CRWD
CrowdStrike Holdings, Inc.
CRWD has lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.
LITE
Lumentum Holdings Inc.
LITE has the edge over CRWD overall, supported by stronger valuation and stronger modeled upside.
CRWD Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Healthy | |
| Stable | |
| Strong | |
| Unavailable |
CRWD's revenue and cash flow are currently healthy, and its profitability is stable. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.
LITE Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Strong | |
| Stable | |
| Healthy | |
| Healthy |
LITE's revenue, cash flow and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its profitability is stable.
CRWD PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Forward | 153x | $230 | — |
| Cheap | 451x | $27.04 | -88% |
| Fair | 715x | $42.92 | -81% |
| Expensive | 3,337x | $200 | -13% |
| Current | 3,678x | $230 | — |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
CRWD's PE is in its expensive range at 3678x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 153x next year's earnings, in its cheap range.
LITE PE Valuation
LITE has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
CRWD Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Strongly improving | |
| Strong growth | |
| Strong growth | |
| Improving | |
| Broad | |
| High |
Analysts expect strong earnings and revenue growth for CRWD, with profitability improving.
LITE Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| -- | |
| Strong growth | |
| Strong growth | |
| Strongly improving | |
| Limited | |
| Moderate |
Analysts expect strong earnings and revenue growth for LITE, with profitability improving.
CRWD Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $1.50 | +2400% |
| Q3 2026 | $0.06 | +$0.36 |
| Q2 2026 | -$0.03 | +$0.14 |
| Q1 2026 | -$0.16 | -$0.14 |
| Q4 2025 | -$0.32 | -346% |
| Q3 2025 | -$0.30 | -276% |
| Q2 2025 | -$0.17 | -221% |
| Q1 2025 | -$0.02 | -122% |
| Q4 2024 | $0.13 | +$0.15 |
CRWD has the edge over LITE on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.
LITE Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $29.10 | — |
| Q3 2026 | -$89.47 | -5589% |
| Q2 2026 | -$92.96 | -25224% |
| Q1 2026 | $5.54 | +$12.02 |
| Q4 2025 | $3.40 | +$11.12 |
| Q3 2025 | $1.63 | +$9.94 |
| Q2 2025 | $0.37 | +$8.49 |
| Q1 2025 | -$6.48 | -$1.22 |
| Q4 2024 | -$7.72 | -$3.77 |
LITE has swung to a loss: it lost $89.47 per share over the past year, after a profit the year before.
CRWD Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $1.5B | +26% |
| Q2 2026 | $1.4B | +26% |
| Q1 2026 | $1.3B | +23% |
| Q4 2025 | $1.2B | +22% |
| Q3 2025 | $1.2B | +21% |
| Q2 2025 | $1.1B | +20% |
| Q1 2025 | $1.1B | +25% |
| Q4 2024 | $1B | +29% |
CRWD's revenue has grown year over year every quarter since late 2020: $1.5B last quarter, up 26% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -2.3% | +7.4 points |
| Q2 2026 | -2.2% | +9.1 points |
| Q1 2026 | 1.1% | +9.1 points |
| Q4 2025 | -5.6% | -0.1 points |
| Q3 2025 | -9.7% | -11 points |
| Q2 2025 | -11% | -12 points |
| Q1 2025 | -8.1% | -12 points |
| Q4 2024 | -5.5% | -5.9 points |
CRWD's operating margin was −2.3% last quarter, up 7.4 points from the same quarter a year ago.
LITE Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $1.3B | +137% |
| Q2 2026 | $1B | +109% |
| Q1 2026 | $808.4M | +90% |
| Q4 2025 | $665.5M | +65% |
| Q3 2025 | $533.8M | +58% |
| Q2 2025 | $480.7M | +56% |
| Q1 2025 | $425.2M | +16% |
| Q4 2024 | $402.2M | +9.7% |
LITE has the edge over CRWD on sales, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 29% | +27 points |
| Q2 2026 | 28% | +30 points |
| Q1 2026 | 22% | +31 points |
| Q4 2025 | 9.7% | +23 points |
| Q3 2025 | 1.3% | +26 points |
| Q2 2025 | -1.8% | +42 points |
| Q1 2025 | -8.9% | +22 points |
| Q4 2024 | -13% | +16 points |
LITE has the edge over CRWD on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
CRWD Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $405.9M | +34% |
| Q2 2026 | $493.3M | +65% |
| Q1 2026 | $395.4M | +53% |
| Q4 2025 | $314.1M | +27% |
| Q3 2025 | $302.3M | +5.2% |
| Q2 2025 | $298.4M | -11% |
| Q1 2025 | $258.5M | -12% |
| Q4 2024 | $247.4M | -1.9% |
CRWD's free cash flow has been positive every quarter for seven years: $1.6B over the past year, up 45% from the year before.
LITE Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $37.9M | +$56.2M |
| Q2 2026 | $196.2M | +1843% |
| Q1 2026 | $79.1M | +$143.5M |
| Q4 2025 | $43.1M | +$59M |
| Q3 2025 | -$18.3M | +$16.2M |
| Q2 2025 | $10.1M | -7.3% |
| Q1 2025 | -$64.4M | -$37.8M |
| Q4 2024 | -$15.9M | +$16.6M |
LITE has the edge over CRWD on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
CRWD Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +1.3% | +12.9M shares |
| 1 year | +4.5% | +44.8M shares |
| 3 years | +7.8% | +75.9M shares |
| 5 years | +15% | +139M shares |
| Available history | +28% | +228M shares |
CRWD has the edge over LITE on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | — |
| Q2 2026 | $175.6M |
| Q1 2020 | — |
LITE Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +5.7% | +5.5M shares |
| 1 year | +46% | +32.1M shares |
| 3 years | +49% | +33.4M shares |
| 5 years | +31% | +24.2M shares |
| Available history | +30% | +23.7M shares |
LITE has 102M diluted shares, up 46% from a year ago.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q2 2024 | — |
| Q1 2024 | — |
| Q4 2023 | — |
| Q3 2023 | — |
| Q2 2023 | $139.8M |
| Q1 2023 | — |
| Q4 2022 | — |
| Q3 2022 | $35.8M |
CRWD Net Leverage
LITE Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 1.3x | Healthy |
| Q2 2026 | 1.5x | Healthy |
| Q1 2026 | 7.9x | High |
| Q4 2025 | 21.6x | High |
| Q3 2025 | 22.7x | High |
| Q2 2025 | 27.9x | High |
| Q3 2023 | -34.7x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2023 | -7.2x | Net Cash |
LITE's net debt is about 1.3 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from more than 20 years a year ago.
CRWD Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 55.1 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 49.1 | Neutral |
CRWD's weekly RSI is 55 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 49 (neutral).
LITE Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 42.0 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 22.8 | Neutral |
LITE's weekly RSI is 42 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 23 (neutral).
CRWD PE vs Technology Sector
| Metric | CRWD | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 3,678x | 28x | 13,101% above |
| PE % | 91 | 35 | 56 pts above |
CRWD is trading at 3678x earnings, a 13101% premium to the Technology sector's median of 28x.
LITE PE vs Technology Sector
| Metric | LITE | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | N/A | 28x | — |
LITE has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
CRWD Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $247.4 | 7.1% below |
| 20 week MA | $221.9 | 3.6% above |
| 50 week MA | $163.0 | 41% above |
| 100 week MA | $136.0 | 69% above |
| 200 week MA | $97.5 | 136% above |
CRWD has the edge over LITE on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.
LITE Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $839.3 | 26% below |
| 20 week MA | $838.6 | 26% below |
| 50 week MA | $732.7 | 15% below |
| 100 week MA | $422.7 | 48% above |
| 200 week MA | $237.9 | 163% above |
LITE has pulled back, but its long-term trend is still up: it's below its 8-, 20- and 50-week averages, but 163% above its 200-week average.
CRWD Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $12.2 | $55.3 | +352% |
| 2021 | $55.3 | $52.9 | -4.3% |
| 2022 | $52.9 | $25.5 | -52% |
| 2023 | $25.5 | $63.8 | +150% |
| 2024 | $63.8 | $88.8 | +39% |
| 2025 | $88.8 | $120.3 | +36% |
| 2026 YTD | $120.3 | $229.9 | +91% |
CRWD has the edge over LITE on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.
LITE Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $79.0 | $98.3 | +24% |
| 2021 | $98.3 | $104.5 | +6.3% |
| 2022 | $104.5 | $50.6 | -52% |
| 2023 | $50.6 | $52.4 | +3.7% |
| 2024 | $52.4 | $84.4 | +61% |
| 2025 | $84.4 | $390.8 | +363% |
| 2026 YTD | $390.8 | $624.7 | +60% |
LITE's yearly returns have swung widely, from +363% in 2025 to −52% in 2022. It's up 60% so far in 2026.