CRWD

CrowdStrike Holdings, Inc.

63
Fundamentals83/ 100
Valuation32/ 100
Upside potential65/ 100
Risk potential26/ 100

CRWD offers stronger fundamentals, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.

SHOP

Shopify Inc.

75
Fundamentals81/ 100
Valuation66/ 100
Upside potential73/ 100
Risk potential23/ 100

SHOP has the edge over CRWD overall, supported by stronger valuation and stronger modeled upside.

CRWD Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Stable
Strong
Unavailable

CRWD's revenue and cash flow are currently healthy, and its profitability is stable. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.

SHOP Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Healthy
Strong
Strong

SHOP's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.

CRWD PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE1144x2288x3432x4577x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE1144x2288x3432x4577x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward153x$230—
Cheap451x$27.04-88%
Fair715x$42.92-81%
Expensive3,337x$200-13%
Current3,678x$230—

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

CRWD's PE is in its expensive range at 3678x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 153x next year's earnings, in its cheap range.

SHOP PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE247x494x742x989x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE247x494x742x989x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward67x$147—
Cheap78x$129-12%
Current89x$147—
Fair107x$177+21%
Expensive338x$557+280%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

SHOP has the edge over CRWD in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

CRWD Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Strong growth
Improving
Broad
High

CRWD has the edge over SHOP on the outlook, with more favorable profitability expectations.

SHOP Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Strong growth
Stable
Moderate
Low

Analysts expect strong earnings and revenue growth for SHOP, with profitability holding steady. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

CRWD Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+48%$341.14
Downside-26%$170.12

Calculated from the latest close: $229.87 on Nov 12.

CRWD trails SHOP on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside and more potential downside.

SHOP Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+62%$237.14
Downside-23%$113.00

Calculated from the latest close: $146.78 on Nov 12.

SHOP has a better modeled risk to reward balance than CRWD, with more potential upside and less potential downside.

CRWD Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-0.02Q1 2024: $0.09Q2 2024: $0.14Q3 2024: $0.17Q4 2024: $0.13Q1 2025: $-0.02Q2 2025: $-0.17Q3 2025: $-0.30Q4 2025: $-0.32Q1 2026: $-0.16Q2 2026: $-0.03Q3 2026: $0.06Forward: $1.50
Q4 2023: $-0.02Q1 2024: $0.09Q2 2024: $0.14Q3 2024: $0.17Q4 2024: $0.13Q1 2025: $-0.02Q2 2025: $-0.17Q3 2025: $-0.30Q4 2025: $-0.32Q1 2026: $-0.16Q2 2026: $-0.03Q3 2026: $0.06Forward: $1.50
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$1.50+2400%
Q3 2026$0.06+$0.36
Q2 2026-$0.03+$0.14
Q1 2026-$0.16-$0.14
Q4 2025-$0.32-346%
Q3 2025-$0.30-276%
Q2 2025-$0.17-221%
Q1 2025-$0.02-122%
Q4 2024$0.13+$0.15

CRWD has returned to profit: it earned $0.06 per share over the past year, after losing money the year before.

SHOP Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $0.09Q1 2024: $-0.17Q2 2024: $0.98Q3 2024: $1.07Q4 2024: $1.56Q1 2025: $1.24Q2 2025: $1.80Q3 2025: $1.36Q4 2025: $0.94Q1 2026: $1.02Q2 2026: $1.49Q3 2026: $1.65Forward: $2.20
Q4 2023: $0.09Q1 2024: $-0.17Q2 2024: $0.98Q3 2024: $1.07Q4 2024: $1.56Q1 2025: $1.24Q2 2025: $1.80Q3 2025: $1.36Q4 2025: $0.94Q1 2026: $1.02Q2 2026: $1.49Q3 2026: $1.65Forward: $2.20
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$2.20+33%
Q3 2026$1.65+21%
Q2 2026$1.49-17%
Q1 2026$1.02-18%
Q4 2025$0.94-40%
Q3 2025$1.36+27%
Q2 2025$1.80+84%
Q1 2025$1.24+$1.41
Q4 2024$1.56+1633%

SHOP has the edge over CRWD on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

CRWD Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $786MQ1 2024: $845MQ2 2024: $921MQ3 2024: $964MQ4 2024: $1BQ1 2025: $1.1BQ2 2025: $1.1BQ3 2025: $1.2BQ4 2025: $1.2BQ1 2026: $1.3BQ2 2026: $1.4BQ3 2026: $1.5B
Q4 2023: $786MQ1 2024: $845MQ2 2024: $921MQ3 2024: $964MQ4 2024: $1BQ1 2025: $1.1BQ2 2025: $1.1BQ3 2025: $1.2BQ4 2025: $1.2BQ1 2026: $1.3BQ2 2026: $1.4BQ3 2026: $1.5B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$1.5B+26%
Q2 2026$1.4B+26%
Q1 2026$1.3B+23%
Q4 2025$1.2B+22%
Q3 2025$1.2B+21%
Q2 2025$1.1B+20%
Q1 2025$1.1B+25%
Q4 2024$1B+29%

CRWD's revenue has grown year over year every quarter since late 2020: $1.5B last quarter, up 26% from the same quarter a year ago.

SHOP Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $2.1BQ1 2024: $1.9BQ2 2024: $2BQ3 2024: $2.2BQ4 2024: $2.8BQ1 2025: $2.4BQ2 2025: $2.7BQ3 2025: $2.8BQ4 2025: $3.7BQ1 2026: $3.2BQ2 2026: $3.6BQ3 2026: $3.7B
Q4 2023: $2.1BQ1 2024: $1.9BQ2 2024: $2BQ3 2024: $2.2BQ4 2024: $2.8BQ1 2025: $2.4BQ2 2025: $2.7BQ3 2025: $2.8BQ4 2025: $3.7BQ1 2026: $3.2BQ2 2026: $3.6BQ3 2026: $3.7B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$3.7B+32%
Q2 2026$3.6B+34%
Q1 2026$3.2B+34%
Q4 2025$3.7B+31%
Q3 2025$2.8B+32%
Q2 2025$2.7B+31%
Q1 2025$2.4B+27%
Q4 2024$2.8B+31%

SHOP has the edge over CRWD on sales, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.

CRWD Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $252MQ1 2024: $294MQ2 2024: $334MQ3 2024: $287MQ4 2024: $247MQ1 2025: $259MQ2 2025: $298MQ3 2025: $302MQ4 2025: $314MQ1 2026: $395MQ2 2026: $493MQ3 2026: $406M
Q4 2023: $252MQ1 2024: $294MQ2 2024: $334MQ3 2024: $287MQ4 2024: $247MQ1 2025: $259MQ2 2025: $298MQ3 2025: $302MQ4 2025: $314MQ1 2026: $395MQ2 2026: $493MQ3 2026: $406M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$405.9M+34%
Q2 2026$493.3M+65%
Q1 2026$395.4M+53%
Q4 2025$314.1M+27%
Q3 2025$302.3M+5.2%
Q2 2025$298.4M-11%
Q1 2025$258.5M-12%
Q4 2024$247.4M-1.9%

CRWD's free cash flow has been positive every quarter for seven years: $1.6B over the past year, up 45% from the year before.

SHOP Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $446MQ1 2024: $232MQ2 2024: $333MQ3 2024: $421MQ4 2024: $611MQ1 2025: $363MQ2 2025: $422MQ3 2025: $507MQ4 2025: $715MQ1 2026: $476MQ2 2026: $654MQ3 2026: $816M
Q4 2023: $446MQ1 2024: $232MQ2 2024: $333MQ3 2024: $421MQ4 2024: $611MQ1 2025: $363MQ2 2025: $422MQ3 2025: $507MQ4 2025: $715MQ1 2026: $476MQ2 2026: $654MQ3 2026: $816M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$816M+61%
Q2 2026$654M+55%
Q1 2026$476M+31%
Q4 2025$715M+17%
Q3 2025$507M+20%
Q2 2025$422M+27%
Q1 2025$363M+56%
Q4 2024$611M+37%

SHOP has the edge over CRWD on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

CRWD Total Shares

Q4 2023: 975MQ1 2024: 975MQ2 2024: 1BQ3 2024: 1BQ4 2024: 982MQ1 2025: 979MQ2 2025: 994MQ3 2025: 1000MQ4 2025: 1BQ1 2026: 1BQ2 2026: 1BQ3 2026: 1B
Q4 2023: 975MQ1 2024: 975MQ2 2024: 1BQ3 2024: 1BQ4 2024: 982MQ1 2025: 979MQ2 2025: 994MQ3 2025: 1000MQ4 2025: 1BQ1 2026: 1BQ2 2026: 1BQ3 2026: 1B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+1.3%+12.9M shares
1 year+4.5%+44.8M shares
3 years+7.8%+75.9M shares
5 years+15%+139M shares
Available history+28%+228M shares

CRWD has 1B diluted shares, up 4.5% from a year ago.

SHOP Total Shares

Q4 2023: 1.3BQ1 2024: 1.3BQ2 2024: 1.3BQ3 2024: 1.3BQ4 2024: 1.3BQ1 2025: 1.3BQ2 2025: 1.3BQ3 2025: 1.3BQ4 2025: 1.3BQ1 2026: 1.3BQ2 2026: 1.3BQ3 2026: 1.3B
Q4 2023: 1.3BQ1 2024: 1.3BQ2 2024: 1.3BQ3 2024: 1.3BQ4 2024: 1.3BQ1 2025: 1.3BQ2 2025: 1.3BQ3 2025: 1.3BQ4 2025: 1.3BQ1 2026: 1.3BQ2 2026: 1.3BQ3 2026: 1.3B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.6%-7.2M shares
1 year-1.7%-22.1M shares
3 years-0.4%-5.1M shares
5 years+1.1%+14.5M shares
Available history+11%+130M shares

SHOP has the edge over CRWD on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

CRWD Net Leverage

SHOP Net Leverage

Q4 2023: -0.2xQ1 2024: -0.5xQ2 2024: -0.3xQ3 2024: -0.3xQ4 2024: -0.4xQ1 2025: -0.9xQ2 2025: -1.1xQ3 2025: -1.7xQ4 2025: -1.0xQ1 2026: -1.1xQ2 2026: -0.9xQ3 2026: -0.9x
Q4 2023: -0.2xQ1 2024: -0.5xQ2 2024: -0.3xQ3 2024: -0.3xQ4 2024: -0.4xQ1 2025: -0.9xQ2 2025: -1.1xQ3 2025: -1.7xQ4 2025: -1.0xQ1 2026: -1.1xQ2 2026: -0.9xQ3 2026: -0.9x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-0.9xNet Cash
Q2 2026-0.9xNet Cash
Q1 2026-1.1xNet Cash
Q4 2025-1.0xNet Cash
Q3 2025-1.7xNet Cash
Q2 2025-1.1xNet Cash
Q1 2025-0.9xNet Cash
Q4 2024-0.4xNet Cash

SHOP has more cash than debt.

CRWD Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI55.1Neutral
Stochastic49.1Neutral

CRWD's weekly RSI is 55 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 49 (neutral).

SHOP Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI52.4Neutral
Stochastic51.5Neutral

SHOP's weekly RSI is 52 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 52 (neutral).

CRWD PE vs Technology Sector

MetricCRWDSector medianRelative
PE3,678x28x13,101% above
PE %913556 pts above

CRWD is trading at 3678x earnings, a 13101% premium to the Technology sector's median of 28x.

SHOP PE vs Technology Sector

MetricSHOPSector medianRelative
PE89x28x219% above
PE %29356 pts below

SHOP has the edge over CRWD on valuation relative to its sector.

CRWD Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$247.47.1% below
20 week MA$221.93.6% above
50 week MA$163.041% above
100 week MA$136.069% above
200 week MA$97.5136% above

CRWD's trend is up, with a small recent dip: it's below only its 8-week average, and 136% above its 200-week average.

SHOP Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$157.06.5% below
20 week MA$143.12.5% above
50 week MA$134.49.2% above
100 week MA$128.115% above
200 week MA$97.750% above

SHOP's trend is up, with a small recent dip: it's below only its 8-week average, and 50% above its 200-week average.

CRWD Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$12.2$55.3+352%
2021$55.3$52.9-4.3%
2022$52.9$25.5-52%
2023$25.5$63.8+150%
2024$63.8$88.8+39%
2025$88.8$120.3+36%
2026 YTD$120.3$229.9+91%

CRWD has the edge over SHOP on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

SHOP Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$40.8$122.6+200%
2021$122.6$143.9+17%
2022$143.9$33.7-77%
2023$33.7$77.9+131%
2024$77.9$108.2+39%
2025$108.2$170.8+58%
2026 YTD$170.8$146.8-14%

SHOP's yearly returns have swung widely, from +200% in 2020 to −77% in 2022. It's down 14% so far in 2026.

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