CTM
Castellum, Inc.
CTM trails on the overall score without a compensating advantage in the available component scores.
MSFT
Microsoft Corporation
MSFT has the edge over CTM overall, supported by lower modeled downside and stronger fundamentals.
CTM Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Stable | |
| Under pressure | |
| Stable | |
| Weak |
CTM's revenue and cash flow are currently stable, but its profitability and balance sheet are under pressure.
MSFT Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Healthy | |
| Strong | |
| Healthy | |
| Strong |
MSFT's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.
CTM PE Valuation
CTM has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
MSFT PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Forward | 25x | $523 | — |
| Cheap | 27x | $525 | +0.4% |
| Current | 27x | $523 | — |
| Fair | 34x | $652 | +25% |
| Expensive | 37x | $711 | +36% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
MSFT's PE is in its cheap range at 27x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 25x next year's earnings.
CTM Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| -- | |
| Strong decline | |
| Stable | |
| -- | |
| Limited | |
| High |
Analysts expect CTM's earnings to decline, with its revenue and profitability holding steady.
MSFT Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Improving | |
| Strong growth | |
| Strong growth | |
| Stable | |
| Moderate | |
| High |
Analysts expect strong earnings and revenue growth for MSFT, with profitability holding steady.
CTM Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $0.02 | — |
| Q3 2026 | -$0.04 | +$0.02 |
| Q2 2026 | -$0.03 | +$0.05 |
| Q1 2026 | -$0.02 | +$0.09 |
| Q4 2025 | -$0.03 | +$0.15 |
| Q3 2025 | -$0.06 | +$0.12 |
| Q2 2025 | -$0.08 | +$0.27 |
| Q1 2025 | -$0.11 | +$0.25 |
| Q4 2024 | -$0.18 | +$0.20 |
CTM is still losing money, but far less than before: $0.04 per share over the past year, against $0.58 at its worst in mid-2022.
MSFT Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $20.79 | +8.6% |
| Q3 2026 | $19.15 | +36% |
| Q2 2026 | $17.95 | +32% |
| Q1 2026 | $16.80 | +30% |
| Q4 2025 | $15.99 | +29% |
| Q3 2025 | $14.06 | +16% |
| Q2 2025 | $13.64 | +16% |
| Q1 2025 | $12.93 | +12% |
| Q4 2024 | $12.41 | +12% |
MSFT has the edge over CTM on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.
CTM Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $14.7M | +0.6% |
| Q2 2026 | $13.9M | -1.1% |
| Q1 2026 | $14.3M | +23% |
| Q4 2025 | $12.6M | +22% |
| Q3 2025 | $14.6M | +26% |
| Q2 2025 | $14M | +22% |
| Q1 2025 | $11.7M | +2.9% |
| Q4 2024 | $10.3M | -7.1% |
CTM's revenue is growing: $15M last quarter, about level with the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -3.8% | -6.9 points |
| Q2 2026 | -7.9% | -5.2 points |
| Q1 2026 | -4.9% | +7.9 points |
| Q4 2025 | -11% | +4.7 points |
| Q3 2025 | 3% | +15 points |
| Q2 2025 | -2.7% | +11 points |
| Q1 2025 | -13% | +11 points |
| Q4 2024 | -16% | -1.9 points |
CTM's operating margin was −3.8% last quarter, down 6.9 points from the same quarter a year ago.
MSFT Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $92.3B | +19% |
| Q2 2026 | $90B | +18% |
| Q1 2026 | $82.9B | +18% |
| Q4 2025 | $81.3B | +17% |
| Q3 2025 | $77.7B | +18% |
| Q2 2025 | $76.4B | +18% |
| Q1 2025 | $70.1B | +13% |
| Q4 2024 | $69.6B | +12% |
MSFT has the edge over CTM on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 50% | +0.9 points |
| Q2 2026 | 45% | +0.2 points |
| Q1 2026 | 46% | +0.7 points |
| Q4 2025 | 47% | +1.6 points |
| Q3 2025 | 49% | +2.3 points |
| Q2 2025 | 45% | +1.8 points |
| Q1 2025 | 46% | +1.1 points |
| Q4 2024 | 45% | +1.9 points |
MSFT has the edge over CTM on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
CTM Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -$1.3M | -234% |
| Q1 2026 | $1.3M | +$3.8M |
| Q4 2025 | -$671.5K | -$277.1K |
| Q3 2025 | $957K | +30% |
| Q1 2025 | -$2.5M | -10647% |
| Q4 2024 | -$394.4K | -145% |
| Q3 2024 | $738.9K | +$2M |
| Q2 2024 | $748.6K | +33% |
CTM's free cash flow has turned positive again: $366,940 over the past year, against −$1M the year before.
MSFT Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $18.6B | -27% |
| Q2 2026 | $19.6B | -23% |
| Q1 2026 | $15.8B | -22% |
| Q4 2025 | $5.9B | -9.3% |
| Q3 2025 | $25.7B | +33% |
| Q2 2025 | $25.6B | +9.6% |
| Q1 2025 | $20.3B | -3.2% |
| Q4 2024 | $6.5B | -29% |
MSFT has the edge over CTM on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.
CTM Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +0.1% | +138K shares |
| 1 year | +5.6% | +5.1M shares |
| 3 years | +96% | +46.5M shares |
| 5 years | +515% | +79.4M shares |
| Available history | +543% | +80.1M shares |
CTM has 95M diluted shares, up 5.6% from a year ago.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q2 2022 | — |
| Q1 2022 | — |
| Q4 2021 | — |
| Q3 2021 | — |
| Q2 2021 | — |
| Q1 2021 | — |
MSFT Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | -0.1% | -7M shares |
| 1 year | -0.3% | -20M shares |
| 3 years | -0.2% | -16M shares |
| 5 years | -1.6% | -121M shares |
| Available history | -3.2% | -245M shares |
MSFT has the edge over CTM on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $4.4B |
| Q2 2026 | $4.6B |
| Q1 2026 | $4.6B |
| Q4 2025 | $7.4B |
| Q3 2025 | $5.7B |
| Q2 2025 | $4.5B |
| Q1 2025 | $4.8B |
| Q4 2024 | $5B |
MSFT spent $21B buying back its own shares over the past year, up 5.2% from the year before.
CTM Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2021 | 29.1x | High |
| Q1 2021 | 11.1x | High |
CTM's net debt is more than 20 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA).
MSFT Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 0.1x | Very low |
| Q2 2026 | 0.1x | Very low |
MSFT's net debt is less than a year of its operating earnings (EBITDA).
CTM Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 36.2 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 14.3 | Oversold |
CTM's weekly RSI is 36 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 14 (oversold).
MSFT Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 62.1 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 68.0 | Neutral |
MSFT's weekly RSI is 62 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 68 (neutral).
CTM PE vs Technology Sector
CTM has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
MSFT PE vs Technology Sector
| Metric | MSFT | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 27x | 28x | 2% below |
| PE % | 16 | 35 | 19 pts below |
MSFT is trading at 27x earnings, in line with the Technology sector's median of 28x.
CTM Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $0.54 | 17% below |
| 20 week MA | $0.60 | 25% below |
| 50 week MA | $0.74 | 39% below |
| 100 week MA | $0.91 | 51% below |
| 200 week MA | $0.67 | 33% below |
CTM is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 33% below its 200-week average.
MSFT Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $524.7 | 0.3% below |
| 20 week MA | $484.8 | 7.9% above |
| 50 week MA | $446.9 | 17% above |
| 100 week MA | $453.8 | 15% above |
| 200 week MA | $411.5 | 27% above |
MSFT has the edge over CTM on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.
CTM Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | $1.47 | $1.22 | -17% |
| 2023 | $1.22 | $0.30 | -75% |
| 2024 | $0.30 | $1.42 | +373% |
| 2025 | $1.42 | $1.03 | -27% |
| 2026 YTD | $1.03 | $0.45 | -56% |
CTM's yearly returns have swung widely, from +373% in 2024 to −75% in 2023. It's down 56% so far in 2026.
MSFT Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $159.0 | $222.8 | +40% |
| 2021 | $222.8 | $334.7 | +50% |
| 2022 | $334.7 | $238.7 | -29% |
| 2023 | $238.7 | $376.0 | +58% |
| 2024 | $376.0 | $430.5 | +14% |
| 2025 | $430.5 | $487.7 | +13% |
| 2026 YTD | $487.7 | $523.0 | +7.2% |
MSFT has the edge over CTM on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.