CTM
Castellum, Inc.
CTM trails on the overall score without a compensating advantage in the available component scores.
NVDA
NVIDIA Corporation
NVDA has the edge over CTM overall, supported by stronger valuation and stronger fundamentals.
CTM Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Stable | |
| Under pressure | |
| Stable | |
| Weak |
CTM's revenue and cash flow are currently stable, but its profitability and balance sheet are under pressure.
NVDA Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Strong | |
| Strong | |
| Strong | |
| Strong |
NVDA's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently strong.
CTM PE Valuation
CTM has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
NVDA PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Forward | 12x | $166 | — |
| Current | 21x | $166 | — |
| Cheap | 44x | $345 | +108% |
| Fair | 65x | $511 | +207% |
| Expensive | 93x | $734 | +342% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
NVDA's PE is in its cheap range at 21x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 12x next year's earnings.
CTM Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| -- | |
| Strong decline | |
| Stable | |
| -- | |
| Limited | |
| High |
Analysts expect CTM's earnings to decline, with its revenue and profitability holding steady.
NVDA Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Strongly improving | |
| Strong growth | |
| Strong growth | |
| Weakening | |
| Broad | |
| Moderate |
Analysts expect strong earnings and revenue growth for NVDA, but weaker profitability.
CTM Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $0.02 | — |
| Q3 2026 | -$0.04 | +$0.02 |
| Q2 2026 | -$0.03 | +$0.05 |
| Q1 2026 | -$0.02 | +$0.09 |
| Q4 2025 | -$0.03 | +$0.15 |
| Q3 2025 | -$0.06 | +$0.12 |
| Q2 2025 | -$0.08 | +$0.27 |
| Q1 2025 | -$0.11 | +$0.25 |
| Q4 2024 | -$0.18 | +$0.20 |
CTM is still losing money, but far less than before: $0.04 per share over the past year, against $0.58 at its worst in mid-2022.
NVDA Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $13.77 | +74% |
| Q3 2026 | $7.91 | +125% |
| Q2 2026 | $6.53 | +111% |
| Q1 2026 | $4.90 | +67% |
| Q4 2025 | $4.03 | +59% |
| Q3 2025 | $3.51 | +65% |
| Q2 2025 | $3.10 | +81% |
| Q1 2025 | $2.94 | +147% |
| Q4 2024 | $2.54 | +234% |
NVDA has the edge over CTM on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.
CTM Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $14.7M | +0.6% |
| Q2 2026 | $13.9M | -1.1% |
| Q1 2026 | $14.3M | +23% |
| Q4 2025 | $12.6M | +22% |
| Q3 2025 | $14.6M | +26% |
| Q2 2025 | $14M | +22% |
| Q1 2025 | $11.7M | +2.9% |
| Q4 2024 | $10.3M | -7.1% |
CTM's revenue is growing: $15M last quarter, about level with the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -3.8% | -6.9 points |
| Q2 2026 | -7.9% | -5.2 points |
| Q1 2026 | -4.9% | +7.9 points |
| Q4 2025 | -11% | +4.7 points |
| Q3 2025 | 3% | +15 points |
| Q2 2025 | -2.7% | +11 points |
| Q1 2025 | -13% | +11 points |
| Q4 2024 | -16% | -1.9 points |
CTM's operating margin was −3.8% last quarter, down 6.9 points from the same quarter a year ago.
NVDA Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $96.2B | +106% |
| Q2 2026 | $81.6B | +85% |
| Q1 2026 | $68.1B | +73% |
| Q4 2025 | $57B | +62% |
| Q3 2025 | $46.7B | +56% |
| Q2 2025 | $44.1B | +69% |
| Q1 2025 | $39.3B | +78% |
| Q4 2024 | $35.1B | +94% |
NVDA has the edge over CTM on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 66% | +5.4 points |
| Q2 2026 | 66% | +17 points |
| Q1 2026 | 65% | +3.9 points |
| Q4 2025 | 63% | +0.8 points |
| Q3 2025 | 61% | -1.2 points |
| Q2 2025 | 49% | -16 points |
| Q1 2025 | 61% | -0.5 points |
| Q4 2024 | 62% | +4.9 points |
NVDA has the edge over CTM on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
CTM Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -$1.3M | -234% |
| Q1 2026 | $1.3M | +$3.8M |
| Q4 2025 | -$671.5K | -$277.1K |
| Q3 2025 | $957K | +30% |
| Q1 2025 | -$2.5M | -10647% |
| Q4 2024 | -$394.4K | -145% |
| Q3 2024 | $738.9K | +$2M |
| Q2 2024 | $748.6K | +33% |
CTM's free cash flow has turned positive again: $366,940 over the past year, against −$1M the year before.
NVDA Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $21.4B | +59% |
| Q2 2026 | $48.6B | +86% |
| Q1 2026 | $34.9B | +124% |
| Q4 2025 | $22.1B | +32% |
| Q3 2025 | $13.5B | -0.3% |
| Q2 2025 | $26.2B | +75% |
| Q1 2025 | $15.6B | +38% |
| Q3 2024 | $13.5B | +113% |
NVDA has the edge over CTM on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.
CTM Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +0.1% | +138K shares |
| 1 year | +5.6% | +5.1M shares |
| 3 years | +96% | +46.5M shares |
| 5 years | +515% | +79.4M shares |
| Available history | +543% | +80.1M shares |
CTM has 95M diluted shares, up 5.6% from a year ago.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q2 2022 | — |
| Q1 2022 | — |
| Q4 2021 | — |
| Q3 2021 | — |
| Q2 2021 | — |
| Q1 2021 | — |
NVDA Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | -0.4% | -106M shares |
| 1 year | -1% | -247M shares |
| 3 years | -2.8% | -705M shares |
| 5 years | -4.1% | -1B shares |
| Available history | -1.8% | -435M shares |
NVDA has the edge over CTM on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $19.7B |
| Q2 2026 | $19.3B |
| Q1 2026 | $3.8B |
| Q4 2025 | $12.5B |
| Q3 2025 | $9.7B |
| Q2 2025 | $14.1B |
| Q1 2025 | $7.8B |
| Q4 2024 | $11B |
NVDA spent $55.3B buying back its own shares over the past year, up 30% from the year before.
CTM Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2021 | 29.1x | High |
| Q1 2021 | 11.1x | High |
CTM's net debt is more than 20 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA).
NVDA Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 0.1x | Very low |
| Q2 2026 | -0.0x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2026 | -0.0x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2025 | -0.0x | Net Cash |
| Q3 2025 | -0.0x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2025 | -0.1x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2025 | -0.0x | Very low |
| Q4 2024 | -0.0x | Net Cash |
NVDA's net debt is less than a year of its operating earnings (EBITDA), after holding more cash than debt a year ago.
CTM Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 36.2 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 14.3 | Oversold |
CTM's weekly RSI is 36 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 14 (oversold).
NVDA Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 33.4 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 18.1 | Oversold |
NVDA's weekly RSI is 33 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 18 (oversold).
CTM PE vs Technology Sector
CTM has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
NVDA PE vs Technology Sector
| Metric | NVDA | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 21x | 28x | 25% below |
| PE % | 0 | 35 | 35 pts below |
NVDA is trading at 21x earnings, a 25% discount to the Technology sector's median of 28x.
CTM Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $0.54 | 17% below |
| 20 week MA | $0.60 | 25% below |
| 50 week MA | $0.74 | 39% below |
| 100 week MA | $0.91 | 51% below |
| 200 week MA | $0.67 | 33% below |
CTM is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 33% below its 200-week average.
NVDA Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $208.9 | 20% below |
| 20 week MA | $212.0 | 22% below |
| 50 week MA | $199.9 | 17% below |
| 100 week MA | $175.1 | 5.1% below |
| 200 week MA | $123.6 | 34% above |
NVDA has the edge over CTM on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.
CTM Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | $1.47 | $1.22 | -17% |
| 2023 | $1.22 | $0.30 | -75% |
| 2024 | $0.30 | $1.42 | +373% |
| 2025 | $1.42 | $1.03 | -27% |
| 2026 YTD | $1.03 | $0.45 | -56% |
CTM's yearly returns have swung widely, from +373% in 2024 to −75% in 2023. It's down 56% so far in 2026.
NVDA Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $5.92 | $13.0 | +119% |
| 2021 | $13.0 | $29.6 | +128% |
| 2022 | $29.6 | $15.2 | -49% |
| 2023 | $15.2 | $49.5 | +226% |
| 2024 | $49.5 | $137.0 | +177% |
| 2025 | $137.0 | $190.5 | +39% |
| 2026 YTD | $190.5 | $166.2 | -13% |
NVDA has the edge over CTM on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.