CTOS

Custom Truck One Source, Inc.

54
Fundamentals63/ 100
Valuation31/ 100
Upside potential64/ 100
Risk potential26/ 100

CTOS's outlook is improving, though it still trails on the overall score.

VRT

Vertiv Holdings Co

87
Fundamentals85/ 100
Valuation87/ 100
Upside potential86/ 100
Risk potential19/ 100

VRT has the edge over CTOS overall, supported by stronger valuation and stronger fundamentals.

CTOS Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Healthy
Stable
Under pressure

CTOS's profitability is currently healthy, and its revenue and cash flow are stable, but its balance sheet is under pressure.

VRT Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Strong
Strong
Strong

VRT's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently strong.

CTOS PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE130x260x390x521x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE130x260x390x521x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap24x$3.42-67%
Fair39x$5.42-48%
Forward41x$10.34—
Current74x$10.34—
Expensive202x$28.34+174%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

CTOS's PE is in its expensive range at 74x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 41x next year's earnings, in its fair range.

VRT PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE39x77x116x155x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE39x77x116x155x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward23x$210—
Current39x$210—
Cheap58x$308+47%
Fair72x$383+83%
Expensive88x$472+125%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

VRT has the edge over CTOS in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

CTOS Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Growth
Improving
Limited
Low

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for CTOS, with profitability improving. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

VRT Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Moderate
Moderate

Analysts expect strong earnings and revenue growth for VRT, with profitability improving.

CTOS Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+45%$14.98
Downside-26%$7.68

Calculated from the latest close: $10.34 on Nov 12.

CTOS trails VRT on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside and more potential downside.

VRT Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+122%$466.33
Downside-19%$169.11

Calculated from the latest close: $209.64 on Nov 12.

VRT has a better modeled risk to reward balance than CTOS, with more potential upside and less potential downside.

CTOS Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $0.21Q1 2024: $0.09Q2 2024: $-0.06Q3 2024: $-0.17Q4 2024: $-0.12Q1 2025: $-0.14Q2 2025: $-0.17Q3 2025: $-0.13Q4 2025: $-0.14Q1 2026: $-0.08Q2 2026: $0.10Q3 2026: $0.14Forward: $0.25
Q4 2023: $0.21Q1 2024: $0.09Q2 2024: $-0.06Q3 2024: $-0.17Q4 2024: $-0.12Q1 2025: $-0.14Q2 2025: $-0.17Q3 2025: $-0.13Q4 2025: $-0.14Q1 2026: $-0.08Q2 2026: $0.10Q3 2026: $0.14Forward: $0.25
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$0.25+80%
Q3 2026$0.14+$0.27
Q2 2026$0.10+$0.27
Q1 2026-$0.08+$0.06
Q4 2025-$0.14-$0.02
Q3 2025-$0.13+$0.04
Q2 2025-$0.17-$0.11
Q1 2025-$0.14-256%
Q4 2024-$0.12-157%

CTOS has returned to profit: it earned $0.14 per share over the past year, after losing money the year before.

VRT Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $1.19Q1 2024: $1.05Q2 2024: $1.29Q3 2024: $1.51Q4 2024: $1.28Q1 2025: $1.72Q2 2025: $2.09Q3 2025: $2.65Q4 2025: $3.41Q1 2026: $3.98Q2 2026: $4.42Q3 2026: $5.35Forward: $9.14
Q4 2023: $1.19Q1 2024: $1.05Q2 2024: $1.29Q3 2024: $1.51Q4 2024: $1.28Q1 2025: $1.72Q2 2025: $2.09Q3 2025: $2.65Q4 2025: $3.41Q1 2026: $3.98Q2 2026: $4.42Q3 2026: $5.35Forward: $9.14
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$9.14+71%
Q3 2026$5.35+102%
Q2 2026$4.42+111%
Q1 2026$3.98+131%
Q4 2025$3.41+166%
Q3 2025$2.65+75%
Q2 2025$2.09+62%
Q1 2025$1.72+64%
Q4 2024$1.28+7.6%

VRT has the edge over CTOS on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

CTOS Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $522MQ1 2024: $411MQ2 2024: $423MQ3 2024: $447MQ4 2024: $521MQ1 2025: $422MQ2 2025: $511MQ3 2025: $482MQ4 2025: $528MQ1 2026: $462MQ2 2026: $563MQ3 2026: $495M
Q4 2023: $522MQ1 2024: $411MQ2 2024: $423MQ3 2024: $447MQ4 2024: $521MQ1 2025: $422MQ2 2025: $511MQ3 2025: $482MQ4 2025: $528MQ1 2026: $462MQ2 2026: $563MQ3 2026: $495M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$495.2M+2.7%
Q2 2026$563.4M+10%
Q1 2026$461.6M+9.3%
Q4 2025$528.2M+1.4%
Q3 2025$482.1M+7.8%
Q2 2025$511.5M+21%
Q1 2025$422.2M+2.7%
Q4 2024$520.7M-0.2%

CTOS's revenue has grown year over year for seven quarters in a row: $495M last quarter, up 2.7% from the same quarter a year ago.

VRT Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $1.9BQ1 2024: $1.6BQ2 2024: $2BQ3 2024: $2.1BQ4 2024: $2.3BQ1 2025: $2BQ2 2025: $2.6BQ3 2025: $2.7BQ4 2025: $2.9BQ1 2026: $2.6BQ2 2026: $3.3BQ3 2026: $4.3B
Q4 2023: $1.9BQ1 2024: $1.6BQ2 2024: $2BQ3 2024: $2.1BQ4 2024: $2.3BQ1 2025: $2BQ2 2025: $2.6BQ3 2025: $2.7BQ4 2025: $2.9BQ1 2026: $2.6BQ2 2026: $3.3BQ3 2026: $4.3B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$4.3B+61%
Q2 2026$3.3B+24%
Q1 2026$2.6B+30%
Q4 2025$2.9B+23%
Q3 2025$2.7B+29%
Q2 2025$2.6B+35%
Q1 2025$2B+24%
Q4 2024$2.3B+26%

VRT has the edge over CTOS on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

CTOS Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$28MQ1 2024: −$14MQ2 2024: $38MQ3 2024: $17MQ4 2024: $82MQ1 2025: $56MQ2 2025: $126MQ3 2025: $81MQ4 2025: $47MQ1 2026: $24MQ2 2026: $44MQ3 2026: $163M
Q4 2023: −$28MQ1 2024: −$14MQ2 2024: $38MQ3 2024: $17MQ4 2024: $82MQ1 2025: $56MQ2 2025: $126MQ3 2025: $81MQ4 2025: $47MQ1 2026: $24MQ2 2026: $44MQ3 2026: $163M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$163.5M+101%
Q2 2026$44.4M-65%
Q1 2026$23.8M-57%
Q4 2025$47.3M-42%
Q3 2025$81.5M+393%
Q2 2025$125.7M+233%
Q1 2025$55.6M+$70M
Q4 2024$82.1M+$110.2M

CTOS generated $279M in free cash flow over the past year, down 19% from the year before.

VRT Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $308MQ1 2024: $102MQ2 2024: $344MQ3 2024: $342MQ4 2024: $365MQ1 2025: $267MQ2 2025: $278MQ3 2025: $464MQ4 2025: $886MQ1 2026: $654MQ2 2026: $927MQ3 2026: $655M
Q4 2023: $308MQ1 2024: $102MQ2 2024: $344MQ3 2024: $342MQ4 2024: $365MQ1 2025: $267MQ2 2025: $278MQ3 2025: $464MQ4 2025: $886MQ1 2026: $654MQ2 2026: $927MQ3 2026: $655M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$654.9M+41%
Q2 2026$926.5M+233%
Q1 2026$654.2M+145%
Q4 2025$885.6M+143%
Q3 2025$463.5M+36%
Q2 2025$277.9M-19%
Q1 2025$266.8M+162%
Q4 2024$364.5M+18%

VRT has the edge over CTOS on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

CTOS Total Shares

Q4 2023: 246MQ1 2024: 240MQ2 2024: 240MQ3 2024: 234MQ4 2024: 237MQ1 2025: 228MQ2 2025: 226MQ3 2025: 227MQ4 2025: 227MQ1 2026: 227MQ2 2026: 230MQ3 2026: 230M
Q4 2023: 246MQ1 2024: 240MQ2 2024: 240MQ3 2024: 234MQ4 2024: 237MQ1 2025: 228MQ2 2025: 226MQ3 2025: 227MQ4 2025: 227MQ1 2026: 227MQ2 2026: 230MQ3 2026: 230M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.1%+221K shares
1 year+1.5%+3.3M shares
3 years-6.8%-16.7M shares
5 years-5.9%-14.4M shares
Available history+369%+181M shares

CTOS has 230M diluted shares, up 1.5% from a year ago.

VRT Total Shares

Q4 2023: 386MQ1 2024: 379MQ2 2024: 384MQ3 2024: 384MQ4 2024: 386MQ1 2025: 390MQ2 2025: 390MQ3 2025: 391MQ4 2025: 391MQ1 2026: 392MQ2 2026: 393MQ3 2026: 393M
Q4 2023: 386MQ1 2024: 379MQ2 2024: 384MQ3 2024: 384MQ4 2024: 386MQ1 2025: 390MQ2 2025: 390MQ3 2025: 391MQ4 2025: 391MQ1 2026: 392MQ2 2026: 393MQ3 2026: 393M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly0%-64.9K shares
1 year+0.4%+1.8M shares
3 years+1.1%+4.4M shares
5 years+10%+36M shares
Available history+63%+152M shares

VRT has the edge over CTOS on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

CTOS Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 3.8xQ1 2024: 4.0xQ2 2024: 4.3xQ3 2024: 4.6xQ4 2024: 4.2xQ1 2025: 4.4xQ2 2025: 4.2xQ3 2025: 4.1xQ4 2025: 4.2xQ1 2026: 3.9xQ2 2026: 3.8xQ3 2026: 3.7x
Q4 2023: 3.8xQ1 2024: 4.0xQ2 2024: 4.3xQ3 2024: 4.6xQ4 2024: 4.2xQ1 2025: 4.4xQ2 2025: 4.2xQ3 2025: 4.1xQ4 2025: 4.2xQ1 2026: 3.9xQ2 2026: 3.8xQ3 2026: 3.7x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20263.7xElevated
Q2 20263.8xElevated
Q1 20263.9xElevated
Q4 20254.2xHigh
Q3 20254.1xHigh
Q2 20254.2xHigh
Q1 20254.4xHigh
Q4 20244.2xHigh

CTOS's net debt is about 3.7 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from 4.1 years a year ago.

VRT Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 1.9xQ1 2024: 2.2xQ2 2024: 1.8xQ3 2024: 1.4xQ4 2024: 1.0xQ1 2025: 0.8xQ2 2025: 0.7xQ3 2025: 0.8xQ4 2025: 0.6xQ1 2026: 0.3xQ2 2026: 0.1xQ3 2026: -0.2x
Q4 2023: 1.9xQ1 2024: 2.2xQ2 2024: 1.8xQ3 2024: 1.4xQ4 2024: 1.0xQ1 2025: 0.8xQ2 2025: 0.7xQ3 2025: 0.8xQ4 2025: 0.6xQ1 2026: 0.3xQ2 2026: 0.1xQ3 2026: -0.2x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-0.2xNet Cash
Q2 20260.1xVery low
Q1 20260.3xVery low
Q4 20250.6xVery low
Q3 20250.8xVery low
Q2 20250.7xVery low
Q1 20250.8xVery low
Q4 20241.0xHealthy

VRT has the edge over CTOS on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

CTOS Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI56.3Neutral
Stochastic56.6Neutral

CTOS's weekly RSI is 56 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 57 (neutral).

VRT Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI43.0Neutral
Stochastic26.4Neutral

VRT's weekly RSI is 43 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 26 (neutral).

CTOS PE vs Industrials Sector

MetricCTOSSector medianRelative
PE74x24x207% above
PE %705812 pts above

CTOS is trading at 74x earnings, a 207% premium to the Industrials sector's median of 24x.

VRT PE vs Industrials Sector

MetricVRTSector medianRelative
PE39x24x63% above
PE %35855 pts below

VRT has the edge over CTOS on valuation relative to its sector.

CTOS Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$9.617.6% above
20 week MA$9.825.3% above
50 week MA$8.5521% above
100 week MA$6.8651% above
200 week MA$6.2964% above

CTOS has the edge over VRT on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

VRT Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$221.85.5% below
20 week MA$254.418% below
50 week MA$253.917% below
100 week MA$189.111% above
200 week MA$123.570% above

VRT has pulled back, but its long-term trend is still up: it's below its 8-, 20- and 50-week averages, but 70% above its 200-week average.

CTOS Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$4.05$7.24+79%
2021$7.24$8.04+11%
2022$8.04$6.14-24%
2023$6.14$6.18+0.7%
2024$6.18$4.72-24%
2025$4.72$5.97+26%
2026 YTD$5.97$10.3+73%

CTOS has the edge over VRT on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

VRT Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$10.9$18.9+73%
2021$18.9$24.9+31%
2022$24.9$12.8-48%
2023$12.8$48.0+275%
2024$48.0$115.1+140%
2025$115.1$167.6+46%
2026 YTD$167.6$209.6+25%

VRT's yearly returns have swung widely, from +275% in 2023 to −48% in 2022. It's up 25% so far in 2026.

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