CSWC

Capital Southwest Corporation

46
Fundamentals51/ 100
Valuation29/ 100
Upside potential55/ 100
Risk potential11/ 100

CSWC has slightly lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.

GS

The Goldman Sachs Group, Inc.

64
Fundamentals69/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential57/ 100
Risk potential14/ 100

GS has the edge over CSWC overall, supported by stronger valuation and stronger fundamentals.

CSWC Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Healthy
N/A
N/A

CSWC's profitability is currently healthy, and its revenue is stable. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like CSWC.

GS Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Strong
N/A
N/A

GS's revenue and profitability are currently strong. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like GS.

CSWC PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE8.2x16x25x33x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE8.2x16x25x33x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap9x$15.26-35%
Forward9.8x$23.50—
Fair11x$18.28-22%
Current14x$23.50—
Expensive15x$25.07+6.7%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

CSWC has the edge over GS in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

GS PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE5.2x10x16x21x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE5.2x10x16x21x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap7.6x$528-42%
Current13x$914—
Forward13x$914—
Fair14x$940+2.9%
Expensive17x$1,214+33%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

GS's PE is 13x, but its earnings don't support one, so it isn't a reliable read right now.

CSWC Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Stable
Strong growth
Strongly weakening
Limited
High

Analysts expect CSWC's revenue to grow, but its profitability to weaken.

GS Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Stable
Strong growth
Growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Low

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for GS, with profitability improving. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

CSWC Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+14%$26.69
Downside-11%$20.91

Calculated from the latest close: $23.50 on Nov 12.

CSWC trails GS on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

GS Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+19%$1,085.26
Downside-14%$781.84

Calculated from the latest close: $913.60 on Nov 12.

GS has a better modeled risk to reward balance than CSWC, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

CSWC Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $2.68Q1 2024: $2.71Q2 2024: $2.69Q3 2024: $2.66Q4 2024: $2.30Q1 2025: $1.98Q2 2025: $1.83Q3 2025: $1.61Q4 2025: $1.81Q1 2026: $1.90Q2 2026: $1.81Q3 2026: $1.70Forward: $2.39
Q4 2023: $2.68Q1 2024: $2.71Q2 2024: $2.69Q3 2024: $2.66Q4 2024: $2.30Q1 2025: $1.98Q2 2025: $1.83Q3 2025: $1.61Q4 2025: $1.81Q1 2026: $1.90Q2 2026: $1.81Q3 2026: $1.70Forward: $2.39
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$2.39+41%
Q3 2026$1.70+5.6%
Q2 2026$1.81-1.1%
Q1 2026$1.90-4%
Q4 2025$1.81-21%
Q3 2025$1.61-39%
Q2 2025$1.83-32%
Q1 2025$1.98-27%
Q4 2024$2.30-14%

CSWC's earnings per share have fallen from their peak: $1.70 over the past year, against $2.94 in mid-2021.

GS Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $22.87Q1 2024: $25.66Q2 2024: $31.20Q3 2024: $34.13Q4 2024: $40.54Q1 2025: $43.08Q2 2025: $45.37Q3 2025: $49.22Q4 2025: $51.32Q1 2026: $54.75Q2 2026: $64.82Q3 2026: $69.58Forward: $72.35
Q4 2023: $22.87Q1 2024: $25.66Q2 2024: $31.20Q3 2024: $34.13Q4 2024: $40.54Q1 2025: $43.08Q2 2025: $45.37Q3 2025: $49.22Q4 2025: $51.32Q1 2026: $54.75Q2 2026: $64.82Q3 2026: $69.58Forward: $72.35
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$72.35+4%
Q3 2026$69.58+41%
Q2 2026$64.82+43%
Q1 2026$54.75+27%
Q4 2025$51.32+27%
Q3 2025$49.22+44%
Q2 2025$45.37+45%
Q1 2025$43.08+68%
Q4 2024$40.54+77%

GS has the edge over CSWC on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

CSWC Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: --Q1 2024: --Q2 2024: --Q3 2024: --Q4 2024: --Q1 2025: --Q2 2025: --Q3 2025: --Q4 2025: --Q1 2026: --Q2 2026: --Q3 2026: --
Q4 2023: --Q1 2024: --Q2 2024: --Q3 2024: --Q4 2024: --Q1 2025: --Q2 2025: --Q3 2025: --Q4 2025: --Q1 2026: --Q2 2026: --Q3 2026: --
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q2 2022$13.9M-44%
Q1 2022$30M+49%
Q4 2021$23.7M-12%
Q3 2021$24.1M-6.4%
Q2 2021$25.1M+42%
Q4 2020$26.9M+374%

GS has the stronger quarterly revenue trend. Revenue is down 44% for CSWC versus up 23% for GS.

GS Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $11.3BQ1 2024: $14.2BQ2 2024: $12.7BQ3 2024: $12.7BQ4 2024: $13.9BQ1 2025: $15.1BQ2 2025: $14.6BQ3 2025: $15.2BQ4 2025: $13.5BQ1 2026: $17.2BQ2 2026: $20.3BQ3 2026: $18.7B
Q4 2023: $11.3BQ1 2024: $14.2BQ2 2024: $12.7BQ3 2024: $12.7BQ4 2024: $13.9BQ1 2025: $15.1BQ2 2025: $14.6BQ3 2025: $15.2BQ4 2025: $13.5BQ1 2026: $17.2BQ2 2026: $20.3BQ3 2026: $18.7B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$18.7B+23%
Q2 2026$20.3B+39%
Q1 2026$17.2B+14%
Q4 2025$13.5B-3%
Q3 2025$15.2B+20%
Q2 2025$14.6B+15%
Q1 2025$15.1B+6%
Q4 2024$13.9B+23%

GS's revenue is growing: $18.7B last quarter, up 23% from the same quarter a year ago.

CSWC Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $18MQ1 2024: −$102MQ2 2024: $31MQ3 2024: −$24MQ4 2024: −$167MQ1 2025: −$59MQ2 2025: $30MQ3 2025: −$71MQ4 2025: −$94MQ1 2026: −$59MQ2 2026: −$81MQ3 2026: −$193M
Q4 2023: $18MQ1 2024: −$102MQ2 2024: $31MQ3 2024: −$24MQ4 2024: −$167MQ1 2025: −$59MQ2 2025: $30MQ3 2025: −$71MQ4 2025: −$94MQ1 2026: −$59MQ2 2026: −$81MQ3 2026: −$193M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$193.1M-$121.8M
Q2 2026-$80.9M-366%
Q1 2026-$59.2M-$64K
Q4 2025-$93.6M+$72.9M
Q3 2025-$71.3M-$47M
Q2 2025$30.4M-2.4%
Q1 2025-$59.1M+$43M
Q4 2024-$166.6M-1025%

CSWC's free cash flow was −$427M over the past year, against −$267M the year before. Free cash flow isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like CSWC.

GS Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$28.9BQ1 2024: −$28.5BQ2 2024: $5.6BQ3 2024: −$38.5BQ4 2024: $46.2BQ1 2025: −$37.7BQ2 2025: $5.2BQ3 2025: $2.1BQ4 2025: −$16.8BQ1 2026: −$32.4BQ2 2026: $5.6BQ3 2026: $3.7B
Q4 2023: −$28.9BQ1 2024: −$28.5BQ2 2024: $5.6BQ3 2024: −$38.5BQ4 2024: $46.2BQ1 2025: −$37.7BQ2 2025: $5.2BQ3 2025: $2.1BQ4 2025: −$16.8BQ1 2026: −$32.4BQ2 2026: $5.6BQ3 2026: $3.7B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$3.7B+72%
Q2 2026$5.6B+7.8%
Q1 2026-$32.4B+$5.3B
Q4 2025-$16.8B-136%
Q3 2025$2.1B+$40.6B
Q2 2025$5.2B-6.8%
Q1 2025-$37.7B-$9.2B
Q4 2024$46.2B+$75.1B

GS has the edge over CSWC on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

CSWC Total Shares

Q4 2023: 42MQ1 2024: 41MQ2 2024: 46MQ3 2024: 47MQ4 2024: 54MQ1 2025: 51MQ2 2025: 63MQ3 2025: 65MQ4 2025: 67MQ1 2026: 66MQ2 2026: 71MQ3 2026: 73M
Q4 2023: 42MQ1 2024: 41MQ2 2024: 46MQ3 2024: 47MQ4 2024: 54MQ1 2025: 51MQ2 2025: 63MQ3 2025: 65MQ4 2025: 67MQ1 2026: 66MQ2 2026: 71MQ3 2026: 73M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+3.6%+2.5M shares
1 year+13%+8.2M shares
3 years+84%+33.3M shares
5 years+224%+50.5M shares
Available history+304%+54.9M shares

CSWC has 73M diluted shares, up 13% from a year ago.

GS Total Shares

Q4 2023: 346MQ1 2024: 340MQ2 2024: 336MQ3 2024: 331MQ4 2024: 334MQ1 2025: 325MQ2 2025: 318MQ3 2025: 315MQ4 2025: 318MQ1 2026: 308MQ2 2026: 305MQ3 2026: 301M
Q4 2023: 346MQ1 2024: 340MQ2 2024: 336MQ3 2024: 331MQ4 2024: 334MQ1 2025: 325MQ2 2025: 318MQ3 2025: 315MQ4 2025: 318MQ1 2026: 308MQ2 2026: 305MQ3 2026: 301M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-1.2%-3.8M shares
1 year-4.4%-13.9M shares
3 years-12%-42.8M shares
5 years-15%-52.8M shares
Available history-20%-74.4M shares

GS has the edge over CSWC on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

CSWC Net Leverage

QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q2 202215.0xHigh
Q1 202210.5xHigh
Q4 202112.3xHigh
Q3 202110.1xHigh
Q2 20216.8xHigh
Q1 20216.1xHigh
Q4 202015.6xHigh
Q3 2020215.5xHigh

CSWC's net debt is about 15 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), up from 6.8 years a year ago. Net leverage isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like CSWC.

GS Net Leverage

Q4 2023: -9.6xQ1 2024: -6.8xQ2 2024: -6.5xQ3 2024: -3.5xQ4 2024: -4.7xQ1 2025: -3.9xQ2 2025: -3.1xQ3 2025: -3.5xQ4 2025: -6.4xQ1 2026: -6.7xQ2 2026: -6.1xQ3 2026: -5.4x
Q4 2023: -9.6xQ1 2024: -6.8xQ2 2024: -6.5xQ3 2024: -3.5xQ4 2024: -4.7xQ1 2025: -3.9xQ2 2025: -3.1xQ3 2025: -3.5xQ4 2025: -6.4xQ1 2026: -6.7xQ2 2026: -6.1xQ3 2026: -5.4x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-5.4xNet Cash
Q2 2026-6.1xNet Cash
Q1 2026-6.7xNet Cash
Q4 2025-6.4xNet Cash
Q3 2025-3.5xNet Cash
Q2 2025-3.1xNet Cash
Q1 2025-3.9xNet Cash
Q4 2024-4.7xNet Cash

GS has more cash than debt. Net leverage isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like GS.

CSWC Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI50.1Neutral
Stochastic33.9Neutral

CSWC's weekly RSI is 50 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 34 (neutral).

GS Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI44.5Neutral
Stochastic16.3Oversold

GS's weekly RSI is 45 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 16 (oversold).

CSWC PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricCSWCSector medianRelative
PE14x13x6.1% above
PE %766313 pts above

CSWC is trading at 14x earnings, in line with the Financial Services sector's median of 13x.

GS PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricGSSector medianRelative
PE13x13x0.8% above
PE %466317 pts below

GS has the edge over CSWC on valuation relative to its sector.

CSWC Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$23.21.3% above
20 week MA$23.91.5% below
50 week MA$23.21.2% above
100 week MA$22.54.5% above
200 week MA$22.54.3% above

CSWC has the edge over GS on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

GS Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$895.52% above
20 week MA$977.46.5% below
50 week MA$945.43.4% below
100 week MA$804.514% above
200 week MA$602.752% above

GS's trend is mixed: it's above three of its five weekly moving averages, and 52% above its 200-week average.

CSWC Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$21.0$16.6-21%
2021$16.6$25.3+53%
2022$25.3$17.3-32%
2023$17.3$23.7+37%
2024$23.7$21.6-8.9%
2025$21.6$21.9+1.6%
2026 YTD$21.9$23.5+7.2%

CSWC has the edge over GS on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

GS Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$230.7$256.2+11%
2021$256.2$385.0+50%
2022$385.0$345.5-10%
2023$345.5$385.8+12%
2024$385.8$576.2+49%
2025$576.2$907.0+57%
2026 YTD$907.0$913.6+0.7%

GS has finished higher in five of the last six years, two of them by more than 50%. It's up 0.7% so far in 2026.

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