CRWD
CrowdStrike Holdings, Inc.
CRWD has slightly lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.
SMCI
Super Micro Computer, Inc.
SMCI has the edge over CRWD overall, supported by stronger valuation and stronger modeled upside.
CRWD Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Healthy | |
| Stable | |
| Strong | |
| Unavailable |
CRWD's revenue and cash flow are currently healthy, and its profitability is stable. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.
SMCI Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Strong | |
| Strong | |
| Weak | |
| Strong |
SMCI's revenue, profitability and balance sheet are currently strong, but its cash flow is weak.
CRWD PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Forward | 153x | $230 | — |
| Cheap | 451x | $27.04 | -88% |
| Fair | 715x | $42.92 | -81% |
| Expensive | 3,337x | $200 | -13% |
| Current | 3,678x | $230 | — |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
CRWD's PE is in its expensive range at 3678x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 153x next year's earnings, in its cheap range.
SMCI PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Forward | 4.3x | $26.99 | — |
| Current | 5.7x | $26.99 | — |
| Cheap | 13x | $61.50 | +128% |
| Fair | 19x | $88.86 | +229% |
| Expensive | 26x | $125 | +363% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
SMCI has the edge over CRWD in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.
CRWD Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Strongly improving | |
| Strong growth | |
| Strong growth | |
| Improving | |
| Broad | |
| High |
Analysts expect strong earnings and revenue growth for CRWD, with profitability improving.
SMCI Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Strongly improving | |
| Strong growth | |
| Strong growth | |
| Improving | |
| Moderate | |
| Low |
Analysts expect strong earnings and revenue growth for SMCI, with profitability improving. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.
CRWD Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $1.50 | +2400% |
| Q3 2026 | $0.06 | +$0.36 |
| Q2 2026 | -$0.03 | +$0.14 |
| Q1 2026 | -$0.16 | -$0.14 |
| Q4 2025 | -$0.32 | -346% |
| Q3 2025 | -$0.30 | -276% |
| Q2 2025 | -$0.17 | -221% |
| Q1 2025 | -$0.02 | -122% |
| Q4 2024 | $0.13 | +$0.15 |
CRWD has returned to profit: it earned $0.06 per share over the past year, after losing money the year before.
SMCI Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $6.22 | +31% |
| Q3 2026 | $4.75 | +274% |
| Q2 2026 | $3.26 | +94% |
| Q1 2026 | $1.91 | +4.4% |
| Q4 2025 | $1.36 | -41% |
| Q3 2025 | $1.27 | -45% |
| Q2 2025 | $1.68 | -13% |
| Q1 2025 | $1.83 | +2.8% |
| Q4 2024 | $2.32 | +81% |
SMCI has the edge over CRWD on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
CRWD Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $1.5B | +26% |
| Q2 2026 | $1.4B | +26% |
| Q1 2026 | $1.3B | +23% |
| Q4 2025 | $1.2B | +22% |
| Q3 2025 | $1.2B | +21% |
| Q2 2025 | $1.1B | +20% |
| Q1 2025 | $1.1B | +25% |
| Q4 2024 | $1B | +29% |
CRWD's revenue has grown year over year every quarter since late 2020: $1.5B last quarter, up 26% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -2.3% | +7.4 points |
| Q2 2026 | -2.2% | +9.1 points |
| Q1 2026 | 1.1% | +9.1 points |
| Q4 2025 | -5.6% | -0.1 points |
| Q3 2025 | -9.7% | -11 points |
| Q2 2025 | -11% | -12 points |
| Q1 2025 | -8.1% | -12 points |
| Q4 2024 | -5.5% | -5.9 points |
CRWD's operating margin was −2.3% last quarter, up 7.4 points from the same quarter a year ago.
SMCI Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $19.9B | +298% |
| Q2 2026 | $11.1B | +93% |
| Q1 2026 | $10.2B | +123% |
| Q4 2025 | $12.7B | +123% |
| Q3 2025 | $5B | -15% |
| Q2 2025 | $5.8B | +7.5% |
| Q1 2025 | $4.6B | +19% |
| Q4 2024 | $5.7B | +55% |
SMCI's revenue has grown year over year for four quarters in a row: $19.9B last quarter, up 298% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 10% | +6.7 points |
| Q2 2026 | 13% | +9.4 points |
| Q1 2026 | 6.1% | +2.9 points |
| Q4 2025 | 3.7% | -2.8 points |
| Q3 2025 | 3.6% | -5 points |
| Q2 2025 | 4% | -1.4 points |
| Q1 2025 | 3.2% | -6.6 points |
| Q4 2024 | 6.5% | -3.7 points |
SMCI has the edge over CRWD on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
CRWD Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $405.9M | +34% |
| Q2 2026 | $493.3M | +65% |
| Q1 2026 | $395.4M | +53% |
| Q4 2025 | $314.1M | +27% |
| Q3 2025 | $302.3M | +5.2% |
| Q2 2025 | $298.4M | -11% |
| Q1 2025 | $258.5M | -12% |
| Q4 2024 | $247.4M | -1.9% |
CRWD has the edge over SMCI on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.
SMCI Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -$475.6M | +$474.2M |
| Q2 2026 | $718.7M | -15% |
| Q1 2026 | -$6.7B | -1227% |
| Q4 2025 | -$45.1M | +$222.2M |
| Q3 2025 | -$949.8M | -360% |
| Q2 2025 | $840.9M | +$1.5B |
| Q1 2025 | $594.1M | +$2.2B |
| Q4 2024 | -$267.3M | +$342.5M |
SMCI's free cash flow was −$6.5B over the past year, against $218M the year before.
CRWD Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +1.3% | +12.9M shares |
| 1 year | +4.5% | +44.8M shares |
| 3 years | +7.8% | +75.9M shares |
| 5 years | +15% | +139M shares |
| Available history | +28% | +228M shares |
CRWD has the edge over SMCI on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | — |
| Q2 2026 | $175.6M |
| Q1 2020 | — |
SMCI Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +7.5% | +52M shares |
| 1 year | +13% | +86.1M shares |
| 3 years | +31% | +178M shares |
| 5 years | +42% | +220M shares |
| Available history | +44% | +229M shares |
SMCI has 749M diluted shares, up 13% from a year ago.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q2 2024 | — |
| Q2 2022 | — |
| Q1 2022 | — |
| Q4 2021 | — |
| Q3 2021 | — |
| Q2 2021 | $12M |
| Q1 2021 | $43.1M |
| Q4 2020 | $46.4M |
CRWD Net Leverage
SMCI Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -0.5x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2026 | -1.0x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2026 | 2.2x | Moderate |
| Q4 2025 | 0.5x | Very low |
| Q3 2025 | 0.5x | Very low |
| Q2 2025 | -0.4x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2025 | -0.1x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2024 | 0.2x | Very low |
SMCI has more cash than debt.
CRWD Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 55.1 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 49.1 | Neutral |
CRWD's weekly RSI is 55 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 49 (neutral).
SMCI Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 40.8 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 19.1 | Oversold |
SMCI's weekly RSI is 41 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 19 (oversold).
CRWD PE vs Technology Sector
| Metric | CRWD | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 3,678x | 28x | 13,101% above |
| PE % | 91 | 35 | 56 pts above |
CRWD is trading at 3678x earnings, a 13101% premium to the Technology sector's median of 28x.
SMCI PE vs Technology Sector
| Metric | SMCI | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 5.7x | 28x | 80% below |
| PE % | 0 | 35 | 35 pts below |
SMCI has the edge over CRWD on valuation relative to its sector.
CRWD Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $247.4 | 7.1% below |
| 20 week MA | $221.9 | 3.6% above |
| 50 week MA | $163.0 | 41% above |
| 100 week MA | $136.0 | 69% above |
| 200 week MA | $97.5 | 136% above |
CRWD has the edge over SMCI on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.
SMCI Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $35.3 | 23% below |
| 20 week MA | $34.2 | 21% below |
| 50 week MA | $32.3 | 17% below |
| 100 week MA | $36.9 | 27% below |
| 200 week MA | $39.8 | 32% below |
SMCI is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 32% below its 200-week average.
CRWD Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $12.2 | $55.3 | +352% |
| 2021 | $55.3 | $52.9 | -4.3% |
| 2022 | $52.9 | $25.5 | -52% |
| 2023 | $25.5 | $63.8 | +150% |
| 2024 | $63.8 | $88.8 | +39% |
| 2025 | $88.8 | $120.3 | +36% |
| 2026 YTD | $120.3 | $229.9 | +91% |
CRWD has the edge over SMCI on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.
SMCI Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $2.41 | $3.05 | +27% |
| 2021 | $3.05 | $4.27 | +40% |
| 2022 | $4.27 | $8.22 | +93% |
| 2023 | $8.22 | $28.4 | +246% |
| 2024 | $28.4 | $32.0 | +12% |
| 2025 | $32.0 | $30.6 | -4.2% |
| 2026 YTD | $30.6 | $27.0 | -12% |
SMCI has finished higher in five of the last six years, two of them by more than 50%. It's down 12% so far in 2026.