4 2025 | — |
| Q3 2025 | — |
| Q2 2025 | $6.3M |
| Q1 2023 | — |
| Q4 2022 | — |
| Q3 2022 | $4.7M |
| Q2 2022 | $5.3M |
EBAY Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | -0.4% | -2M shares |
| 1 year | -3% | -14M shares |
| 3 years | -15% | -79M shares |
| 5 years | -31% | -205M shares |
| Available history | -44% | -359M shares |
EBAY has the edge over CTRN on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $664M |
| Q2 2026 | $323M |
| Q1 2026 | $486M |
| Q4 2025 | $635M |
| Q3 2025 | $626M |
| Q2 2025 | $624M |
| Q1 2025 | $615M |
| Q4 2024 | $911M |
EBAY spent $2.1B buying back its own shares over the past year, down 24% from the year before.
CTRN Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -2.2x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2026 | -2.7x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2026 | -3.0x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2025 | -3.2x | Net Cash |
| Q3 2025 | -3.5x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2024 | -27.2x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2023 | -20.2x | Net Cash |
| Q3 2023 | -1.6x | Net Cash |
CTRN has the edge over EBAY on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.
EBAY Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 1.9x | Healthy |
| Q2 2026 | 1.5x | Healthy |
| Q1 2026 | 1.4x | Healthy |
| Q4 2025 | 1.8x | Healthy |
| Q3 2025 | 1.7x | Healthy |
| Q2 2025 | 1.8x | Healthy |
| Q1 2025 | 1.4x | Healthy |
| Q4 2024 | 1.9x | Healthy |
EBAY's net debt is about 1.9 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), up from 1.7 years a year ago.
CTRN Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 39.5 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 6.0 | Oversold |
CTRN's weekly RSI is 39 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 6 (oversold).
EBAY Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 61.9 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 80.0 | Overbought |
EBAY's weekly RSI is 62 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 80 (overbought).
CTRN PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector
| Metric | CTRN | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 50x | 18x | 178% above |
| PE % | 86 | 47 | 39 pts above |
CTRN is trading at 50x earnings, a 178% premium to the Consumer Cyclical sector's median of 18x.
EBAY PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector
| Metric | EBAY | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 26x | 18x | 46% above |
| PE % | 91 | 47 | 44 pts above |
EBAY has the edge over CTRN on valuation relative to its sector.
CTRN Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $47.4 | 9.1% below |
| 20 week MA | $57.9 | 26% below |
| 50 week MA | $50.8 | 15% below |
| 100 week MA | $40.1 | 7.4% above |
| 200 week MA | $31.2 | 38% above |
CTRN has pulled back, but its long-term trend is still up: it's below its 8-, 20- and 50-week averages, but 38% above its 200-week average.
EBAY Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $116.5 | 3.1% above |
| 20 week MA | $112.4 | 6.9% above |
| 50 week MA | $102.6 | 17% above |
| 100 week MA | $89.8 | 34% above |
| 200 week MA | $69.5 | 73% above |
EBAY has the edge over CTRN on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.
CTRN Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $22.8 | $47.4 | +108% |
| 2021 | $47.4 | $76.4 | +61% |
| 2022 | $76.4 | $27.6 | -64% |
| 2023 | $27.6 | $28.3 | +2.4% |
| 2024 | $28.3 | $26.9 | -5.1% |
| 2025 | $26.9 | $40.2 | +50% |
| 2026 YTD | $40.2 | $43.1 | +7.2% |
CTRN's yearly returns have swung widely, from +108% in 2020 to −64% in 2022. It's up 7.2% so far in 2026.
EBAY Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $36.1 | $50.1 | +39% |
| 2021 | $50.1 | $64.9 | +29% |
| 2022 | $64.9 | $40.2 | -38% |
| 2023 | $40.2 | $43.6 | +8.6% |
| 2024 | $43.6 | $62.8 | +44% |
| 2025 | $62.8 | $85.2 | +36% |
| 2026 YTD | $85.2 | $120.1 | +41% |
EBAY has the edge over CTRN on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.