CSV
Carriage Services, Inc.
CSV has slightly lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.
NKE
NIKE, Inc.
NKE has a slight edge over CSV overall, supported by stronger valuation and stronger modeled upside.
CSV Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Stable | |
| Healthy | |
| Healthy | |
| Strong |
CSV's profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its revenue is stable.
NKE Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Stable | |
| Healthy | |
| Stable | |
| Strong |
NKE's profitability and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its revenue and cash flow are stable.
CSV PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Forward | 8.5x | $27.90 | — |
| Current | 9.5x | $27.90 | — |
| Cheap | 12x | $35.73 | +28% |
| Fair | 16x | $45.74 | +64% |
| Expensive | 40x | $116 | +317% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
CSV has the edge over NKE in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.
NKE PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Current | 18x | $37.76 | — |
| Cheap | 23x | $47.70 | +26% |
| Forward | 30x | $37.76 | — |
| Fair | 33x | $68.16 | +80% |
| Expensive | 47x | $97.86 | +159% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
NKE's PE is in its cheap range at 18x. On analysts' estimates for next year's earnings, today's price would be 30x, in its fair range.
CSV Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Improving | |
| Stable | |
| Stable | |
| Weakening | |
| Limited | |
| Low |
Analysts expect CSV's profitability to weaken, with its earnings and revenue holding steady. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.
NKE Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Strongly deteriorating | |
| Stable | |
| Decline | |
| Improving | |
| Moderate | |
| Low |
Analysts expect NKE's profitability to improve, but its revenue to decline. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.
CSV Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $3.28 | +12% |
| Q3 2026 | $2.93 | -5.8% |
| Q2 2026 | $2.78 | -17% |
| Q1 2026 | $2.75 | -8% |
| Q4 2025 | $3.25 | +55% |
| Q3 2025 | $3.11 | +40% |
| Q2 2025 | $3.33 | +76% |
| Q1 2025 | $2.99 | +48% |
| Q4 2024 | $2.10 | -1.9% |
CSV has the edge over NKE on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
NKE Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $1.27 | -39% |
| Q3 2026 | $2.09 | +7.2% |
| Q2 2026 | $2.10 | -2.8% |
| Q1 2026 | $1.51 | -50% |
| Q4 2025 | $1.70 | -48% |
| Q3 2025 | $1.95 | -44% |
| Q2 2025 | $2.16 | -42% |
| Q1 2025 | $3.01 | -11% |
| Q4 2024 | $3.24 | -5.3% |
NKE's earnings per share have fallen from their peak: $2.09 over the past year, against $3.82 in late 2021.
CSV Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $100.3M | -2.4% |
| Q2 2026 | $102.9M | +0.8% |
| Q1 2026 | $106.1M | -0.9% |
| Q4 2025 | $105.5M | +8% |
| Q3 2025 | $102.7M | +2% |
| Q2 2025 | $102.1M | -0.2% |
| Q1 2025 | $107.1M | +3.5% |
| Q4 2024 | $97.7M | -1.1% |
CSV has the edge over NKE on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 19% | +2.3 points |
| Q2 2026 | 23% | -0.2 points |
| Q1 2026 | 24% | -5.7 points |
| Q4 2025 | 23% | +1.8 points |
| Q3 2025 | 17% | -5.7 points |
| Q2 2025 | 23% | +5.5 points |
| Q1 2025 | 29% | +11 points |
| Q4 2024 | 22% | -2.6 points |
CSV has the edge over NKE on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
NKE Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $11.2B | -4.3% |
| Q2 2026 | $11B | -1.1% |
| Q1 2026 | $11.3B | +0.1% |
| Q4 2025 | $12.4B | +0.6% |
| Q3 2025 | $11.7B | +1.1% |
| Q2 2025 | $11.1B | -12% |
| Q1 2025 | $11.3B | -9.3% |
| Q4 2024 | $12.4B | -7.7% |
NKE's revenue fell from its 2023 peak and has held roughly level since: $11.2B last quarter, down 4.3% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 8.2% | +0.3 points |
| Q2 2026 | 12% | +9.2 points |
| Q1 2026 | 5.8% | -1.7 points |
| Q4 2025 | 8% | -3.4 points |
| Q3 2025 | 7.9% | -3.4 points |
| Q2 2025 | 2.9% | -11 points |
| Q1 2025 | 7.5% | -3.8 points |
| Q4 2024 | 11% | -2.9 points |
NKE's operating margin was 8.2% last quarter, about level with the same quarter a year ago.
CSV Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $18.9M | +5.1% |
| Q2 2026 | $2.2M | -58% |
| Q1 2026 | $11M | +3.5% |
| Q4 2025 | $6.2M | +27% |
| Q3 2025 | $18M | +11% |
| Q2 2025 | $5.2M | +$6.6M |
| Q1 2025 | $10.6M | -34% |
| Q4 2024 | $4.9M | -44% |
CSV has the edge over NKE on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
NKE Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -$64M | -527% |
| Q2 2026 | $1.5B | +313% |
| Q1 2026 | $284M | -83% |
| Q4 2025 | $386M | -58% |
| Q3 2025 | $15M | -95% |
| Q2 2025 | $363M | -85% |
| Q1 2025 | $1.7B | -11% |
| Q4 2024 | $920M | -65% |
NKE usually generates cash, though not every quarter: the latest was −$64M, but it generated $2.1B over the past year.
CSV Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | -0.5% | -87K shares |
| 1 year | +0.1% | +23K shares |
| 3 years | +1.6% | +241K shares |
| 5 years | -14% | -2.5M shares |
| Available history | -12% | -2.3M shares |
CSV has the edge over NKE on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q4 2023 | — |
| Q3 2023 | — |
| Q2 2023 | — |
| Q1 2023 | — |
| Q4 2022 | — |
| Q3 2022 | — |
| Q2 2022 | $11M |
| Q1 2022 | $25.7M |
NKE Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +0.2% | +3.2M shares |
| 1 year | +0.4% | +5.2M shares |
| 3 years | -3.8% | -59.1M shares |
| 5 years | -8.4% | -135M shares |
| Available history | -6.9% | -110M shares |
NKE has 1.5B diluted shares, about the same as a year ago.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | — |
| Q2 2026 | — |
| Q1 2026 | — |
| Q4 2025 | $20M |
| Q3 2025 | $126M |
| Q2 2025 | $199M |
| Q1 2025 | $506M |
| Q4 2024 | $1.1B |
NKE has spent almost nothing on buybacks in the past year.
CSV Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -0.0x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2026 | 0.0x | Very low |
| Q1 2026 | 0.0x | Very low |
| Q4 2025 | 0.0x | Very low |
| Q3 2025 | 0.1x | Very low |
| Q2 2025 | 0.0x | Very low |
| Q1 2025 | 0.0x | Very low |
| Q4 2024 | 0.0x | Very low |
CSV has the edge over NKE on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.
NKE Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 0.2x | Very low |
| Q2 2026 | 0.1x | Very low |
| Q1 2025 | 0.1x | Very low |
| Q4 2024 | 0.2x | Very low |
| Q3 2024 | 0.1x | Very low |
| Q2 2024 | -0.1x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2024 | -0.0x | Very low |
| Q4 2023 | 0.1x | Very low |
NKE's net debt is less than a year of its operating earnings (EBITDA).
CSV Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 33.6 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 19.8 | Oversold |
CSV's weekly RSI is 34 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 20 (oversold).
NKE Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 40.0 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 57.5 | Neutral |
NKE's weekly RSI is 40 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 58 (neutral).
CSV PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector
| Metric | CSV | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 9.5x | 18x | 47% below |
| PE % | 2 | 47 | 45 pts below |
CSV has the edge over NKE on valuation relative to its sector.
NKE PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector
| Metric | NKE | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 18x | 18x | 0.3% above |
| PE % | 2 | 47 | 45 pts below |
NKE is trading at 18x earnings, in line with the Consumer Cyclical sector's median of 18x.
CSV Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $32.4 | 14% below |
| 20 week MA | $34.5 | 19% below |
| 50 week MA | $40.0 | 30% below |
| 100 week MA | $41.2 | 32% below |
| 200 week MA | $35.2 | 21% below |
CSV is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 21% below its 200-week average.
NKE Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $36.7 | 2.8% above |
| 20 week MA | $39.2 | 3.6% below |
| 50 week MA | $48.0 | 21% below |
| 100 week MA | $58.4 | 35% below |
| 200 week MA | $79.2 | 52% below |
NKE has the edge over CSV on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.
CSV Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $25.7 | $30.8 | +20% |
| 2021 | $30.8 | $62.7 | +103% |
| 2022 | $62.7 | $27.5 | -56% |
| 2023 | $27.5 | $25.0 | -9% |
| 2024 | $25.0 | $39.9 | +59% |
| 2025 | $39.9 | $42.1 | +5.6% |
| 2026 YTD | $42.1 | $27.9 | -34% |
CSV has the edge over NKE on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.
NKE Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $101.6 | $141.6 | +39% |
| 2021 | $141.6 | $165.7 | +17% |
| 2022 | $165.7 | $116.3 | -30% |
| 2023 | $116.3 | $108.6 | -6.6% |
| 2024 | $108.6 | $76.4 | -30% |
| 2025 | $76.4 | $60.9 | -20% |
| 2026 YTD | $60.9 | $37.8 | -38% |
NKE has finished four years in a row lower, and it's down 38% so far in 2026.