CSWC

Capital Southwest Corporation

46
Fundamentals51/ 100
Valuation29/ 100
Upside potential55/ 100
Risk potential11/ 100

CSWC trails on the overall score without a compensating advantage in the available component scores.

JPM

JPMorgan Chase & Co.

57
Fundamentals65/ 100
Valuation38/ 100
Upside potential68/ 100
Risk potential10/ 100

JPM has the edge over CSWC overall, supported by stronger fundamentals and stronger modeled upside.

CSWC Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Healthy
N/A
N/A

CSWC's profitability is currently healthy, and its revenue is stable. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like CSWC.

JPM Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
N/A
N/A

JPM's revenue and profitability are currently healthy. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like JPM.

CSWC PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE8.2x16x25x33x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE8.2x16x25x33x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap9x$15.26-35%
Forward9.8x$23.50—
Fair11x$18.28-22%
Current14x$23.50—
Expensive15x$25.07+6.7%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

CSWC has the edge over JPM in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

JPM PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE5.0x10x15x20x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE5.0x10x15x20x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap9.7x$231-33%
Fair12x$287-16%
Current14x$343—
Forward14x$343—
Expensive15x$361+5.2%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

JPM's PE is in its expensive range at 14.4x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 13.7x next year's earnings.

CSWC Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Stable
Strong growth
Strongly weakening
Limited
High

Analysts expect CSWC's revenue to grow, but its profitability to weaken.

JPM Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Stable
Growth
Growth
Improving
Limited
Moderate

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for JPM, with profitability improving.

CSWC Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+14%$26.69
Downside-11%$20.91

Calculated from the latest close: $23.50 on Nov 12.

CSWC trails JPM on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside and more potential downside.

JPM Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+20%$412.26
Downside-10%$310.03

Calculated from the latest close: $342.82 on Nov 12.

JPM has a better modeled risk to reward balance than CSWC, with more potential upside and less potential downside.

CSWC Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $2.68Q1 2024: $2.71Q2 2024: $2.69Q3 2024: $2.66Q4 2024: $2.30Q1 2025: $1.98Q2 2025: $1.83Q3 2025: $1.61Q4 2025: $1.81Q1 2026: $1.90Q2 2026: $1.81Q3 2026: $1.70Forward: $2.39
Q4 2023: $2.68Q1 2024: $2.71Q2 2024: $2.69Q3 2024: $2.66Q4 2024: $2.30Q1 2025: $1.98Q2 2025: $1.83Q3 2025: $1.61Q4 2025: $1.81Q1 2026: $1.90Q2 2026: $1.81Q3 2026: $1.70Forward: $2.39
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$2.39+41%
Q3 2026$1.70+5.6%
Q2 2026$1.81-1.1%
Q1 2026$1.90-4%
Q4 2025$1.81-21%
Q3 2025$1.61-39%
Q2 2025$1.83-32%
Q1 2025$1.98-27%
Q4 2024$2.30-14%

CSWC's earnings per share have fallen from their peak: $1.70 over the past year, against $2.94 in mid-2021.

JPM Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $16.23Q1 2024: $16.57Q2 2024: $17.94Q3 2024: $17.98Q4 2024: $19.75Q1 2025: $20.38Q2 2025: $19.50Q3 2025: $20.20Q4 2025: $20.02Q1 2026: $20.89Q2 2026: $23.35Q3 2026: $23.85Forward: $24.99
Q4 2023: $16.23Q1 2024: $16.57Q2 2024: $17.94Q3 2024: $17.98Q4 2024: $19.75Q1 2025: $20.38Q2 2025: $19.50Q3 2025: $20.20Q4 2025: $20.02Q1 2026: $20.89Q2 2026: $23.35Q3 2026: $23.85Forward: $24.99
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$24.99+4.8%
Q3 2026$23.85+18%
Q2 2026$23.35+20%
Q1 2026$20.89+2.5%
Q4 2025$20.02+1.4%
Q3 2025$20.20+12%
Q2 2025$19.50+8.7%
Q1 2025$20.38+23%
Q4 2024$19.75+22%

JPM has the edge over CSWC on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

CSWC Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: --Q1 2024: --Q2 2024: --Q3 2024: --Q4 2024: --Q1 2025: --Q2 2025: --Q3 2025: --Q4 2025: --Q1 2026: --Q2 2026: --Q3 2026: --
Q4 2023: --Q1 2024: --Q2 2024: --Q3 2024: --Q4 2024: --Q1 2025: --Q2 2025: --Q3 2025: --Q4 2025: --Q1 2026: --Q2 2026: --Q3 2026: --
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q2 2022$13.9M-44%
Q1 2022$30M+49%
Q4 2021$23.7M-12%
Q3 2021$24.1M-6.4%
Q2 2021$25.1M+42%
Q4 2020$26.9M+374%

JPM has the stronger quarterly revenue trend. Revenue is down 44% for CSWC versus up 8.1% for JPM.

JPM Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $38.6BQ1 2024: $41.9BQ2 2024: $50.2BQ3 2024: $42.7BQ4 2024: $42.8BQ1 2025: $45.3BQ2 2025: $44.9BQ3 2025: $46.4BQ4 2025: $45.8BQ1 2026: $49.8BQ2 2026: $57.3BQ3 2026: $50.2B
Q4 2023: $38.6BQ1 2024: $41.9BQ2 2024: $50.2BQ3 2024: $42.7BQ4 2024: $42.8BQ1 2025: $45.3BQ2 2025: $44.9BQ3 2025: $46.4BQ4 2025: $45.8BQ1 2026: $49.8BQ2 2026: $57.3BQ3 2026: $50.2B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$50.2B+8.1%
Q2 2026$57.3B+28%
Q1 2026$49.8B+10%
Q4 2025$45.8B+7.1%
Q3 2025$46.4B+8.8%
Q2 2025$44.9B-11%
Q1 2025$45.3B+8.1%
Q4 2024$42.8B+11%

JPM's revenue has grown year over year for five quarters in a row: $50.2B last quarter, up 8.1% from the same quarter a year ago.

CSWC Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $18MQ1 2024: −$102MQ2 2024: $31MQ3 2024: −$24MQ4 2024: −$167MQ1 2025: −$59MQ2 2025: $30MQ3 2025: −$71MQ4 2025: −$94MQ1 2026: −$59MQ2 2026: −$81MQ3 2026: −$193M
Q4 2023: $18MQ1 2024: −$102MQ2 2024: $31MQ3 2024: −$24MQ4 2024: −$167MQ1 2025: −$59MQ2 2025: $30MQ3 2025: −$71MQ4 2025: −$94MQ1 2026: −$59MQ2 2026: −$81MQ3 2026: −$193M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$193.1M-$121.8M
Q2 2026-$80.9M-366%
Q1 2026-$59.2M-$64K
Q4 2025-$93.6M+$72.9M
Q3 2025-$71.3M-$47M
Q2 2025$30.4M-2.4%
Q1 2025-$59.1M+$43M
Q4 2024-$166.6M-1025%

CSWC's free cash flow was −$427M over the past year, against −$267M the year before. Free cash flow isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like CSWC.

JPM Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $60.2BQ1 2024: −$154BQ2 2024: $38.5BQ3 2024: −$74.1BQ4 2024: $148BQ1 2025: −$252BQ2 2025: $29.5BQ3 2025: −$45.2BQ4 2025: $120BQ1 2026: −$212BQ2 2026: −$25.3BQ3 2026: $33.2B
Q4 2023: $60.2BQ1 2024: −$154BQ2 2024: $38.5BQ3 2024: −$74.1BQ4 2024: $148BQ1 2025: −$252BQ2 2025: $29.5BQ3 2025: −$45.2BQ4 2025: $120BQ1 2026: −$212BQ2 2026: −$25.3BQ3 2026: $33.2B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$33.2B+$78.4B
Q2 2026-$25.3B-186%
Q1 2026-$211.8B+$40.1B
Q4 2025$119.7B-19%
Q3 2025-$45.2B+$28.9B
Q2 2025$29.5B-23%
Q1 2025-$251.8B-$97.7B
Q4 2024$147.8B+145%

JPM has the edge over CSWC on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

CSWC Total Shares

Q4 2023: 42MQ1 2024: 41MQ2 2024: 46MQ3 2024: 47MQ4 2024: 54MQ1 2025: 51MQ2 2025: 63MQ3 2025: 65MQ4 2025: 67MQ1 2026: 66MQ2 2026: 71MQ3 2026: 73M
Q4 2023: 42MQ1 2024: 41MQ2 2024: 46MQ3 2024: 47MQ4 2024: 54MQ1 2025: 51MQ2 2025: 63MQ3 2025: 65MQ4 2025: 67MQ1 2026: 66MQ2 2026: 71MQ3 2026: 73M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+3.6%+2.5M shares
1 year+13%+8.2M shares
3 years+84%+33.3M shares
5 years+224%+50.5M shares
Available history+304%+54.9M shares

CSWC has 73M diluted shares, up 13% from a year ago.

JPM Total Shares

Q4 2023: 2.9BQ1 2024: 2.9BQ2 2024: 2.9BQ3 2024: 2.9BQ4 2024: 2.9BQ1 2025: 2.8BQ2 2025: 2.8BQ3 2025: 2.8BQ4 2025: 2.8BQ1 2026: 2.7BQ2 2026: 2.7BQ3 2026: 2.7B
Q4 2023: 2.9BQ1 2024: 2.9BQ2 2024: 2.9BQ3 2024: 2.9BQ4 2024: 2.9BQ1 2025: 2.8BQ2 2025: 2.8BQ3 2025: 2.8BQ4 2025: 2.8BQ1 2026: 2.7BQ2 2026: 2.7BQ3 2026: 2.7B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.4%-11.2M shares
1 year-3.1%-84.6M shares
3 years-8.5%-249M shares
5 years-11%-322M shares
Available history-17%-547M shares

JPM has the edge over CSWC on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

CSWC Net Leverage

QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q2 202215.0xHigh
Q1 202210.5xHigh
Q4 202112.3xHigh
Q3 202110.1xHigh
Q2 20216.8xHigh
Q1 20216.1xHigh
Q4 202015.6xHigh
Q3 2020215.5xHigh

CSWC's net debt is about 15 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), up from 6.8 years a year ago. Net leverage isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like CSWC.

JPM Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 0.2xQ1 2024: 0.3xQ2 2024: 0.3xQ3 2024: 0.4xQ4 2024: 0.4xQ1 2025: 0.5xQ2 2025: 0.5xQ3 2025: 0.6xQ4 2025: 0.5xQ1 2026: 0.6xQ2 2026: 0.5xQ3 2026: 0.5x
Q4 2023: 0.2xQ1 2024: 0.3xQ2 2024: 0.3xQ3 2024: 0.4xQ4 2024: 0.4xQ1 2025: 0.5xQ2 2025: 0.5xQ3 2025: 0.6xQ4 2025: 0.5xQ1 2026: 0.6xQ2 2026: 0.5xQ3 2026: 0.5x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20260.5xVery low
Q2 20260.5xVery low
Q1 20260.6xVery low
Q4 20250.5xVery low
Q3 20250.6xVery low
Q2 20250.5xVery low
Q1 20250.5xVery low
Q4 20240.4xVery low

JPM's net debt is less than a year of its operating earnings (EBITDA). Net leverage isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like JPM.

CSWC Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI50.1Neutral
Stochastic33.9Neutral

CSWC's weekly RSI is 50 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 34 (neutral).

JPM Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI54.8Neutral
Stochastic31.5Neutral

JPM's weekly RSI is 55 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 31 (neutral).

CSWC PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricCSWCSector medianRelative
PE14x13x6.1% above
PE %766313 pts above

CSWC has the edge over JPM on valuation relative to its sector.

JPM PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricJPMSector medianRelative
PE14x13x10% above
PE %766313 pts above

JPM is trading at 14x earnings, a 10% premium to the Financial Services sector's median of 13x.

CSWC Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$23.21.3% above
20 week MA$23.91.5% below
50 week MA$23.21.2% above
100 week MA$22.54.5% above
200 week MA$22.54.3% above

CSWC's trend is mixed: it's above four of its five weekly moving averages, and 4.3% above its 200-week average.

JPM Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$336.81.8% above
20 week MA$345.30.7% below
50 week MA$323.26.1% above
100 week MA$298.915% above
200 week MA$236.645% above

JPM's trend is mixed: it's above four of its five weekly moving averages, and 45% above its 200-week average.

CSWC Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$21.0$16.6-21%
2021$16.6$25.3+53%
2022$25.3$17.3-32%
2023$17.3$23.7+37%
2024$23.7$21.6-8.9%
2025$21.6$21.9+1.6%
2026 YTD$21.9$23.5+7.2%

CSWC has the edge over JPM on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

JPM Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$139.1$124.5-11%
2021$124.5$157.3+26%
2022$157.3$131.3-17%
2023$131.3$170.1+30%
2024$170.1$241.2+42%
2025$241.2$327.9+36%
2026 YTD$327.9$342.8+4.5%

JPM has finished higher in four of the last six years. It's up 4.5% so far in 2026.

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