CTBI

Community Trust Bancorp, Inc.

56
Fundamentals67/ 100
Valuation38/ 100
Upside potential62/ 100
Risk potential12/ 100

CTBI has slightly lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.

GS

The Goldman Sachs Group, Inc.

64
Fundamentals69/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential57/ 100
Risk potential14/ 100

GS has the edge over CTBI overall, supported by stronger valuation and stronger fundamentals.

CTBI Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
N/A
N/A

CTBI's revenue and profitability are currently healthy. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like CTBI.

GS Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Strong
N/A
N/A

GS's revenue and profitability are currently strong. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like GS.

CTBI PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE3.7x7.3x11x15x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE3.7x7.3x11x15x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap8.8x$53.41-24%
Fair10x$61.56-12%
Forward11x$70.09—
Expensive12x$72.83+3.9%
Current12x$70.09—

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

CTBI has the edge over GS in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

GS PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE5.2x10x16x21x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE5.2x10x16x21x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap7.6x$528-42%
Current13x$914—
Forward13x$914—
Fair14x$940+2.9%
Expensive17x$1,214+33%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

GS's PE is 13x, but its earnings don't support one, so it isn't a reliable read right now.

CTBI Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Improving
Growth
Growth
Improving
Limited
High

CTBI has the edge over GS on the outlook, with more favorable valuation expectations.

GS Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Stable
Strong growth
Growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Low

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for GS, with profitability improving. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

CTBI Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+20%$84.05
Downside-12%$61.48

Calculated from the latest close: $70.09 on Nov 12.

CTBI has a better modeled risk to reward balance than GS, with more potential upside and less potential downside.

GS Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+19%$1,085.26
Downside-14%$781.84

Calculated from the latest close: $913.60 on Nov 12.

GS trails CTBI on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside and more potential downside.

CTBI Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $4.36Q1 2024: $4.32Q2 2024: $4.33Q3 2024: $4.41Q4 2024: $4.61Q1 2025: $4.79Q2 2025: $5.08Q3 2025: $5.17Q4 2025: $5.43Q1 2026: $5.71Q2 2026: $5.97Q3 2026: $6.08Forward: $6.46
Q4 2023: $4.36Q1 2024: $4.32Q2 2024: $4.33Q3 2024: $4.41Q4 2024: $4.61Q1 2025: $4.79Q2 2025: $5.08Q3 2025: $5.17Q4 2025: $5.43Q1 2026: $5.71Q2 2026: $5.97Q3 2026: $6.08Forward: $6.46
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$6.46+6.3%
Q3 2026$6.08+18%
Q2 2026$5.97+18%
Q1 2026$5.71+19%
Q4 2025$5.43+18%
Q3 2025$5.17+17%
Q2 2025$5.08+17%
Q1 2025$4.79+11%
Q4 2024$4.61+5.7%

CTBI's earnings per share have climbed steadily: $6.08 over the past year, up 18% from the year before, and higher year over year for eight quarters in a row.

GS Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $22.87Q1 2024: $25.66Q2 2024: $31.20Q3 2024: $34.13Q4 2024: $40.54Q1 2025: $43.08Q2 2025: $45.37Q3 2025: $49.22Q4 2025: $51.32Q1 2026: $54.75Q2 2026: $64.82Q3 2026: $69.58Forward: $72.35
Q4 2023: $22.87Q1 2024: $25.66Q2 2024: $31.20Q3 2024: $34.13Q4 2024: $40.54Q1 2025: $43.08Q2 2025: $45.37Q3 2025: $49.22Q4 2025: $51.32Q1 2026: $54.75Q2 2026: $64.82Q3 2026: $69.58Forward: $72.35
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$72.35+4%
Q3 2026$69.58+41%
Q2 2026$64.82+43%
Q1 2026$54.75+27%
Q4 2025$51.32+27%
Q3 2025$49.22+44%
Q2 2025$45.37+45%
Q1 2025$43.08+68%
Q4 2024$40.54+77%

GS has the edge over CTBI on earnings, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.

CTBI Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $57MQ1 2024: $59MQ2 2024: $61MQ3 2024: $63MQ4 2024: $66MQ1 2025: $66MQ2 2025: $70MQ3 2025: $72MQ4 2025: $75MQ1 2026: $74MQ2 2026: $78MQ3 2026: $80M
Q4 2023: $57MQ1 2024: $59MQ2 2024: $61MQ3 2024: $63MQ4 2024: $66MQ1 2025: $66MQ2 2025: $70MQ3 2025: $72MQ4 2025: $75MQ1 2026: $74MQ2 2026: $78MQ3 2026: $80M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$79.7M+11%
Q2 2026$78.5M+12%
Q1 2026$74.2M+12%
Q4 2025$74.7M+14%
Q3 2025$71.5M+14%
Q2 2025$70.2M+14%
Q1 2025$66.2M+13%
Q4 2024$65.7M+16%

CTBI's revenue has grown year over year for 11 quarters in a row: $80M last quarter, up 11% from the same quarter a year ago.

GS Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $11.3BQ1 2024: $14.2BQ2 2024: $12.7BQ3 2024: $12.7BQ4 2024: $13.9BQ1 2025: $15.1BQ2 2025: $14.6BQ3 2025: $15.2BQ4 2025: $13.5BQ1 2026: $17.2BQ2 2026: $20.3BQ3 2026: $18.7B
Q4 2023: $11.3BQ1 2024: $14.2BQ2 2024: $12.7BQ3 2024: $12.7BQ4 2024: $13.9BQ1 2025: $15.1BQ2 2025: $14.6BQ3 2025: $15.2BQ4 2025: $13.5BQ1 2026: $17.2BQ2 2026: $20.3BQ3 2026: $18.7B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$18.7B+23%
Q2 2026$20.3B+39%
Q1 2026$17.2B+14%
Q4 2025$13.5B-3%
Q3 2025$15.2B+20%
Q2 2025$14.6B+15%
Q1 2025$15.1B+6%
Q4 2024$13.9B+23%

GS's revenue is growing: $18.7B last quarter, up 23% from the same quarter a year ago.

CTBI Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $19MQ1 2024: $24MQ2 2024: $18MQ3 2024: $35MQ4 2024: $19MQ1 2025: $35MQ2 2025: $14MQ3 2025: $36MQ4 2025: $13MQ1 2026: $38MQ2 2026: $43MQ3 2026: $32M
Q4 2023: $19MQ1 2024: $24MQ2 2024: $18MQ3 2024: $35MQ4 2024: $19MQ1 2025: $35MQ2 2025: $14MQ3 2025: $36MQ4 2025: $13MQ1 2026: $38MQ2 2026: $43MQ3 2026: $32M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$32.4M-11%
Q2 2026$43.1M+217%
Q1 2026$37.9M+9.9%
Q4 2025$13M-33%
Q3 2025$36.4M+2.8%
Q2 2025$13.6M-26%
Q1 2025$34.5M+44%
Q4 2024$19.4M+3.7%

CTBI has the edge over GS on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

GS Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$28.9BQ1 2024: −$28.5BQ2 2024: $5.6BQ3 2024: −$38.5BQ4 2024: $46.2BQ1 2025: −$37.7BQ2 2025: $5.2BQ3 2025: $2.1BQ4 2025: −$16.8BQ1 2026: −$32.4BQ2 2026: $5.6BQ3 2026: $3.7B
Q4 2023: −$28.9BQ1 2024: −$28.5BQ2 2024: $5.6BQ3 2024: −$38.5BQ4 2024: $46.2BQ1 2025: −$37.7BQ2 2025: $5.2BQ3 2025: $2.1BQ4 2025: −$16.8BQ1 2026: −$32.4BQ2 2026: $5.6BQ3 2026: $3.7B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$3.7B+72%
Q2 2026$5.6B+7.8%
Q1 2026-$32.4B+$5.3B
Q4 2025-$16.8B-136%
Q3 2025$2.1B+$40.6B
Q2 2025$5.2B-6.8%
Q1 2025-$37.7B-$9.2B
Q4 2024$46.2B+$75.1B

GS's free cash flow was −$40B over the past year, against $15.8B the year before. Free cash flow isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like GS.

CTBI Total Shares

Q4 2023: 18MQ1 2024: 18MQ2 2024: 18MQ3 2024: 18MQ4 2024: 18MQ1 2025: 18MQ2 2025: 18MQ3 2025: 18MQ4 2025: 18MQ1 2026: 18MQ2 2026: 18MQ3 2026: 18M
Q4 2023: 18MQ1 2024: 18MQ2 2024: 18MQ3 2024: 18MQ4 2024: 18MQ1 2025: 18MQ2 2025: 18MQ3 2025: 18MQ4 2025: 18MQ1 2026: 18MQ2 2026: 18MQ3 2026: 18M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.1%+15K shares
1 year+0.3%+61K shares
3 years+1.2%+210K shares
5 years+1.7%+306K shares
Available history+2.1%+374K shares

CTBI has 18M diluted shares, about the same as a year ago.

GS Total Shares

Q4 2023: 346MQ1 2024: 340MQ2 2024: 336MQ3 2024: 331MQ4 2024: 334MQ1 2025: 325MQ2 2025: 318MQ3 2025: 315MQ4 2025: 318MQ1 2026: 308MQ2 2026: 305MQ3 2026: 301M
Q4 2023: 346MQ1 2024: 340MQ2 2024: 336MQ3 2024: 331MQ4 2024: 334MQ1 2025: 325MQ2 2025: 318MQ3 2025: 315MQ4 2025: 318MQ1 2026: 308MQ2 2026: 305MQ3 2026: 301M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-1.2%-3.8M shares
1 year-4.4%-13.9M shares
3 years-12%-42.8M shares
5 years-15%-52.8M shares
Available history-20%-74.4M shares

GS has the edge over CTBI on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

CTBI Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 0.2xQ1 2024: -2.8xQ2 2024: -1.6xQ3 2024: -2.3xQ4 2024: -0.6xQ1 2025: -2.9xQ2 2025: -3.2xQ3 2025: -4.1xQ4 2025: 0.1xQ1 2026: -2.6xQ2 2026: -3.6xQ3 2026: -2.3x
Q4 2023: 0.2xQ1 2024: -2.8xQ2 2024: -1.6xQ3 2024: -2.3xQ4 2024: -0.6xQ1 2025: -2.9xQ2 2025: -3.2xQ3 2025: -4.1xQ4 2025: 0.1xQ1 2026: -2.6xQ2 2026: -3.6xQ3 2026: -2.3x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-2.3xNet Cash
Q2 2026-3.6xNet Cash
Q1 2026-2.6xNet Cash
Q4 20250.1xVery low
Q3 2025-4.1xNet Cash
Q2 2025-3.2xNet Cash
Q1 2025-2.9xNet Cash
Q4 2024-0.6xNet Cash

CTBI has more cash than debt. Net leverage isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like CTBI.

GS Net Leverage

Q4 2023: -9.6xQ1 2024: -6.8xQ2 2024: -6.5xQ3 2024: -3.5xQ4 2024: -4.7xQ1 2025: -3.9xQ2 2025: -3.1xQ3 2025: -3.5xQ4 2025: -6.4xQ1 2026: -6.7xQ2 2026: -6.1xQ3 2026: -5.4x
Q4 2023: -9.6xQ1 2024: -6.8xQ2 2024: -6.5xQ3 2024: -3.5xQ4 2024: -4.7xQ1 2025: -3.9xQ2 2025: -3.1xQ3 2025: -3.5xQ4 2025: -6.4xQ1 2026: -6.7xQ2 2026: -6.1xQ3 2026: -5.4x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-5.4xNet Cash
Q2 2026-6.1xNet Cash
Q1 2026-6.7xNet Cash
Q4 2025-6.4xNet Cash
Q3 2025-3.5xNet Cash
Q2 2025-3.1xNet Cash
Q1 2025-3.9xNet Cash
Q4 2024-4.7xNet Cash

GS has the edge over CTBI on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

CTBI Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI45.8Neutral
Stochastic18.2Oversold

CTBI's weekly RSI is 46 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 18 (oversold).

GS Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI44.5Neutral
Stochastic16.3Oversold

GS's weekly RSI is 45 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 16 (oversold).

CTBI PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricCTBISector medianRelative
PE12x13x11% below
PE %756312 pts above

CTBI has the edge over GS on valuation relative to its sector.

GS PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricGSSector medianRelative
PE13x13x0.8% above
PE %466317 pts below

GS is trading at 13x earnings, in line with the Financial Services sector's median of 13x, though its earnings don't support one.

CTBI Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$72.53.3% below
20 week MA$74.86.2% below
50 week MA$67.73.6% above
100 week MA$60.416% above
200 week MA$51.436% above

CTBI has pulled back, but its long-term trend is still up: it's below its 8- and 20-week averages, but 36% above its 200-week average.

GS Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$895.52% above
20 week MA$977.46.5% below
50 week MA$945.43.4% below
100 week MA$804.514% above
200 week MA$602.752% above

GS's trend is mixed: it's above three of its five weekly moving averages, and 52% above its 200-week average.

CTBI Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$46.5$37.1-20%
2021$37.1$43.3+17%
2022$43.3$45.7+5.6%
2023$45.7$43.9-4%
2024$43.9$53.6+22%
2025$53.6$57.8+7.8%
2026 YTD$57.8$70.1+21%

CTBI has the edge over GS on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

GS Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$230.7$256.2+11%
2021$256.2$385.0+50%
2022$385.0$345.5-10%
2023$345.5$385.8+12%
2024$385.8$576.2+49%
2025$576.2$907.0+57%
2026 YTD$907.0$913.6+0.7%

GS has finished higher in five of the last six years, two of them by more than 50%. It's up 0.7% so far in 2026.

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