CTM

Castellum, Inc.

41
Fundamentals54/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential61/ 100
Risk potential36/ 100

CTM trails on the overall score without a compensating advantage in the available component scores.

PLTR

Palantir Technologies Inc.

90
Fundamentals95/ 100
Valuation88/ 100
Upside potential84/ 100
Risk potential21/ 100

PLTR has the edge over CTM overall, supported by stronger fundamentals and stronger valuation.

CTM Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Under pressure
Stable
Weak

CTM's revenue and cash flow are currently stable, but its profitability and balance sheet are under pressure.

PLTR Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Strong
Strong
Strong

PLTR's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently strong.

CTM PE Valuation

CTM has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

PLTR PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE174x349x523x698x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE174x349x523x698x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward75x$172—
Current120x$172—
Cheap165x$236+37%
Fair251x$359+109%
Expensive452x$646+277%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

PLTR's PE is in its cheap range at 120x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 75x next year's earnings.

CTM Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Strong decline
Stable
--
Limited
High

Analysts expect CTM's earnings to decline, with its revenue and profitability holding steady.

PLTR Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Moderate
Moderate

Analysts expect strong earnings and revenue growth for PLTR, with profitability improving.

CTM Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+56%$0.70
Downside-36%$0.29

Calculated from the latest close: $0.45 on Nov 12.

CTM trails PLTR on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside and more potential downside.

PLTR Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+112%$364.26
Downside-21%$136.16

Calculated from the latest close: $171.58 on Nov 12.

PLTR has a better modeled risk to reward balance than CTM, with more potential upside and less potential downside.

CTM Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-0.38Q1 2024: $-0.36Q2 2024: $-0.35Q3 2024: $-0.18Q4 2024: $-0.18Q1 2025: $-0.11Q2 2025: $-0.08Q3 2025: $-0.06Q4 2025: $-0.03Q1 2026: $-0.02Q2 2026: $-0.03Q3 2026: $-0.04Forward: $0.02
Q4 2023: $-0.38Q1 2024: $-0.36Q2 2024: $-0.35Q3 2024: $-0.18Q4 2024: $-0.18Q1 2025: $-0.11Q2 2025: $-0.08Q3 2025: $-0.06Q4 2025: $-0.03Q1 2026: $-0.02Q2 2026: $-0.03Q3 2026: $-0.04Forward: $0.02
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$0.02—
Q3 2026-$0.04+$0.02
Q2 2026-$0.03+$0.05
Q1 2026-$0.02+$0.09
Q4 2025-$0.03+$0.15
Q3 2025-$0.06+$0.12
Q2 2025-$0.08+$0.27
Q1 2025-$0.11+$0.25
Q4 2024-$0.18+$0.20

CTM is still losing money, but far less than before: $0.04 per share over the past year, against $0.58 at its worst in mid-2022.

PLTR Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $0.09Q1 2024: $0.12Q2 2024: $0.17Q3 2024: $0.20Q4 2024: $0.19Q1 2025: $0.23Q2 2025: $0.30Q3 2025: $0.42Q4 2025: $0.63Q1 2026: $0.89Q2 2026: $1.17Q3 2026: $1.43Forward: $2.30
Q4 2023: $0.09Q1 2024: $0.12Q2 2024: $0.17Q3 2024: $0.20Q4 2024: $0.19Q1 2025: $0.23Q2 2025: $0.30Q3 2025: $0.42Q4 2025: $0.63Q1 2026: $0.89Q2 2026: $1.17Q3 2026: $1.43Forward: $2.30
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$2.30+61%
Q3 2026$1.43+240%
Q2 2026$1.17+290%
Q1 2026$0.89+287%
Q4 2025$0.63+232%
Q3 2025$0.42+110%
Q2 2025$0.30+76%
Q1 2025$0.23+92%
Q4 2024$0.19+111%

PLTR has the edge over CTM on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

CTM Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $11MQ1 2024: $11MQ2 2024: $12MQ3 2024: $12MQ4 2024: $10MQ1 2025: $12MQ2 2025: $14MQ3 2025: $15MQ4 2025: $13MQ1 2026: $14MQ2 2026: $14MQ3 2026: $15M
Q4 2023: $11MQ1 2024: $11MQ2 2024: $12MQ3 2024: $12MQ4 2024: $10MQ1 2025: $12MQ2 2025: $14MQ3 2025: $15MQ4 2025: $13MQ1 2026: $14MQ2 2026: $14MQ3 2026: $15M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$14.7M+0.6%
Q2 2026$13.9M-1.1%
Q1 2026$14.3M+23%
Q4 2025$12.6M+22%
Q3 2025$14.6M+26%
Q2 2025$14M+22%
Q1 2025$11.7M+2.9%
Q4 2024$10.3M-7.1%

CTM's revenue is growing: $15M last quarter, about level with the same quarter a year ago.

PLTR Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $608MQ1 2024: $634MQ2 2024: $678MQ3 2024: $726MQ4 2024: $828MQ1 2025: $884MQ2 2025: $1BQ3 2025: $1.2BQ4 2025: $1.4BQ1 2026: $1.6BQ2 2026: $1.9BQ3 2026: $2.3B
Q4 2023: $608MQ1 2024: $634MQ2 2024: $678MQ3 2024: $726MQ4 2024: $828MQ1 2025: $884MQ2 2025: $1BQ3 2025: $1.2BQ4 2025: $1.4BQ1 2026: $1.6BQ2 2026: $1.9BQ3 2026: $2.3B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$2.3B+96%
Q2 2026$1.9B+93%
Q1 2026$1.6B+85%
Q4 2025$1.4B+70%
Q3 2025$1.2B+63%
Q2 2025$1B+48%
Q1 2025$883.9M+39%
Q4 2024$827.5M+36%

PLTR has the edge over CTM on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

CTM Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $873,228Q1 2024: $23,728Q2 2024: $748,618Q3 2024: $738,874Q4 2024: −$394,432Q1 2025: −$3MQ2 2025: --Q3 2025: $957,026Q4 2025: −$671,496Q1 2026: $1MQ2 2026: $1MQ3 2026: −$1M
Q4 2023: $873,228Q1 2024: $23,728Q2 2024: $748,618Q3 2024: $738,874Q4 2024: −$394,432Q1 2025: −$3MQ2 2025: --Q3 2025: $957,026Q4 2025: −$671,496Q1 2026: $1MQ2 2026: $1MQ3 2026: −$1M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$1.3M-234%
Q1 2026$1.3M+$3.8M
Q4 2025-$671.5K-$277.1K
Q3 2025$957K+30%
Q1 2025-$2.5M-10647%
Q4 2024-$394.4K-145%
Q3 2024$738.9K+$2M
Q2 2024$748.6K+33%

CTM's free cash flow has turned positive again: $366,940 over the past year, against −$1M the year before.

PLTR Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $296MQ1 2024: $127MQ2 2024: $141MQ3 2024: $416MQ4 2024: $457MQ1 2025: $304MQ2 2025: $532MQ3 2025: $501MQ4 2025: $764MQ1 2026: $892MQ2 2026: $1.2BQ3 2026: $1.2B
Q4 2023: $296MQ1 2024: $127MQ2 2024: $141MQ3 2024: $416MQ4 2024: $457MQ1 2025: $304MQ2 2025: $532MQ3 2025: $501MQ4 2025: $764MQ1 2026: $892MQ2 2026: $1.2BQ3 2026: $1.2B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$1.2B+139%
Q2 2026$1.2B+126%
Q1 2026$891.8M+193%
Q4 2025$764M+67%
Q3 2025$500.9M+20%
Q2 2025$531.6M+276%
Q1 2025$304.1M+140%
Q4 2024$457.2M+54%

PLTR has the edge over CTM on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

CTM Total Shares

Q4 2023: 47MQ1 2024: 55MQ2 2024: 57MQ3 2024: 57MQ1 2025: 81MQ2 2025: 87MQ3 2025: 90MQ4 2025: 93MQ1 2026: 95MQ2 2026: 95MQ3 2026: 95M
Q4 2023: 47MQ1 2024: 55MQ2 2024: 57MQ3 2024: 57MQ1 2025: 81MQ2 2025: 87MQ3 2025: 90MQ4 2025: 93MQ1 2026: 95MQ2 2026: 95MQ3 2026: 95M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.1%+138K shares
1 year+5.6%+5.1M shares
3 years+96%+46.5M shares
5 years+515%+79.4M shares
Available history+543%+80.1M shares

CTM has 95M diluted shares, up 5.6% from a year ago.

PLTR Total Shares

Q4 2023: 2.3BQ1 2024: 2.4BQ2 2024: 2.4BQ3 2024: 2.5BQ4 2024: 2.5BQ1 2025: 2.6BQ2 2025: 2.6BQ3 2025: 2.6BQ4 2025: 2.6BQ1 2026: 2.6BQ2 2026: 2.6BQ3 2026: 2.6B
Q4 2023: 2.3BQ1 2024: 2.4BQ2 2024: 2.4BQ3 2024: 2.5BQ4 2024: 2.5BQ1 2025: 2.6BQ2 2025: 2.6BQ3 2025: 2.6BQ4 2025: 2.6BQ1 2026: 2.6BQ2 2026: 2.6BQ3 2026: 2.6B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.2%+5.2M shares
1 year+0.1%+2.9M shares
3 years+11%+248M shares
5 years+31%+610M shares
Available history+184%+1.7B shares

PLTR has the edge over CTM on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

CTM Net Leverage

QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q2 202129.1xHigh
Q1 202111.1xHigh

CTM's net debt is more than 20 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA).

PLTR Net Leverage

Q4 2023: -5.4xQ1 2024: -2.3xQ2 2024: -1.6xQ3 2024: -1.9xQ4 2024: -6.1xQ1 2025: -2.3xQ2 2025: -1.6xQ3 2025: -1.9xQ4 2025: -1.0xQ1 2026: -1.1xQ2 2026: -0.8xQ3 2026: -1.1x
Q4 2023: -5.4xQ1 2024: -2.3xQ2 2024: -1.6xQ3 2024: -1.9xQ4 2024: -6.1xQ1 2025: -2.3xQ2 2025: -1.6xQ3 2025: -1.9xQ4 2025: -1.0xQ1 2026: -1.1xQ2 2026: -0.8xQ3 2026: -1.1x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-1.1xNet Cash
Q2 2026-0.8xNet Cash
Q1 2026-1.1xNet Cash
Q4 2025-1.0xNet Cash
Q3 2025-1.9xNet Cash
Q2 2025-1.6xNet Cash
Q1 2025-2.3xNet Cash
Q4 2024-6.1xNet Cash

PLTR has more cash than debt.

CTM Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI36.2Neutral
Stochastic14.3Oversold

CTM's weekly RSI is 36 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 14 (oversold).

PLTR Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI51.4Neutral
Stochastic47.4Neutral

PLTR's weekly RSI is 51 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 47 (neutral).

CTM PE vs Technology Sector

CTM has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

PLTR PE vs Technology Sector

MetricPLTRSector medianRelative
PE120x28x331% above
PE %13837 pts below

PLTR is trading at 120x earnings, a 331% premium to the Technology sector's median of 28x.

CTM Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$0.5417% below
20 week MA$0.6025% below
50 week MA$0.7439% below
100 week MA$0.9151% below
200 week MA$0.6733% below

CTM is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 33% below its 200-week average.

PLTR Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$185.87.6% below
20 week MA$167.62.4% above
50 week MA$157.19.2% above
100 week MA$143.819% above
200 week MA$83.3106% above

PLTR has the edge over CTM on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

CTM Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2022$1.47$1.22-17%
2023$1.22$0.30-75%
2024$0.30$1.42+373%
2025$1.42$1.03-27%
2026 YTD$1.03$0.45-56%

CTM's yearly returns have swung widely, from +373% in 2024 to −75% in 2023. It's down 56% so far in 2026.

PLTR Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$9.20$27.8+202%
2021$27.8$18.9-32%
2022$18.9$6.29-67%
2023$6.29$17.2+173%
2024$17.2$79.1+361%
2025$79.1$188.7+139%
2026 YTD$188.7$171.6-9.1%

PLTR has the edge over CTM on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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