CRWV

CoreWeave, Inc. Class A Common Stock

52
Fundamentals43/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential65/ 100
Risk potential42/ 100

CRWV offers stronger modeled upside, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.

IBM

International Business Machines Corporation

65
Fundamentals71/ 100
Valuation57/ 100
Upside potential62/ 100
Risk potential15/ 100

IBM has the edge over CRWV overall, supported by stronger fundamentals and lower modeled downside.

CRWV Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Under pressure
Weak
Strong

CRWV's revenue and balance sheet are currently strong, but its profitability and cash flow are under pressure.

IBM Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Strong
Strong
Under pressure

IBM's profitability and cash flow are currently strong, and its revenue is stable, but its balance sheet is under pressure.

CRWV PE Valuation

CRWV has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

IBM PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE28x56x85x113x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE28x56x85x113x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap17x$194-21%
Forward19x$245—
Current21x$245—
Fair23x$274+12%
Expensive46x$538+120%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

IBM's PE is in its cheap range at 21x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 19x next year's earnings.

CRWV Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Losses shrinking
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Moderate
Low

CRWV has the edge over IBM on the outlook, with more favorable revenue expectations.

IBM Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Improving
Growth
Stable
Improving
Moderate
Moderate

Analysts expect IBM's earnings to grow and its profitability to improve, with its revenue holding steady.

CRWV Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+79%$101.48
Downside-42%$32.77

Calculated from the latest close: $56.60 on Nov 12.

CRWV has a better modeled risk to reward balance than IBM, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

IBM Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+26%$307.43
Downside-15%$206.85

Calculated from the latest close: $244.67 on Nov 12.

IBM trails CRWV on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

CRWV Earnings Per Share

Q3 2024: $-2.42Q4 2024: $-2.17Q1 2025: $-3.34Q2 2025: $-3.10Q3 2025: $-2.48Q4 2025: $-2.81Q1 2026: $-2.72Q2 2026: $-3.26Q3 2026: $-4.31
Q3 2024: $-2.42Q4 2024: $-2.17Q1 2025: $-3.34Q2 2025: $-3.10Q3 2025: $-2.48Q4 2025: $-2.81Q1 2026: $-2.72Q2 2026: $-3.26Q3 2026: $-4.31
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026-$4.31-$1.83
Q2 2026-$3.26-$0.16
Q1 2026-$2.72+$0.62
Q4 2025-$2.81-$0.64
Q3 2025-$2.48-$0.06

CRWV lost $4.31 per share over the past year, a bigger loss than the year before.

IBM Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $8.14Q1 2024: $8.85Q2 2024: $9.09Q3 2024: $6.89Q4 2024: $6.43Q1 2025: $5.83Q2 2025: $6.18Q3 2025: $8.38Q4 2025: $11.17Q1 2026: $11.33Q2 2026: $11.29Q3 2026: $11.75Forward: $13.06
Q4 2023: $8.14Q1 2024: $8.85Q2 2024: $9.09Q3 2024: $6.89Q4 2024: $6.43Q1 2025: $5.83Q2 2025: $6.18Q3 2025: $8.38Q4 2025: $11.17Q1 2026: $11.33Q2 2026: $11.29Q3 2026: $11.75Forward: $13.06
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$13.06+11%
Q3 2026$11.75+40%
Q2 2026$11.29+83%
Q1 2026$11.33+94%
Q4 2025$11.17+74%
Q3 2025$8.38+22%
Q2 2025$6.18-32%
Q1 2025$5.83-34%
Q4 2024$6.43-21%

IBM has the edge over CRWV on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

CRWV Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $116MQ1 2024: $189MQ2 2024: $395MQ3 2024: $584MQ4 2024: $747MQ1 2025: $982MQ2 2025: $1.2BQ3 2025: $1.4BQ4 2025: $1.6BQ1 2026: $2.1BQ2 2026: $2.6BQ3 2026: $3.7B
Q4 2023: $116MQ1 2024: $189MQ2 2024: $395MQ3 2024: $584MQ4 2024: $747MQ1 2025: $982MQ2 2025: $1.2BQ3 2025: $1.4BQ4 2025: $1.6BQ1 2026: $2.1BQ2 2026: $2.6BQ3 2026: $3.7B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$3.7B+168%
Q2 2026$2.6B+112%
Q1 2026$2.1B+112%
Q4 2025$1.6B+110%
Q3 2025$1.4B+134%
Q2 2025$1.2B+207%
Q1 2025$981.6M+420%
Q4 2024$747.4M+544%

CRWV has the edge over IBM on sales, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.

IBM Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $17.4BQ1 2024: $14.5BQ2 2024: $15.8BQ3 2024: $15BQ4 2024: $17.6BQ1 2025: $14.5BQ2 2025: $17BQ3 2025: $16.3BQ4 2025: $19.7BQ1 2026: $15.9BQ2 2026: $17.2BQ3 2026: $17.1B
Q4 2023: $17.4BQ1 2024: $14.5BQ2 2024: $15.8BQ3 2024: $15BQ4 2024: $17.6BQ1 2025: $14.5BQ2 2025: $17BQ3 2025: $16.3BQ4 2025: $19.7BQ1 2026: $15.9BQ2 2026: $17.2BQ3 2026: $17.1B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$17.1B+4.7%
Q2 2026$17.2B+1.1%
Q1 2026$15.9B+9.5%
Q4 2025$19.7B+12%
Q3 2025$16.3B+9.1%
Q2 2025$17B+7.7%
Q1 2025$14.5B+0.5%
Q4 2024$17.6B+1%

IBM's revenue has grown year over year for 13 quarters in a row: $17.1B last quarter, up 4.7% from the same quarter a year ago.

CRWV Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$1.1BQ1 2024: $297MQ2 2024: −$2.4BQ3 2024: −$574MQ4 2024: −$3.3BQ1 2025: −$1.3BQ2 2025: −$2.7BQ3 2025: −$700MQ4 2025: −$2.5BQ1 2026: −$4.7BQ2 2026: −$5.7BQ3 2026: −$7.5B
Q4 2023: −$1.1BQ1 2024: $297MQ2 2024: −$2.4BQ3 2024: −$574MQ4 2024: −$3.3BQ1 2025: −$1.3BQ2 2025: −$2.7BQ3 2025: −$700MQ4 2025: −$2.5BQ1 2026: −$4.7BQ2 2026: −$5.7BQ3 2026: −$7.5B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$7.5B-$6.8B
Q2 2026-$5.7B-$3B
Q1 2026-$4.7B-$3.4B
Q4 2025-$2.5B+$810.3M
Q3 2025-$699.8M-$125.8M
Q2 2025-$2.7B-$339.3M
Q1 2025-$1.3B-553%
Q4 2024-$3.3B-$2.2B

CRWV has burned cash in almost every quarter: −$20.4B over the past year, against −$8.1B the year before.

IBM Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $4.2BQ1 2024: $3.9BQ2 2024: $1.8BQ3 2024: $2.6BQ4 2024: $4BQ1 2025: $4.1BQ2 2025: $1.5BQ3 2025: $2.8BQ4 2025: $3.7BQ1 2026: $4.9BQ2 2026: $2.4BQ3 2026: $3.7B
Q4 2023: $4.2BQ1 2024: $3.9BQ2 2024: $1.8BQ3 2024: $2.6BQ4 2024: $4BQ1 2025: $4.1BQ2 2025: $1.5BQ3 2025: $2.8BQ4 2025: $3.7BQ1 2026: $4.9BQ2 2026: $2.4BQ3 2026: $3.7B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$3.7B+31%
Q2 2026$2.4B+59%
Q1 2026$4.9B+20%
Q4 2025$3.7B-9.2%
Q3 2025$2.8B+8.9%
Q2 2025$1.5B-19%
Q1 2025$4.1B+5%
Q4 2024$4B-3.3%

IBM has the edge over CRWV on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

CRWV Total Shares

Q4 2023: 404MQ1 2024: 404MQ2 2024: 404MQ3 2024: 214MQ4 2024: 239MQ1 2025: 249MQ2 2025: 487MQ3 2025: 498MQ4 2025: 436MQ1 2026: 527MQ2 2026: 551MQ3 2026: 559M
Q4 2023: 404MQ1 2024: 404MQ2 2024: 404MQ3 2024: 214MQ4 2024: 239MQ1 2025: 249MQ2 2025: 487MQ3 2025: 498MQ4 2025: 436MQ1 2026: 527MQ2 2026: 551MQ3 2026: 559M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+1.5%+8M shares
1 year+12%+61.1M shares

CRWV has 559M diluted shares, up 12% from a year ago.

IBM Total Shares

Q4 2023: 922MQ1 2024: 933MQ2 2024: 934MQ3 2024: 924MQ4 2024: 937MQ1 2025: 945MQ2 2025: 948MQ3 2025: 949MQ4 2025: 949MQ1 2026: 952MQ2 2026: 953MQ3 2026: 954M
Q4 2023: 922MQ1 2024: 933MQ2 2024: 934MQ3 2024: 924MQ4 2024: 937MQ1 2025: 945MQ2 2025: 948MQ3 2025: 949MQ4 2025: 949MQ1 2026: 952MQ2 2026: 953MQ3 2026: 954M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly0%+260K shares
1 year+0.5%+4.6M shares
3 years+3.2%+29.9M shares
5 years+5.3%+47.6M shares
Available history+2.1%+19.6M shares

IBM has the edge over CRWV on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

CRWV Net Leverage

Q4 2024: 19.3xQ1 2025: 8.4xQ2 2025: 6.5xQ3 2025: 5.6xQ4 2025: 7.6xQ1 2026: 7.6xQ2 2026: -1.5xQ3 2026: -0.8x
Q4 2024: 19.3xQ1 2025: 8.4xQ2 2025: 6.5xQ3 2025: 5.6xQ4 2025: 7.6xQ1 2026: 7.6xQ2 2026: -1.5xQ3 2026: -0.8x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-0.8xNet Cash
Q2 2026-1.5xNet Cash
Q1 20267.6xHigh
Q4 20257.6xHigh
Q3 20255.6xHigh
Q2 20256.5xHigh
Q1 20258.4xHigh
Q4 202419.3xHigh

CRWV has the edge over IBM on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

IBM Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 3.8xQ1 2024: 3.8xQ2 2024: 3.6xQ3 2024: 4.3xQ4 2024: 4.4xQ1 2025: 5.6xQ2 2025: 5.5xQ3 2025: 4.2xQ4 2025: 3.5xQ1 2026: 4.0xQ2 2026: 3.9xQ3 2026: 3.9x
Q4 2023: 3.8xQ1 2024: 3.8xQ2 2024: 3.6xQ3 2024: 4.3xQ4 2024: 4.4xQ1 2025: 5.6xQ2 2025: 5.5xQ3 2025: 4.2xQ4 2025: 3.5xQ1 2026: 4.0xQ2 2026: 3.9xQ3 2026: 3.9x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20263.9xElevated
Q2 20263.9xElevated
Q1 20264.0xHigh
Q4 20253.5xElevated
Q3 20254.2xHigh
Q2 20255.5xHigh
Q1 20255.6xHigh
Q4 20244.4xHigh

IBM's net debt is about 3.9 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from 4.2 years a year ago.

CRWV Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI39.7Neutral
Stochastic11.3Oversold

CRWV's weekly RSI is 40 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 11 (oversold).

IBM Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI50.1Neutral
Stochastic74.8Neutral

IBM's weekly RSI is 50 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 75 (neutral).

CRWV PE vs Technology Sector

CRWV has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

IBM PE vs Technology Sector

MetricIBMSector medianRelative
PE21x28x25% below
PE %31354 pts below

IBM is trading at 21x earnings, a 25% discount to the Technology sector's median of 28x.

CRWV Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$66.615% below
20 week MA$77.427% below
50 week MA$87.435% below

IBM has stronger trend alignment. CRWV is above 0 of 3 weekly averages versus IBM above 3 of 5.

IBM Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$238.62.6% above
20 week MA$239.32.2% above
50 week MA$256.64.6% below
100 week MA$258.55.3% below
200 week MA$212.315% above

IBM's trend is mixed: it's above three of its five weekly moving averages, and 15% above its 200-week average.

CRWV Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2025$40.0$76.4+91%
2026 YTD$76.4$56.6-26%

CRWV has finished every year since 2025 higher, and it's down 26% so far in 2026.

IBM Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$129.3$119.2-7.8%
2021$119.2$130.6+9.6%
2022$130.6$141.7+8.4%
2023$141.7$163.6+15%
2024$163.6$222.8+36%
2025$222.8$305.1+37%
2026 YTD$305.1$244.7-20%

IBM has the edge over CRWV on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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